Updating Poverty Estimates at Frequent Intervals in the Absence of Consumption Data : Methods and Illustration with Reference to a Middle-Income Country

Obtaining consistent estimates on poverty over time as well as monitoring poverty trends on a timely basis is a priority concern for policy makers. However, these objectives are not readily achieved in practice when household consumption data are n...

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Main Authors: Dang, Hai-Anh H., Lanjouw, Peter F., Serajuddin, Umar
Format: Publications & Research
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank Group, Washington, DC 2014
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/09/20230001/updating-poverty-estimates-frequent-intervals-absence-consumption-data-methods-illustration-reference-middle-income-country
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/20374
id okr-10986-20374
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic AGRICULTURAL WAGES
CELL PHONE
CELL PHONES
CHANGES IN POVERTY
COMMODITY
CONFIDENCE INTERVALS
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
CONSUMPTION DATA
DATA AVAILABILITY
DECLINE IN POVERTY
DEPENDENT VARIABLE
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH
DIMENSIONS OF POVERTY
DRINKING WATER
DUMMY VARIABLES
ECONOMETRIC ISSUES
ECONOMETRICS
ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES
ECONOMIC LITERATURE
ECONOMIC REFORMS
ECONOMIC STUDIES
ECONOMICS
ECONOMICS LETTERS
ECONOMICS LITERATURE
ELDERLY PEOPLE
EMPIRICAL APPLICATION
EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE
EMPIRICAL RESULTS
EMPLOYMENT INCOME
EMPLOYMENT STATUS
ENUMERATION
EQUATIONS
ERROR TERMS
ESTIMATED COEFFICIENTS
ESTIMATES OF POVERTY
ESTIMATION RESULTS
ESTIMATION TECHNIQUES
EXPLANATORY VARIABLES
EXTREME POVERTY
FEMALE HOUSEHOLD MEMBERS
FINANCIAL RESOURCES
FOOD BASKET
FOOD CONSUMPTION
FUNCTIONAL FORM
GLOBAL POVERTY
GOVERNMENT AGENCIES
GROWTH RATES
HEADCOUNT POVERTY
HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION
HOUSEHOLD DATA
HOUSEHOLD DEMOGRAPHICS
HOUSEHOLD HEAD
HOUSEHOLD HEADS
HOUSEHOLD SIZE
HOUSEHOLD SURVEY
HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS
HOUSEHOLD WELFARE
HOUSING
HUMAN RESOURCES
IMPUTATION
IMPUTATION METHOD
IMPUTATION METHODS
IMPUTATIONS
INCOME
INCOME GROUPS
INEQUALITY
LABOR FORCE
LABOR MARKET
LINEAR REGRESSION
MEASUREMENT ERRORS
MEASURING POVERTY
MISSING DATA
MISSING VALUES
MODEL SPECIFICATIONS
MULTIPLE IMPUTATION
MULTIPLE IMPUTATIONS
NET CHANGES
NORMAL DISTRIBUTION
NORMAL DISTRIBUTIONS
OPEN ACCESS
PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION
PER CAPITA INCOME
PHONE
POINT DECLINE
POINT ESTIMATES
POLICY INTERVENTIONS
POLICY MAKERS
POLICY RESEARCH
POOR
POOR HOUSEHOLDS
POPULATION GROUP
POVERTY ANALYSIS
POVERTY ASSESSMENT
POVERTY CHANGE
POVERTY COMPARISONS
POVERTY DATA
POVERTY DEBATE
POVERTY DECLINE
POVERTY DYNAMICS
POVERTY ERADICATION
POVERTY ESTIMATES
POVERTY LINE
POVERTY LINES
POVERTY MEASUREMENT
POVERTY RATE
POVERTY RATES
POVERTY REDUCTION
POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGY
POVERTY STATUS
PRECISION
PREDICTION
PREDICTIONS
PROBABILITY
RADIO
RAPID GROWTH
RESEARCH METHODS
RESULT
RURAL
RURAL AREAS
SAMPLE SIZE
SAMPLE SURVEYS
SAMPLING FRAMES
SATELLITE
SCHOOLING
SOFTWARE PACKAGES
STANDARD DEVIATION
STANDARD DEVIATIONS
STANDARD ERRORS
STANDARDIZATION
STATA
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS
STATISTICAL INFERENCE
STATISTICAL THEORY
STATISTICIANS
TARGETS
TECHNICAL EXPERTISE
TELEVISION
TIME PERIOD
TIME PERIODS
TIME SERIES
UNEMPLOYMENT
URBAN AREAS
USER
USES
VALIDITY
WAGE DIFFERENTIALS
spellingShingle AGRICULTURAL WAGES
CELL PHONE
CELL PHONES
CHANGES IN POVERTY
COMMODITY
CONFIDENCE INTERVALS
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
CONSUMPTION DATA
DATA AVAILABILITY
DECLINE IN POVERTY
DEPENDENT VARIABLE
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH
DIMENSIONS OF POVERTY
DRINKING WATER
DUMMY VARIABLES
ECONOMETRIC ISSUES
ECONOMETRICS
ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES
ECONOMIC LITERATURE
ECONOMIC REFORMS
ECONOMIC STUDIES
ECONOMICS
ECONOMICS LETTERS
ECONOMICS LITERATURE
ELDERLY PEOPLE
EMPIRICAL APPLICATION
EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE
EMPIRICAL RESULTS
EMPLOYMENT INCOME
EMPLOYMENT STATUS
ENUMERATION
EQUATIONS
ERROR TERMS
ESTIMATED COEFFICIENTS
ESTIMATES OF POVERTY
ESTIMATION RESULTS
ESTIMATION TECHNIQUES
EXPLANATORY VARIABLES
EXTREME POVERTY
FEMALE HOUSEHOLD MEMBERS
FINANCIAL RESOURCES
FOOD BASKET
FOOD CONSUMPTION
FUNCTIONAL FORM
GLOBAL POVERTY
GOVERNMENT AGENCIES
GROWTH RATES
HEADCOUNT POVERTY
HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION
HOUSEHOLD DATA
HOUSEHOLD DEMOGRAPHICS
HOUSEHOLD HEAD
HOUSEHOLD HEADS
HOUSEHOLD SIZE
HOUSEHOLD SURVEY
HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS
HOUSEHOLD WELFARE
HOUSING
HUMAN RESOURCES
IMPUTATION
IMPUTATION METHOD
IMPUTATION METHODS
IMPUTATIONS
INCOME
INCOME GROUPS
INEQUALITY
LABOR FORCE
LABOR MARKET
LINEAR REGRESSION
MEASUREMENT ERRORS
MEASURING POVERTY
MISSING DATA
MISSING VALUES
MODEL SPECIFICATIONS
MULTIPLE IMPUTATION
MULTIPLE IMPUTATIONS
NET CHANGES
NORMAL DISTRIBUTION
NORMAL DISTRIBUTIONS
OPEN ACCESS
PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION
PER CAPITA INCOME
PHONE
POINT DECLINE
POINT ESTIMATES
POLICY INTERVENTIONS
POLICY MAKERS
POLICY RESEARCH
POOR
POOR HOUSEHOLDS
POPULATION GROUP
POVERTY ANALYSIS
POVERTY ASSESSMENT
POVERTY CHANGE
POVERTY COMPARISONS
POVERTY DATA
POVERTY DEBATE
POVERTY DECLINE
POVERTY DYNAMICS
POVERTY ERADICATION
POVERTY ESTIMATES
POVERTY LINE
POVERTY LINES
POVERTY MEASUREMENT
POVERTY RATE
POVERTY RATES
POVERTY REDUCTION
POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGY
POVERTY STATUS
PRECISION
PREDICTION
PREDICTIONS
PROBABILITY
RADIO
RAPID GROWTH
RESEARCH METHODS
RESULT
RURAL
RURAL AREAS
SAMPLE SIZE
SAMPLE SURVEYS
SAMPLING FRAMES
SATELLITE
SCHOOLING
SOFTWARE PACKAGES
STANDARD DEVIATION
STANDARD DEVIATIONS
STANDARD ERRORS
STANDARDIZATION
STATA
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS
STATISTICAL INFERENCE
STATISTICAL THEORY
STATISTICIANS
TARGETS
TECHNICAL EXPERTISE
TELEVISION
TIME PERIOD
TIME PERIODS
TIME SERIES
UNEMPLOYMENT
URBAN AREAS
USER
USES
VALIDITY
WAGE DIFFERENTIALS
Dang, Hai-Anh H.
Lanjouw, Peter F.
Serajuddin, Umar
Updating Poverty Estimates at Frequent Intervals in the Absence of Consumption Data : Methods and Illustration with Reference to a Middle-Income Country
geographic_facet Middle East and North Africa
Jordan
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 7043
description Obtaining consistent estimates on poverty over time as well as monitoring poverty trends on a timely basis is a priority concern for policy makers. However, these objectives are not readily achieved in practice when household consumption data are neither frequently collected, nor constructed using consistent and transparent criteria. This paper develops a formal framework for survey-to-survey poverty imputation in an attempt to overcome these obstacles, and to elevate the discussion of these methods beyond the largely ad-hoc efforts in the existing literature. The framework introduced here imposes few restrictive assumptions, works with simple variance formulas, provides guidance on the selection of control variables for model building, and can be generally applied to imputation either from one survey to another survey with the same design, or to another survey with a different design. Empirical results analyzing the Household Expenditure and Income Survey and the Unemployment and Employment Survey in Jordan are quite encouraging, with imputation-based poverty estimates closely tracking the direct estimates of poverty.
format Publications & Research
author Dang, Hai-Anh H.
Lanjouw, Peter F.
Serajuddin, Umar
author_facet Dang, Hai-Anh H.
Lanjouw, Peter F.
Serajuddin, Umar
author_sort Dang, Hai-Anh H.
title Updating Poverty Estimates at Frequent Intervals in the Absence of Consumption Data : Methods and Illustration with Reference to a Middle-Income Country
title_short Updating Poverty Estimates at Frequent Intervals in the Absence of Consumption Data : Methods and Illustration with Reference to a Middle-Income Country
title_full Updating Poverty Estimates at Frequent Intervals in the Absence of Consumption Data : Methods and Illustration with Reference to a Middle-Income Country
title_fullStr Updating Poverty Estimates at Frequent Intervals in the Absence of Consumption Data : Methods and Illustration with Reference to a Middle-Income Country
title_full_unstemmed Updating Poverty Estimates at Frequent Intervals in the Absence of Consumption Data : Methods and Illustration with Reference to a Middle-Income Country
title_sort updating poverty estimates at frequent intervals in the absence of consumption data : methods and illustration with reference to a middle-income country
publisher World Bank Group, Washington, DC
publishDate 2014
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/09/20230001/updating-poverty-estimates-frequent-intervals-absence-consumption-data-methods-illustration-reference-middle-income-country
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/20374
_version_ 1764445189271715840
spelling okr-10986-203742021-04-23T14:03:55Z Updating Poverty Estimates at Frequent Intervals in the Absence of Consumption Data : Methods and Illustration with Reference to a Middle-Income Country Dang, Hai-Anh H. Lanjouw, Peter F. Serajuddin, Umar AGRICULTURAL WAGES CELL PHONE CELL PHONES CHANGES IN POVERTY COMMODITY CONFIDENCE INTERVALS CONSUMER PRICE INDEX CONSUMPTION DATA DATA AVAILABILITY DECLINE IN POVERTY DEPENDENT VARIABLE DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DEVELOPMENT POLICY DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH DIMENSIONS OF POVERTY DRINKING WATER DUMMY VARIABLES ECONOMETRIC ISSUES ECONOMETRICS ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES ECONOMIC LITERATURE ECONOMIC REFORMS ECONOMIC STUDIES ECONOMICS ECONOMICS LETTERS ECONOMICS LITERATURE ELDERLY PEOPLE EMPIRICAL APPLICATION EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE EMPIRICAL RESULTS EMPLOYMENT INCOME EMPLOYMENT STATUS ENUMERATION EQUATIONS ERROR TERMS ESTIMATED COEFFICIENTS ESTIMATES OF POVERTY ESTIMATION RESULTS ESTIMATION TECHNIQUES EXPLANATORY VARIABLES EXTREME POVERTY FEMALE HOUSEHOLD MEMBERS FINANCIAL RESOURCES FOOD BASKET FOOD CONSUMPTION FUNCTIONAL FORM GLOBAL POVERTY GOVERNMENT AGENCIES GROWTH RATES HEADCOUNT POVERTY HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION HOUSEHOLD DATA HOUSEHOLD DEMOGRAPHICS HOUSEHOLD HEAD HOUSEHOLD HEADS HOUSEHOLD SIZE HOUSEHOLD SURVEY HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS HOUSEHOLD WELFARE HOUSING HUMAN RESOURCES IMPUTATION IMPUTATION METHOD IMPUTATION METHODS IMPUTATIONS INCOME INCOME GROUPS INEQUALITY LABOR FORCE LABOR MARKET LINEAR REGRESSION MEASUREMENT ERRORS MEASURING POVERTY MISSING DATA MISSING VALUES MODEL SPECIFICATIONS MULTIPLE IMPUTATION MULTIPLE IMPUTATIONS NET CHANGES NORMAL DISTRIBUTION NORMAL DISTRIBUTIONS OPEN ACCESS PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA INCOME PHONE POINT DECLINE POINT ESTIMATES POLICY INTERVENTIONS POLICY MAKERS POLICY RESEARCH POOR POOR HOUSEHOLDS POPULATION GROUP POVERTY ANALYSIS POVERTY ASSESSMENT POVERTY CHANGE POVERTY COMPARISONS POVERTY DATA POVERTY DEBATE POVERTY DECLINE POVERTY DYNAMICS POVERTY ERADICATION POVERTY ESTIMATES POVERTY LINE POVERTY LINES POVERTY MEASUREMENT POVERTY RATE POVERTY RATES POVERTY REDUCTION POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGY POVERTY STATUS PRECISION PREDICTION PREDICTIONS PROBABILITY RADIO RAPID GROWTH RESEARCH METHODS RESULT RURAL RURAL AREAS SAMPLE SIZE SAMPLE SURVEYS SAMPLING FRAMES SATELLITE SCHOOLING SOFTWARE PACKAGES STANDARD DEVIATION STANDARD DEVIATIONS STANDARD ERRORS STANDARDIZATION STATA STATISTICAL ANALYSIS STATISTICAL INFERENCE STATISTICAL THEORY STATISTICIANS TARGETS TECHNICAL EXPERTISE TELEVISION TIME PERIOD TIME PERIODS TIME SERIES UNEMPLOYMENT URBAN AREAS USER USES VALIDITY WAGE DIFFERENTIALS Obtaining consistent estimates on poverty over time as well as monitoring poverty trends on a timely basis is a priority concern for policy makers. However, these objectives are not readily achieved in practice when household consumption data are neither frequently collected, nor constructed using consistent and transparent criteria. This paper develops a formal framework for survey-to-survey poverty imputation in an attempt to overcome these obstacles, and to elevate the discussion of these methods beyond the largely ad-hoc efforts in the existing literature. The framework introduced here imposes few restrictive assumptions, works with simple variance formulas, provides guidance on the selection of control variables for model building, and can be generally applied to imputation either from one survey to another survey with the same design, or to another survey with a different design. Empirical results analyzing the Household Expenditure and Income Survey and the Unemployment and Employment Survey in Jordan are quite encouraging, with imputation-based poverty estimates closely tracking the direct estimates of poverty. 2014-10-06T20:36:13Z 2014-10-06T20:36:13Z 2014-09 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/09/20230001/updating-poverty-estimates-frequent-intervals-absence-consumption-data-methods-illustration-reference-middle-income-country http://hdl.handle.net/10986/20374 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 7043 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank Group, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Middle East and North Africa Jordan