Testing Weak Exogeneity in Cointegrated Panels

For reason of empirical tractability, analysis of cointegrated economic time series is often developed in a partial setting, in which a subset of variables is explicitly modeled conditional on the rest. This approach yields valid inference only if...

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Main Authors: Moral-Benito, Enrique, Serven, Luis
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank Group, Washington, DC 2014
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/09/20230197/testing-weak-exogeneity-cointegrated-panels
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/20372
id okr-10986-20372
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-203722021-04-23T14:03:55Z Testing Weak Exogeneity in Cointegrated Panels Moral-Benito, Enrique Serven, Luis ALTERNATIVE TEST ASYMPTOTIC DISTRIBUTION BUSINESS CYCLES COINTEGRATION CONSUMPTION FUNCTION COVARIANCE DEGREES OF FREEDOM DEVELOPMENT POLICY DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH DISEQUILIBRIUM DISPOSABLE INCOME DISTRIBUTION FUNCTION DYNAMIC HETEROGENEOUS PANELS DYNAMIC PANEL DYNAMIC PANELS ECONOMETRICS ECONOMETRICS OF PANEL DATA ECONOMIC THEORY ECONOMIC TIME SERIES EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS ENDOGENOUS VARIABLES EQUATIONS ERROR ERROR TERM EXOGENOUS VARIABLES EXPERIMENTS FINITE SAMPLES INCOMPLETE MARKETS JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS LAG LENGTH LARGE N LINEAR REGRESSION MACROECONOMICS MATRICES MATRIX MEAN GROUP MEAN GROUP ESTIMATION MODELING 0 HYPOTHESIS NUMBER OF PARAMETERS NUMBER OF VARIABLES PANEL DATA PARAMETER VECTOR PERIOD T PREDICTIONS PURCHASING POWER PURCHASING POWER PARITY PURE TIME SERIES DATA RESEARCH WORKING PAPERS RESEARCHERS SAMPLE SIZE SECTIONAL UNITS SERIAL CORRELATION SET OF VARIABLES SIMULATION SIMULATIONS STATISTICAL ANALYSIS STATISTICAL INFERENCE STOCK PRICES TECHNIQUES TEST STATISTIC TEST STATISTICS TIME PERIODS TIME-SERIES UNIT ROOTS VALIDITY WEALTH For reason of empirical tractability, analysis of cointegrated economic time series is often developed in a partial setting, in which a subset of variables is explicitly modeled conditional on the rest. This approach yields valid inference only if the conditioning variables are weakly exogenous for the parameters of interest. This paper proposes a new test of weak exogeneity in panel cointegration models. The test has a limiting Gumbel distribution that is obtained by first letting the time dimension of the panel go to infinity and then letting its cross-sectional dimension go to infinity. The paper evaluates the accuracy of the asymptotic approximation in finite samples via simulation experiments. Finally, as an empirical illustration, the paper reports tests of weak exogeneity of disposable income and wealth in an aggregate consumption equation. 2014-10-06T20:30:27Z 2014-10-06T20:30:27Z 2014-09 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/09/20230197/testing-weak-exogeneity-cointegrated-panels http://hdl.handle.net/10986/20372 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 7045 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank Group, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic ALTERNATIVE TEST
ASYMPTOTIC DISTRIBUTION
BUSINESS CYCLES
COINTEGRATION
CONSUMPTION FUNCTION
COVARIANCE
DEGREES OF FREEDOM
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH
DISEQUILIBRIUM
DISPOSABLE INCOME
DISTRIBUTION FUNCTION
DYNAMIC HETEROGENEOUS PANELS
DYNAMIC PANEL
DYNAMIC PANELS
ECONOMETRICS
ECONOMETRICS OF PANEL DATA
ECONOMIC THEORY
ECONOMIC TIME SERIES
EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS
ENDOGENOUS VARIABLES
EQUATIONS
ERROR
ERROR TERM
EXOGENOUS VARIABLES
EXPERIMENTS
FINITE SAMPLES
INCOMPLETE MARKETS
JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS
LAG LENGTH
LARGE N
LINEAR REGRESSION
MACROECONOMICS
MATRICES
MATRIX
MEAN GROUP
MEAN GROUP ESTIMATION
MODELING
0 HYPOTHESIS
NUMBER OF PARAMETERS
NUMBER OF VARIABLES
PANEL DATA
PARAMETER VECTOR
PERIOD T
PREDICTIONS
PURCHASING POWER
PURCHASING POWER PARITY
PURE TIME SERIES DATA
RESEARCH WORKING PAPERS
RESEARCHERS
SAMPLE SIZE
SECTIONAL UNITS
SERIAL CORRELATION
SET OF VARIABLES
SIMULATION
SIMULATIONS
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS
STATISTICAL INFERENCE
STOCK PRICES
TECHNIQUES
TEST STATISTIC
TEST STATISTICS
TIME PERIODS
TIME-SERIES
UNIT ROOTS
VALIDITY
WEALTH
spellingShingle ALTERNATIVE TEST
ASYMPTOTIC DISTRIBUTION
BUSINESS CYCLES
COINTEGRATION
CONSUMPTION FUNCTION
COVARIANCE
DEGREES OF FREEDOM
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH
DISEQUILIBRIUM
DISPOSABLE INCOME
DISTRIBUTION FUNCTION
DYNAMIC HETEROGENEOUS PANELS
DYNAMIC PANEL
DYNAMIC PANELS
ECONOMETRICS
ECONOMETRICS OF PANEL DATA
ECONOMIC THEORY
ECONOMIC TIME SERIES
EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS
ENDOGENOUS VARIABLES
EQUATIONS
ERROR
ERROR TERM
EXOGENOUS VARIABLES
EXPERIMENTS
FINITE SAMPLES
INCOMPLETE MARKETS
JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS
LAG LENGTH
LARGE N
LINEAR REGRESSION
MACROECONOMICS
MATRICES
MATRIX
MEAN GROUP
MEAN GROUP ESTIMATION
MODELING
0 HYPOTHESIS
NUMBER OF PARAMETERS
NUMBER OF VARIABLES
PANEL DATA
PARAMETER VECTOR
PERIOD T
PREDICTIONS
PURCHASING POWER
PURCHASING POWER PARITY
PURE TIME SERIES DATA
RESEARCH WORKING PAPERS
RESEARCHERS
SAMPLE SIZE
SECTIONAL UNITS
SERIAL CORRELATION
SET OF VARIABLES
SIMULATION
SIMULATIONS
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS
STATISTICAL INFERENCE
STOCK PRICES
TECHNIQUES
TEST STATISTIC
TEST STATISTICS
TIME PERIODS
TIME-SERIES
UNIT ROOTS
VALIDITY
WEALTH
Moral-Benito, Enrique
Serven, Luis
Testing Weak Exogeneity in Cointegrated Panels
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 7045
description For reason of empirical tractability, analysis of cointegrated economic time series is often developed in a partial setting, in which a subset of variables is explicitly modeled conditional on the rest. This approach yields valid inference only if the conditioning variables are weakly exogenous for the parameters of interest. This paper proposes a new test of weak exogeneity in panel cointegration models. The test has a limiting Gumbel distribution that is obtained by first letting the time dimension of the panel go to infinity and then letting its cross-sectional dimension go to infinity. The paper evaluates the accuracy of the asymptotic approximation in finite samples via simulation experiments. Finally, as an empirical illustration, the paper reports tests of weak exogeneity of disposable income and wealth in an aggregate consumption equation.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Moral-Benito, Enrique
Serven, Luis
author_facet Moral-Benito, Enrique
Serven, Luis
author_sort Moral-Benito, Enrique
title Testing Weak Exogeneity in Cointegrated Panels
title_short Testing Weak Exogeneity in Cointegrated Panels
title_full Testing Weak Exogeneity in Cointegrated Panels
title_fullStr Testing Weak Exogeneity in Cointegrated Panels
title_full_unstemmed Testing Weak Exogeneity in Cointegrated Panels
title_sort testing weak exogeneity in cointegrated panels
publisher World Bank Group, Washington, DC
publishDate 2014
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/09/20230197/testing-weak-exogeneity-cointegrated-panels
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/20372
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