Taking Stock, July 2014 : An Update on Vietnam's Recent Economic Developments
Global growth is projected to pick up to 3.4 percent in 2015 and 3.5 percent in 2016, propelled by highincome countries. Developing country growth will benefit from these tailwinds, with growth projected to increase from 4.8 percent in 2014 to 5.5...
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Format: | Publications & Research |
Language: | English en_US |
Published: |
Hanoi
2014
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Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/07/19791861/taking-stock-update-vietnams-recent-economic-development http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19987 |
Summary: | Global growth is projected to pick up
to 3.4 percent in 2015 and 3.5 percent in 2016, propelled by
highincome countries. Developing country growth will benefit
from these tailwinds, with growth projected to increase from
4.8 percent in 2014 to 5.5 percent in 2016 broadly in line
with potential. Global growth projections for 2014, however,
have been marked down from 3.2 percent to 2.8 percent on
account of the bumpy start this year, buffeted by poor
weather in the United States, financial market turbulence
and the conflict in Ukraine. The outlook for the East Asia
and the Pacific region continues to reflect several
counterbalancing factors, including domestic policy
adjustment, volatile financing conditions, political crisis
in Thailand, and sustained recovery in global demand for
exports. Regional GDP growth is expected to slow down
slightly to 7.0 percent by 2016, about 2 percentage points
slower than the pre-crisis boom years but broadly in line
with potential. Regional risks include volatility and
eventual tightening of global financing conditions, possible
setbacks in China s restructuring and a weaker contribution
from net exports than assumed in the baseline. Potential
escalation of regional political tensions presents
additional risk to the outlook. |
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