Any Guarantees? China's Rural Minimum Living Standard Guarantee Program
This paper examines China's rural minimum living standard guarantee (dibao) program, one of the largest targeted transfer schemes in the world. Using household survey data matched with published administrative data, the authors provide backgro...
Main Authors: | , , |
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Format: | Working Paper |
Language: | English en_US |
Published: |
World Bank Group, Washington, DC
2014
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Subjects: | |
Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/08/20123612/guarantees-chinas-rural-minimum-living-standard-guarantee-program http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19976 |
Summary: | This paper examines China's rural
minimum living standard guarantee (dibao) program, one of
the largest targeted transfer schemes in the world. Using
household survey data matched with published administrative
data, the authors provide background on the patterns of
inequality and poverty in rural China, describe the dibao
program, estimate the program's impact on poverty, and
carry out targeting analysis. The authors find that the
program provides sufficient income to poor beneficiaries but
does not substantially reduce the overall level of poverty,
in part because the number of beneficiaries is small
relative to the number of poor. Conventional targeting
analysis reveals rather large inclusionary and exclusionary
targeting errors; propensity score targeting analysis yields
smaller but still large targeting errors. Simulations of
possible reforms to the dibao program indicate that
expanding coverage can potentially yield greater poverty
reduction than increasing transfer amounts. In addition,
replacing locally diverse dibao lines with a nationally
uniform dibao threshold can in theory reduce poverty. The
potential gains in poverty reduction, however, depend on the
effectiveness of targeting. |
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