National Drought Insurance for Malawi

Malawi has experienced several catastrophic droughts over the past few decades. The impact of these shocks has been far reaching, and the resulting macroeconomic instability has been a major constraint to growth and poverty reduction in Malawi. Thi...

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Main Authors: Nucifora, Antonio, Syroka, Joanna
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2014
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2010/01/11634487/national-drought-insurance-malawi
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19950
id okr-10986-19950
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic ACCOUNTING
ACTUAL COST
ADMINISTRATIVE COSTS
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION
ASSET MANAGEMENT
BANK INTERMEDIATION
BASIS RISK
BROKERAGE
CALL OPTION
CAPACITY BUILDING
CAPITAL MARKET
CHECKS
CLIMATE CHANGE
CLIMATE MONITORING
COMMODITY RISK MANAGEMENT
COMPETITIVE MARKET
CONTINGENCY PLAN
CONTINGENCY PLANNING
CONTINGENCY PLANS
COVERAGE
CRISES
DATA QUALITY
DEFICITS
DERIVATIVE CONTRACT
DERIVATIVE CONTRACTS
DERIVATIVE MARKET
DERIVATIVE TRANSACTION
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING COUNTRY
DISASTER
DISASTER AID
DISASTER RELIEF
DISASTER RESPONSE
DISASTER RISK
DISASTERS
DOMESTIC BORROWING
DROUGHT
DROUGHTS
EARLY WARNING
EARLY WARNING SYSTEM
ECONOMIC GROWTH
EMERGENCY FINANCING
EMERGENCY RELIEF
EMERGENCY RESPONSE
EMERGENCY RESPONSES
EMERGENCY SITUATIONS
EMPLOYMENT
ENTRY BARRIERS
EQUIPMENT
EXCHANGE RATE
EXPENDITURE
EXPENDITURES
FAMINE
FARMERS
FINANCIAL INSTRUMENT
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FINANCIAL RISK
FINANCIAL RISKS
FINANCIAL SAVINGS
FINANCING REQUIREMENTS
FISCAL DEFICIT
FLOODING
FLOODS
FOOD RELIEF
FOOD RESERVE
FOOD SECURITY
FOOD SHORTAGES
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES
GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE
GLOBALIZATION
GOVERNANCE ISSUES
GOVERNMENT BORROWING
GOVERNMENT FINANCES
INCOME
INFLATION
INNOVATIONS
INSTRUMENT
INSURANCE
INSURANCE CONTRACT
INSURANCE CONTRACTS
INSURANCE MARKET
INSURANCE MARKETS
INSURANCE PREMIUM
INSURANCE PRODUCTS
INSURANCES
INTEREST COSTS
INTEREST PAYMENTS
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT
INTERNATIONAL MARKET
INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
INVESTING
INVESTMENT DECISIONS
INVESTMENT STRATEGY
LEVEL OF CONFIDENCE
LEVEL OF RISK
MACROECONOMIC INSTABILITY
MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
MARKET ACCESS
MARKET ENTRY
MARKET PLAYERS
MARKET PRICE
METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION
MITIGATION
NATURAL HAZARDS
OPPORTUNITY COSTS
PORTFOLIO
PORTFOLIOS
PREMIUMS
PRICE DISCOVERY
PRICE RISK
PRICE RISK MANAGEMENT
PRODUCTIVE INVESTMENTS
PROGRAMS
PUBLIC DEBT
PUBLIC FINANCES
RATES
RATING AGENCIES
REINSURANCE
REINSURER
RESERVE
RESERVE BANK
RESERVE FUND
RESERVES
RETURN
RISK MANAGEMENT
RISK MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES
RISK MANAGEMENT TOOL
RISK MANAGEMENT TOOLS
RISK MARKETS
RISK MITIGATION
RISK TRANSFER
SOVEREIGN ENTITY
SPOT MARKET
TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE
TELECOMMUNICATIONS
TRANSACTION
TREASURY
WEATHER DERIVATIVE
spellingShingle ACCOUNTING
ACTUAL COST
ADMINISTRATIVE COSTS
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION
ASSET MANAGEMENT
BANK INTERMEDIATION
BASIS RISK
BROKERAGE
CALL OPTION
CAPACITY BUILDING
CAPITAL MARKET
CHECKS
CLIMATE CHANGE
CLIMATE MONITORING
COMMODITY RISK MANAGEMENT
COMPETITIVE MARKET
CONTINGENCY PLAN
CONTINGENCY PLANNING
CONTINGENCY PLANS
COVERAGE
CRISES
DATA QUALITY
DEFICITS
DERIVATIVE CONTRACT
DERIVATIVE CONTRACTS
DERIVATIVE MARKET
DERIVATIVE TRANSACTION
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING COUNTRY
DISASTER
DISASTER AID
DISASTER RELIEF
DISASTER RESPONSE
DISASTER RISK
DISASTERS
DOMESTIC BORROWING
DROUGHT
DROUGHTS
EARLY WARNING
EARLY WARNING SYSTEM
ECONOMIC GROWTH
EMERGENCY FINANCING
EMERGENCY RELIEF
EMERGENCY RESPONSE
EMERGENCY RESPONSES
EMERGENCY SITUATIONS
EMPLOYMENT
ENTRY BARRIERS
EQUIPMENT
EXCHANGE RATE
EXPENDITURE
EXPENDITURES
FAMINE
FARMERS
FINANCIAL INSTRUMENT
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FINANCIAL RISK
FINANCIAL RISKS
FINANCIAL SAVINGS
FINANCING REQUIREMENTS
FISCAL DEFICIT
FLOODING
FLOODS
FOOD RELIEF
FOOD RESERVE
FOOD SECURITY
FOOD SHORTAGES
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES
GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE
GLOBALIZATION
GOVERNANCE ISSUES
GOVERNMENT BORROWING
GOVERNMENT FINANCES
INCOME
INFLATION
INNOVATIONS
INSTRUMENT
INSURANCE
INSURANCE CONTRACT
INSURANCE CONTRACTS
INSURANCE MARKET
INSURANCE MARKETS
INSURANCE PREMIUM
INSURANCE PRODUCTS
INSURANCES
INTEREST COSTS
INTEREST PAYMENTS
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT
INTERNATIONAL MARKET
INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
INVESTING
INVESTMENT DECISIONS
INVESTMENT STRATEGY
LEVEL OF CONFIDENCE
LEVEL OF RISK
MACROECONOMIC INSTABILITY
MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
MARKET ACCESS
MARKET ENTRY
MARKET PLAYERS
MARKET PRICE
METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION
MITIGATION
NATURAL HAZARDS
OPPORTUNITY COSTS
PORTFOLIO
PORTFOLIOS
PREMIUMS
PRICE DISCOVERY
PRICE RISK
PRICE RISK MANAGEMENT
PRODUCTIVE INVESTMENTS
PROGRAMS
PUBLIC DEBT
PUBLIC FINANCES
RATES
RATING AGENCIES
REINSURANCE
REINSURER
RESERVE
RESERVE BANK
RESERVE FUND
RESERVES
RETURN
RISK MANAGEMENT
RISK MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES
RISK MANAGEMENT TOOL
RISK MANAGEMENT TOOLS
RISK MARKETS
RISK MITIGATION
RISK TRANSFER
SOVEREIGN ENTITY
SPOT MARKET
TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE
TELECOMMUNICATIONS
TRANSACTION
TREASURY
WEATHER DERIVATIVE
Nucifora, Antonio
Syroka, Joanna
National Drought Insurance for Malawi
geographic_facet Africa
Malawi
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 5169
description Malawi has experienced several catastrophic droughts over the past few decades. The impact of these shocks has been far reaching, and the resulting macroeconomic instability has been a major constraint to growth and poverty reduction in Malawi. This paper describes a weather risk management tool that has been developed to help the government manage the financial impact of drought-related national maize production shortfalls. The instrument is an index-based weather derivative contract designed to transfer the financial risk of severe and catastrophic national drought that adversely impacts the government's budget to the international risk markets. Because rainfall and maize yields are highly correlated, changes in rainfall -- its timing, cumulative amount, and distribution -- can act as an accurate proxy for maize losses. An index has been constructed using rainfall data from 23 weather stations throughout Malawi and uses daily rainfall as an input to predict maize yields and therefore production throughout the country. The index picks up the well documented historical drought events in 2005, 1995, 1994, and 1992 and a weather derivative contract based on such an index would have triggered timely cash payouts to the government in those years. This innovative risk management instrument was pioneered in 2008/2009 by the Government of Malawi, with the assistance of the World Bank, and was a first for a sovereign entity in Africa. Several piloting seasons will be necessary to understand the scope and limitations of such contracts, and their role in the government's strategy, contingency planning, and operational drought response framework.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Nucifora, Antonio
Syroka, Joanna
author_facet Nucifora, Antonio
Syroka, Joanna
author_sort Nucifora, Antonio
title National Drought Insurance for Malawi
title_short National Drought Insurance for Malawi
title_full National Drought Insurance for Malawi
title_fullStr National Drought Insurance for Malawi
title_full_unstemmed National Drought Insurance for Malawi
title_sort national drought insurance for malawi
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2014
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2010/01/11634487/national-drought-insurance-malawi
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19950
_version_ 1764444137059254272
spelling okr-10986-199502021-04-23T14:03:52Z National Drought Insurance for Malawi Nucifora, Antonio Syroka, Joanna ACCOUNTING ACTUAL COST ADMINISTRATIVE COSTS AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION ASSET MANAGEMENT BANK INTERMEDIATION BASIS RISK BROKERAGE CALL OPTION CAPACITY BUILDING CAPITAL MARKET CHECKS CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE MONITORING COMMODITY RISK MANAGEMENT COMPETITIVE MARKET CONTINGENCY PLAN CONTINGENCY PLANNING CONTINGENCY PLANS COVERAGE CRISES DATA QUALITY DEFICITS DERIVATIVE CONTRACT DERIVATIVE CONTRACTS DERIVATIVE MARKET DERIVATIVE TRANSACTION DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPING COUNTRY DISASTER DISASTER AID DISASTER RELIEF DISASTER RESPONSE DISASTER RISK DISASTERS DOMESTIC BORROWING DROUGHT DROUGHTS EARLY WARNING EARLY WARNING SYSTEM ECONOMIC GROWTH EMERGENCY FINANCING EMERGENCY RELIEF EMERGENCY RESPONSE EMERGENCY RESPONSES EMERGENCY SITUATIONS EMPLOYMENT ENTRY BARRIERS EQUIPMENT EXCHANGE RATE EXPENDITURE EXPENDITURES FAMINE FARMERS FINANCIAL INSTRUMENT FINANCIAL MARKETS FINANCIAL RISK FINANCIAL RISKS FINANCIAL SAVINGS FINANCING REQUIREMENTS FISCAL DEFICIT FLOODING FLOODS FOOD RELIEF FOOD RESERVE FOOD SECURITY FOOD SHORTAGES FOREIGN EXCHANGE FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE GLOBALIZATION GOVERNANCE ISSUES GOVERNMENT BORROWING GOVERNMENT FINANCES INCOME INFLATION INNOVATIONS INSTRUMENT INSURANCE INSURANCE CONTRACT INSURANCE CONTRACTS INSURANCE MARKET INSURANCE MARKETS INSURANCE PREMIUM INSURANCE PRODUCTS INSURANCES INTEREST COSTS INTEREST PAYMENTS INTERNATIONAL BANK INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT INTERNATIONAL MARKET INTERNATIONAL MARKETS INVESTING INVESTMENT DECISIONS INVESTMENT STRATEGY LEVEL OF CONFIDENCE LEVEL OF RISK MACROECONOMIC INSTABILITY MACROECONOMIC STABILITY MARKET ACCESS MARKET ENTRY MARKET PLAYERS MARKET PRICE METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION MITIGATION NATURAL HAZARDS OPPORTUNITY COSTS PORTFOLIO PORTFOLIOS PREMIUMS PRICE DISCOVERY PRICE RISK PRICE RISK MANAGEMENT PRODUCTIVE INVESTMENTS PROGRAMS PUBLIC DEBT PUBLIC FINANCES RATES RATING AGENCIES REINSURANCE REINSURER RESERVE RESERVE BANK RESERVE FUND RESERVES RETURN RISK MANAGEMENT RISK MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES RISK MANAGEMENT TOOL RISK MANAGEMENT TOOLS RISK MARKETS RISK MITIGATION RISK TRANSFER SOVEREIGN ENTITY SPOT MARKET TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE TELECOMMUNICATIONS TRANSACTION TREASURY WEATHER DERIVATIVE Malawi has experienced several catastrophic droughts over the past few decades. The impact of these shocks has been far reaching, and the resulting macroeconomic instability has been a major constraint to growth and poverty reduction in Malawi. This paper describes a weather risk management tool that has been developed to help the government manage the financial impact of drought-related national maize production shortfalls. The instrument is an index-based weather derivative contract designed to transfer the financial risk of severe and catastrophic national drought that adversely impacts the government's budget to the international risk markets. Because rainfall and maize yields are highly correlated, changes in rainfall -- its timing, cumulative amount, and distribution -- can act as an accurate proxy for maize losses. An index has been constructed using rainfall data from 23 weather stations throughout Malawi and uses daily rainfall as an input to predict maize yields and therefore production throughout the country. The index picks up the well documented historical drought events in 2005, 1995, 1994, and 1992 and a weather derivative contract based on such an index would have triggered timely cash payouts to the government in those years. This innovative risk management instrument was pioneered in 2008/2009 by the Government of Malawi, with the assistance of the World Bank, and was a first for a sovereign entity in Africa. Several piloting seasons will be necessary to understand the scope and limitations of such contracts, and their role in the government's strategy, contingency planning, and operational drought response framework. 2014-09-02T21:31:12Z 2014-09-02T21:31:12Z 2010-01 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2010/01/11634487/national-drought-insurance-malawi http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19950 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 5169 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research Africa Malawi