At the Frontier of Practical Political Economy : Operationalizing an Agent-Based Stakeholder Model in the World Bank's East Asia and Pacific Region

Reform programs sometimes falter because they are politically infeasible. Policy change inevitably creates winners and losers, so those with vested interests strike bargains to determine how far and how quickly reform should advance. Understanding...

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Main Authors: Nunberg, Barbara, Barma, Naazneen, Abdollahian, Mark, Green, Amanda, Perlman, Deborah
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2014
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2010/01/11641285/frontier-practical-political-economy-operationalizing-agent-based-stakeholder-model-world-banks-east-asia-pacific-region
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19940
id okr-10986-19940
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic ACCOUNTABILITY
ANALYTICAL APPROACH
ANTI-CORRUPTION
ANTICORRUPTION
ANTICORRUPTION AGENCY
AUDITS
BUDGET PROCESS
BUDGET TRANSPARENCY
BUILDING CONSENSUS
CAPACITY BUILDING
CIVIL SERVANT
CIVIL SERVANTS
CIVIL SERVICE
CIVIL SOCIETY
CIVIL SOCIETY GROUPS
COMPANY
COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE
CONDITIONALITY
CONFIDENCE
CONSENSUS
CONSULTATION
CONSULTATIONS
CORRUPT
CORRUPT OFFICIALS
DATA ANALYSIS
DATA COLLECTION
DECISION MAKING
DECISION-MAKING PROCESS
DEMOCRACY
DEMONSTRATION EFFECTS
DISCRETION
ECONOMIC CONDITIONS
EFFECTIVE USE
ENVIRONMENTS
EX ANTE
EX POST
EXTRACTIVE INDUSTRIES
FEASIBILITY
FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
FLEXIBILITY
GOVERNANCE REFORMS
GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS
GOVERNMENTAL ORGANIZATIONS
INDEPENDENT OVERSIGHT
INDIVIDUALS
INFORMATION DISSEMINATION
INITIATIVE
INSTITUTIONAL FRAMEWORK
INTERVIEWS
JOINT VENTURE
LEGAL FRAMEWORK
LEGISLATION
LIMITED
LOCAL GOVERNMENTS
LOCAL KNOWLEDGE
MANDATES
MEDIA
MINISTER
NON-GOVERNMENTAL ORGANIZATIONS
OPENNESS
PARTICIPATORY ACTIVITIES
PARTNERSHIP
PATRONAGE
POLICE
POLICY DECISIONS
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POLITICAL PARTIES
POLITICIANS
POVERTY REDUCTION
PREPARATION
PRIVATE COMPANIES
PROCUREMENT
PROJECT DESIGN
PROJECT IMPLEMENTATION
PROTECTED AREAS
PUBLIC ACCESS
RECONSTRUCTION
REGULATORY FRAMEWORK
RESOURCE MANAGEMENT
SANCTIONS
SERVICE DELIVERY
SIMULATIONS
STAKEHOLDER
STAKEHOLDER ANALYSIS
STAKEHOLDERS
TAX ADMINISTRATION
TAX COLLECTION
TAX COMPLIANCE
TAX REFORM
TAX REFORMS
TAX REVENUE
TRADEOFFS
TRANSPARENCY
WAGES
spellingShingle ACCOUNTABILITY
ANALYTICAL APPROACH
ANTI-CORRUPTION
ANTICORRUPTION
ANTICORRUPTION AGENCY
AUDITS
BUDGET PROCESS
BUDGET TRANSPARENCY
BUILDING CONSENSUS
CAPACITY BUILDING
CIVIL SERVANT
CIVIL SERVANTS
CIVIL SERVICE
CIVIL SOCIETY
CIVIL SOCIETY GROUPS
COMPANY
COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE
CONDITIONALITY
CONFIDENCE
CONSENSUS
CONSULTATION
CONSULTATIONS
CORRUPT
CORRUPT OFFICIALS
DATA ANALYSIS
DATA COLLECTION
DECISION MAKING
DECISION-MAKING PROCESS
DEMOCRACY
DEMONSTRATION EFFECTS
DISCRETION
ECONOMIC CONDITIONS
EFFECTIVE USE
ENVIRONMENTS
EX ANTE
EX POST
EXTRACTIVE INDUSTRIES
FEASIBILITY
FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
FLEXIBILITY
GOVERNANCE REFORMS
GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS
GOVERNMENTAL ORGANIZATIONS
INDEPENDENT OVERSIGHT
INDIVIDUALS
INFORMATION DISSEMINATION
INITIATIVE
INSTITUTIONAL FRAMEWORK
INTERVIEWS
JOINT VENTURE
LEGAL FRAMEWORK
LEGISLATION
LIMITED
LOCAL GOVERNMENTS
LOCAL KNOWLEDGE
MANDATES
MEDIA
MINISTER
NON-GOVERNMENTAL ORGANIZATIONS
OPENNESS
PARTICIPATORY ACTIVITIES
PARTNERSHIP
PATRONAGE
POLICE
POLICY DECISIONS
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POLITICAL PARTIES
POLITICIANS
POVERTY REDUCTION
PREPARATION
PRIVATE COMPANIES
PROCUREMENT
PROJECT DESIGN
PROJECT IMPLEMENTATION
PROTECTED AREAS
PUBLIC ACCESS
RECONSTRUCTION
REGULATORY FRAMEWORK
RESOURCE MANAGEMENT
SANCTIONS
SERVICE DELIVERY
SIMULATIONS
STAKEHOLDER
STAKEHOLDER ANALYSIS
STAKEHOLDERS
TAX ADMINISTRATION
TAX COLLECTION
TAX COMPLIANCE
TAX REFORM
TAX REFORMS
TAX REVENUE
TRADEOFFS
TRANSPARENCY
WAGES
Nunberg, Barbara
Barma, Naazneen
Abdollahian, Mark
Green, Amanda
Perlman, Deborah
At the Frontier of Practical Political Economy : Operationalizing an Agent-Based Stakeholder Model in the World Bank's East Asia and Pacific Region
geographic_facet East Asia and Pacific
East Asia
Oceania
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 5176
description Reform programs sometimes falter because they are politically infeasible. Policy change inevitably creates winners and losers, so those with vested interests strike bargains to determine how far and how quickly reform should advance. Understanding these micro political dynamics of reform can mean the difference between a successful intervention that gains political traction and a well-intentioned gambit that falls short of achieving its developmental objectives. Donors like the World Bank have been searching for ways to take these political factors more fully into account as they design programs to support country reforms. This initiative sought to introduce a rigorous and operationally usable political analysis tool that could be systematically integrated into the World Bank's country programming cycle. The East Asia and Pacific region carried out a multi-country pilot of the Agent-Based Stakeholder Model. This innovative analytical approach entails a quantitative simulation of the complex bargaining dynamics surrounding reform. The model anticipates stakeholder coalition formation and gauges the political feasibility of alternative proposed interventions. This paper provides a review of the Agent-Based Stakeholder Model pilot experience, exploring what sets this model apart from more traditional approaches, how it works, and how it fits into the Bank's operational cycle at various stages. An overview of the Mongolia, Philippines, and Timor-Leste country cases is followed by an examination of policy-related insights and lessons learned. Finally, the paper builds on this East Asian pilot experience, offering ideas on a potential way forward for organizations like the World Bank to deepen and extend their political analysis capabilities. The paper argues that the Agent-Based Stakeholder Model, utilized thoughtfully, offers a powerful addition to the practical political economy toolkit.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Nunberg, Barbara
Barma, Naazneen
Abdollahian, Mark
Green, Amanda
Perlman, Deborah
author_facet Nunberg, Barbara
Barma, Naazneen
Abdollahian, Mark
Green, Amanda
Perlman, Deborah
author_sort Nunberg, Barbara
title At the Frontier of Practical Political Economy : Operationalizing an Agent-Based Stakeholder Model in the World Bank's East Asia and Pacific Region
title_short At the Frontier of Practical Political Economy : Operationalizing an Agent-Based Stakeholder Model in the World Bank's East Asia and Pacific Region
title_full At the Frontier of Practical Political Economy : Operationalizing an Agent-Based Stakeholder Model in the World Bank's East Asia and Pacific Region
title_fullStr At the Frontier of Practical Political Economy : Operationalizing an Agent-Based Stakeholder Model in the World Bank's East Asia and Pacific Region
title_full_unstemmed At the Frontier of Practical Political Economy : Operationalizing an Agent-Based Stakeholder Model in the World Bank's East Asia and Pacific Region
title_sort at the frontier of practical political economy : operationalizing an agent-based stakeholder model in the world bank's east asia and pacific region
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2014
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2010/01/11641285/frontier-practical-political-economy-operationalizing-agent-based-stakeholder-model-world-banks-east-asia-pacific-region
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19940
_version_ 1764444111151038464
spelling okr-10986-199402021-04-23T14:03:52Z At the Frontier of Practical Political Economy : Operationalizing an Agent-Based Stakeholder Model in the World Bank's East Asia and Pacific Region Nunberg, Barbara Barma, Naazneen Abdollahian, Mark Green, Amanda Perlman, Deborah ACCOUNTABILITY ANALYTICAL APPROACH ANTI-CORRUPTION ANTICORRUPTION ANTICORRUPTION AGENCY AUDITS BUDGET PROCESS BUDGET TRANSPARENCY BUILDING CONSENSUS CAPACITY BUILDING CIVIL SERVANT CIVIL SERVANTS CIVIL SERVICE CIVIL SOCIETY CIVIL SOCIETY GROUPS COMPANY COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE CONDITIONALITY CONFIDENCE CONSENSUS CONSULTATION CONSULTATIONS CORRUPT CORRUPT OFFICIALS DATA ANALYSIS DATA COLLECTION DECISION MAKING DECISION-MAKING PROCESS DEMOCRACY DEMONSTRATION EFFECTS DISCRETION ECONOMIC CONDITIONS EFFECTIVE USE ENVIRONMENTS EX ANTE EX POST EXTRACTIVE INDUSTRIES FEASIBILITY FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT FLEXIBILITY GOVERNANCE REFORMS GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS GOVERNMENTAL ORGANIZATIONS INDEPENDENT OVERSIGHT INDIVIDUALS INFORMATION DISSEMINATION INITIATIVE INSTITUTIONAL FRAMEWORK INTERVIEWS JOINT VENTURE LEGAL FRAMEWORK LEGISLATION LIMITED LOCAL GOVERNMENTS LOCAL KNOWLEDGE MANDATES MEDIA MINISTER NON-GOVERNMENTAL ORGANIZATIONS OPENNESS PARTICIPATORY ACTIVITIES PARTNERSHIP PATRONAGE POLICE POLICY DECISIONS POLITICAL ECONOMY POLITICAL PARTIES POLITICIANS POVERTY REDUCTION PREPARATION PRIVATE COMPANIES PROCUREMENT PROJECT DESIGN PROJECT IMPLEMENTATION PROTECTED AREAS PUBLIC ACCESS RECONSTRUCTION REGULATORY FRAMEWORK RESOURCE MANAGEMENT SANCTIONS SERVICE DELIVERY SIMULATIONS STAKEHOLDER STAKEHOLDER ANALYSIS STAKEHOLDERS TAX ADMINISTRATION TAX COLLECTION TAX COMPLIANCE TAX REFORM TAX REFORMS TAX REVENUE TRADEOFFS TRANSPARENCY WAGES Reform programs sometimes falter because they are politically infeasible. Policy change inevitably creates winners and losers, so those with vested interests strike bargains to determine how far and how quickly reform should advance. Understanding these micro political dynamics of reform can mean the difference between a successful intervention that gains political traction and a well-intentioned gambit that falls short of achieving its developmental objectives. Donors like the World Bank have been searching for ways to take these political factors more fully into account as they design programs to support country reforms. This initiative sought to introduce a rigorous and operationally usable political analysis tool that could be systematically integrated into the World Bank's country programming cycle. The East Asia and Pacific region carried out a multi-country pilot of the Agent-Based Stakeholder Model. This innovative analytical approach entails a quantitative simulation of the complex bargaining dynamics surrounding reform. The model anticipates stakeholder coalition formation and gauges the political feasibility of alternative proposed interventions. This paper provides a review of the Agent-Based Stakeholder Model pilot experience, exploring what sets this model apart from more traditional approaches, how it works, and how it fits into the Bank's operational cycle at various stages. An overview of the Mongolia, Philippines, and Timor-Leste country cases is followed by an examination of policy-related insights and lessons learned. Finally, the paper builds on this East Asian pilot experience, offering ideas on a potential way forward for organizations like the World Bank to deepen and extend their political analysis capabilities. The paper argues that the Agent-Based Stakeholder Model, utilized thoughtfully, offers a powerful addition to the practical political economy toolkit. 2014-09-02T19:38:22Z 2014-09-02T19:38:22Z 2010-01 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2010/01/11641285/frontier-practical-political-economy-operationalizing-agent-based-stakeholder-model-world-banks-east-asia-pacific-region http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19940 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 5176 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research East Asia and Pacific East Asia Oceania