At the Frontier of Practical Political Economy : Operationalizing an Agent-Based Stakeholder Model in the World Bank's East Asia and Pacific Region
Reform programs sometimes falter because they are politically infeasible. Policy change inevitably creates winners and losers, so those with vested interests strike bargains to determine how far and how quickly reform should advance. Understanding...
Main Authors: | , , , , |
---|---|
Format: | Policy Research Working Paper |
Language: | English en_US |
Published: |
World Bank, Washington, DC
2014
|
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2010/01/11641285/frontier-practical-political-economy-operationalizing-agent-based-stakeholder-model-world-banks-east-asia-pacific-region http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19940 |
id |
okr-10986-19940 |
---|---|
recordtype |
oai_dc |
repository_type |
Digital Repository |
institution_category |
Foreign Institution |
institution |
Digital Repositories |
building |
World Bank Open Knowledge Repository |
collection |
World Bank |
language |
English en_US |
topic |
ACCOUNTABILITY ANALYTICAL APPROACH ANTI-CORRUPTION ANTICORRUPTION ANTICORRUPTION AGENCY AUDITS BUDGET PROCESS BUDGET TRANSPARENCY BUILDING CONSENSUS CAPACITY BUILDING CIVIL SERVANT CIVIL SERVANTS CIVIL SERVICE CIVIL SOCIETY CIVIL SOCIETY GROUPS COMPANY COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE CONDITIONALITY CONFIDENCE CONSENSUS CONSULTATION CONSULTATIONS CORRUPT CORRUPT OFFICIALS DATA ANALYSIS DATA COLLECTION DECISION MAKING DECISION-MAKING PROCESS DEMOCRACY DEMONSTRATION EFFECTS DISCRETION ECONOMIC CONDITIONS EFFECTIVE USE ENVIRONMENTS EX ANTE EX POST EXTRACTIVE INDUSTRIES FEASIBILITY FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT FLEXIBILITY GOVERNANCE REFORMS GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS GOVERNMENTAL ORGANIZATIONS INDEPENDENT OVERSIGHT INDIVIDUALS INFORMATION DISSEMINATION INITIATIVE INSTITUTIONAL FRAMEWORK INTERVIEWS JOINT VENTURE LEGAL FRAMEWORK LEGISLATION LIMITED LOCAL GOVERNMENTS LOCAL KNOWLEDGE MANDATES MEDIA MINISTER NON-GOVERNMENTAL ORGANIZATIONS OPENNESS PARTICIPATORY ACTIVITIES PARTNERSHIP PATRONAGE POLICE POLICY DECISIONS POLITICAL ECONOMY POLITICAL PARTIES POLITICIANS POVERTY REDUCTION PREPARATION PRIVATE COMPANIES PROCUREMENT PROJECT DESIGN PROJECT IMPLEMENTATION PROTECTED AREAS PUBLIC ACCESS RECONSTRUCTION REGULATORY FRAMEWORK RESOURCE MANAGEMENT SANCTIONS SERVICE DELIVERY SIMULATIONS STAKEHOLDER STAKEHOLDER ANALYSIS STAKEHOLDERS TAX ADMINISTRATION TAX COLLECTION TAX COMPLIANCE TAX REFORM TAX REFORMS TAX REVENUE TRADEOFFS TRANSPARENCY WAGES |
spellingShingle |
ACCOUNTABILITY ANALYTICAL APPROACH ANTI-CORRUPTION ANTICORRUPTION ANTICORRUPTION AGENCY AUDITS BUDGET PROCESS BUDGET TRANSPARENCY BUILDING CONSENSUS CAPACITY BUILDING CIVIL SERVANT CIVIL SERVANTS CIVIL SERVICE CIVIL SOCIETY CIVIL SOCIETY GROUPS COMPANY COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE CONDITIONALITY CONFIDENCE CONSENSUS CONSULTATION CONSULTATIONS CORRUPT CORRUPT OFFICIALS DATA ANALYSIS DATA COLLECTION DECISION MAKING DECISION-MAKING PROCESS DEMOCRACY DEMONSTRATION EFFECTS DISCRETION ECONOMIC CONDITIONS EFFECTIVE USE ENVIRONMENTS EX ANTE EX POST EXTRACTIVE INDUSTRIES FEASIBILITY FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT FLEXIBILITY GOVERNANCE REFORMS GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS GOVERNMENTAL ORGANIZATIONS INDEPENDENT OVERSIGHT INDIVIDUALS INFORMATION DISSEMINATION INITIATIVE INSTITUTIONAL FRAMEWORK INTERVIEWS JOINT VENTURE LEGAL FRAMEWORK LEGISLATION LIMITED LOCAL GOVERNMENTS LOCAL KNOWLEDGE MANDATES MEDIA MINISTER NON-GOVERNMENTAL ORGANIZATIONS OPENNESS PARTICIPATORY ACTIVITIES PARTNERSHIP PATRONAGE POLICE POLICY DECISIONS POLITICAL ECONOMY POLITICAL PARTIES POLITICIANS POVERTY REDUCTION PREPARATION PRIVATE COMPANIES PROCUREMENT PROJECT DESIGN PROJECT IMPLEMENTATION PROTECTED AREAS PUBLIC ACCESS RECONSTRUCTION REGULATORY FRAMEWORK RESOURCE MANAGEMENT SANCTIONS SERVICE DELIVERY SIMULATIONS STAKEHOLDER STAKEHOLDER ANALYSIS STAKEHOLDERS TAX ADMINISTRATION TAX COLLECTION TAX COMPLIANCE TAX REFORM TAX REFORMS TAX REVENUE TRADEOFFS TRANSPARENCY WAGES Nunberg, Barbara Barma, Naazneen Abdollahian, Mark Green, Amanda Perlman, Deborah At the Frontier of Practical Political Economy : Operationalizing an Agent-Based Stakeholder Model in the World Bank's East Asia and Pacific Region |
geographic_facet |
East Asia and Pacific East Asia Oceania |
relation |
Policy Research Working Paper;No. 5176 |
description |
Reform programs sometimes falter because
they are politically infeasible. Policy change inevitably
creates winners and losers, so those with vested interests
strike bargains to determine how far and how quickly reform
should advance. Understanding these micro political dynamics
of reform can mean the difference between a successful
intervention that gains political traction and a
well-intentioned gambit that falls short of achieving its
developmental objectives. Donors like the World Bank have
been searching for ways to take these political factors more
fully into account as they design programs to support
country reforms. This initiative sought to introduce a
rigorous and operationally usable political analysis tool
that could be systematically integrated into the World
Bank's country programming cycle. The East Asia and
Pacific region carried out a multi-country pilot of the
Agent-Based Stakeholder Model. This innovative analytical
approach entails a quantitative simulation of the complex
bargaining dynamics surrounding reform. The model
anticipates stakeholder coalition formation and gauges the
political feasibility of alternative proposed interventions.
This paper provides a review of the Agent-Based Stakeholder
Model pilot experience, exploring what sets this model apart
from more traditional approaches, how it works, and how it
fits into the Bank's operational cycle at various
stages. An overview of the Mongolia, Philippines, and
Timor-Leste country cases is followed by an examination of
policy-related insights and lessons learned. Finally, the
paper builds on this East Asian pilot experience, offering
ideas on a potential way forward for organizations like the
World Bank to deepen and extend their political analysis
capabilities. The paper argues that the Agent-Based
Stakeholder Model, utilized thoughtfully, offers a powerful
addition to the practical political economy toolkit. |
format |
Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper |
author |
Nunberg, Barbara Barma, Naazneen Abdollahian, Mark Green, Amanda Perlman, Deborah |
author_facet |
Nunberg, Barbara Barma, Naazneen Abdollahian, Mark Green, Amanda Perlman, Deborah |
author_sort |
Nunberg, Barbara |
title |
At the Frontier of Practical Political Economy : Operationalizing an Agent-Based Stakeholder Model in the World Bank's East Asia and Pacific Region |
title_short |
At the Frontier of Practical Political Economy : Operationalizing an Agent-Based Stakeholder Model in the World Bank's East Asia and Pacific Region |
title_full |
At the Frontier of Practical Political Economy : Operationalizing an Agent-Based Stakeholder Model in the World Bank's East Asia and Pacific Region |
title_fullStr |
At the Frontier of Practical Political Economy : Operationalizing an Agent-Based Stakeholder Model in the World Bank's East Asia and Pacific Region |
title_full_unstemmed |
At the Frontier of Practical Political Economy : Operationalizing an Agent-Based Stakeholder Model in the World Bank's East Asia and Pacific Region |
title_sort |
at the frontier of practical political economy : operationalizing an agent-based stakeholder model in the world bank's east asia and pacific region |
publisher |
World Bank, Washington, DC |
publishDate |
2014 |
url |
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2010/01/11641285/frontier-practical-political-economy-operationalizing-agent-based-stakeholder-model-world-banks-east-asia-pacific-region http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19940 |
_version_ |
1764444111151038464 |
spelling |
okr-10986-199402021-04-23T14:03:52Z At the Frontier of Practical Political Economy : Operationalizing an Agent-Based Stakeholder Model in the World Bank's East Asia and Pacific Region Nunberg, Barbara Barma, Naazneen Abdollahian, Mark Green, Amanda Perlman, Deborah ACCOUNTABILITY ANALYTICAL APPROACH ANTI-CORRUPTION ANTICORRUPTION ANTICORRUPTION AGENCY AUDITS BUDGET PROCESS BUDGET TRANSPARENCY BUILDING CONSENSUS CAPACITY BUILDING CIVIL SERVANT CIVIL SERVANTS CIVIL SERVICE CIVIL SOCIETY CIVIL SOCIETY GROUPS COMPANY COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE CONDITIONALITY CONFIDENCE CONSENSUS CONSULTATION CONSULTATIONS CORRUPT CORRUPT OFFICIALS DATA ANALYSIS DATA COLLECTION DECISION MAKING DECISION-MAKING PROCESS DEMOCRACY DEMONSTRATION EFFECTS DISCRETION ECONOMIC CONDITIONS EFFECTIVE USE ENVIRONMENTS EX ANTE EX POST EXTRACTIVE INDUSTRIES FEASIBILITY FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT FLEXIBILITY GOVERNANCE REFORMS GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS GOVERNMENTAL ORGANIZATIONS INDEPENDENT OVERSIGHT INDIVIDUALS INFORMATION DISSEMINATION INITIATIVE INSTITUTIONAL FRAMEWORK INTERVIEWS JOINT VENTURE LEGAL FRAMEWORK LEGISLATION LIMITED LOCAL GOVERNMENTS LOCAL KNOWLEDGE MANDATES MEDIA MINISTER NON-GOVERNMENTAL ORGANIZATIONS OPENNESS PARTICIPATORY ACTIVITIES PARTNERSHIP PATRONAGE POLICE POLICY DECISIONS POLITICAL ECONOMY POLITICAL PARTIES POLITICIANS POVERTY REDUCTION PREPARATION PRIVATE COMPANIES PROCUREMENT PROJECT DESIGN PROJECT IMPLEMENTATION PROTECTED AREAS PUBLIC ACCESS RECONSTRUCTION REGULATORY FRAMEWORK RESOURCE MANAGEMENT SANCTIONS SERVICE DELIVERY SIMULATIONS STAKEHOLDER STAKEHOLDER ANALYSIS STAKEHOLDERS TAX ADMINISTRATION TAX COLLECTION TAX COMPLIANCE TAX REFORM TAX REFORMS TAX REVENUE TRADEOFFS TRANSPARENCY WAGES Reform programs sometimes falter because they are politically infeasible. Policy change inevitably creates winners and losers, so those with vested interests strike bargains to determine how far and how quickly reform should advance. Understanding these micro political dynamics of reform can mean the difference between a successful intervention that gains political traction and a well-intentioned gambit that falls short of achieving its developmental objectives. Donors like the World Bank have been searching for ways to take these political factors more fully into account as they design programs to support country reforms. This initiative sought to introduce a rigorous and operationally usable political analysis tool that could be systematically integrated into the World Bank's country programming cycle. The East Asia and Pacific region carried out a multi-country pilot of the Agent-Based Stakeholder Model. This innovative analytical approach entails a quantitative simulation of the complex bargaining dynamics surrounding reform. The model anticipates stakeholder coalition formation and gauges the political feasibility of alternative proposed interventions. This paper provides a review of the Agent-Based Stakeholder Model pilot experience, exploring what sets this model apart from more traditional approaches, how it works, and how it fits into the Bank's operational cycle at various stages. An overview of the Mongolia, Philippines, and Timor-Leste country cases is followed by an examination of policy-related insights and lessons learned. Finally, the paper builds on this East Asian pilot experience, offering ideas on a potential way forward for organizations like the World Bank to deepen and extend their political analysis capabilities. The paper argues that the Agent-Based Stakeholder Model, utilized thoughtfully, offers a powerful addition to the practical political economy toolkit. 2014-09-02T19:38:22Z 2014-09-02T19:38:22Z 2010-01 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2010/01/11641285/frontier-practical-political-economy-operationalizing-agent-based-stakeholder-model-world-banks-east-asia-pacific-region http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19940 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 5176 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research East Asia and Pacific East Asia Oceania |