Achieving the MDGs in Yemen : An Assessment
Once the current political crisis in Yemen has been resolved, it will be ever more urgent to speed up progress, including Millennium Development Goal (MDG) achievements. Drawing on simulations with the Maquette for MDG Simulations (MAMS), a model f...
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| Format: | Policy Research Working Paper |
| Language: | English en_US |
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World Bank, Washington, DC
2014
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| Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2012/03/15974884/achieving-mdgs-yemen-assessment http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19868 |
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okr-10986-19868 |
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| recordtype |
oai_dc |
| repository_type |
Digital Repository |
| institution_category |
Foreign Institution |
| institution |
Digital Repositories |
| building |
World Bank Open Knowledge Repository |
| collection |
World Bank |
| language |
English en_US |
| topic |
ACCOUNTING ADULT LITERACY ADVERSE EFFECTS AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION AGRICULTURE ALLOCATION OF RESOURCES BALANCE OF PAYMENTS BANK POLICY BASE YEAR BASIC EDUCATION BASIC SANITATION BASIC SOCIAL SERVICES BENCHMARK BUDGET DEFICITS BULLETIN CAPITAL ACCOUNTS CAPITAL FORMATION CAPITAL STOCKS CENTRAL BANK CIVIL WAR COMPETITIVENESS DEBT DEBT REDUCTION DEBT STOCK DEBTS DEMOGRAPHIC FACTORS DERIVATIVES DEVELOPING COUNTRY DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DEVELOPMENT POLICY DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY DISPOSABLE INCOME DOMESTIC BORROWING DOMESTIC DEBT DOMESTIC RESOURCE MOBILIZATION DRINKING WATER ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE ECONOMIC SITUATION ECONOMIC SYSTEMS ECONOMIC TRENDS EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT ELASTICITY EMPLOYMENT OPPORTUNITIES EQUIPMENT EXCHANGE RATE REGIME EXPENDITURE EXPORT GROWTH EXPORTS EXTERNAL DEBT FINANCIAL CRISIS FISCAL POLICY FIXED INVESTMENT FOOD PRICES FOOD PRODUCTION FOREIGN CURRENCY FOREIGN DEBT FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT FOREIGN EXCHANGE FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES FOREIGN FINANCING FOREIGN INTEREST FOREIGN INVESTMENT FOREIGN LOANS FOREIGN TRADE GDP GENDER DISPARITIES GENDER GAP GENDER GAP IN PRIMARY GINI COEFFICIENT GOVERNMENT ACCOUNTS GOVERNMENT ACTIONS GOVERNMENT BUDGET GOVERNMENT DEBT GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES GOVERNMENT FINANCE GOVERNMENT FINANCING GOVERNMENT INVESTMENT GOVERNMENT POLICY GOVERNMENT SPENDING GROUNDWATER GROWTH RATE HEALTH CARE HEALTH CARE SERVICES HEALTH EDUCATION HEALTH SECTOR HEALTH SERVICES HIGH POPULATION GROWTH HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD INCOMES HUMAN DEVELOPMENT INCOME LEVEL INCOME LEVELS INFANT INFANT MORTALITY INFANT MORTALITY RATES INFLATION RATE INFLOW OF REMITTANCES INSTITUTIONAL CAPACITY INTEREST PAYMENTS INTEREST RATES INTERNATIONAL BANK INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION INTERNATIONAL STANDARDS INVESTMENT CLIMATE INVESTMENT SPENDING LABOR FORCE LABOR MARKET LENDERS LEVEL OF EDUCATION LIVE BIRTHS LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES MACROECONOMIC MANAGEMENT MACROECONOMIC POLICY MACROECONOMIC STABILITY MARKET CONDITIONS MARKET CONSTRAINTS MARKET STRUCTURE MATERNAL MORTALITY MATERNAL MORTALITY RATE MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOAL MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS MONETARY FUND MONETARY POLICIES MONETARY POLICY MORTALITY RATE NATURAL RESOURCE NATURAL RESOURCES NEONATAL MORTALITY NUMBER OF WORKERS NURSES OFFICIAL DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE OIL PRICES OIL RESERVES OPPORTUNITY COST OUTPUT OUTPUTS PARTIAL EQUILIBRIUM ANALYSIS PER CAPITA INCOME PER CAPITA INCOMES POINT OF DEPARTURE POLICY DISCUSSIONS POLICY RESEARCH POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER POLITICAL TURMOIL POPULATION GROWTH POPULATION GROWTH RATE POPULATION GROWTH RATES PRESS RELEASE PRIMARY EDUCATION PRIMARY SCHOOL PRIMARY SCHOOLING PRIVATE CAPITAL PRIVATE CAPITAL STOCK PRIVATE INVESTMENT PROGRESS PUBLIC AWARENESS PUBLIC DEBT PUBLIC HEALTH PUBLIC SERVICES PUBLIC SPENDING PURCHASING POWER RAPID EXPANSION RAPID GROWTH RATES OF INFLATION REAL EXCHANGE RATE REAL GDP REPRODUCTIVE AGE RESERVES RESOURCE USE RESPECT RETURN RISING CONSUMPTION RURAL AREAS SAFE DRINKING WATER SAFE WATER SANITATION SAVINGS SCHOOL ENROLMENT SECONDARY EDUCATION SECURITY SITUATION SERVICE DELIVERY SERVICE PROVISION SKILL LEVEL SKILLED WORKERS SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT SOCIAL POLICIES SOCIAL SECTORS SOCIAL STRUCTURE STOCKS SUPPLY CURVES TARIFF BARRIERS TAX TAX COLLECTION TAX RATES TAXATION TERTIARY EDUCATION TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY TRADE BALANCE TRADE DEFICIT TRADE LIBERALIZATION TREASURY TRUST FUND UNEMPLOYMENT UNEMPLOYMENT RATE UNEMPLOYMENT RATES URBAN AREAS USE OF RESOURCES WAGES WATER RESOURCES |
| spellingShingle |
ACCOUNTING ADULT LITERACY ADVERSE EFFECTS AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION AGRICULTURE ALLOCATION OF RESOURCES BALANCE OF PAYMENTS BANK POLICY BASE YEAR BASIC EDUCATION BASIC SANITATION BASIC SOCIAL SERVICES BENCHMARK BUDGET DEFICITS BULLETIN CAPITAL ACCOUNTS CAPITAL FORMATION CAPITAL STOCKS CENTRAL BANK CIVIL WAR COMPETITIVENESS DEBT DEBT REDUCTION DEBT STOCK DEBTS DEMOGRAPHIC FACTORS DERIVATIVES DEVELOPING COUNTRY DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DEVELOPMENT POLICY DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY DISPOSABLE INCOME DOMESTIC BORROWING DOMESTIC DEBT DOMESTIC RESOURCE MOBILIZATION DRINKING WATER ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE ECONOMIC SITUATION ECONOMIC SYSTEMS ECONOMIC TRENDS EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT ELASTICITY EMPLOYMENT OPPORTUNITIES EQUIPMENT EXCHANGE RATE REGIME EXPENDITURE EXPORT GROWTH EXPORTS EXTERNAL DEBT FINANCIAL CRISIS FISCAL POLICY FIXED INVESTMENT FOOD PRICES FOOD PRODUCTION FOREIGN CURRENCY FOREIGN DEBT FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT FOREIGN EXCHANGE FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES FOREIGN FINANCING FOREIGN INTEREST FOREIGN INVESTMENT FOREIGN LOANS FOREIGN TRADE GDP GENDER DISPARITIES GENDER GAP GENDER GAP IN PRIMARY GINI COEFFICIENT GOVERNMENT ACCOUNTS GOVERNMENT ACTIONS GOVERNMENT BUDGET GOVERNMENT DEBT GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES GOVERNMENT FINANCE GOVERNMENT FINANCING GOVERNMENT INVESTMENT GOVERNMENT POLICY GOVERNMENT SPENDING GROUNDWATER GROWTH RATE HEALTH CARE HEALTH CARE SERVICES HEALTH EDUCATION HEALTH SECTOR HEALTH SERVICES HIGH POPULATION GROWTH HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD INCOMES HUMAN DEVELOPMENT INCOME LEVEL INCOME LEVELS INFANT INFANT MORTALITY INFANT MORTALITY RATES INFLATION RATE INFLOW OF REMITTANCES INSTITUTIONAL CAPACITY INTEREST PAYMENTS INTEREST RATES INTERNATIONAL BANK INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION INTERNATIONAL STANDARDS INVESTMENT CLIMATE INVESTMENT SPENDING LABOR FORCE LABOR MARKET LENDERS LEVEL OF EDUCATION LIVE BIRTHS LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES MACROECONOMIC MANAGEMENT MACROECONOMIC POLICY MACROECONOMIC STABILITY MARKET CONDITIONS MARKET CONSTRAINTS MARKET STRUCTURE MATERNAL MORTALITY MATERNAL MORTALITY RATE MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOAL MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS MONETARY FUND MONETARY POLICIES MONETARY POLICY MORTALITY RATE NATURAL RESOURCE NATURAL RESOURCES NEONATAL MORTALITY NUMBER OF WORKERS NURSES OFFICIAL DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE OIL PRICES OIL RESERVES OPPORTUNITY COST OUTPUT OUTPUTS PARTIAL EQUILIBRIUM ANALYSIS PER CAPITA INCOME PER CAPITA INCOMES POINT OF DEPARTURE POLICY DISCUSSIONS POLICY RESEARCH POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER POLITICAL TURMOIL POPULATION GROWTH POPULATION GROWTH RATE POPULATION GROWTH RATES PRESS RELEASE PRIMARY EDUCATION PRIMARY SCHOOL PRIMARY SCHOOLING PRIVATE CAPITAL PRIVATE CAPITAL STOCK PRIVATE INVESTMENT PROGRESS PUBLIC AWARENESS PUBLIC DEBT PUBLIC HEALTH PUBLIC SERVICES PUBLIC SPENDING PURCHASING POWER RAPID EXPANSION RAPID GROWTH RATES OF INFLATION REAL EXCHANGE RATE REAL GDP REPRODUCTIVE AGE RESERVES RESOURCE USE RESPECT RETURN RISING CONSUMPTION RURAL AREAS SAFE DRINKING WATER SAFE WATER SANITATION SAVINGS SCHOOL ENROLMENT SECONDARY EDUCATION SECURITY SITUATION SERVICE DELIVERY SERVICE PROVISION SKILL LEVEL SKILLED WORKERS SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT SOCIAL POLICIES SOCIAL SECTORS SOCIAL STRUCTURE STOCKS SUPPLY CURVES TARIFF BARRIERS TAX TAX COLLECTION TAX RATES TAXATION TERTIARY EDUCATION TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY TRADE BALANCE TRADE DEFICIT TRADE LIBERALIZATION TREASURY TRUST FUND UNEMPLOYMENT UNEMPLOYMENT RATE UNEMPLOYMENT RATES URBAN AREAS USE OF RESOURCES WAGES WATER RESOURCES Al-Batuly, Abdulmajeed Al-Hawri, Mohamed Cicowiez, Martin Lofgren, Hans Pournik, Mohammad Achieving the MDGs in Yemen : An Assessment |
| geographic_facet |
Middle East and North Africa Yemen, Republic of |
| relation |
Policy Research Working Paper;No. 6013 |
| description |
Once the current political crisis in
Yemen has been resolved, it will be ever more urgent to
speed up progress, including Millennium Development Goal
(MDG) achievements. Drawing on simulations with the Maquette
for MDG Simulations (MAMS), a model for strategy analysis,
and a linked microsimulation model, this paper addresses
Yemen's MDG challenges. A first simulation set
considers scaled-up government actions with the aim of fully
achieving the 2015 international MDG targets with required
additional financing from foreign or domestic sources. The
main finding is sobering but not surprising: given the
required expansion of MDG -- related services, on-time
achievement of key MDG targets does not appear to have been
a realistic objective even if the government,
hypothetically, would have expanded services with grant aid
financing starting from 2005; macroeconomic stability,
government efficiency, and the production of tradables would
all have suffered due to the size of spending and aid
increases as well as the resulting real exchange rate
appreciation. The results suggest that countries, instead of
relying on international targets, should set MDG targets
grounded in their own reality. In light of these results,
the authors designed a second simulation set that is focused
on the remaining period up to 2015, and on what may be
feasible once the current conflict has been settled. The
simulations introduce moderate increases in foreign aid or
government allocative efficiency. The government uses the
resulting fiscal space for spending and service expansion in
infrastructure and human development without losses in
productive efficiency. The results suggest that, under these
conditions, substantial improvements could still be achieved. |
| format |
Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper |
| author |
Al-Batuly, Abdulmajeed Al-Hawri, Mohamed Cicowiez, Martin Lofgren, Hans Pournik, Mohammad |
| author_facet |
Al-Batuly, Abdulmajeed Al-Hawri, Mohamed Cicowiez, Martin Lofgren, Hans Pournik, Mohammad |
| author_sort |
Al-Batuly, Abdulmajeed |
| title |
Achieving the MDGs in Yemen : An Assessment |
| title_short |
Achieving the MDGs in Yemen : An Assessment |
| title_full |
Achieving the MDGs in Yemen : An Assessment |
| title_fullStr |
Achieving the MDGs in Yemen : An Assessment |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Achieving the MDGs in Yemen : An Assessment |
| title_sort |
achieving the mdgs in yemen : an assessment |
| publisher |
World Bank, Washington, DC |
| publishDate |
2014 |
| url |
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2012/03/15974884/achieving-mdgs-yemen-assessment http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19868 |
| _version_ |
1764443977416704000 |
| spelling |
okr-10986-198682021-04-23T14:03:52Z Achieving the MDGs in Yemen : An Assessment Al-Batuly, Abdulmajeed Al-Hawri, Mohamed Cicowiez, Martin Lofgren, Hans Pournik, Mohammad ACCOUNTING ADULT LITERACY ADVERSE EFFECTS AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION AGRICULTURE ALLOCATION OF RESOURCES BALANCE OF PAYMENTS BANK POLICY BASE YEAR BASIC EDUCATION BASIC SANITATION BASIC SOCIAL SERVICES BENCHMARK BUDGET DEFICITS BULLETIN CAPITAL ACCOUNTS CAPITAL FORMATION CAPITAL STOCKS CENTRAL BANK CIVIL WAR COMPETITIVENESS DEBT DEBT REDUCTION DEBT STOCK DEBTS DEMOGRAPHIC FACTORS DERIVATIVES DEVELOPING COUNTRY DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DEVELOPMENT POLICY DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY DISPOSABLE INCOME DOMESTIC BORROWING DOMESTIC DEBT DOMESTIC RESOURCE MOBILIZATION DRINKING WATER ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE ECONOMIC SITUATION ECONOMIC SYSTEMS ECONOMIC TRENDS EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT ELASTICITY EMPLOYMENT OPPORTUNITIES EQUIPMENT EXCHANGE RATE REGIME EXPENDITURE EXPORT GROWTH EXPORTS EXTERNAL DEBT FINANCIAL CRISIS FISCAL POLICY FIXED INVESTMENT FOOD PRICES FOOD PRODUCTION FOREIGN CURRENCY FOREIGN DEBT FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT FOREIGN EXCHANGE FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES FOREIGN FINANCING FOREIGN INTEREST FOREIGN INVESTMENT FOREIGN LOANS FOREIGN TRADE GDP GENDER DISPARITIES GENDER GAP GENDER GAP IN PRIMARY GINI COEFFICIENT GOVERNMENT ACCOUNTS GOVERNMENT ACTIONS GOVERNMENT BUDGET GOVERNMENT DEBT GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES GOVERNMENT FINANCE GOVERNMENT FINANCING GOVERNMENT INVESTMENT GOVERNMENT POLICY GOVERNMENT SPENDING GROUNDWATER GROWTH RATE HEALTH CARE HEALTH CARE SERVICES HEALTH EDUCATION HEALTH SECTOR HEALTH SERVICES HIGH POPULATION GROWTH HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD INCOMES HUMAN DEVELOPMENT INCOME LEVEL INCOME LEVELS INFANT INFANT MORTALITY INFANT MORTALITY RATES INFLATION RATE INFLOW OF REMITTANCES INSTITUTIONAL CAPACITY INTEREST PAYMENTS INTEREST RATES INTERNATIONAL BANK INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION INTERNATIONAL STANDARDS INVESTMENT CLIMATE INVESTMENT SPENDING LABOR FORCE LABOR MARKET LENDERS LEVEL OF EDUCATION LIVE BIRTHS LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES MACROECONOMIC MANAGEMENT MACROECONOMIC POLICY MACROECONOMIC STABILITY MARKET CONDITIONS MARKET CONSTRAINTS MARKET STRUCTURE MATERNAL MORTALITY MATERNAL MORTALITY RATE MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOAL MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS MONETARY FUND MONETARY POLICIES MONETARY POLICY MORTALITY RATE NATURAL RESOURCE NATURAL RESOURCES NEONATAL MORTALITY NUMBER OF WORKERS NURSES OFFICIAL DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE OIL PRICES OIL RESERVES OPPORTUNITY COST OUTPUT OUTPUTS PARTIAL EQUILIBRIUM ANALYSIS PER CAPITA INCOME PER CAPITA INCOMES POINT OF DEPARTURE POLICY DISCUSSIONS POLICY RESEARCH POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER POLITICAL TURMOIL POPULATION GROWTH POPULATION GROWTH RATE POPULATION GROWTH RATES PRESS RELEASE PRIMARY EDUCATION PRIMARY SCHOOL PRIMARY SCHOOLING PRIVATE CAPITAL PRIVATE CAPITAL STOCK PRIVATE INVESTMENT PROGRESS PUBLIC AWARENESS PUBLIC DEBT PUBLIC HEALTH PUBLIC SERVICES PUBLIC SPENDING PURCHASING POWER RAPID EXPANSION RAPID GROWTH RATES OF INFLATION REAL EXCHANGE RATE REAL GDP REPRODUCTIVE AGE RESERVES RESOURCE USE RESPECT RETURN RISING CONSUMPTION RURAL AREAS SAFE DRINKING WATER SAFE WATER SANITATION SAVINGS SCHOOL ENROLMENT SECONDARY EDUCATION SECURITY SITUATION SERVICE DELIVERY SERVICE PROVISION SKILL LEVEL SKILLED WORKERS SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT SOCIAL POLICIES SOCIAL SECTORS SOCIAL STRUCTURE STOCKS SUPPLY CURVES TARIFF BARRIERS TAX TAX COLLECTION TAX RATES TAXATION TERTIARY EDUCATION TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY TRADE BALANCE TRADE DEFICIT TRADE LIBERALIZATION TREASURY TRUST FUND UNEMPLOYMENT UNEMPLOYMENT RATE UNEMPLOYMENT RATES URBAN AREAS USE OF RESOURCES WAGES WATER RESOURCES Once the current political crisis in Yemen has been resolved, it will be ever more urgent to speed up progress, including Millennium Development Goal (MDG) achievements. Drawing on simulations with the Maquette for MDG Simulations (MAMS), a model for strategy analysis, and a linked microsimulation model, this paper addresses Yemen's MDG challenges. A first simulation set considers scaled-up government actions with the aim of fully achieving the 2015 international MDG targets with required additional financing from foreign or domestic sources. The main finding is sobering but not surprising: given the required expansion of MDG -- related services, on-time achievement of key MDG targets does not appear to have been a realistic objective even if the government, hypothetically, would have expanded services with grant aid financing starting from 2005; macroeconomic stability, government efficiency, and the production of tradables would all have suffered due to the size of spending and aid increases as well as the resulting real exchange rate appreciation. The results suggest that countries, instead of relying on international targets, should set MDG targets grounded in their own reality. In light of these results, the authors designed a second simulation set that is focused on the remaining period up to 2015, and on what may be feasible once the current conflict has been settled. The simulations introduce moderate increases in foreign aid or government allocative efficiency. The government uses the resulting fiscal space for spending and service expansion in infrastructure and human development without losses in productive efficiency. The results suggest that, under these conditions, substantial improvements could still be achieved. 2014-08-29T18:03:00Z 2014-08-29T18:03:00Z 2012-03 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2012/03/15974884/achieving-mdgs-yemen-assessment http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19868 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 6013 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research Middle East and North Africa Yemen, Republic of |