Earthquake Propensity and the Politics of Mortality Prevention

Governments can significantly reduce earthquake mortality by implementing and enforcing quake-proof construction regulation. The authors examine why many governments do not. Contrary to intuition, controlling for the strength and location of actual...

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Main Authors: Keefer, Philip, Neumayer, Eric, Plumper, Thomas
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2014
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2010/01/11670035/earthquake-propensity-politics-mortality-prevention
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19863
id okr-10986-19863
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-198632021-04-23T14:03:52Z Earthquake Propensity and the Politics of Mortality Prevention Keefer, Philip Neumayer, Eric Plumper, Thomas BUILDING CODES CATASTROPHIC EVENTS CHILD MORTALITY CITIZEN CITIZENS COLLECTIVE ACTION CRISES DAMAGES DEATH TOLL DEMOCRACY DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DISASTER DISASTER AID DISASTER PREPAREDNESS DISASTER PREVENTION DISASTER REDUCTION DISASTER RELIEF DISASTER RISK DISASTER RISK REDUCTION DISASTER TYPE DISASTER TYPES DISASTERS EARTHQUAKE EARTHQUAKES ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMICS EFFECTS OF EARTHQUAKE EXPLOSIVE FAMINE FAMINES FARMERS FATALITIES FATALITY FEWER PEOPLE FLOODING GENDER GAP GOOD GOVERNANCE GOVERNMENT POLICIES GOVERNMENT RESPONSE HEALTH INFRASTRUCTURE HIGH MORTALITY COUNTRIES INCOME INFECTIOUS DISEASE INFECTIOUS DISEASES INSURANCE JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY LARGE NUMBERS OF PEOPLE LIFE EXPECTANCY LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES MARGINAL COSTS MARKET FAILURES MORTALITY MORTALITY REDUCTION NATURAL DISASTERS NUMBER OF PEOPLE OPPORTUNITY COSTS POLICY ANALYSIS POLICY IMPLICATIONS POLICY RESEARCH POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER POLITICAL ECONOMICS POLITICAL ECONOMY POLITICAL INSTITUTIONS POPULATION DENSITY POPULATION SIZE POPULOUS COUNTRIES PREVENTION EFFORTS PROGRESS PUBLIC HEALTH PUBLIC POLICY RECONSTRUCTION RICHER COUNTRIES SAFETY SANCTION SANITATION SCARCE RESOURCES SOCIAL WELFARE SOCIETAL LEVEL TECTONIC PLATES VICTIMS VULNERABILITY Governments can significantly reduce earthquake mortality by implementing and enforcing quake-proof construction regulation. The authors examine why many governments do not. Contrary to intuition, controlling for the strength and location of actual earthquakes, mortality is lower in countries with higher earthquake propensity, where the payoffs to mortality prevention are higher. Importantly, however, the government response to earthquake propensity depends on country income and the political incentives of governments to provide public goods to citizens. The opportunity costs of earthquake mortality prevention are higher in poorer countries; rich countries invest more in mortality prevention than poor countries in response to a higher earthquake propensity. Similarly, governments that have fewer incentives to provide public goods, such as younger democracies, autocracies with less institutionalized ruling parties and countries with corrupt regimes, respond less to an elevated quake propensity. They therefore have higher mortality at any level of quake propensity compared to older democracies, autocracies with highly institutionalized parties and non-corrupt regimes, respectively. The authors find robust evidence for these predictions in our analysis of earthquake mortality over the period 1960 to 2005. 2014-08-29T17:46:59Z 2014-08-29T17:46:59Z 2010-01 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2010/01/11670035/earthquake-propensity-politics-mortality-prevention http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19863 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 5182 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic BUILDING CODES
CATASTROPHIC EVENTS
CHILD MORTALITY
CITIZEN
CITIZENS
COLLECTIVE ACTION
CRISES
DAMAGES
DEATH TOLL
DEMOCRACY
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DISASTER
DISASTER AID
DISASTER PREPAREDNESS
DISASTER PREVENTION
DISASTER REDUCTION
DISASTER RELIEF
DISASTER RISK
DISASTER RISK REDUCTION
DISASTER TYPE
DISASTER TYPES
DISASTERS
EARTHQUAKE
EARTHQUAKES
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMICS
EFFECTS OF EARTHQUAKE
EXPLOSIVE
FAMINE
FAMINES
FARMERS
FATALITIES
FATALITY
FEWER PEOPLE
FLOODING
GENDER GAP
GOOD GOVERNANCE
GOVERNMENT POLICIES
GOVERNMENT RESPONSE
HEALTH INFRASTRUCTURE
HIGH MORTALITY COUNTRIES
INCOME
INFECTIOUS DISEASE
INFECTIOUS DISEASES
INSURANCE
JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY
LARGE NUMBERS OF PEOPLE
LIFE EXPECTANCY
LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES
MARGINAL COSTS
MARKET FAILURES
MORTALITY
MORTALITY REDUCTION
NATURAL DISASTERS
NUMBER OF PEOPLE
OPPORTUNITY COSTS
POLICY ANALYSIS
POLICY IMPLICATIONS
POLICY RESEARCH
POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER
POLITICAL ECONOMICS
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POLITICAL INSTITUTIONS
POPULATION DENSITY
POPULATION SIZE
POPULOUS COUNTRIES
PREVENTION EFFORTS
PROGRESS
PUBLIC HEALTH
PUBLIC POLICY
RECONSTRUCTION
RICHER COUNTRIES
SAFETY
SANCTION
SANITATION
SCARCE RESOURCES
SOCIAL WELFARE
SOCIETAL LEVEL
TECTONIC PLATES
VICTIMS
VULNERABILITY
spellingShingle BUILDING CODES
CATASTROPHIC EVENTS
CHILD MORTALITY
CITIZEN
CITIZENS
COLLECTIVE ACTION
CRISES
DAMAGES
DEATH TOLL
DEMOCRACY
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DISASTER
DISASTER AID
DISASTER PREPAREDNESS
DISASTER PREVENTION
DISASTER REDUCTION
DISASTER RELIEF
DISASTER RISK
DISASTER RISK REDUCTION
DISASTER TYPE
DISASTER TYPES
DISASTERS
EARTHQUAKE
EARTHQUAKES
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMICS
EFFECTS OF EARTHQUAKE
EXPLOSIVE
FAMINE
FAMINES
FARMERS
FATALITIES
FATALITY
FEWER PEOPLE
FLOODING
GENDER GAP
GOOD GOVERNANCE
GOVERNMENT POLICIES
GOVERNMENT RESPONSE
HEALTH INFRASTRUCTURE
HIGH MORTALITY COUNTRIES
INCOME
INFECTIOUS DISEASE
INFECTIOUS DISEASES
INSURANCE
JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY
LARGE NUMBERS OF PEOPLE
LIFE EXPECTANCY
LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES
MARGINAL COSTS
MARKET FAILURES
MORTALITY
MORTALITY REDUCTION
NATURAL DISASTERS
NUMBER OF PEOPLE
OPPORTUNITY COSTS
POLICY ANALYSIS
POLICY IMPLICATIONS
POLICY RESEARCH
POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER
POLITICAL ECONOMICS
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POLITICAL INSTITUTIONS
POPULATION DENSITY
POPULATION SIZE
POPULOUS COUNTRIES
PREVENTION EFFORTS
PROGRESS
PUBLIC HEALTH
PUBLIC POLICY
RECONSTRUCTION
RICHER COUNTRIES
SAFETY
SANCTION
SANITATION
SCARCE RESOURCES
SOCIAL WELFARE
SOCIETAL LEVEL
TECTONIC PLATES
VICTIMS
VULNERABILITY
Keefer, Philip
Neumayer, Eric
Plumper, Thomas
Earthquake Propensity and the Politics of Mortality Prevention
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 5182
description Governments can significantly reduce earthquake mortality by implementing and enforcing quake-proof construction regulation. The authors examine why many governments do not. Contrary to intuition, controlling for the strength and location of actual earthquakes, mortality is lower in countries with higher earthquake propensity, where the payoffs to mortality prevention are higher. Importantly, however, the government response to earthquake propensity depends on country income and the political incentives of governments to provide public goods to citizens. The opportunity costs of earthquake mortality prevention are higher in poorer countries; rich countries invest more in mortality prevention than poor countries in response to a higher earthquake propensity. Similarly, governments that have fewer incentives to provide public goods, such as younger democracies, autocracies with less institutionalized ruling parties and countries with corrupt regimes, respond less to an elevated quake propensity. They therefore have higher mortality at any level of quake propensity compared to older democracies, autocracies with highly institutionalized parties and non-corrupt regimes, respectively. The authors find robust evidence for these predictions in our analysis of earthquake mortality over the period 1960 to 2005.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Keefer, Philip
Neumayer, Eric
Plumper, Thomas
author_facet Keefer, Philip
Neumayer, Eric
Plumper, Thomas
author_sort Keefer, Philip
title Earthquake Propensity and the Politics of Mortality Prevention
title_short Earthquake Propensity and the Politics of Mortality Prevention
title_full Earthquake Propensity and the Politics of Mortality Prevention
title_fullStr Earthquake Propensity and the Politics of Mortality Prevention
title_full_unstemmed Earthquake Propensity and the Politics of Mortality Prevention
title_sort earthquake propensity and the politics of mortality prevention
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2014
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2010/01/11670035/earthquake-propensity-politics-mortality-prevention
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19863
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