Transparency, Liberalization, and Banking Crisis

The authors investigate how transparency affects the probability of a financial crisis. They construct a model in which banks cannot distinguish between aggregate shocks and government policy, on the one hand, and firm' quality, on the other....

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Main Authors: Mehrez, Gil, Kaufmann, Daniel
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2014
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2000/02/437731/transparency-liberalization-banking-crisis
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19851
id okr-10986-19851
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-198512021-04-23T14:03:47Z Transparency, Liberalization, and Banking Crisis Mehrez, Gil Kaufmann, Daniel AGENTS BANK ASSETS BANK CLOSURES BANK LENDING BANKING CRISES BANKING CRISIS BANKING SECTOR BANKING SYSTEM BANKS BANQUE DE FRANCE BONDS BOOK VALUE BOOMS BORROWING CAPITAL CONTROLS CAPITAL INFLOWS CAPITAL MARKETS COMPETITIVENESS CONTAGION CREDIT RATIONING CROSS-COUNTRY EXPERIENCE DEPOSITORS DEPOSITS DEREGULATION DOMESTIC CREDIT ECONOMETRICS ECONOMIC MODELS ECONOMIC RESEARCH ECONOMICS EMERGING MARKETS EXPECTED RETURN EXTERNALITIES FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM FINANCIAL CONTAGION FINANCIAL CRISES FINANCIAL CRISIS FINANCIAL FRAGILITY FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES FINANCIAL LIBERALIZATION FINANCIAL MARKETS FINANCIAL SECTOR FINANCIAL SYSTEMS FISCAL POLICY FOREIGN BANKS FOREIGN EXCHANGE FREE ENTRY GDP GLOBALIZATION GOVERNMENT GUARANTEES GROWTH RATE HOUSING IMPERFECT INFORMATION INFLATION INFLATION RATE INSURANCE INTEREST RATE INTEREST RATES INTERSTATE BANKING LIQUIDITY M2 MACROECONOMIC POLICY MARGINAL PRODUCTIVITY MORAL HAZARD OLIGOPOLY OPEN ECONOMIES PERFECT COMPETITION POLITICAL ECONOMY PREDICTIONS PRIVATIZATION PRODUCTIVITY PROGRAMS REAL INTEREST RATE RESERVE ASSETS RESERVE REQUIREMENTS RESERVES RISK NEUTRAL SECURITIES SECURITIES MARKETS STABILIZATION TRANSPARENCY UNIVERSAL BANKS The authors investigate how transparency affects the probability of a financial crisis. They construct a model in which banks cannot distinguish between aggregate shocks and government policy, on the one hand, and firm' quality, on the other. Banks may therefore overestimate firms' returns and increase credit above the level that would be optimal given the firms' returns. Once banks discover their large exposure, they are likely to roll over loans rather than declare their losses. This delays the crisis but increases its magnitude. The empirical evidence, based on data for 56 countries in 1977-97, supports this theoretical model. The authors find that lack of transparency increases the probability of a crisis following financial liberalization. This implies that countries should focus on increasing transparency of economic activity and government policy, as well as increasing transparency n the financial sector, particularly during a period of transition such as financial liberalization. 2014-08-28T19:36:08Z 2014-08-28T19:36:08Z 2000-02 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2000/02/437731/transparency-liberalization-banking-crisis http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19851 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 2286 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic AGENTS
BANK ASSETS
BANK CLOSURES
BANK LENDING
BANKING CRISES
BANKING CRISIS
BANKING SECTOR
BANKING SYSTEM
BANKS
BANQUE DE FRANCE
BONDS
BOOK VALUE
BOOMS
BORROWING
CAPITAL CONTROLS
CAPITAL INFLOWS
CAPITAL MARKETS
COMPETITIVENESS
CONTAGION
CREDIT RATIONING
CROSS-COUNTRY EXPERIENCE
DEPOSITORS
DEPOSITS
DEREGULATION
DOMESTIC CREDIT
ECONOMETRICS
ECONOMIC MODELS
ECONOMIC RESEARCH
ECONOMICS
EMERGING MARKETS
EXPECTED RETURN
EXTERNALITIES
FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM
FINANCIAL CONTAGION
FINANCIAL CRISES
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FINANCIAL FRAGILITY
FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES
FINANCIAL LIBERALIZATION
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FINANCIAL SECTOR
FINANCIAL SYSTEMS
FISCAL POLICY
FOREIGN BANKS
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
FREE ENTRY
GDP
GLOBALIZATION
GOVERNMENT GUARANTEES
GROWTH RATE
HOUSING
IMPERFECT INFORMATION
INFLATION
INFLATION RATE
INSURANCE
INTEREST RATE
INTEREST RATES
INTERSTATE BANKING
LIQUIDITY
M2
MACROECONOMIC POLICY
MARGINAL PRODUCTIVITY
MORAL HAZARD
OLIGOPOLY
OPEN ECONOMIES
PERFECT COMPETITION
POLITICAL ECONOMY
PREDICTIONS
PRIVATIZATION
PRODUCTIVITY
PROGRAMS
REAL INTEREST RATE
RESERVE ASSETS
RESERVE REQUIREMENTS
RESERVES
RISK NEUTRAL
SECURITIES
SECURITIES MARKETS
STABILIZATION
TRANSPARENCY
UNIVERSAL BANKS
spellingShingle AGENTS
BANK ASSETS
BANK CLOSURES
BANK LENDING
BANKING CRISES
BANKING CRISIS
BANKING SECTOR
BANKING SYSTEM
BANKS
BANQUE DE FRANCE
BONDS
BOOK VALUE
BOOMS
BORROWING
CAPITAL CONTROLS
CAPITAL INFLOWS
CAPITAL MARKETS
COMPETITIVENESS
CONTAGION
CREDIT RATIONING
CROSS-COUNTRY EXPERIENCE
DEPOSITORS
DEPOSITS
DEREGULATION
DOMESTIC CREDIT
ECONOMETRICS
ECONOMIC MODELS
ECONOMIC RESEARCH
ECONOMICS
EMERGING MARKETS
EXPECTED RETURN
EXTERNALITIES
FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM
FINANCIAL CONTAGION
FINANCIAL CRISES
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FINANCIAL FRAGILITY
FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES
FINANCIAL LIBERALIZATION
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FINANCIAL SECTOR
FINANCIAL SYSTEMS
FISCAL POLICY
FOREIGN BANKS
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
FREE ENTRY
GDP
GLOBALIZATION
GOVERNMENT GUARANTEES
GROWTH RATE
HOUSING
IMPERFECT INFORMATION
INFLATION
INFLATION RATE
INSURANCE
INTEREST RATE
INTEREST RATES
INTERSTATE BANKING
LIQUIDITY
M2
MACROECONOMIC POLICY
MARGINAL PRODUCTIVITY
MORAL HAZARD
OLIGOPOLY
OPEN ECONOMIES
PERFECT COMPETITION
POLITICAL ECONOMY
PREDICTIONS
PRIVATIZATION
PRODUCTIVITY
PROGRAMS
REAL INTEREST RATE
RESERVE ASSETS
RESERVE REQUIREMENTS
RESERVES
RISK NEUTRAL
SECURITIES
SECURITIES MARKETS
STABILIZATION
TRANSPARENCY
UNIVERSAL BANKS
Mehrez, Gil
Kaufmann, Daniel
Transparency, Liberalization, and Banking Crisis
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 2286
description The authors investigate how transparency affects the probability of a financial crisis. They construct a model in which banks cannot distinguish between aggregate shocks and government policy, on the one hand, and firm' quality, on the other. Banks may therefore overestimate firms' returns and increase credit above the level that would be optimal given the firms' returns. Once banks discover their large exposure, they are likely to roll over loans rather than declare their losses. This delays the crisis but increases its magnitude. The empirical evidence, based on data for 56 countries in 1977-97, supports this theoretical model. The authors find that lack of transparency increases the probability of a crisis following financial liberalization. This implies that countries should focus on increasing transparency of economic activity and government policy, as well as increasing transparency n the financial sector, particularly during a period of transition such as financial liberalization.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Mehrez, Gil
Kaufmann, Daniel
author_facet Mehrez, Gil
Kaufmann, Daniel
author_sort Mehrez, Gil
title Transparency, Liberalization, and Banking Crisis
title_short Transparency, Liberalization, and Banking Crisis
title_full Transparency, Liberalization, and Banking Crisis
title_fullStr Transparency, Liberalization, and Banking Crisis
title_full_unstemmed Transparency, Liberalization, and Banking Crisis
title_sort transparency, liberalization, and banking crisis
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2014
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2000/02/437731/transparency-liberalization-banking-crisis
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19851
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