Should Capital Flows Be Regulated? A Look at the Issues and Policies

The author argues that externalities in financial markets, implicit and explicit guarantees on financial transactions, and information asymmetries in financial markets that may exacerbate contagion provide a rationale for a government role in manag...

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Main Author: Islam, Roumeen
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2014
Subjects:
GDP
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2000/03/438338/capital-flows-regulated-look-issues-policies
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19844
id okr-10986-19844
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic ADVERSE CONSEQUENCES
AUTONOMY
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
BANK LENDING
BANK RESERVES
BANKING CRISES
BANKING SECTOR
BANKING SYSTEM
BANKS
BONDS
BORROWING
CAPITAL ACCOUNT
CAPITAL CONTROLS
CAPITAL FLOW REVERSALS
CAPITAL FLOWS
CAPITAL INFLOWS
CAPITAL MARKETS
CAPITAL OUTFLOWS
CENTRAL BANK
CENTRAL BANKS
COMPETITIVENESS
CONTAGION
CONTINGENT LIABILITIES
COST OF CAPITAL
CURRENCY BOARD
CURRENCY BOARDS
CURRENCY CRISES
CURRENCY RISK
CURRENT ACCOUNT
DEBT
DEFAULT RISK
DEFICIT FINANCING
DEFICITS
DEVALUATION
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DOMESTIC ECONOMY
DOMESTIC POLICIES
DUMPING
EMERGING ECONOMIES
EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES
EMERGING MARKETS
EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS
EMPLOYMENT
EQUILIBRIUM
EQUITY MARKETS
EXCHANGE RATE
EXCHANGE RATE POLICIES
EXCHANGE RATE POLICY
EXCHANGE RATE REGIME
EXCHANGE RATE REGIMES
EXCHANGE RATES
EXOGENOUS SHOCKS
EXPENDITURES
EXTERNAL BORROWING
EXTERNAL DEBT
EXTERNALITIES
EXTERNALITY
FINANCIAL CRISES
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
FINANCIAL INTERMEDIATION
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FINANCIAL POLICIES
FINANCIAL RESOURCES
FINANCIAL RISK
FINANCIAL SECTOR
FINANCIAL SECTORS
FINANCIAL SYSTEM
FINANCIAL TRANSACTIONS
FISCAL DEFICITS
FISCAL POLICIES
FISCAL POLICY
FIXED EXCHANGE RATE SYSTEMS
FOREIGN ASSETS
FOREIGN BORROWING
FOREIGN CURRENCY
FOREIGN CURRENCY DEPOSITS
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
GDP
GLOBAL MARKETS
INCOME
INCOME GROUPS
INFLATION
INFORMATION ASYMMETRIES
INSURANCE
INSURANCE MARKETS
INTEREST RATE
INTEREST RATES
INTERNATIONAL BANKING
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL TRANSACTIONS
LENDER OF LAST RESORT
LENDERS OF LAST RESORT
LIQUID ASSETS
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY CONSTRAINTS
LONG TERM
MACROECONOMIC POLICIES
MACROECONOMIC POLICY
MACROECONOMIC SHOCKS
MARKET DISTORTIONS
MARKET PRICES
MATURITIES
MONETARY POLICIES
MONETARY POLICY
MORAL HAZARD
MUTUAL FUNDS
NET WORTH
PERVERSE INCENTIVES
POLICY OPTIONS
POLICY RESEARCH
PORTFOLIO
PORTFOLIOS
PRICE CHANGES
PRIVATE AGENTS
PRIVATE SECTOR
PUBLIC CONSUMPTION
PUBLIC DEBT
PUBLIC POLICY
PUBLIC SECTOR
REAL EXCHANGE
REAL EXCHANGE RATE
REAL EXCHANGE RATES
REAL INTEREST
REAL INTEREST RATES
REGULATORY FRAMEWORK
RESERVE REQUIREMENT
RESERVE REQUIREMENTS
RISK MANAGEMENT
RISK PREMIA
RISK PREMIUMS
SECURITIES
SHORT TERM DEBT
SHORT-TERM DEBT
SYSTEMIC RISK
TAX RATES
TAX REVENUE
TAX REVENUES
TAXATION
TERMS OF TRADE
TRADE SHOCKS
TRADEOFFS
TRANSACTIONS COSTS
TRANSPARENCY
TREASURY BILLS
spellingShingle ADVERSE CONSEQUENCES
AUTONOMY
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
BANK LENDING
BANK RESERVES
BANKING CRISES
BANKING SECTOR
BANKING SYSTEM
BANKS
BONDS
BORROWING
CAPITAL ACCOUNT
CAPITAL CONTROLS
CAPITAL FLOW REVERSALS
CAPITAL FLOWS
CAPITAL INFLOWS
CAPITAL MARKETS
CAPITAL OUTFLOWS
CENTRAL BANK
CENTRAL BANKS
COMPETITIVENESS
CONTAGION
CONTINGENT LIABILITIES
COST OF CAPITAL
CURRENCY BOARD
CURRENCY BOARDS
CURRENCY CRISES
CURRENCY RISK
CURRENT ACCOUNT
DEBT
DEFAULT RISK
DEFICIT FINANCING
DEFICITS
DEVALUATION
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DOMESTIC ECONOMY
DOMESTIC POLICIES
DUMPING
EMERGING ECONOMIES
EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES
EMERGING MARKETS
EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS
EMPLOYMENT
EQUILIBRIUM
EQUITY MARKETS
EXCHANGE RATE
EXCHANGE RATE POLICIES
EXCHANGE RATE POLICY
EXCHANGE RATE REGIME
EXCHANGE RATE REGIMES
EXCHANGE RATES
EXOGENOUS SHOCKS
EXPENDITURES
EXTERNAL BORROWING
EXTERNAL DEBT
EXTERNALITIES
EXTERNALITY
FINANCIAL CRISES
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
FINANCIAL INTERMEDIATION
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FINANCIAL POLICIES
FINANCIAL RESOURCES
FINANCIAL RISK
FINANCIAL SECTOR
FINANCIAL SECTORS
FINANCIAL SYSTEM
FINANCIAL TRANSACTIONS
FISCAL DEFICITS
FISCAL POLICIES
FISCAL POLICY
FIXED EXCHANGE RATE SYSTEMS
FOREIGN ASSETS
FOREIGN BORROWING
FOREIGN CURRENCY
FOREIGN CURRENCY DEPOSITS
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
GDP
GLOBAL MARKETS
INCOME
INCOME GROUPS
INFLATION
INFORMATION ASYMMETRIES
INSURANCE
INSURANCE MARKETS
INTEREST RATE
INTEREST RATES
INTERNATIONAL BANKING
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL TRANSACTIONS
LENDER OF LAST RESORT
LENDERS OF LAST RESORT
LIQUID ASSETS
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY CONSTRAINTS
LONG TERM
MACROECONOMIC POLICIES
MACROECONOMIC POLICY
MACROECONOMIC SHOCKS
MARKET DISTORTIONS
MARKET PRICES
MATURITIES
MONETARY POLICIES
MONETARY POLICY
MORAL HAZARD
MUTUAL FUNDS
NET WORTH
PERVERSE INCENTIVES
POLICY OPTIONS
POLICY RESEARCH
PORTFOLIO
PORTFOLIOS
PRICE CHANGES
PRIVATE AGENTS
PRIVATE SECTOR
PUBLIC CONSUMPTION
PUBLIC DEBT
PUBLIC POLICY
PUBLIC SECTOR
REAL EXCHANGE
REAL EXCHANGE RATE
REAL EXCHANGE RATES
REAL INTEREST
REAL INTEREST RATES
REGULATORY FRAMEWORK
RESERVE REQUIREMENT
RESERVE REQUIREMENTS
RISK MANAGEMENT
RISK PREMIA
RISK PREMIUMS
SECURITIES
SHORT TERM DEBT
SHORT-TERM DEBT
SYSTEMIC RISK
TAX RATES
TAX REVENUE
TAX REVENUES
TAXATION
TERMS OF TRADE
TRADE SHOCKS
TRADEOFFS
TRANSACTIONS COSTS
TRANSPARENCY
TREASURY BILLS
Islam, Roumeen
Should Capital Flows Be Regulated? A Look at the Issues and Policies
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 2293
description The author argues that externalities in financial markets, implicit and explicit guarantees on financial transactions, and information asymmetries in financial markets that may exacerbate contagion provide a rationale for a government role in managing the risk associated with cross-border capital flows. Governments can complement private sector risk management with measures that help deal with the volatility of capital flows. These measures include those that control the type and volume of capital flows and those that help investors make better investment decisions, and that may reduce herding behavior, such as better information provision. The main instruments that have been tried or recommended since the onset of the recent financial crises can be grouped in several categories. 1) Debt management: The composition, maturity structure, and level of external debt have played an important role in financial crises. High short-term debt relative to liquid assets has been found to be consistently correlated with financial crises in recent times. Governments can affect the level of debt (including private debt) and its composition, though the mix of policies they use will vary. Prudential regulation in the financial sector, corporate sector regulation, and restrictions on capital movements have all been used with varying success to change the level and composition of external debt. 2) Other macroeconomic policies: Most countries that have suffered macroeconomic crises have had fixed exchange rate systems; some have not. But whether or not a country has a fixed exchange rate is not the relevant question. The question is instead whether there is reason to expect a significant weakening of the currency, possibly as a result of a change in policy stance. Large real exchange rate appreciations have been among the main reasons for runs on currency; macroeconomic policy needs to be aimed at managing these. With a fixed exchange rate regime, flexibility must be maintained elsewhere in the economy. Policymakers may need to make tradeoffs between price and output stability once market jitters have set in. There is no single right answer to the question of which to emphasize more at a given time; it depends on a country's circumstances. 3) Risk management in the financial sector: The health of the financial sector is related to the government's fiscal position, its macroeconomic policies, and financial crises. The regulatory and supervisory frameworks in developing countries need to be adapted to the special features of these markets. Many developing countries are subject to frequent trade and capital account shocks, while lacking the means to deal with these shocks, such as adequate insurance markets. This situation may call for policies that nor only affect the incentives of lenders, but also help manage risk more directly. Examples of such policies include maturity, and liquidity requirements. 4) Information and transparency: More disclosure of information and improvements in the quality of that information could reduce the volatility that arises from herding behavior. Ex ante, they may also have a beneficial effect on the allocation of capital.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Islam, Roumeen
author_facet Islam, Roumeen
author_sort Islam, Roumeen
title Should Capital Flows Be Regulated? A Look at the Issues and Policies
title_short Should Capital Flows Be Regulated? A Look at the Issues and Policies
title_full Should Capital Flows Be Regulated? A Look at the Issues and Policies
title_fullStr Should Capital Flows Be Regulated? A Look at the Issues and Policies
title_full_unstemmed Should Capital Flows Be Regulated? A Look at the Issues and Policies
title_sort should capital flows be regulated? a look at the issues and policies
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2014
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2000/03/438338/capital-flows-regulated-look-issues-policies
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19844
_version_ 1764441658662846464
spelling okr-10986-198442021-04-23T14:03:47Z Should Capital Flows Be Regulated? A Look at the Issues and Policies Islam, Roumeen ADVERSE CONSEQUENCES AUTONOMY BALANCE OF PAYMENTS BANK LENDING BANK RESERVES BANKING CRISES BANKING SECTOR BANKING SYSTEM BANKS BONDS BORROWING CAPITAL ACCOUNT CAPITAL CONTROLS CAPITAL FLOW REVERSALS CAPITAL FLOWS CAPITAL INFLOWS CAPITAL MARKETS CAPITAL OUTFLOWS CENTRAL BANK CENTRAL BANKS COMPETITIVENESS CONTAGION CONTINGENT LIABILITIES COST OF CAPITAL CURRENCY BOARD CURRENCY BOARDS CURRENCY CRISES CURRENCY RISK CURRENT ACCOUNT DEBT DEFAULT RISK DEFICIT FINANCING DEFICITS DEVALUATION DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DOMESTIC ECONOMY DOMESTIC POLICIES DUMPING EMERGING ECONOMIES EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES EMERGING MARKETS EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS EMPLOYMENT EQUILIBRIUM EQUITY MARKETS EXCHANGE RATE EXCHANGE RATE POLICIES EXCHANGE RATE POLICY EXCHANGE RATE REGIME EXCHANGE RATE REGIMES EXCHANGE RATES EXOGENOUS SHOCKS EXPENDITURES EXTERNAL BORROWING EXTERNAL DEBT EXTERNALITIES EXTERNALITY FINANCIAL CRISES FINANCIAL CRISIS FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS FINANCIAL INTERMEDIATION FINANCIAL MARKETS FINANCIAL POLICIES FINANCIAL RESOURCES FINANCIAL RISK FINANCIAL SECTOR FINANCIAL SECTORS FINANCIAL SYSTEM FINANCIAL TRANSACTIONS FISCAL DEFICITS FISCAL POLICIES FISCAL POLICY FIXED EXCHANGE RATE SYSTEMS FOREIGN ASSETS FOREIGN BORROWING FOREIGN CURRENCY FOREIGN CURRENCY DEPOSITS FOREIGN EXCHANGE GDP GLOBAL MARKETS INCOME INCOME GROUPS INFLATION INFORMATION ASYMMETRIES INSURANCE INSURANCE MARKETS INTEREST RATE INTEREST RATES INTERNATIONAL BANKING INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL TRANSACTIONS LENDER OF LAST RESORT LENDERS OF LAST RESORT LIQUID ASSETS LIQUIDITY LIQUIDITY CONSTRAINTS LONG TERM MACROECONOMIC POLICIES MACROECONOMIC POLICY MACROECONOMIC SHOCKS MARKET DISTORTIONS MARKET PRICES MATURITIES MONETARY POLICIES MONETARY POLICY MORAL HAZARD MUTUAL FUNDS NET WORTH PERVERSE INCENTIVES POLICY OPTIONS POLICY RESEARCH PORTFOLIO PORTFOLIOS PRICE CHANGES PRIVATE AGENTS PRIVATE SECTOR PUBLIC CONSUMPTION PUBLIC DEBT PUBLIC POLICY PUBLIC SECTOR REAL EXCHANGE REAL EXCHANGE RATE REAL EXCHANGE RATES REAL INTEREST REAL INTEREST RATES REGULATORY FRAMEWORK RESERVE REQUIREMENT RESERVE REQUIREMENTS RISK MANAGEMENT RISK PREMIA RISK PREMIUMS SECURITIES SHORT TERM DEBT SHORT-TERM DEBT SYSTEMIC RISK TAX RATES TAX REVENUE TAX REVENUES TAXATION TERMS OF TRADE TRADE SHOCKS TRADEOFFS TRANSACTIONS COSTS TRANSPARENCY TREASURY BILLS The author argues that externalities in financial markets, implicit and explicit guarantees on financial transactions, and information asymmetries in financial markets that may exacerbate contagion provide a rationale for a government role in managing the risk associated with cross-border capital flows. Governments can complement private sector risk management with measures that help deal with the volatility of capital flows. These measures include those that control the type and volume of capital flows and those that help investors make better investment decisions, and that may reduce herding behavior, such as better information provision. The main instruments that have been tried or recommended since the onset of the recent financial crises can be grouped in several categories. 1) Debt management: The composition, maturity structure, and level of external debt have played an important role in financial crises. High short-term debt relative to liquid assets has been found to be consistently correlated with financial crises in recent times. Governments can affect the level of debt (including private debt) and its composition, though the mix of policies they use will vary. Prudential regulation in the financial sector, corporate sector regulation, and restrictions on capital movements have all been used with varying success to change the level and composition of external debt. 2) Other macroeconomic policies: Most countries that have suffered macroeconomic crises have had fixed exchange rate systems; some have not. But whether or not a country has a fixed exchange rate is not the relevant question. The question is instead whether there is reason to expect a significant weakening of the currency, possibly as a result of a change in policy stance. Large real exchange rate appreciations have been among the main reasons for runs on currency; macroeconomic policy needs to be aimed at managing these. With a fixed exchange rate regime, flexibility must be maintained elsewhere in the economy. Policymakers may need to make tradeoffs between price and output stability once market jitters have set in. There is no single right answer to the question of which to emphasize more at a given time; it depends on a country's circumstances. 3) Risk management in the financial sector: The health of the financial sector is related to the government's fiscal position, its macroeconomic policies, and financial crises. The regulatory and supervisory frameworks in developing countries need to be adapted to the special features of these markets. Many developing countries are subject to frequent trade and capital account shocks, while lacking the means to deal with these shocks, such as adequate insurance markets. This situation may call for policies that nor only affect the incentives of lenders, but also help manage risk more directly. Examples of such policies include maturity, and liquidity requirements. 4) Information and transparency: More disclosure of information and improvements in the quality of that information could reduce the volatility that arises from herding behavior. Ex ante, they may also have a beneficial effect on the allocation of capital. 2014-08-28T19:05:39Z 2014-08-28T19:05:39Z 2000-03 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2000/03/438338/capital-flows-regulated-look-issues-policies http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19844 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 2293 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research