Financial Openness, Democracy, and Redistributive Policy
The debate about the relationship between democratic forms of government and the free movement of capital across borders dates to the 18th century. It has regained prominence as capital on a massive scale has become increasingly mobile and as free...
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Format: | Policy Research Working Paper |
Language: | English en_US |
Published: |
World Bank, Washington, DC
2014
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Subjects: | |
Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2000/06/437065/financial-openness-democracy-redistributive-policy http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19832 |
Summary: | The debate about the relationship
between democratic forms of government and the free movement
of capital across borders dates to the 18th century. It has
regained prominence as capital on a massive scale has become
increasingly mobile and as free economies experience
continuous pressure from rapidly changing technology, market
integration, changing consumer preferences, and intensified
competition. These changes imply greater uncertainty about
citizens' future income positions, which could prompt
them to seek insurance through the marketplace or through
constitutionally arranged income redistribution. As more
countries move toward democracy, the availability of such
insurance mechanisms to citizens is key if political
pressure for capital controls is to be averted and if public
support for an open, liberal international financial order
is to be maintained. The author briefly reviews how
today's international financial system evolved from one
of mostly closed capital accounts immediately after World
War II to today's enormous, largely free-flowing
market. Drawing on insights from the literature on public
choice and constitutional political economy, the author
develops an analytical framework for a welfare cost-benefit
analysis of financial openness to international capital
flows. The main welfare benefits of financial openness
derive from greater economic efficiency and increased
opportunities for risk diversification. The welfare costs
relate to the cost of insurance used as a mechanism for
coping with the risks of financial volatility. These
insurance costs are the economic losses associated with
redistribution, including moral hazard, rent-seeking, and
rent-avoidance. A cross-sectional analysis of a large sample
of developed and developing countries shows the positive
correlation between democracy (as defined by political and
civil liberty) and financial openness. More rigorous
econometric investigation using logit analysis and
controlling for level of income also shows that
redistributive social policies are key in determining the
likelihood that countries can successfully combine an
openness to international capital mobility with democratic
forms of government. |
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