Trade Reform and Household Welfare : The Case of Mexico
The authors use a two-step, computationally simple procedure to analyze the effects of Mexico's potentially unilateral tariff liberalization. First, they use a computable general equilibrium model provided by the Global Trade Analysis Project...
Main Authors: | , , |
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Format: | Policy Research Working Paper |
Language: | English en_US |
Published: |
World Bank, Washington, DC
2014
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Subjects: | |
Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2001/08/1561503/trade-reform-household-welfare-case-mexico http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19559 |
Summary: | The authors use a two-step,
computationally simple procedure to analyze the effects of
Mexico's potentially unilateral tariff liberalization.
First, they use a computable general equilibrium model
provided by the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) as the
new price generator. Second, they apply the price changes to
Mexican household data to assess the effects of the
simulated policy on poverty and income distribution. By
choosing GTAP as the price generator, the authors are able
to model Mexico's differential tariff structure
appropriately: almost zero for North American Free Trade
Agreement (NAFTA) members and higher tariffs for nonmembers.
Even starting with low tariff protection, simulation results
show that tariff reform will have a positive effect on
welfare for all expenditure deciles. Under an assumption of
nonhomothetic individual preferences, trade liberalization
benefits people in the poorer deciles more than those in the
richer ones. |
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