The Political Economy of Commodity Export Policy : A Case Study of India

Many developing country governments discriminate against sectors that export primary commodities. India, for example, discriminates against cotton production. Exports of cotton have been restricted by quotas, and the mill industry has been subject...

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Main Author: Kondo, Masanori
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2014
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2001/12/1671298/political-economy-commodity-export-policy-case-study-india
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19411
id okr-10986-19411
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-194112021-04-23T14:03:42Z The Political Economy of Commodity Export Policy : A Case Study of India Kondo, Masanori AGRICULTURAL PRICING POLICIES AGRICULTURAL TRADE AGRICULTURE CAPITAL GOODS CHEMICAL INDUSTRY COMMODITIES COMMODITY COTTON COTTON CULTIVATION COTTON MARKETING COTTON PRICES COTTON PRODUCTION COTTON SECTOR COTTON SEEDS COTTON SPINNING COTTON TEXTILE INDUSTRY COTTON TEXTILES COTTON YARN CROP CROPS CULTIVATED LAND DECISION MAKING DEREGULATION ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC LIBERALIZATION ECONOMIC PROBLEMS ECONOMIC RENTS EMPIRICAL STUDIES EMPLOYMENT ENTITLEMENTS FARMER FARMERS FERTILIZER FERTILIZER SUBSIDIES FERTILIZERS FIBRE GOVERNMENT REGULATIONS IMPORTS INCOME INCOME DISTRIBUTION INTERMEDIATE GOODS IRRIGATION LOOMS MILL NATURAL RESOURCES POLITICAL ECONOMY PRICE ELASTICITIES PRODUCE PRODUCTION OF COTTON QUOTAS RURAL DEVELOPMENT SPINNING SPUN YARN TAX RATES TAXATION TEXTILE INDUSTRY TEXTILE MACHINERY TEXTILE MACHINERY INDUSTRY TEXTILE MILLS TRADE LIBERALIZATION WAGES WEAVING YARN YIELDS COMMODITIES EXPORT POLICY COTTON INDUSTRY COTTON YARN COTTON PRODUCTION TRADE LIBERALIZATION PRICE ELASTICITY HANDLOOM INDUSTRY SUBSIDIES EXPORT TAXES INTEREST GROUPS POLITICAL POWER Many developing country governments discriminate against sectors that export primary commodities. India, for example, discriminates against cotton production. Exports of cotton have been restricted by quotas, and the mill industry has been subject to such regulations as the obligation to supply hank yarn for Indian handlooms. These interventions have led to stagnating cotton yields, rent-seeking activities, manipulation of cotton statistics, and low profitability in cotton mills' offsetting the short-run benefits of inexpensive cotton in India. The author develops a numerical model to measure the impact of liberalizing cotton exports. This is the first simulation model of its type, and the first multimarket model that computes price elasticities endogenously, based on the ratios between product prices and input costs. The model distinguishes short-run from long-run effects by drawing on the principle that the cost of capital varies only in the long run. Results of the simulation under complete liberalization indicate heavy (16 percent) net losses in income in the handloom sector. The government subsidies needed to compensate for those losses amount to US$423 million, or about 25 percent more than current government revenue in India's cotton sector. Such costly subsidy of handlooms is undesirable not only budgetarily but also politically, because it creates new vested interests. The author proposes politically feasible programs for managing the adverse impact of liberalization on the handloom sector, including handloom conversion and involvement of mills in cotton cultivation. Governments tend to prefer an export quota to an export tax because it is easier to change a quota than a tax rate if market conditions change. But flexible controls actually facilitate rent-seeking activities. As quotas are changed more often than tax rates, more interest groups get involved in lobbying and in padding crop estimates. In other words, the political and economic problems that result from restrictions on commodity exports can be more serious than those relating to resource misallocation. It is important to consider how policy changes will affect the political power structure and the objectives of different interest groups. 2014-08-19T16:12:34Z 2014-08-19T16:12:34Z 2001-12 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2001/12/1671298/political-economy-commodity-export-policy-case-study-india http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19411 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 2750 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research South Asia India
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic AGRICULTURAL PRICING POLICIES
AGRICULTURAL TRADE
AGRICULTURE
CAPITAL GOODS
CHEMICAL INDUSTRY
COMMODITIES
COMMODITY
COTTON
COTTON CULTIVATION
COTTON MARKETING
COTTON PRICES
COTTON PRODUCTION
COTTON SECTOR
COTTON SEEDS
COTTON SPINNING
COTTON TEXTILE INDUSTRY
COTTON TEXTILES
COTTON YARN
CROP
CROPS
CULTIVATED LAND
DECISION MAKING
DEREGULATION
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC LIBERALIZATION
ECONOMIC PROBLEMS
ECONOMIC RENTS
EMPIRICAL STUDIES
EMPLOYMENT
ENTITLEMENTS
FARMER
FARMERS
FERTILIZER
FERTILIZER SUBSIDIES
FERTILIZERS
FIBRE
GOVERNMENT REGULATIONS
IMPORTS
INCOME
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
INTERMEDIATE GOODS
IRRIGATION
LOOMS
MILL
NATURAL RESOURCES
POLITICAL ECONOMY
PRICE ELASTICITIES
PRODUCE
PRODUCTION OF COTTON
QUOTAS
RURAL DEVELOPMENT
SPINNING
SPUN YARN
TAX RATES
TAXATION
TEXTILE INDUSTRY
TEXTILE MACHINERY
TEXTILE MACHINERY INDUSTRY
TEXTILE MILLS
TRADE LIBERALIZATION
WAGES
WEAVING
YARN
YIELDS COMMODITIES
EXPORT POLICY
COTTON INDUSTRY
COTTON YARN
COTTON PRODUCTION
TRADE LIBERALIZATION
PRICE ELASTICITY
HANDLOOM INDUSTRY
SUBSIDIES
EXPORT TAXES
INTEREST GROUPS
POLITICAL POWER
spellingShingle AGRICULTURAL PRICING POLICIES
AGRICULTURAL TRADE
AGRICULTURE
CAPITAL GOODS
CHEMICAL INDUSTRY
COMMODITIES
COMMODITY
COTTON
COTTON CULTIVATION
COTTON MARKETING
COTTON PRICES
COTTON PRODUCTION
COTTON SECTOR
COTTON SEEDS
COTTON SPINNING
COTTON TEXTILE INDUSTRY
COTTON TEXTILES
COTTON YARN
CROP
CROPS
CULTIVATED LAND
DECISION MAKING
DEREGULATION
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC LIBERALIZATION
ECONOMIC PROBLEMS
ECONOMIC RENTS
EMPIRICAL STUDIES
EMPLOYMENT
ENTITLEMENTS
FARMER
FARMERS
FERTILIZER
FERTILIZER SUBSIDIES
FERTILIZERS
FIBRE
GOVERNMENT REGULATIONS
IMPORTS
INCOME
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
INTERMEDIATE GOODS
IRRIGATION
LOOMS
MILL
NATURAL RESOURCES
POLITICAL ECONOMY
PRICE ELASTICITIES
PRODUCE
PRODUCTION OF COTTON
QUOTAS
RURAL DEVELOPMENT
SPINNING
SPUN YARN
TAX RATES
TAXATION
TEXTILE INDUSTRY
TEXTILE MACHINERY
TEXTILE MACHINERY INDUSTRY
TEXTILE MILLS
TRADE LIBERALIZATION
WAGES
WEAVING
YARN
YIELDS COMMODITIES
EXPORT POLICY
COTTON INDUSTRY
COTTON YARN
COTTON PRODUCTION
TRADE LIBERALIZATION
PRICE ELASTICITY
HANDLOOM INDUSTRY
SUBSIDIES
EXPORT TAXES
INTEREST GROUPS
POLITICAL POWER
Kondo, Masanori
The Political Economy of Commodity Export Policy : A Case Study of India
geographic_facet South Asia
India
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 2750
description Many developing country governments discriminate against sectors that export primary commodities. India, for example, discriminates against cotton production. Exports of cotton have been restricted by quotas, and the mill industry has been subject to such regulations as the obligation to supply hank yarn for Indian handlooms. These interventions have led to stagnating cotton yields, rent-seeking activities, manipulation of cotton statistics, and low profitability in cotton mills' offsetting the short-run benefits of inexpensive cotton in India. The author develops a numerical model to measure the impact of liberalizing cotton exports. This is the first simulation model of its type, and the first multimarket model that computes price elasticities endogenously, based on the ratios between product prices and input costs. The model distinguishes short-run from long-run effects by drawing on the principle that the cost of capital varies only in the long run. Results of the simulation under complete liberalization indicate heavy (16 percent) net losses in income in the handloom sector. The government subsidies needed to compensate for those losses amount to US$423 million, or about 25 percent more than current government revenue in India's cotton sector. Such costly subsidy of handlooms is undesirable not only budgetarily but also politically, because it creates new vested interests. The author proposes politically feasible programs for managing the adverse impact of liberalization on the handloom sector, including handloom conversion and involvement of mills in cotton cultivation. Governments tend to prefer an export quota to an export tax because it is easier to change a quota than a tax rate if market conditions change. But flexible controls actually facilitate rent-seeking activities. As quotas are changed more often than tax rates, more interest groups get involved in lobbying and in padding crop estimates. In other words, the political and economic problems that result from restrictions on commodity exports can be more serious than those relating to resource misallocation. It is important to consider how policy changes will affect the political power structure and the objectives of different interest groups.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Kondo, Masanori
author_facet Kondo, Masanori
author_sort Kondo, Masanori
title The Political Economy of Commodity Export Policy : A Case Study of India
title_short The Political Economy of Commodity Export Policy : A Case Study of India
title_full The Political Economy of Commodity Export Policy : A Case Study of India
title_fullStr The Political Economy of Commodity Export Policy : A Case Study of India
title_full_unstemmed The Political Economy of Commodity Export Policy : A Case Study of India
title_sort political economy of commodity export policy : a case study of india
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2014
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2001/12/1671298/political-economy-commodity-export-policy-case-study-india
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19411
_version_ 1764439706580287488