Exchange Rate Appreciations, Labor Market Rigidities, and Informality

This paper works at the interface of the literature exploring the raison d'etre of the informal labor market and that explaining the real exchange rate appreciations occurring in many Latin American countries during periods of reform. The auth...

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Main Authors: Fiess, Norbert M., Fugazza, Marco, Maloney, William
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2014
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2002/02/2874378/exchange-rate-appreciations-labor-market-rigidities-informality
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19335
id okr-10986-19335
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-193352021-04-23T14:03:42Z Exchange Rate Appreciations, Labor Market Rigidities, and Informality Fiess, Norbert M. Fugazza, Marco Maloney, William BARRIERS TO ENTRY BUDGET CONSTRAINT CAPITAL INTENSIVE CAPITAL MARKETS CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK CONSUMERS CONSUMPTION GROWTH CONSUMPTION LEVELS DOWNWARD PRESSURES ELASTICITIES ELASTICITY ELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTION EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE EMPLOYMENT EQUILIBRIUM EXCHANGE RATE EXCHANGE RATE DEPRECIATION FOREIGN ASSETS FORMAL SECTOR GOVERNMENT REGULATION GROWTH RATE INDEXATION INFLATION INFORMAL SECTOR INTEREST RATE LABOR FORCE LABOR MARKET LABOR MARKETS MARGINAL COSTS MARGINAL PRODUCT MARGINAL PRODUCTIVITY MIGRATION MINIMUM WAGES NOMINAL EXCHANGE RATE PRODUCTION PRODUCTION FUNCTIONS PRODUCTION INCREASES PRODUCTIVITY PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH REAL EXCHANGE REAL EXCHANGE RATE REAL EXCHANGE RATES REAL INTEREST REAL INTEREST RATE RELATIVE PRICE STABILIZATION POLICIES SUBSTITUTION EFFECT TIME SERIES TRADABLE GOODS UTILITY FUNCTION WAGE RIGIDITIES WAGES This paper works at the interface of the literature exploring the raison d'etre of the informal labor market and that explaining the real exchange rate appreciations occurring in many Latin American countries during periods of reform. The authors first build a small country-Australian style model where the informal sector is seen as an unregulated non-tradables sector, augmented by heterogeneity in entrepreneurial ability and capital adjustment costs. They then examine the behavior of the model with and without a formal sector rigidity. It shows that the co-movements of relative formal/informal incomes, formal/informal sector size, and the real exchange rate can offer insight into the level of distortion in the labor market and the source of exchange rate fluctuations. The paper then explores time series data from Brazil, Colombia and Mexico using multivariate co-integration techniques to establish what "regime" each country is in at various periods of time. Mexico appears to be relatively undistorted and the 1987-92 appreciation appears to be largely a function of a boom in the non-tradables sector rather than wage inertia. In spite of a secular expansion of the informal sector there is little evidence of dualism or of a rigidity driven appreciation of the Real, from 1993-1996. Post 1995 Colombia corresponds to a classic segmented labor market and an appreciation partly driven by labor market rigidities. Graphical analysis suggests that neither the Argentine appreciation (1988-1992) or the celebrated Chilean appreciation (1975-1982) were driven by inertial forces 2014-08-14T21:02:15Z 2014-08-14T21:02:15Z 2002-02 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2002/02/2874378/exchange-rate-appreciations-labor-market-rigidities-informality http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19335 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 2771 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research Latin America & Caribbean
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic BARRIERS TO ENTRY
BUDGET CONSTRAINT
CAPITAL INTENSIVE
CAPITAL MARKETS
CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK
CONSUMERS
CONSUMPTION GROWTH
CONSUMPTION LEVELS
DOWNWARD PRESSURES
ELASTICITIES
ELASTICITY
ELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTION
EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS
EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE
EMPLOYMENT
EQUILIBRIUM
EXCHANGE RATE
EXCHANGE RATE DEPRECIATION
FOREIGN ASSETS
FORMAL SECTOR
GOVERNMENT REGULATION
GROWTH RATE
INDEXATION
INFLATION
INFORMAL SECTOR
INTEREST RATE
LABOR FORCE
LABOR MARKET
LABOR MARKETS
MARGINAL COSTS
MARGINAL PRODUCT
MARGINAL PRODUCTIVITY
MIGRATION
MINIMUM WAGES
NOMINAL EXCHANGE RATE
PRODUCTION
PRODUCTION FUNCTIONS
PRODUCTION INCREASES
PRODUCTIVITY
PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH
REAL EXCHANGE
REAL EXCHANGE RATE
REAL EXCHANGE RATES
REAL INTEREST
REAL INTEREST RATE
RELATIVE PRICE
STABILIZATION POLICIES
SUBSTITUTION EFFECT
TIME SERIES
TRADABLE GOODS
UTILITY FUNCTION
WAGE RIGIDITIES
WAGES
spellingShingle BARRIERS TO ENTRY
BUDGET CONSTRAINT
CAPITAL INTENSIVE
CAPITAL MARKETS
CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK
CONSUMERS
CONSUMPTION GROWTH
CONSUMPTION LEVELS
DOWNWARD PRESSURES
ELASTICITIES
ELASTICITY
ELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTION
EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS
EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE
EMPLOYMENT
EQUILIBRIUM
EXCHANGE RATE
EXCHANGE RATE DEPRECIATION
FOREIGN ASSETS
FORMAL SECTOR
GOVERNMENT REGULATION
GROWTH RATE
INDEXATION
INFLATION
INFORMAL SECTOR
INTEREST RATE
LABOR FORCE
LABOR MARKET
LABOR MARKETS
MARGINAL COSTS
MARGINAL PRODUCT
MARGINAL PRODUCTIVITY
MIGRATION
MINIMUM WAGES
NOMINAL EXCHANGE RATE
PRODUCTION
PRODUCTION FUNCTIONS
PRODUCTION INCREASES
PRODUCTIVITY
PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH
REAL EXCHANGE
REAL EXCHANGE RATE
REAL EXCHANGE RATES
REAL INTEREST
REAL INTEREST RATE
RELATIVE PRICE
STABILIZATION POLICIES
SUBSTITUTION EFFECT
TIME SERIES
TRADABLE GOODS
UTILITY FUNCTION
WAGE RIGIDITIES
WAGES
Fiess, Norbert M.
Fugazza, Marco
Maloney, William
Exchange Rate Appreciations, Labor Market Rigidities, and Informality
geographic_facet Latin America & Caribbean
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 2771
description This paper works at the interface of the literature exploring the raison d'etre of the informal labor market and that explaining the real exchange rate appreciations occurring in many Latin American countries during periods of reform. The authors first build a small country-Australian style model where the informal sector is seen as an unregulated non-tradables sector, augmented by heterogeneity in entrepreneurial ability and capital adjustment costs. They then examine the behavior of the model with and without a formal sector rigidity. It shows that the co-movements of relative formal/informal incomes, formal/informal sector size, and the real exchange rate can offer insight into the level of distortion in the labor market and the source of exchange rate fluctuations. The paper then explores time series data from Brazil, Colombia and Mexico using multivariate co-integration techniques to establish what "regime" each country is in at various periods of time. Mexico appears to be relatively undistorted and the 1987-92 appreciation appears to be largely a function of a boom in the non-tradables sector rather than wage inertia. In spite of a secular expansion of the informal sector there is little evidence of dualism or of a rigidity driven appreciation of the Real, from 1993-1996. Post 1995 Colombia corresponds to a classic segmented labor market and an appreciation partly driven by labor market rigidities. Graphical analysis suggests that neither the Argentine appreciation (1988-1992) or the celebrated Chilean appreciation (1975-1982) were driven by inertial forces
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Fiess, Norbert M.
Fugazza, Marco
Maloney, William
author_facet Fiess, Norbert M.
Fugazza, Marco
Maloney, William
author_sort Fiess, Norbert M.
title Exchange Rate Appreciations, Labor Market Rigidities, and Informality
title_short Exchange Rate Appreciations, Labor Market Rigidities, and Informality
title_full Exchange Rate Appreciations, Labor Market Rigidities, and Informality
title_fullStr Exchange Rate Appreciations, Labor Market Rigidities, and Informality
title_full_unstemmed Exchange Rate Appreciations, Labor Market Rigidities, and Informality
title_sort exchange rate appreciations, labor market rigidities, and informality
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2014
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2002/02/2874378/exchange-rate-appreciations-labor-market-rigidities-informality
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19335
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