Ex-ante Evaluation of Conditional Cash Transfer Programs: The Case of Bolsa Escola
Cash transfers targeted to poor people, but conditional on some behavior on their part, such as school attendance or regular visits to health care facilities, are being adopted in a growing number of developing countries. Even where ex-post impact...
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| Format: | Policy Research Working Paper |
| Language: | English en_US |
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World Bank, Washington, DC
2014
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| Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2002/10/2874516/ex-ante-evaluation-conditional-cash-transfer-programs-case-bolsa-escola http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19236 |
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okr-10986-192362021-04-23T14:03:42Z Ex-ante Evaluation of Conditional Cash Transfer Programs: The Case of Bolsa Escola Bourguignon, Francois Ferreira, Francisco H.G. Leite, Phillippe G. ACCOUNT BENEFICIARIES CHILD LABOR CONDITIONALITY COUNTERFACTUAL CREDIT CONSTRAINTS DATA SET DATA SETS DECISION-MAKING PROCESS DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DISPOSABLE INCOME DROPOUTS EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS EQUILIBRIUM EVALUATION METHODS EXCHANGE RATES FOOD POLICY RESEARCH HEALTH CARE HOUSEHOLD BEHAVIOR HOUSEHOLD CHARACTERISTICS HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD LABOR HOUSEHOLD SIZE HOUSEHOLD SURVEY HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS HOUSEHOLD WELFARE HUMAN CAPITAL INCIDENCE OF POVERTY INCOME INCOME EFFECT INCOME LEVEL LABOR MARKET LOCAL LEVEL MINIMUM WAGE NUTRITION PER CAPITA INCOME POOR CHILDREN POOR HOUSEHOLDS POOR PEOPLE POVERTY LINE PROGRAM EFFECTS PROGRAMS REPRESENTATIVE SAMPLE RESEARCH INSTITUTE RURAL AREAS SAMPLE SIZE SCHOOL ATTENDANCE SELECTION BIAS SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT STATISTICAL OFFICE TARGETING TARGETING TRANSFERS TRADEOFFS TRANSPARENCY URBAN AREAS CASH TRANSFER PROGRAMS MEANS TESTING OCCUPATIONAL CHOICE EDUCATIONAL PROGRAMS HOUSEHOLD ALLOCATION MECHANISMS CASH TRANSFER PROGRAMS URBAN AREAS Cash transfers targeted to poor people, but conditional on some behavior on their part, such as school attendance or regular visits to health care facilities, are being adopted in a growing number of developing countries. Even where ex-post impact evaluations have been conducted, a number of policy-relevant counterfactual questions have remained unanswered. These are questions about the potential impact of changes in program design, such as benefit levels or the choice of the means-test, on both the current welfare and the behavioral response of household members. This paper proposes a method to simulate the effects of those alternative program designs on welfare and behavior, based on microeconometrically estimated models of household behavior. In an application to Brazil's recently introduced federal Bolsa Escola program, the authors find a surprisingly strong effect of the conditionality on school attendance, but a muted impact of the transfers on the reduction of current poverty and inequality levels 2014-08-01T20:14:52Z 2014-08-01T20:14:52Z 2002-09 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2002/10/2874516/ex-ante-evaluation-conditional-cash-transfer-programs-case-bolsa-escola http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19236 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 2916 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research Latin America & Caribbean Brazil |
| repository_type |
Digital Repository |
| institution_category |
Foreign Institution |
| institution |
Digital Repositories |
| building |
World Bank Open Knowledge Repository |
| collection |
World Bank |
| language |
English en_US |
| topic |
ACCOUNT BENEFICIARIES CHILD LABOR CONDITIONALITY COUNTERFACTUAL CREDIT CONSTRAINTS DATA SET DATA SETS DECISION-MAKING PROCESS DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DISPOSABLE INCOME DROPOUTS EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS EQUILIBRIUM EVALUATION METHODS EXCHANGE RATES FOOD POLICY RESEARCH HEALTH CARE HOUSEHOLD BEHAVIOR HOUSEHOLD CHARACTERISTICS HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD LABOR HOUSEHOLD SIZE HOUSEHOLD SURVEY HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS HOUSEHOLD WELFARE HUMAN CAPITAL INCIDENCE OF POVERTY INCOME INCOME EFFECT INCOME LEVEL LABOR MARKET LOCAL LEVEL MINIMUM WAGE NUTRITION PER CAPITA INCOME POOR CHILDREN POOR HOUSEHOLDS POOR PEOPLE POVERTY LINE PROGRAM EFFECTS PROGRAMS REPRESENTATIVE SAMPLE RESEARCH INSTITUTE RURAL AREAS SAMPLE SIZE SCHOOL ATTENDANCE SELECTION BIAS SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT STATISTICAL OFFICE TARGETING TARGETING TRANSFERS TRADEOFFS TRANSPARENCY URBAN AREAS CASH TRANSFER PROGRAMS MEANS TESTING OCCUPATIONAL CHOICE EDUCATIONAL PROGRAMS HOUSEHOLD ALLOCATION MECHANISMS CASH TRANSFER PROGRAMS URBAN AREAS |
| spellingShingle |
ACCOUNT BENEFICIARIES CHILD LABOR CONDITIONALITY COUNTERFACTUAL CREDIT CONSTRAINTS DATA SET DATA SETS DECISION-MAKING PROCESS DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DISPOSABLE INCOME DROPOUTS EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS EQUILIBRIUM EVALUATION METHODS EXCHANGE RATES FOOD POLICY RESEARCH HEALTH CARE HOUSEHOLD BEHAVIOR HOUSEHOLD CHARACTERISTICS HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD LABOR HOUSEHOLD SIZE HOUSEHOLD SURVEY HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS HOUSEHOLD WELFARE HUMAN CAPITAL INCIDENCE OF POVERTY INCOME INCOME EFFECT INCOME LEVEL LABOR MARKET LOCAL LEVEL MINIMUM WAGE NUTRITION PER CAPITA INCOME POOR CHILDREN POOR HOUSEHOLDS POOR PEOPLE POVERTY LINE PROGRAM EFFECTS PROGRAMS REPRESENTATIVE SAMPLE RESEARCH INSTITUTE RURAL AREAS SAMPLE SIZE SCHOOL ATTENDANCE SELECTION BIAS SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT STATISTICAL OFFICE TARGETING TARGETING TRANSFERS TRADEOFFS TRANSPARENCY URBAN AREAS CASH TRANSFER PROGRAMS MEANS TESTING OCCUPATIONAL CHOICE EDUCATIONAL PROGRAMS HOUSEHOLD ALLOCATION MECHANISMS CASH TRANSFER PROGRAMS URBAN AREAS Bourguignon, Francois Ferreira, Francisco H.G. Leite, Phillippe G. Ex-ante Evaluation of Conditional Cash Transfer Programs: The Case of Bolsa Escola |
| geographic_facet |
Latin America & Caribbean Brazil |
| relation |
Policy Research Working Paper;No. 2916 |
| description |
Cash transfers targeted to poor people,
but conditional on some behavior on their part, such as
school attendance or regular visits to health care
facilities, are being adopted in a growing number of
developing countries. Even where ex-post impact evaluations
have been conducted, a number of policy-relevant
counterfactual questions have remained unanswered. These are
questions about the potential impact of changes in program
design, such as benefit levels or the choice of the
means-test, on both the current welfare and the behavioral
response of household members. This paper proposes a method
to simulate the effects of those alternative program designs
on welfare and behavior, based on microeconometrically
estimated models of household behavior. In an application to
Brazil's recently introduced federal Bolsa Escola
program, the authors find a surprisingly strong effect of
the conditionality on school attendance, but a muted impact
of the transfers on the reduction of current poverty and
inequality levels |
| format |
Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper |
| author |
Bourguignon, Francois Ferreira, Francisco H.G. Leite, Phillippe G. |
| author_facet |
Bourguignon, Francois Ferreira, Francisco H.G. Leite, Phillippe G. |
| author_sort |
Bourguignon, Francois |
| title |
Ex-ante Evaluation of Conditional Cash Transfer Programs: The Case of Bolsa Escola |
| title_short |
Ex-ante Evaluation of Conditional Cash Transfer Programs: The Case of Bolsa Escola |
| title_full |
Ex-ante Evaluation of Conditional Cash Transfer Programs: The Case of Bolsa Escola |
| title_fullStr |
Ex-ante Evaluation of Conditional Cash Transfer Programs: The Case of Bolsa Escola |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Ex-ante Evaluation of Conditional Cash Transfer Programs: The Case of Bolsa Escola |
| title_sort |
ex-ante evaluation of conditional cash transfer programs: the case of bolsa escola |
| publisher |
World Bank, Washington, DC |
| publishDate |
2014 |
| url |
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2002/10/2874516/ex-ante-evaluation-conditional-cash-transfer-programs-case-bolsa-escola http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19236 |
| _version_ |
1764439599077130240 |