After the Big Bang? Obstacles to the Emergence of the Rule of Law in Post-Communist Societies

With the collapse of communism in Eastern Europe and the Soviet Union in 1989-91, many economic reformers supported "Big Bang" privatization-the rapid transfer of state-owned enterprises to private individuals. It was hoped that Big Bang...

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Main Authors: Hoff, Karla, Stiglitz, Joseph E.
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2014
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2002/12/2107993/after-big-bang-obstacles-emergence-rule-law-post-communist-societies
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19199
id okr-10986-19199
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic RULE OF LAW
TRANSITION ECONOMIES
ECONOMIC REFORM
LAW & ECONOMICS
PRIVATIZATION
STATE-OWNED ENTERPRISES
INSTITUTIONAL FRAMEWORK
LEGAL FRAMEWORK
INVESTOR PROTECTION
POLITICAL ACCOUNTABILITY
VALUE SYSTEMS
ASSET DIVESTITURE
CORPORATE CULTURE
MONETARY POLICY
INVESTMENT RETURNS
ECONOMIC GROWTH ACTIONS
ACTS
ADVERSE EFFECTS
AGGREGATE DEMAND
AGGREGATE SUPPLY
ASSETS
BANKRUPTCY
CAPITAL FLIGHT
CAPITAL FORMATION
CAPITAL MARKET
CAPITAL MARKETS
CIVIL SOCIETY
CODES
COMMUNISM
CONSTANT RETURNS TO SCALE
CORRUPTION
DEBT
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DISCRETION
ECONOMIC EFFICIENCY
ECONOMIC OUTCOMES
ECONOMIC STRATEGIES
ECONOMISTS
EFFECTIVE STRATEGY
EQUILIBRIUM
EXPECTED VALUE
EXPORTS
EXTERNALITIES
EXTERNALITY
FREE ELECTIONS
GDP
INCOME
INSTITUTIONAL CHANGE
INSURANCE
INTERMEDIATE GOODS
JUDGES
JUSTICE
LAWS
LEGAL FRAMEWORK
LEGAL INSTITUTIONS
LOBBYISTS
MEDIA
METALS
MONETARY POLICY
NASH EQUILIBRIUM
NATURAL RESOURCES
NATURAL] RESOURCES
OIL
PAYOFFS
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POLITICAL PARTIES
PRIVATE PROPERTY
PRIVATIZATION
PROFESSIONALS
PROPERTY RIGHTS
PUBLIC GOOD
RULE OF LAW
SAVINGS
SECURITIES
SOCIAL INSURANCE
STEALING
STOCK COMPANIES
TRANSITION ECONOMIES
UTILITIES
VOTERS
VOTING
WEALTH
WEALTH CREATION
spellingShingle RULE OF LAW
TRANSITION ECONOMIES
ECONOMIC REFORM
LAW & ECONOMICS
PRIVATIZATION
STATE-OWNED ENTERPRISES
INSTITUTIONAL FRAMEWORK
LEGAL FRAMEWORK
INVESTOR PROTECTION
POLITICAL ACCOUNTABILITY
VALUE SYSTEMS
ASSET DIVESTITURE
CORPORATE CULTURE
MONETARY POLICY
INVESTMENT RETURNS
ECONOMIC GROWTH ACTIONS
ACTS
ADVERSE EFFECTS
AGGREGATE DEMAND
AGGREGATE SUPPLY
ASSETS
BANKRUPTCY
CAPITAL FLIGHT
CAPITAL FORMATION
CAPITAL MARKET
CAPITAL MARKETS
CIVIL SOCIETY
CODES
COMMUNISM
CONSTANT RETURNS TO SCALE
CORRUPTION
DEBT
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DISCRETION
ECONOMIC EFFICIENCY
ECONOMIC OUTCOMES
ECONOMIC STRATEGIES
ECONOMISTS
EFFECTIVE STRATEGY
EQUILIBRIUM
EXPECTED VALUE
EXPORTS
EXTERNALITIES
EXTERNALITY
FREE ELECTIONS
GDP
INCOME
INSTITUTIONAL CHANGE
INSURANCE
INTERMEDIATE GOODS
JUDGES
JUSTICE
LAWS
LEGAL FRAMEWORK
LEGAL INSTITUTIONS
LOBBYISTS
MEDIA
METALS
MONETARY POLICY
NASH EQUILIBRIUM
NATURAL RESOURCES
NATURAL] RESOURCES
OIL
PAYOFFS
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POLITICAL PARTIES
PRIVATE PROPERTY
PRIVATIZATION
PROFESSIONALS
PROPERTY RIGHTS
PUBLIC GOOD
RULE OF LAW
SAVINGS
SECURITIES
SOCIAL INSURANCE
STEALING
STOCK COMPANIES
TRANSITION ECONOMIES
UTILITIES
VOTERS
VOTING
WEALTH
WEALTH CREATION
Hoff, Karla
Stiglitz, Joseph E.
After the Big Bang? Obstacles to the Emergence of the Rule of Law in Post-Communist Societies
geographic_facet Europe and Central Asia
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 2934
description With the collapse of communism in Eastern Europe and the Soviet Union in 1989-91, many economic reformers supported "Big Bang" privatization-the rapid transfer of state-owned enterprises to private individuals. It was hoped that Big Bang privatization would create the conditions for a demand-led evolution of legal institutions. But there was no theory to explain how this process of institutional evolution, including a legal framework for the protection of investors, would occur and, in fact, it has not yet occurred in Russia, in other former Soviet Union countries, in the Czech Republic, and elsewhere. A central reason for that, according to many scholars, is the weakness of the political demand for the rule of law. To shed light on this puzzle, the authors consider a model where the conditions for the emergence of the rule of law might be interpreted as highly favorable. Individuals with control rights over privatized assets can collectively bring about the rule of law simply by voting for it. These individuals are concerned with the wealth they can obtain from the privatized assets, and have two alternative strategies: building value and stripping assets. Building value under the rule of law yields higher benefits to a majority than stripping assets under no rule of law. But uncertainty about when the rule of law will be established may lead some individuals to choose an economic strategy-stripping assets, including converting corporate assets to private use-that gives them an interest in postponing the establishment of the rule of law. And therefore in the succeeding period, the rule of law may again not be in place, and so again individuals may strip assets. If they do, some of them may again have an interest in postponing the establishment of the rule of law. And so a weak demand for the rule of law can persist. The contribution of the paper is to show that the view that once stripping has occurred, the strippers will say "enough" and by supporting the rule of law seek public protection of their gains, is flawed. By abstracting from the obvious problem that strippers who obtain great wealth can buy special favored treatment from the state, the model highlights two less obvious flaws in the optimistic view about the Big Bang: First, that the asset-strippers can remove the assets from exposure to further stealing, and in that case they do not care about public protection for their gains. And second, that the perceived justice of a system is important to gaining the cooperation of those involved in the process of producing the rule of law (judges, regulators, jurors, potential offenders). Accordingly, state protection of asset strippers may be infeasible, even under an ostensible rule of law. Knowing this, strippers will be less supportive of the rule of law. The model makes one further point: what is at issue is how fast the rule of law will emerge. The presumption of the Big Bang strategy was that the faster state property was turned over to private hands, the faster a true market economy, including the rule of law, would be established. The analysis shows that, even if eventually a rule of law is established, the Big Bang may put into play forces that delay the establishment of the rule of law. The tortoise once again may beat the hare! Finally, the authors analyze the impact of certain policies, such as the particular structure of privatization and monetary policy. Policies that enhance the returns to investment and wealth creation rather than asset stripping not only serve to strengthen the economy in the short run, but enhance political support for the rule of law and thus put it in a position for stronger long-term growth.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Hoff, Karla
Stiglitz, Joseph E.
author_facet Hoff, Karla
Stiglitz, Joseph E.
author_sort Hoff, Karla
title After the Big Bang? Obstacles to the Emergence of the Rule of Law in Post-Communist Societies
title_short After the Big Bang? Obstacles to the Emergence of the Rule of Law in Post-Communist Societies
title_full After the Big Bang? Obstacles to the Emergence of the Rule of Law in Post-Communist Societies
title_fullStr After the Big Bang? Obstacles to the Emergence of the Rule of Law in Post-Communist Societies
title_full_unstemmed After the Big Bang? Obstacles to the Emergence of the Rule of Law in Post-Communist Societies
title_sort after the big bang? obstacles to the emergence of the rule of law in post-communist societies
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2014
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2002/12/2107993/after-big-bang-obstacles-emergence-rule-law-post-communist-societies
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19199
_version_ 1764439740208119808
spelling okr-10986-191992021-04-23T14:03:43Z After the Big Bang? Obstacles to the Emergence of the Rule of Law in Post-Communist Societies Hoff, Karla Stiglitz, Joseph E. RULE OF LAW TRANSITION ECONOMIES ECONOMIC REFORM LAW & ECONOMICS PRIVATIZATION STATE-OWNED ENTERPRISES INSTITUTIONAL FRAMEWORK LEGAL FRAMEWORK INVESTOR PROTECTION POLITICAL ACCOUNTABILITY VALUE SYSTEMS ASSET DIVESTITURE CORPORATE CULTURE MONETARY POLICY INVESTMENT RETURNS ECONOMIC GROWTH ACTIONS ACTS ADVERSE EFFECTS AGGREGATE DEMAND AGGREGATE SUPPLY ASSETS BANKRUPTCY CAPITAL FLIGHT CAPITAL FORMATION CAPITAL MARKET CAPITAL MARKETS CIVIL SOCIETY CODES COMMUNISM CONSTANT RETURNS TO SCALE CORRUPTION DEBT DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DISCRETION ECONOMIC EFFICIENCY ECONOMIC OUTCOMES ECONOMIC STRATEGIES ECONOMISTS EFFECTIVE STRATEGY EQUILIBRIUM EXPECTED VALUE EXPORTS EXTERNALITIES EXTERNALITY FREE ELECTIONS GDP INCOME INSTITUTIONAL CHANGE INSURANCE INTERMEDIATE GOODS JUDGES JUSTICE LAWS LEGAL FRAMEWORK LEGAL INSTITUTIONS LOBBYISTS MEDIA METALS MONETARY POLICY NASH EQUILIBRIUM NATURAL RESOURCES NATURAL] RESOURCES OIL PAYOFFS POLITICAL ECONOMY POLITICAL PARTIES PRIVATE PROPERTY PRIVATIZATION PROFESSIONALS PROPERTY RIGHTS PUBLIC GOOD RULE OF LAW SAVINGS SECURITIES SOCIAL INSURANCE STEALING STOCK COMPANIES TRANSITION ECONOMIES UTILITIES VOTERS VOTING WEALTH WEALTH CREATION With the collapse of communism in Eastern Europe and the Soviet Union in 1989-91, many economic reformers supported "Big Bang" privatization-the rapid transfer of state-owned enterprises to private individuals. It was hoped that Big Bang privatization would create the conditions for a demand-led evolution of legal institutions. But there was no theory to explain how this process of institutional evolution, including a legal framework for the protection of investors, would occur and, in fact, it has not yet occurred in Russia, in other former Soviet Union countries, in the Czech Republic, and elsewhere. A central reason for that, according to many scholars, is the weakness of the political demand for the rule of law. To shed light on this puzzle, the authors consider a model where the conditions for the emergence of the rule of law might be interpreted as highly favorable. Individuals with control rights over privatized assets can collectively bring about the rule of law simply by voting for it. These individuals are concerned with the wealth they can obtain from the privatized assets, and have two alternative strategies: building value and stripping assets. Building value under the rule of law yields higher benefits to a majority than stripping assets under no rule of law. But uncertainty about when the rule of law will be established may lead some individuals to choose an economic strategy-stripping assets, including converting corporate assets to private use-that gives them an interest in postponing the establishment of the rule of law. And therefore in the succeeding period, the rule of law may again not be in place, and so again individuals may strip assets. If they do, some of them may again have an interest in postponing the establishment of the rule of law. And so a weak demand for the rule of law can persist. The contribution of the paper is to show that the view that once stripping has occurred, the strippers will say "enough" and by supporting the rule of law seek public protection of their gains, is flawed. By abstracting from the obvious problem that strippers who obtain great wealth can buy special favored treatment from the state, the model highlights two less obvious flaws in the optimistic view about the Big Bang: First, that the asset-strippers can remove the assets from exposure to further stealing, and in that case they do not care about public protection for their gains. And second, that the perceived justice of a system is important to gaining the cooperation of those involved in the process of producing the rule of law (judges, regulators, jurors, potential offenders). Accordingly, state protection of asset strippers may be infeasible, even under an ostensible rule of law. Knowing this, strippers will be less supportive of the rule of law. The model makes one further point: what is at issue is how fast the rule of law will emerge. The presumption of the Big Bang strategy was that the faster state property was turned over to private hands, the faster a true market economy, including the rule of law, would be established. The analysis shows that, even if eventually a rule of law is established, the Big Bang may put into play forces that delay the establishment of the rule of law. The tortoise once again may beat the hare! Finally, the authors analyze the impact of certain policies, such as the particular structure of privatization and monetary policy. Policies that enhance the returns to investment and wealth creation rather than asset stripping not only serve to strengthen the economy in the short run, but enhance political support for the rule of law and thus put it in a position for stronger long-term growth. 2014-08-01T17:35:29Z 2014-08-01T17:35:29Z 2002-12 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2002/12/2107993/after-big-bang-obstacles-emergence-rule-law-post-communist-societies http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19199 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 2934 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research Europe and Central Asia