Greed and Grievance in Civil War

The authors compare two contrasting motivations for rebellion: greed and grievance. Most rebellions are ostensibly in pursuit of a cause, supported by a narrative of grievance. But since grievance assuagement through rebellion is a public good that...

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Main Authors: Collier, Paul, Hoeffler, Anke
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2014
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2000/05/437634/greed-grievance-civil-war
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/18853
id okr-10986-18853
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-188532021-04-23T14:03:46Z Greed and Grievance in Civil War Collier, Paul Hoeffler, Anke ARMIES ARMS ARMS RACE BOUNDARIES CAUSE OF CONFLICT CAUSES OF CONFLICT CIVIL CONFLICT CIVIL WAR CIVIL WARS COLD WAR COMBAT CONFLICT RISK CONFLICTS COSTS OF REBELLION COUNTER-INSURGENCY CRIME DEFENSE DIASPORA DIASPORA LIVING DIASPORA ORGANIZATIONS DIASPORAS DRUG ADDICTS ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC INEQUALITY ECONOMIC THEORY OF REBELLION ETHNIC COMPOSITION ETHNIC DOMINANCE ETHNIC GROUP ETHNIC GROUPS ETHNIC HATRED ETHNIC MAJORITY ETHNICALLY DIVERSE SOCIETIES EXTORTION FOREIGN BORN POPULATION FOREIGN GOVERNMENTS GEOGRAPHIC DISPERSION GOVERNMENT ARMY GREED-GRIEVANCE GREED-REBELLION GRIEVANCE MODEL GRIEVANCE MODELS GROUP HATRED HIGH INEQUALITY HOMOGENOUS SOCIETIES INCOME INCOME-EARNING OPPORTUNITIES INSURRECTIONS INTERNAL CONFLICT INTERNAL REBELLION INTERNATIONAL CONFLICT LINGUISTIC FRACTIONALIZATION LINGUISTIC FRACTIONALIZATION INDEX MILITARY ADVANTAGE MILITARY FORCES MILITARY HISTORY MILITARY OPPOSITION MODEL OF CONFLICT OBJECTIVE GRIEVANCE OBJECTIVE GRIEVANCES PEACE PEACE RESEARCH POLITICAL ALLEGIANCE POLITICAL ANALYSIS POLITICAL CONTEST POLITICAL REPRESSION POLITICAL RIGHTS POOR POST- CONFLICT POST-CONFLICT PREDATORY REBELLION PROTEST MOVEMENT PROTEST MOVEMENTS REBEL COHESION REBEL FORCES REBEL GROUP REBEL GROUPS REBEL LEADER REBEL MILITARY ADVANTAGE REBEL MOVEMENT REBEL MOVEMENTS REBEL ORGANIZATION REBEL ORGANIZATIONS REBEL RECRUITMENT REBELLIONS RELIGIOUS FRACTIONALIZATION RELIGIOUS HATREDS RISK OF CONFLICT RISK OF REBELLION RISKS OF CONFLICT RISKS OF CONFLICT RENEWAL SOCIAL FRACTIONALIZATION STOCKHOLM INTERNATIONAL PEACE RESEARCH INSTITUTE TAXATION The authors compare two contrasting motivations for rebellion: greed and grievance. Most rebellions are ostensibly in pursuit of a cause, supported by a narrative of grievance. But since grievance assuagement through rebellion is a public good that a government will not supply, economists predict such rebellions would be rare. Empirically, many rebellions appear to be linked to the capture of resources (such as diamonds in Angola, and Sierra Leone, drugs in Colombia, and timber in Cambodia). The authors set up a simple rational choice model of greed-rebellion, and contrasts its predictions with those of a simple grievance model. Some countries return to conflict repeatedly. Are they conflict-prone, or is there a feedback effect whereby conflict generates grievance, which in turn generates further conflict? The authors show why such a feedback effect might be present in both greed-motivated and grievance rebellions. The authors' results contrast with conventional beliefs, about the causes of conflict. A stylized version of conventional beliefs would be that grievance begets conflict, which begets grievance, which begets further conflict. With such a model, the only point at which to intervene is to reduce the level of objective grievance. The authors' model suggests that what actually happens is that opportunities for predation (controlling primary commodity exports) cause conflict, and the grievances this generates induce diasporas to finance further conflict. The point of policy intervention here is to reduce the absolute, and relative attraction of primary commodity predation, and to reduce the ability of diasporas to fund rebel movements. 2014-06-30T19:20:36Z 2014-06-30T19:20:36Z 2000-05 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2000/05/437634/greed-grievance-civil-war http://hdl.handle.net/10986/18853 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 2355 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic ARMIES
ARMS
ARMS RACE
BOUNDARIES
CAUSE OF CONFLICT
CAUSES OF CONFLICT
CIVIL CONFLICT
CIVIL WAR
CIVIL WARS
COLD WAR
COMBAT
CONFLICT RISK
CONFLICTS
COSTS OF REBELLION
COUNTER-INSURGENCY
CRIME
DEFENSE
DIASPORA
DIASPORA LIVING
DIASPORA ORGANIZATIONS
DIASPORAS
DRUG ADDICTS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC INEQUALITY
ECONOMIC THEORY OF REBELLION
ETHNIC COMPOSITION
ETHNIC DOMINANCE
ETHNIC GROUP
ETHNIC GROUPS
ETHNIC HATRED
ETHNIC MAJORITY
ETHNICALLY DIVERSE SOCIETIES
EXTORTION
FOREIGN BORN POPULATION
FOREIGN GOVERNMENTS
GEOGRAPHIC DISPERSION
GOVERNMENT ARMY
GREED-GRIEVANCE
GREED-REBELLION
GRIEVANCE MODEL
GRIEVANCE MODELS
GROUP HATRED
HIGH INEQUALITY
HOMOGENOUS SOCIETIES
INCOME
INCOME-EARNING OPPORTUNITIES
INSURRECTIONS
INTERNAL CONFLICT
INTERNAL REBELLION
INTERNATIONAL CONFLICT
LINGUISTIC FRACTIONALIZATION
LINGUISTIC FRACTIONALIZATION INDEX
MILITARY ADVANTAGE
MILITARY FORCES
MILITARY HISTORY
MILITARY OPPOSITION
MODEL OF CONFLICT
OBJECTIVE GRIEVANCE
OBJECTIVE GRIEVANCES
PEACE
PEACE RESEARCH
POLITICAL ALLEGIANCE
POLITICAL ANALYSIS
POLITICAL CONTEST
POLITICAL REPRESSION
POLITICAL RIGHTS
POOR
POST- CONFLICT
POST-CONFLICT
PREDATORY REBELLION
PROTEST MOVEMENT
PROTEST MOVEMENTS
REBEL COHESION
REBEL FORCES
REBEL GROUP
REBEL GROUPS
REBEL LEADER
REBEL MILITARY ADVANTAGE
REBEL MOVEMENT
REBEL MOVEMENTS
REBEL ORGANIZATION
REBEL ORGANIZATIONS
REBEL RECRUITMENT
REBELLIONS
RELIGIOUS FRACTIONALIZATION
RELIGIOUS HATREDS
RISK OF CONFLICT
RISK OF REBELLION
RISKS OF CONFLICT
RISKS OF CONFLICT RENEWAL
SOCIAL FRACTIONALIZATION
STOCKHOLM INTERNATIONAL PEACE RESEARCH INSTITUTE
TAXATION
spellingShingle ARMIES
ARMS
ARMS RACE
BOUNDARIES
CAUSE OF CONFLICT
CAUSES OF CONFLICT
CIVIL CONFLICT
CIVIL WAR
CIVIL WARS
COLD WAR
COMBAT
CONFLICT RISK
CONFLICTS
COSTS OF REBELLION
COUNTER-INSURGENCY
CRIME
DEFENSE
DIASPORA
DIASPORA LIVING
DIASPORA ORGANIZATIONS
DIASPORAS
DRUG ADDICTS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC INEQUALITY
ECONOMIC THEORY OF REBELLION
ETHNIC COMPOSITION
ETHNIC DOMINANCE
ETHNIC GROUP
ETHNIC GROUPS
ETHNIC HATRED
ETHNIC MAJORITY
ETHNICALLY DIVERSE SOCIETIES
EXTORTION
FOREIGN BORN POPULATION
FOREIGN GOVERNMENTS
GEOGRAPHIC DISPERSION
GOVERNMENT ARMY
GREED-GRIEVANCE
GREED-REBELLION
GRIEVANCE MODEL
GRIEVANCE MODELS
GROUP HATRED
HIGH INEQUALITY
HOMOGENOUS SOCIETIES
INCOME
INCOME-EARNING OPPORTUNITIES
INSURRECTIONS
INTERNAL CONFLICT
INTERNAL REBELLION
INTERNATIONAL CONFLICT
LINGUISTIC FRACTIONALIZATION
LINGUISTIC FRACTIONALIZATION INDEX
MILITARY ADVANTAGE
MILITARY FORCES
MILITARY HISTORY
MILITARY OPPOSITION
MODEL OF CONFLICT
OBJECTIVE GRIEVANCE
OBJECTIVE GRIEVANCES
PEACE
PEACE RESEARCH
POLITICAL ALLEGIANCE
POLITICAL ANALYSIS
POLITICAL CONTEST
POLITICAL REPRESSION
POLITICAL RIGHTS
POOR
POST- CONFLICT
POST-CONFLICT
PREDATORY REBELLION
PROTEST MOVEMENT
PROTEST MOVEMENTS
REBEL COHESION
REBEL FORCES
REBEL GROUP
REBEL GROUPS
REBEL LEADER
REBEL MILITARY ADVANTAGE
REBEL MOVEMENT
REBEL MOVEMENTS
REBEL ORGANIZATION
REBEL ORGANIZATIONS
REBEL RECRUITMENT
REBELLIONS
RELIGIOUS FRACTIONALIZATION
RELIGIOUS HATREDS
RISK OF CONFLICT
RISK OF REBELLION
RISKS OF CONFLICT
RISKS OF CONFLICT RENEWAL
SOCIAL FRACTIONALIZATION
STOCKHOLM INTERNATIONAL PEACE RESEARCH INSTITUTE
TAXATION
Collier, Paul
Hoeffler, Anke
Greed and Grievance in Civil War
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 2355
description The authors compare two contrasting motivations for rebellion: greed and grievance. Most rebellions are ostensibly in pursuit of a cause, supported by a narrative of grievance. But since grievance assuagement through rebellion is a public good that a government will not supply, economists predict such rebellions would be rare. Empirically, many rebellions appear to be linked to the capture of resources (such as diamonds in Angola, and Sierra Leone, drugs in Colombia, and timber in Cambodia). The authors set up a simple rational choice model of greed-rebellion, and contrasts its predictions with those of a simple grievance model. Some countries return to conflict repeatedly. Are they conflict-prone, or is there a feedback effect whereby conflict generates grievance, which in turn generates further conflict? The authors show why such a feedback effect might be present in both greed-motivated and grievance rebellions. The authors' results contrast with conventional beliefs, about the causes of conflict. A stylized version of conventional beliefs would be that grievance begets conflict, which begets grievance, which begets further conflict. With such a model, the only point at which to intervene is to reduce the level of objective grievance. The authors' model suggests that what actually happens is that opportunities for predation (controlling primary commodity exports) cause conflict, and the grievances this generates induce diasporas to finance further conflict. The point of policy intervention here is to reduce the absolute, and relative attraction of primary commodity predation, and to reduce the ability of diasporas to fund rebel movements.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Collier, Paul
Hoeffler, Anke
author_facet Collier, Paul
Hoeffler, Anke
author_sort Collier, Paul
title Greed and Grievance in Civil War
title_short Greed and Grievance in Civil War
title_full Greed and Grievance in Civil War
title_fullStr Greed and Grievance in Civil War
title_full_unstemmed Greed and Grievance in Civil War
title_sort greed and grievance in civil war
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2014
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2000/05/437634/greed-grievance-civil-war
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/18853
_version_ 1764441634738536448