World Bank Lending and the Quality of Economic Policy

This study investigates the impact of World Bank development policy lending on the quality of economic policy. It finds that the quality of policy increases, but at a diminishing rate, with the cumulative number of policy loans. Similar results hol...

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Main Authors: Smets, Lodewijk, Knack, Stephen
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2014
Subjects:
AIC
GDP
SAL
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/06/19680397/world-bank-lending-quality-economic-policy
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/18754
id okr-10986-18754
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-187542021-04-23T14:03:49Z World Bank Lending and the Quality of Economic Policy Smets, Lodewijk Knack, Stephen ACCOUNTABILITY ADJUSTMENT LOANS ADVERSE EFFECTS AGRICULTURE AIC AUDITS BALANCE OF PAYMENTS BANK POLICY BASE YEAR BEST PRACTICE BOND BORROWING BORROWING COUNTRIES BUDGET DEFICITS BUSINESS CYCLE CHECKS COMMITMENT COMMITMENTS COMPARATIVE ECONOMICS CONDITIONALITY CORRUPTION COUNTERPART COUNTRY RISK CREDITORS DEBT DEBT POLICY DEBT SERVICE DEMOCRACIES DEMOCRACY DEMOCRATIC INSTITUTIONS DEREGULATION DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DEVELOPMENT POLICIES DEVELOPMENT POLICY DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY DIMINISHING RETURNS DISBURSEMENT DISBURSEMENTS DUMMY VARIABLE ECONOMETRICS ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE ECONOMIC POLICY ECONOMIC REFORM ECONOMIC RISK ECONOMIC SYSTEMS ECONOMICS ECONOMIES OF SCALE EMPLOYMENT ENFORCEABILITY ENVIRONMENTAL POLICIES EQUATIONS FINANCIAL FLOWS FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT FINANCIAL SECTOR FINANCIAL SUPPORT FISCAL DEFICITS FISCAL DISCIPLINE FISCAL POLICY FOREIGN AID FUNCTIONAL FORMS FUTURE RESEARCH GDP GDP PER CAPITA GOVERNMENT DEBT GOVERNMENT POLICIES GOVERNMENT SPENDING GROWTH MODELS HUMAN CAPITAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT HUMAN RESOURCES INCOME INCOME GROWTH INCOME LEVEL INFLATION INFLATION RATE INTERNATIONAL BANK INTERNATIONAL COURT INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS INVESTIGATION INVESTING LENDERS LENDING DECISIONS LENDING INSTRUMENT LENDING PORTFOLIO LENDING PROGRAMS LENDING VOLUME LOAN LOAN AGREEMENT MACROECONOMIC ADJUSTMENT MACROECONOMIC MANAGEMENT MACROECONOMIC POLICIES MACROECONOMIC POLICY MACROECONOMIC STABILITY MARKET REFORM MONETARY POLICY OPEN MARKETS PER CAPITA INCOME POLITICAL ECONOMY POLITICAL LEADERS PRIVATE DEBT PRIVATE INVESTMENT PUBLIC SERVICES REAL GDP REGRESSION ANALYSIS REVENUE MOBILIZATION RULE OF LAW SAL SCALE EFFECTS SECURE PROPERTY RIGHTS STRUCTURAL ADJUSTMENT TOTAL DEBT TRADE POLICY TRANCHES TRANSPARENCY TRANSPORT URBAN DEVELOPMENT WORLD BANK LENDING WORLD BANK LOAN WORLD BANK LOANS This study investigates the impact of World Bank development policy lending on the quality of economic policy. It finds that the quality of policy increases, but at a diminishing rate, with the cumulative number of policy loans. Similar results hold for the cumulative number of conditions attached to policy loans, although quadratic specifications indicate that additional conditions may even reduce the quality of policy beyond some point. The paper measures the quality of economic policy using the World Bank's Country Policy and Institutional Assessments of macro, debt, fiscal and structural policies, and considers only policy loans targeted at improvements in those areas. Previous studies finding weaker effects of policy lending on macro stability have failed to distinguish loans primarily intended to improve economic policy from other loans targeted at improvements in sector policies or in public management. The paper also shows that investing in economic policy does not "crowd out" policy improvements in other areas such as public sector governance or human development. The results are robust to using alternative indicators of policy quality, and correcting for endogeneity with system generalized methods of moments and cross-sectional two-stage least squares. The more positive results in the study relative to some previous studies based on earlier loans are consistent with claims by the World Bank that it has learned from its mistakes with traditional adjustment lending. 2014-06-25T20:19:06Z 2014-06-25T20:19:06Z 2014-06 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/06/19680397/world-bank-lending-quality-economic-policy http://hdl.handle.net/10986/18754 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 6924 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic ACCOUNTABILITY
ADJUSTMENT LOANS
ADVERSE EFFECTS
AGRICULTURE
AIC
AUDITS
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
BANK POLICY
BASE YEAR
BEST PRACTICE
BOND
BORROWING
BORROWING COUNTRIES
BUDGET DEFICITS
BUSINESS CYCLE
CHECKS
COMMITMENT
COMMITMENTS
COMPARATIVE ECONOMICS
CONDITIONALITY
CORRUPTION
COUNTERPART
COUNTRY RISK
CREDITORS
DEBT
DEBT POLICY
DEBT SERVICE
DEMOCRACIES
DEMOCRACY
DEMOCRATIC INSTITUTIONS
DEREGULATION
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DEVELOPMENT POLICIES
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES
DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
DIMINISHING RETURNS
DISBURSEMENT
DISBURSEMENTS
DUMMY VARIABLE
ECONOMETRICS
ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
ECONOMIC POLICY
ECONOMIC REFORM
ECONOMIC RISK
ECONOMIC SYSTEMS
ECONOMICS
ECONOMIES OF SCALE
EMPLOYMENT
ENFORCEABILITY
ENVIRONMENTAL POLICIES
EQUATIONS
FINANCIAL FLOWS
FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
FINANCIAL SECTOR
FINANCIAL SUPPORT
FISCAL DEFICITS
FISCAL DISCIPLINE
FISCAL POLICY
FOREIGN AID
FUNCTIONAL FORMS
FUTURE RESEARCH
GDP
GDP PER CAPITA
GOVERNMENT DEBT
GOVERNMENT POLICIES
GOVERNMENT SPENDING
GROWTH MODELS
HUMAN CAPITAL
HUMAN DEVELOPMENT
HUMAN RESOURCES
INCOME
INCOME GROWTH
INCOME LEVEL
INFLATION
INFLATION RATE
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL COURT
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
INVESTIGATION
INVESTING
LENDERS
LENDING DECISIONS
LENDING INSTRUMENT
LENDING PORTFOLIO
LENDING PROGRAMS
LENDING VOLUME
LOAN
LOAN AGREEMENT
MACROECONOMIC ADJUSTMENT
MACROECONOMIC MANAGEMENT
MACROECONOMIC POLICIES
MACROECONOMIC POLICY
MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
MARKET REFORM
MONETARY POLICY
OPEN MARKETS
PER CAPITA INCOME
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POLITICAL LEADERS
PRIVATE DEBT
PRIVATE INVESTMENT
PUBLIC SERVICES
REAL GDP
REGRESSION ANALYSIS
REVENUE MOBILIZATION
RULE OF LAW
SAL
SCALE EFFECTS
SECURE PROPERTY RIGHTS
STRUCTURAL ADJUSTMENT
TOTAL DEBT
TRADE POLICY
TRANCHES
TRANSPARENCY
TRANSPORT
URBAN DEVELOPMENT
WORLD BANK LENDING
WORLD BANK LOAN
WORLD BANK LOANS
spellingShingle ACCOUNTABILITY
ADJUSTMENT LOANS
ADVERSE EFFECTS
AGRICULTURE
AIC
AUDITS
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
BANK POLICY
BASE YEAR
BEST PRACTICE
BOND
BORROWING
BORROWING COUNTRIES
BUDGET DEFICITS
BUSINESS CYCLE
CHECKS
COMMITMENT
COMMITMENTS
COMPARATIVE ECONOMICS
CONDITIONALITY
CORRUPTION
COUNTERPART
COUNTRY RISK
CREDITORS
DEBT
DEBT POLICY
DEBT SERVICE
DEMOCRACIES
DEMOCRACY
DEMOCRATIC INSTITUTIONS
DEREGULATION
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DEVELOPMENT POLICIES
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES
DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
DIMINISHING RETURNS
DISBURSEMENT
DISBURSEMENTS
DUMMY VARIABLE
ECONOMETRICS
ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
ECONOMIC POLICY
ECONOMIC REFORM
ECONOMIC RISK
ECONOMIC SYSTEMS
ECONOMICS
ECONOMIES OF SCALE
EMPLOYMENT
ENFORCEABILITY
ENVIRONMENTAL POLICIES
EQUATIONS
FINANCIAL FLOWS
FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
FINANCIAL SECTOR
FINANCIAL SUPPORT
FISCAL DEFICITS
FISCAL DISCIPLINE
FISCAL POLICY
FOREIGN AID
FUNCTIONAL FORMS
FUTURE RESEARCH
GDP
GDP PER CAPITA
GOVERNMENT DEBT
GOVERNMENT POLICIES
GOVERNMENT SPENDING
GROWTH MODELS
HUMAN CAPITAL
HUMAN DEVELOPMENT
HUMAN RESOURCES
INCOME
INCOME GROWTH
INCOME LEVEL
INFLATION
INFLATION RATE
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL COURT
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
INVESTIGATION
INVESTING
LENDERS
LENDING DECISIONS
LENDING INSTRUMENT
LENDING PORTFOLIO
LENDING PROGRAMS
LENDING VOLUME
LOAN
LOAN AGREEMENT
MACROECONOMIC ADJUSTMENT
MACROECONOMIC MANAGEMENT
MACROECONOMIC POLICIES
MACROECONOMIC POLICY
MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
MARKET REFORM
MONETARY POLICY
OPEN MARKETS
PER CAPITA INCOME
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POLITICAL LEADERS
PRIVATE DEBT
PRIVATE INVESTMENT
PUBLIC SERVICES
REAL GDP
REGRESSION ANALYSIS
REVENUE MOBILIZATION
RULE OF LAW
SAL
SCALE EFFECTS
SECURE PROPERTY RIGHTS
STRUCTURAL ADJUSTMENT
TOTAL DEBT
TRADE POLICY
TRANCHES
TRANSPARENCY
TRANSPORT
URBAN DEVELOPMENT
WORLD BANK LENDING
WORLD BANK LOAN
WORLD BANK LOANS
Smets, Lodewijk
Knack, Stephen
World Bank Lending and the Quality of Economic Policy
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 6924
description This study investigates the impact of World Bank development policy lending on the quality of economic policy. It finds that the quality of policy increases, but at a diminishing rate, with the cumulative number of policy loans. Similar results hold for the cumulative number of conditions attached to policy loans, although quadratic specifications indicate that additional conditions may even reduce the quality of policy beyond some point. The paper measures the quality of economic policy using the World Bank's Country Policy and Institutional Assessments of macro, debt, fiscal and structural policies, and considers only policy loans targeted at improvements in those areas. Previous studies finding weaker effects of policy lending on macro stability have failed to distinguish loans primarily intended to improve economic policy from other loans targeted at improvements in sector policies or in public management. The paper also shows that investing in economic policy does not "crowd out" policy improvements in other areas such as public sector governance or human development. The results are robust to using alternative indicators of policy quality, and correcting for endogeneity with system generalized methods of moments and cross-sectional two-stage least squares. The more positive results in the study relative to some previous studies based on earlier loans are consistent with claims by the World Bank that it has learned from its mistakes with traditional adjustment lending.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Smets, Lodewijk
Knack, Stephen
author_facet Smets, Lodewijk
Knack, Stephen
author_sort Smets, Lodewijk
title World Bank Lending and the Quality of Economic Policy
title_short World Bank Lending and the Quality of Economic Policy
title_full World Bank Lending and the Quality of Economic Policy
title_fullStr World Bank Lending and the Quality of Economic Policy
title_full_unstemmed World Bank Lending and the Quality of Economic Policy
title_sort world bank lending and the quality of economic policy
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2014
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/06/19680397/world-bank-lending-quality-economic-policy
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/18754
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