Climate Information and Forecasting for Development : Lessons from the 1997/98 El Nino
Human welfare and development are heavily influenced by climatic factors. As many as 95 percent of all disaster-related casualties occur in developing countries, and after an event the recovery often takes years. Natural disasters can significantly...
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| Format: | Working Paper |
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World Bank, Washington, DC
2014
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| Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2000/12/1003171/climate-information-forecasting-development-lessons-199798-el-nino http://hdl.handle.net/10986/18298 |
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okr-10986-182982021-04-23T14:03:34Z Climate Information and Forecasting for Development : Lessons from the 1997/98 El Nino Van Aalst, Maarten K. Fankhauser, Samuel Kane, Sally M. Sponberg, Kelly CLIMATIC INFLUENCE FORECASTING EL NINO DISASTER PREVENTION INSTITUTIONAL CAPACITY CLIMATIC CHANGE NATURAL DISASTERS EMERGENCY ASSISTANCE PARTNERSHIPS REGIONAL COOPERATION INFORMATION DISSEMINATION INSTITUTION BUILDING INTEGRATED APPROACH ADAPTATION AGRICULTURE ATMOSPHERE ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CONDITIONS CLIMATE FORECASTS CLIMATE IMPACTS CLIMATE SYSTEM CLIMATE VARIABILITY CLIMATIC CONDITIONS CLIMATIC EVENTS CLIMATIC VARIATIONS CROPS CYCLONE DESERTS DISASTERS DREDGING DROUGHT DRY SEASON EL NINO EPIDEMIOLOGY EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS FLOODING FLOODS FOREST FIRES FORESTRY GDP GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT HUMAN ACTIVITY INFORMATION INJURIES IRON IRRIGATION LA NINA LAND COVER MEDIA MITIGATION MORBIDITY MORTALITY MOTIVATION NEEDS PRECIPITATION PROGRAMS PUBLIC HEALTH RAINFALL RAINFALL CONDITIONS RUNOFF SCHOOLS SILVER SOIL STORMS SURFACE TEMPERATURE TEMPERATURE TOPOGRAPHY WATERWAYS WEATHER WEATHER EVENTS WEATHER FORECASTS WINDS WMO WORLD METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION INTEGRATED APPROACH ADAPTATION Human welfare and development are heavily influenced by climatic factors. As many as 95 percent of all disaster-related casualties occur in developing countries, and after an event the recovery often takes years. Natural disasters can significantly derail the process of social and economic development. The Bank has always supported reconstruction in countries affected by natural disasters. A forward-looking approach to disaster management is needed, in which natural hazards are screened, analyzed, and dealt with in an integrated fashion and in as routine and efficient a manner as are other risks affecting development. This paper argues that the effective use of climate information and forecasting should become an integral part of the new paradigm of comprehensive disaster management. Longer-range forecasts of many phenomena can now be produced at a time scale, reliability, and spatial resolution that make them useful for planning purposes. Forecasts of El Nino Southern Oscillation events are one such example, and their use for disaster management is the main focus of this paper. The use of climate information and forecasts requires strong local institutions, well-functioning procedures for information dissemination, and the trust and motivation of end-users. 2014-05-13T21:27:22Z 2014-05-13T21:27:22Z 2000-12 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2000/12/1003171/climate-information-forecasting-development-lessons-199798-el-nino http://hdl.handle.net/10986/18298 English en_US Environment Department papers;no. 79. Climate change series CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Working Paper Publications & Research |
| repository_type |
Digital Repository |
| institution_category |
Foreign Institution |
| institution |
Digital Repositories |
| building |
World Bank Open Knowledge Repository |
| collection |
World Bank |
| language |
English en_US |
| topic |
CLIMATIC INFLUENCE FORECASTING EL NINO DISASTER PREVENTION INSTITUTIONAL CAPACITY CLIMATIC CHANGE NATURAL DISASTERS EMERGENCY ASSISTANCE PARTNERSHIPS REGIONAL COOPERATION INFORMATION DISSEMINATION INSTITUTION BUILDING INTEGRATED APPROACH ADAPTATION AGRICULTURE ATMOSPHERE ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CONDITIONS CLIMATE FORECASTS CLIMATE IMPACTS CLIMATE SYSTEM CLIMATE VARIABILITY CLIMATIC CONDITIONS CLIMATIC EVENTS CLIMATIC VARIATIONS CROPS CYCLONE DESERTS DISASTERS DREDGING DROUGHT DRY SEASON EL NINO EPIDEMIOLOGY EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS FLOODING FLOODS FOREST FIRES FORESTRY GDP GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT HUMAN ACTIVITY INFORMATION INJURIES IRON IRRIGATION LA NINA LAND COVER MEDIA MITIGATION MORBIDITY MORTALITY MOTIVATION NEEDS PRECIPITATION PROGRAMS PUBLIC HEALTH RAINFALL RAINFALL CONDITIONS RUNOFF SCHOOLS SILVER SOIL STORMS SURFACE TEMPERATURE TEMPERATURE TOPOGRAPHY WATERWAYS WEATHER WEATHER EVENTS WEATHER FORECASTS WINDS WMO WORLD METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION INTEGRATED APPROACH ADAPTATION |
| spellingShingle |
CLIMATIC INFLUENCE FORECASTING EL NINO DISASTER PREVENTION INSTITUTIONAL CAPACITY CLIMATIC CHANGE NATURAL DISASTERS EMERGENCY ASSISTANCE PARTNERSHIPS REGIONAL COOPERATION INFORMATION DISSEMINATION INSTITUTION BUILDING INTEGRATED APPROACH ADAPTATION AGRICULTURE ATMOSPHERE ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CONDITIONS CLIMATE FORECASTS CLIMATE IMPACTS CLIMATE SYSTEM CLIMATE VARIABILITY CLIMATIC CONDITIONS CLIMATIC EVENTS CLIMATIC VARIATIONS CROPS CYCLONE DESERTS DISASTERS DREDGING DROUGHT DRY SEASON EL NINO EPIDEMIOLOGY EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS FLOODING FLOODS FOREST FIRES FORESTRY GDP GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT HUMAN ACTIVITY INFORMATION INJURIES IRON IRRIGATION LA NINA LAND COVER MEDIA MITIGATION MORBIDITY MORTALITY MOTIVATION NEEDS PRECIPITATION PROGRAMS PUBLIC HEALTH RAINFALL RAINFALL CONDITIONS RUNOFF SCHOOLS SILVER SOIL STORMS SURFACE TEMPERATURE TEMPERATURE TOPOGRAPHY WATERWAYS WEATHER WEATHER EVENTS WEATHER FORECASTS WINDS WMO WORLD METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION INTEGRATED APPROACH ADAPTATION Van Aalst, Maarten K. Fankhauser, Samuel Kane, Sally M. Sponberg, Kelly Climate Information and Forecasting for Development : Lessons from the 1997/98 El Nino |
| relation |
Environment Department papers;no. 79.
Climate change series |
| description |
Human welfare and development are
heavily influenced by climatic factors. As many as 95
percent of all disaster-related casualties occur in
developing countries, and after an event the recovery often
takes years. Natural disasters can significantly derail the
process of social and economic development. The Bank has
always supported reconstruction in countries affected by
natural disasters. A forward-looking approach to disaster
management is needed, in which natural hazards are screened,
analyzed, and dealt with in an integrated fashion and in as
routine and efficient a manner as are other risks affecting
development. This paper argues that the effective use of
climate information and forecasting should become an
integral part of the new paradigm of comprehensive disaster
management. Longer-range forecasts of many phenomena can now
be produced at a time scale, reliability, and spatial
resolution that make them useful for planning purposes.
Forecasts of El Nino Southern Oscillation events are one
such example, and their use for disaster management is the
main focus of this paper. The use of climate information and
forecasts requires strong local institutions,
well-functioning procedures for information dissemination,
and the trust and motivation of end-users. |
| format |
Publications & Research :: Working Paper |
| author |
Van Aalst, Maarten K. Fankhauser, Samuel Kane, Sally M. Sponberg, Kelly |
| author_facet |
Van Aalst, Maarten K. Fankhauser, Samuel Kane, Sally M. Sponberg, Kelly |
| author_sort |
Van Aalst, Maarten K. |
| title |
Climate Information and Forecasting for Development : Lessons from the 1997/98 El Nino |
| title_short |
Climate Information and Forecasting for Development : Lessons from the 1997/98 El Nino |
| title_full |
Climate Information and Forecasting for Development : Lessons from the 1997/98 El Nino |
| title_fullStr |
Climate Information and Forecasting for Development : Lessons from the 1997/98 El Nino |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Climate Information and Forecasting for Development : Lessons from the 1997/98 El Nino |
| title_sort |
climate information and forecasting for development : lessons from the 1997/98 el nino |
| publisher |
World Bank, Washington, DC |
| publishDate |
2014 |
| url |
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2000/12/1003171/climate-information-forecasting-development-lessons-199798-el-nino http://hdl.handle.net/10986/18298 |
| _version_ |
1764435795249201152 |