Do Capital Flows Respond to Risk and Return?

This paper explores empirically the role of risk and return in the observed evolution of net foreign asset positions of industrial and developing economies. The paper adopts a dynamic approach in which investors' portfolios adjust gradually to...

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Main Authors: Calderon, Cesar, Loayza, Norman, Serven, Luis
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2014
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2003/05/2390970/capital-flows-respond-risk-return
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/18215
id okr-10986-18215
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-182152021-04-23T14:03:41Z Do Capital Flows Respond to Risk and Return? Calderon, Cesar Loayza, Norman Serven, Luis CAPITAL FLOWS CAPITAL CONTROLS PER CAPITA INCOME ASSET OWNERSHIP DIVERSIFICATION GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT PORTFOLIO COMPOSITION PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT FLOWS ANNUAL OBSERVATIONS ASSETS BALANCE OF PAYMENTS BONDS CAPACITY BUILDING CAPITAL FLOWS CENTRAL BANK DEBT DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS DOMESTIC INVESTMENT ECONOMIC ACTIVITY ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE EMERGING MARKETS EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS EQUILIBRIUM EQUILIBRIUM MODELS EXCHANGE RATE EXPECTED RETURN EXPECTED RETURNS EXPORTS FACTOR MARKETS FINANCIAL MARKETS FOREIGN ASSETS FOREIGN CURRENCY FOREIGN INVESTMENT FOREIGN INVESTORS GDP GDP PER CAPITA GROWTH RATE HUMAN CAPITAL IMPERFECT INFORMATION IMPORTS INCOME INDUSTRIAL ECONOMIES INFLATION IRREVERSIBILITY LABOR INPUTS LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES MACROECONOMICS MARGINAL COSTS MARKET FACTORS MARKET INCENTIVES MIDDLE INCOME COUNTRIES NATURAL RESOURCES OPTIMIZATION PER CAPITA INCOME PERMANENT INCOME PERMANENT INCOME HYPOTHESIS POLICY RESEARCH PORTFOLIO PROFITABILITY PROPERTY RIGHTS REAL GDP RISK MEASUREMENT SCALE ECONOMIES TERMS OF TRADE TIME SERIES TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY TRANSACTION COSTS WEALTH PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT FLOWS ANNUAL OBSERVATIONS This paper explores empirically the role of risk and return in the observed evolution of net foreign asset positions of industrial and developing economies. The paper adopts a dynamic approach in which investors' portfolios adjust gradually to their long-run equilibrium, defined by a standard Tobin-Markowitz framework. The parameters characterizing the long-run equilibrium are estimated using data on foreign assets and liabilities of a large number of industrial and developing countries spanning the period from 1965 to 1997. The paper employs a dynamic panel estimation procedure allowing for unrestricted short-run heterogeneity across countries, using the pooled mean group estimator recently developed by Pesaran, Shin, and Smith (1999). The empirical results lend considerable support to the model when applied to countries with low capital controls and/or high and upper-middle income. The results for countries with either high capital controls or low per capita income are less supportive of the stock equilibrium model for net foreign asset positions. 2014-05-09T18:48:58Z 2014-05-09T18:48:58Z 2003-05 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2003/05/2390970/capital-flows-respond-risk-return http://hdl.handle.net/10986/18215 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 3059 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic CAPITAL FLOWS
CAPITAL CONTROLS
PER CAPITA INCOME
ASSET OWNERSHIP
DIVERSIFICATION
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
PORTFOLIO COMPOSITION
PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT FLOWS ANNUAL OBSERVATIONS
ASSETS
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
BONDS
CAPACITY BUILDING
CAPITAL FLOWS
CENTRAL BANK
DEBT
DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS
DOMESTIC INVESTMENT
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
EMERGING MARKETS
EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS
EQUILIBRIUM
EQUILIBRIUM MODELS
EXCHANGE RATE
EXPECTED RETURN
EXPECTED RETURNS
EXPORTS
FACTOR MARKETS
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FOREIGN ASSETS
FOREIGN CURRENCY
FOREIGN INVESTMENT
FOREIGN INVESTORS
GDP
GDP PER CAPITA
GROWTH RATE
HUMAN CAPITAL
IMPERFECT INFORMATION
IMPORTS
INCOME
INDUSTRIAL ECONOMIES
INFLATION
IRREVERSIBILITY
LABOR INPUTS
LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES
MACROECONOMICS
MARGINAL COSTS
MARKET FACTORS
MARKET INCENTIVES
MIDDLE INCOME COUNTRIES
NATURAL RESOURCES
OPTIMIZATION
PER CAPITA INCOME
PERMANENT INCOME
PERMANENT INCOME HYPOTHESIS
POLICY RESEARCH
PORTFOLIO
PROFITABILITY
PROPERTY RIGHTS
REAL GDP
RISK MEASUREMENT
SCALE ECONOMIES
TERMS OF TRADE
TIME SERIES
TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY
TRANSACTION COSTS
WEALTH
PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT FLOWS
ANNUAL OBSERVATIONS
spellingShingle CAPITAL FLOWS
CAPITAL CONTROLS
PER CAPITA INCOME
ASSET OWNERSHIP
DIVERSIFICATION
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
PORTFOLIO COMPOSITION
PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT FLOWS ANNUAL OBSERVATIONS
ASSETS
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
BONDS
CAPACITY BUILDING
CAPITAL FLOWS
CENTRAL BANK
DEBT
DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS
DOMESTIC INVESTMENT
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
EMERGING MARKETS
EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS
EQUILIBRIUM
EQUILIBRIUM MODELS
EXCHANGE RATE
EXPECTED RETURN
EXPECTED RETURNS
EXPORTS
FACTOR MARKETS
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FOREIGN ASSETS
FOREIGN CURRENCY
FOREIGN INVESTMENT
FOREIGN INVESTORS
GDP
GDP PER CAPITA
GROWTH RATE
HUMAN CAPITAL
IMPERFECT INFORMATION
IMPORTS
INCOME
INDUSTRIAL ECONOMIES
INFLATION
IRREVERSIBILITY
LABOR INPUTS
LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES
MACROECONOMICS
MARGINAL COSTS
MARKET FACTORS
MARKET INCENTIVES
MIDDLE INCOME COUNTRIES
NATURAL RESOURCES
OPTIMIZATION
PER CAPITA INCOME
PERMANENT INCOME
PERMANENT INCOME HYPOTHESIS
POLICY RESEARCH
PORTFOLIO
PROFITABILITY
PROPERTY RIGHTS
REAL GDP
RISK MEASUREMENT
SCALE ECONOMIES
TERMS OF TRADE
TIME SERIES
TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY
TRANSACTION COSTS
WEALTH
PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT FLOWS
ANNUAL OBSERVATIONS
Calderon, Cesar
Loayza, Norman
Serven, Luis
Do Capital Flows Respond to Risk and Return?
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 3059
description This paper explores empirically the role of risk and return in the observed evolution of net foreign asset positions of industrial and developing economies. The paper adopts a dynamic approach in which investors' portfolios adjust gradually to their long-run equilibrium, defined by a standard Tobin-Markowitz framework. The parameters characterizing the long-run equilibrium are estimated using data on foreign assets and liabilities of a large number of industrial and developing countries spanning the period from 1965 to 1997. The paper employs a dynamic panel estimation procedure allowing for unrestricted short-run heterogeneity across countries, using the pooled mean group estimator recently developed by Pesaran, Shin, and Smith (1999). The empirical results lend considerable support to the model when applied to countries with low capital controls and/or high and upper-middle income. The results for countries with either high capital controls or low per capita income are less supportive of the stock equilibrium model for net foreign asset positions.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Calderon, Cesar
Loayza, Norman
Serven, Luis
author_facet Calderon, Cesar
Loayza, Norman
Serven, Luis
author_sort Calderon, Cesar
title Do Capital Flows Respond to Risk and Return?
title_short Do Capital Flows Respond to Risk and Return?
title_full Do Capital Flows Respond to Risk and Return?
title_fullStr Do Capital Flows Respond to Risk and Return?
title_full_unstemmed Do Capital Flows Respond to Risk and Return?
title_sort do capital flows respond to risk and return?
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2014
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2003/05/2390970/capital-flows-respond-risk-return
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/18215
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