Intertemporal Excess Burden, Bequest Motives, and the Budget Deficit

The author aims to empirically determine the significant factors that affect the levels of budget deficits of central governments across time and across countries. He empirically tests two prominent theories of budget deficits-the Barro (1979) tax-...

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Main Author: Chen, Derek Hung Chiat
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2014
Subjects:
GDP
GNP
TAX
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2003/06/2427516/intertemporal-excess-burden-bequest-motives-budget-deficit
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/18179
id okr-10986-18179
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-181792021-04-23T14:03:41Z Intertemporal Excess Burden, Bequest Motives, and the Budget Deficit Chen, Derek Hung Chiat ACCOUNTING BALANCED BUDGETS BUDGET CONSTRAINT BUDGET DEFICIT BUDGET DEFICIT REDUCTION BUDGET DEFICITS BUDGET SURPLUS CAPACITY BUILDING CENTRAL GOVERNMENT CENTRAL GOVERNMENT BUDGETS CENTRAL GOVERNMENTS CITIZENS CLOSED ECONOMY CONSTANT RETURNS TO SCALE DEBT FINANCING DISTRIBUTION OF INCOME DISTRIBUTION OF WEALTH ECONOMIC BOOM ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC THEORY EXOGENOUS VARIABLES FEDERAL GOVERNMENT FISCAL FISCAL DEFICIT FISCAL DEFICITS FISCAL ILLUSION FISCAL POLICY FISCAL YEAR GDP GINI COEFFICIENT GNP GOVERNMENT BONDS GOVERNMENT BUDGET GOVERNMENT BUDGET DEFICIT GOVERNMENT DEBT GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES GOVERNMENT SPENDING GROWTH RATE INCOME INCOME DISTRIBUTION INFLATION INFLATION RATE INSTITUTIONAL ARRANGEMENTS INTEREST RATE INTEREST RATES LEVELS OF GOVERNMENT LOCAL GOVERNMENT MACROECONOMIC CONDITIONS MAJORITY RULE MONEY INCOME NATIONAL GOVERNMENTS OPEN ECONOMIES OPTIMIZATION OVERLAPPING GENERATIONS MODEL POLITICAL ECONOMY PRESENT VALUE PRODUCTION FUNCTION PRODUCTIVITY PUBLIC DEBT PUBLIC EXPENDITURE PUBLIC FINANCE PUBLIC FINANCE THEORY PUBLIC GOODS PUBLIC SECTOR RANDOM WALK REDISTRIBUTIVE EFFECTS REGRESSION ANALYSES RETIREMENT RETURN ON ASSETS SAVINGS SIZE OF GOVERNMENT SOCIAL SECURITY TAX TAX ADMINISTRATION TAX AUTHORITIES TAX BURDEN TAX COLLECTION TAX COLLECTIONS TAX RATE TAX RATES TAX REVENUE TAX REVENUES TAXATION TIME SERIES VOTERS WAGE RATES WAGES WEALTH BUDGET DEFICITS INTERTEMPORAL LAW (INTERNATIONAL LAW) CROSS-COUNTRY EXPERIENCE TAX SYSTEMS TAX SUBSIDIES ECONOMETRIC MODELS MISSING OBSERVATIONS (STATISTICS) CENTRAL GOVERNMENT DATA ANALYSIS POVERTY REDUCTION BUDGET DEFICITS WEALTH The author aims to empirically determine the significant factors that affect the levels of budget deficits of central governments across time and across countries. He empirically tests two prominent theories of budget deficits-the Barro (1979) tax-smoothing approach, and the still-untested theory of negative bequest motives advocated by Cukierman and Meltzer (1989). The author uses econometric techniques including fixed-effects (both country and time) panel regressions spanning 87 countries over the period 1975 to 1992, and the Griliches treatment of missing data. The author finds relatively stronger statistical support for the tax-smoothing approach among developing countries but not in industrial countries. The existence of empirical evidence supporting the theory of negative bequest motives is indeterminate. The author also conducted post-regression analyses to assess the proportion of observed differences in budget deficits the factors were actually able to explain. These reveal that both theories are generally weak in accounting for inter-temporal changes in budget deficit shares for both industrial and developing countries. The theories performed significantly better in accounting for cross-section differences. The author has many contributions to the literature. First, he analyzes the question of what determines the size of central government budget deficits using cross-country time series data leading into the 1990s. Second, he provides empirical tests of the still-untested Cukierman-Meltzer (1989) negative bequest motive theory of budget deficits. By using the panel data, the author attempts to determine the factors that influence not only the inter-temporal differences in budget deficits but also those factors that lead to cross-country differences. Last but not least, he provides some preliminary evidence that poverty reduction is necessary for long-term government budget deficit reduction. 2014-05-05T20:42:11Z 2014-05-05T20:42:11Z 2003-06 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2003/06/2427516/intertemporal-excess-burden-bequest-motives-budget-deficit http://hdl.handle.net/10986/18179 English en_US Policy Research Workding Paper;No. 3086 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic ACCOUNTING
BALANCED BUDGETS
BUDGET CONSTRAINT
BUDGET DEFICIT
BUDGET DEFICIT REDUCTION
BUDGET DEFICITS
BUDGET SURPLUS
CAPACITY BUILDING
CENTRAL GOVERNMENT
CENTRAL GOVERNMENT BUDGETS
CENTRAL GOVERNMENTS
CITIZENS
CLOSED ECONOMY
CONSTANT RETURNS TO SCALE
DEBT FINANCING
DISTRIBUTION OF INCOME
DISTRIBUTION OF WEALTH
ECONOMIC BOOM
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC THEORY
EXOGENOUS VARIABLES
FEDERAL GOVERNMENT
FISCAL
FISCAL DEFICIT
FISCAL DEFICITS
FISCAL ILLUSION
FISCAL POLICY
FISCAL YEAR
GDP
GINI COEFFICIENT
GNP
GOVERNMENT BONDS
GOVERNMENT BUDGET
GOVERNMENT BUDGET DEFICIT
GOVERNMENT DEBT
GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES
GOVERNMENT SPENDING
GROWTH RATE
INCOME
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
INFLATION
INFLATION RATE
INSTITUTIONAL ARRANGEMENTS
INTEREST RATE
INTEREST RATES
LEVELS OF GOVERNMENT
LOCAL GOVERNMENT
MACROECONOMIC CONDITIONS
MAJORITY RULE
MONEY INCOME
NATIONAL GOVERNMENTS
OPEN ECONOMIES
OPTIMIZATION
OVERLAPPING GENERATIONS MODEL
POLITICAL ECONOMY
PRESENT VALUE
PRODUCTION FUNCTION
PRODUCTIVITY
PUBLIC DEBT
PUBLIC EXPENDITURE
PUBLIC FINANCE
PUBLIC FINANCE THEORY
PUBLIC GOODS
PUBLIC SECTOR
RANDOM WALK
REDISTRIBUTIVE EFFECTS
REGRESSION ANALYSES
RETIREMENT
RETURN ON ASSETS
SAVINGS
SIZE OF GOVERNMENT
SOCIAL SECURITY
TAX
TAX ADMINISTRATION
TAX AUTHORITIES
TAX BURDEN
TAX COLLECTION
TAX COLLECTIONS
TAX RATE
TAX RATES
TAX REVENUE
TAX REVENUES
TAXATION
TIME SERIES
VOTERS
WAGE RATES
WAGES
WEALTH BUDGET DEFICITS
INTERTEMPORAL LAW (INTERNATIONAL LAW)
CROSS-COUNTRY EXPERIENCE
TAX SYSTEMS
TAX SUBSIDIES
ECONOMETRIC MODELS
MISSING OBSERVATIONS (STATISTICS)
CENTRAL GOVERNMENT
DATA ANALYSIS
POVERTY REDUCTION
BUDGET DEFICITS
WEALTH
spellingShingle ACCOUNTING
BALANCED BUDGETS
BUDGET CONSTRAINT
BUDGET DEFICIT
BUDGET DEFICIT REDUCTION
BUDGET DEFICITS
BUDGET SURPLUS
CAPACITY BUILDING
CENTRAL GOVERNMENT
CENTRAL GOVERNMENT BUDGETS
CENTRAL GOVERNMENTS
CITIZENS
CLOSED ECONOMY
CONSTANT RETURNS TO SCALE
DEBT FINANCING
DISTRIBUTION OF INCOME
DISTRIBUTION OF WEALTH
ECONOMIC BOOM
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC THEORY
EXOGENOUS VARIABLES
FEDERAL GOVERNMENT
FISCAL
FISCAL DEFICIT
FISCAL DEFICITS
FISCAL ILLUSION
FISCAL POLICY
FISCAL YEAR
GDP
GINI COEFFICIENT
GNP
GOVERNMENT BONDS
GOVERNMENT BUDGET
GOVERNMENT BUDGET DEFICIT
GOVERNMENT DEBT
GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES
GOVERNMENT SPENDING
GROWTH RATE
INCOME
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
INFLATION
INFLATION RATE
INSTITUTIONAL ARRANGEMENTS
INTEREST RATE
INTEREST RATES
LEVELS OF GOVERNMENT
LOCAL GOVERNMENT
MACROECONOMIC CONDITIONS
MAJORITY RULE
MONEY INCOME
NATIONAL GOVERNMENTS
OPEN ECONOMIES
OPTIMIZATION
OVERLAPPING GENERATIONS MODEL
POLITICAL ECONOMY
PRESENT VALUE
PRODUCTION FUNCTION
PRODUCTIVITY
PUBLIC DEBT
PUBLIC EXPENDITURE
PUBLIC FINANCE
PUBLIC FINANCE THEORY
PUBLIC GOODS
PUBLIC SECTOR
RANDOM WALK
REDISTRIBUTIVE EFFECTS
REGRESSION ANALYSES
RETIREMENT
RETURN ON ASSETS
SAVINGS
SIZE OF GOVERNMENT
SOCIAL SECURITY
TAX
TAX ADMINISTRATION
TAX AUTHORITIES
TAX BURDEN
TAX COLLECTION
TAX COLLECTIONS
TAX RATE
TAX RATES
TAX REVENUE
TAX REVENUES
TAXATION
TIME SERIES
VOTERS
WAGE RATES
WAGES
WEALTH BUDGET DEFICITS
INTERTEMPORAL LAW (INTERNATIONAL LAW)
CROSS-COUNTRY EXPERIENCE
TAX SYSTEMS
TAX SUBSIDIES
ECONOMETRIC MODELS
MISSING OBSERVATIONS (STATISTICS)
CENTRAL GOVERNMENT
DATA ANALYSIS
POVERTY REDUCTION
BUDGET DEFICITS
WEALTH
Chen, Derek Hung Chiat
Intertemporal Excess Burden, Bequest Motives, and the Budget Deficit
relation Policy Research Workding Paper;No. 3086
description The author aims to empirically determine the significant factors that affect the levels of budget deficits of central governments across time and across countries. He empirically tests two prominent theories of budget deficits-the Barro (1979) tax-smoothing approach, and the still-untested theory of negative bequest motives advocated by Cukierman and Meltzer (1989). The author uses econometric techniques including fixed-effects (both country and time) panel regressions spanning 87 countries over the period 1975 to 1992, and the Griliches treatment of missing data. The author finds relatively stronger statistical support for the tax-smoothing approach among developing countries but not in industrial countries. The existence of empirical evidence supporting the theory of negative bequest motives is indeterminate. The author also conducted post-regression analyses to assess the proportion of observed differences in budget deficits the factors were actually able to explain. These reveal that both theories are generally weak in accounting for inter-temporal changes in budget deficit shares for both industrial and developing countries. The theories performed significantly better in accounting for cross-section differences. The author has many contributions to the literature. First, he analyzes the question of what determines the size of central government budget deficits using cross-country time series data leading into the 1990s. Second, he provides empirical tests of the still-untested Cukierman-Meltzer (1989) negative bequest motive theory of budget deficits. By using the panel data, the author attempts to determine the factors that influence not only the inter-temporal differences in budget deficits but also those factors that lead to cross-country differences. Last but not least, he provides some preliminary evidence that poverty reduction is necessary for long-term government budget deficit reduction.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Chen, Derek Hung Chiat
author_facet Chen, Derek Hung Chiat
author_sort Chen, Derek Hung Chiat
title Intertemporal Excess Burden, Bequest Motives, and the Budget Deficit
title_short Intertemporal Excess Burden, Bequest Motives, and the Budget Deficit
title_full Intertemporal Excess Burden, Bequest Motives, and the Budget Deficit
title_fullStr Intertemporal Excess Burden, Bequest Motives, and the Budget Deficit
title_full_unstemmed Intertemporal Excess Burden, Bequest Motives, and the Budget Deficit
title_sort intertemporal excess burden, bequest motives, and the budget deficit
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2014
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2003/06/2427516/intertemporal-excess-burden-bequest-motives-budget-deficit
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/18179
_version_ 1764439070609506304