Indonesia Economic Quarterly, March 2014 : Investment in Flux

Indonesia's economy continues to adjust to weaker terms of trade and tighter external financing conditions, with the composition of growth tilting more towards net exports, and economic growth slowing moderately. While this shift is positive f...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: World Bank
Format: Economic Updates and Modeling
Language:English
en_US
Published: Washington, DC 2014
Subjects:
TAX
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/03/19286525/indonesia-economic-quarterly-investment-flux
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/17792
id okr-10986-17792
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic ACCOUNTING
ADVERSE EFFECTS
AGRICULTURE
ARREARS
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
BALANCE SHEETS
BANK ASSETS
BANK LENDING
BANKING SECTOR
BANKING SECTOR ASSETS
BANKING SYSTEM
BASIS POINTS
BENCHMARK
BILL
BOND
BOND YIELDS
BONDS
BORROWING COSTS
BUDGET DEFICIT
CAPITAL ADEQUACY
CAPITAL GOODS
CAPITAL GOODS IMPORTS
CAPITAL INFLOWS
CAPITAL INVESTMENT
CAPITAL OUTFLOWS
COMMERCIAL BANK
COMMERCIAL BANK CREDIT
COMMERCIAL BANK LENDING
COMMERCIAL BANKS
COMMODITY PRICE
COMMODITY PRICES
CONSUMER CREDIT
CONSUMER GOODS
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
CONSUMERS
CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE
CORE INFLATION
CREDIT GROWTH
CURRENCY DEPRECIATION
CURRENCY HEDGING
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT
DEBT
DEBT ISSUANCE
DEBT REPAYMENTS
DECLINE IN INVESTMENT
DEFICITS
DEFLATION
DEPENDENCY RATIO
DEPOSIT
DEPOSITS
DIRECT INVESTMENT
DISBURSEMENT
DISBURSEMENTS
DOMESTIC BONDS
DOMESTIC CURRENCY
DOMESTIC DEMAND
DOMESTIC EQUITIES
DOMESTIC GOVERNMENT BONDS
ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS
ECONOMIC CONDITIONS
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
ECONOMIC RISKS
EMERGING ECONOMIES
EMERGING ECONOMY
EMERGING MARKET
EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES
EMERGING MARKET ECONOMY
EQUIPMENT
EQUITY INDICES
EQUITY MARKETS
EXCHANGE RATE
EXCHANGE RATES
EXPENDITURE
EXPENDITURES
EXPORT GROWTH
EXPORT VOLUMES
EXPORTERS
EXPORTS
EXTERNAL BALANCE
EXTERNAL BALANCES
EXTERNAL DEBT
EXTERNAL DEMAND
EXTERNAL FINANCING
EXTERNAL SHOCKS
FEDERAL RESERVE
FINANCIAL ASSETS
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FINANCIAL MARKET
FINANCIAL MARKET PARTICIPANTS
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FINANCING REQUIREMENTS
FISCAL BURDEN
FISCAL DEFICIT
FISCAL POLICY
FISCAL REFORMS
FIXED CAPITAL
FIXED INVESTMENT
FLEXIBLE EXCHANGE RATE
FOREIGN CAPITAL
FOREIGN CURRENCY
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET
FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVE
FOREIGN FINANCING
FOREIGN INVESTOR
FOREIGN INVESTORS
GDP DEFLATOR
GLOBAL ECONOMY
GOVERNMENT BOND
GOVERNMENT BOND YIELDS
GOVERNMENT BONDS
GOVERNMENT DEBT
GOVERNMENT SPENDING
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION
GROWTH RATE
IMPORT
IMPORT COMPRESSION
IMPORT COSTS
IMPORT DEMAND
IMPORT GROWTH
IMPORTS
INCOME
INCOME TAX
INCOME TAXES
INDEXATION
INFLATION
INFLATIONARY PRESSURES
INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT
INSTITUTIONAL CAPACITY
INTEREST RATE
INTEREST RATES
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENTS
INTERNATIONAL MARKET
INVESTING
INVESTMENT CLIMATE
INVESTMENT FLOWS
INVESTMENT INFLOWS
INVESTMENT POLICY
INVESTOR CONFIDENCE
LABOR FORCE
LEADING INDICATORS
LIABILITY
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY RISKS
LOAN
LOCAL CURRENCY
MACROECONOMIC ADJUSTMENT
MACROECONOMIC ADJUSTMENTS
MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS
MACROECONOMIC MANAGEMENT
MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
MACROECONOMIC STABILIZATION
MARKET CONDITIONS
MARKET CONFIDENCE
MARKET CONSTRAINTS
MARKET LIQUIDITY
MARKET PRICES
MARKET TRADING
MATURITY
MONETARY POLICY
MONEY MARKET
MONEY MARKET RATES
NET EXPORTS
NOMINAL INTEREST RATE
NON-PERFORMING LOAN
OIL PRICE
OIL PRICES
OPPORTUNITY COSTS
OUTSTANDING CREDIT
OUTTURN
PORTFOLIO
PORTFOLIO INFLOWS
PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT
POTENTIAL OUTPUT
POVERTY REDUCTION
PRICE INCREASE
PRICE INCREASES
PRICE TRANSPARENCY
PRICE VOLATILITY
PRIVATE BORROWING
PRIVATE CONSUMPTION
PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH
REAL CONSUMPTION
REAL EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATE
REAL GDP
REAL IMPORTS
REAL INTEREST
REAL INTEREST RATES
REPO
RESERVE REQUIREMENT
RESERVES
RETURN
RISK FACTOR
RISK PROFILE
SHORT-TERM DEBT
SHORT-TERM EXTERNAL DEBT
SHORTFALLS
SLOWDOWN
STOCKS
SUPPLY-SIDE
SURPLUS
SUSTAINABLE GROWTH RATE
SWAP
TAX
TAX COLLECTION
TAX REVENUES
TRADE BALANCE
TRADE IMPACT
TRADE IMPACTS
TRADING
TRADING PARTNER
UNCERTAINTY
UNEMPLOYMENT
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
UPWARD PRESSURE
WEALTH
WITHDRAWAL
WORKING CAPITAL
spellingShingle ACCOUNTING
ADVERSE EFFECTS
AGRICULTURE
ARREARS
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
BALANCE SHEETS
BANK ASSETS
BANK LENDING
BANKING SECTOR
BANKING SECTOR ASSETS
BANKING SYSTEM
BASIS POINTS
BENCHMARK
BILL
BOND
BOND YIELDS
BONDS
BORROWING COSTS
BUDGET DEFICIT
CAPITAL ADEQUACY
CAPITAL GOODS
CAPITAL GOODS IMPORTS
CAPITAL INFLOWS
CAPITAL INVESTMENT
CAPITAL OUTFLOWS
COMMERCIAL BANK
COMMERCIAL BANK CREDIT
COMMERCIAL BANK LENDING
COMMERCIAL BANKS
COMMODITY PRICE
COMMODITY PRICES
CONSUMER CREDIT
CONSUMER GOODS
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
CONSUMERS
CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE
CORE INFLATION
CREDIT GROWTH
CURRENCY DEPRECIATION
CURRENCY HEDGING
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT
DEBT
DEBT ISSUANCE
DEBT REPAYMENTS
DECLINE IN INVESTMENT
DEFICITS
DEFLATION
DEPENDENCY RATIO
DEPOSIT
DEPOSITS
DIRECT INVESTMENT
DISBURSEMENT
DISBURSEMENTS
DOMESTIC BONDS
DOMESTIC CURRENCY
DOMESTIC DEMAND
DOMESTIC EQUITIES
DOMESTIC GOVERNMENT BONDS
ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS
ECONOMIC CONDITIONS
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
ECONOMIC RISKS
EMERGING ECONOMIES
EMERGING ECONOMY
EMERGING MARKET
EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES
EMERGING MARKET ECONOMY
EQUIPMENT
EQUITY INDICES
EQUITY MARKETS
EXCHANGE RATE
EXCHANGE RATES
EXPENDITURE
EXPENDITURES
EXPORT GROWTH
EXPORT VOLUMES
EXPORTERS
EXPORTS
EXTERNAL BALANCE
EXTERNAL BALANCES
EXTERNAL DEBT
EXTERNAL DEMAND
EXTERNAL FINANCING
EXTERNAL SHOCKS
FEDERAL RESERVE
FINANCIAL ASSETS
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FINANCIAL MARKET
FINANCIAL MARKET PARTICIPANTS
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FINANCING REQUIREMENTS
FISCAL BURDEN
FISCAL DEFICIT
FISCAL POLICY
FISCAL REFORMS
FIXED CAPITAL
FIXED INVESTMENT
FLEXIBLE EXCHANGE RATE
FOREIGN CAPITAL
FOREIGN CURRENCY
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET
FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVE
FOREIGN FINANCING
FOREIGN INVESTOR
FOREIGN INVESTORS
GDP DEFLATOR
GLOBAL ECONOMY
GOVERNMENT BOND
GOVERNMENT BOND YIELDS
GOVERNMENT BONDS
GOVERNMENT DEBT
GOVERNMENT SPENDING
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION
GROWTH RATE
IMPORT
IMPORT COMPRESSION
IMPORT COSTS
IMPORT DEMAND
IMPORT GROWTH
IMPORTS
INCOME
INCOME TAX
INCOME TAXES
INDEXATION
INFLATION
INFLATIONARY PRESSURES
INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT
INSTITUTIONAL CAPACITY
INTEREST RATE
INTEREST RATES
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENTS
INTERNATIONAL MARKET
INVESTING
INVESTMENT CLIMATE
INVESTMENT FLOWS
INVESTMENT INFLOWS
INVESTMENT POLICY
INVESTOR CONFIDENCE
LABOR FORCE
LEADING INDICATORS
LIABILITY
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY RISKS
LOAN
LOCAL CURRENCY
MACROECONOMIC ADJUSTMENT
MACROECONOMIC ADJUSTMENTS
MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS
MACROECONOMIC MANAGEMENT
MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
MACROECONOMIC STABILIZATION
MARKET CONDITIONS
MARKET CONFIDENCE
MARKET CONSTRAINTS
MARKET LIQUIDITY
MARKET PRICES
MARKET TRADING
MATURITY
MONETARY POLICY
MONEY MARKET
MONEY MARKET RATES
NET EXPORTS
NOMINAL INTEREST RATE
NON-PERFORMING LOAN
OIL PRICE
OIL PRICES
OPPORTUNITY COSTS
OUTSTANDING CREDIT
OUTTURN
PORTFOLIO
PORTFOLIO INFLOWS
PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT
POTENTIAL OUTPUT
POVERTY REDUCTION
PRICE INCREASE
PRICE INCREASES
PRICE TRANSPARENCY
PRICE VOLATILITY
PRIVATE BORROWING
PRIVATE CONSUMPTION
PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH
REAL CONSUMPTION
REAL EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATE
REAL GDP
REAL IMPORTS
REAL INTEREST
REAL INTEREST RATES
REPO
RESERVE REQUIREMENT
RESERVES
RETURN
RISK FACTOR
RISK PROFILE
SHORT-TERM DEBT
SHORT-TERM EXTERNAL DEBT
SHORTFALLS
SLOWDOWN
STOCKS
SUPPLY-SIDE
SURPLUS
SUSTAINABLE GROWTH RATE
SWAP
TAX
TAX COLLECTION
TAX REVENUES
TRADE BALANCE
TRADE IMPACT
TRADE IMPACTS
TRADING
TRADING PARTNER
UNCERTAINTY
UNEMPLOYMENT
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
UPWARD PRESSURE
WEALTH
WITHDRAWAL
WORKING CAPITAL
World Bank
Indonesia Economic Quarterly, March 2014 : Investment in Flux
geographic_facet East Asia and Pacific
Indonesia
relation Indonesia economic quarterly;
description Indonesia's economy continues to adjust to weaker terms of trade and tighter external financing conditions, with the composition of growth tilting more towards net exports, and economic growth slowing moderately. While this shift is positive for macroeconomic stability, it has to date been based primarily on tighter monetary policy and the depreciation of the Rupiah in 2013, the effects of which are continuing to play out. To further reduce Indonesia's vulnerability to external shocks, to minimize the risks of a more marked cyclical slowdown in growth, and to convert the near-term macro adjustment into strong, sustained growth over the longer term, further progress on long-standing policy priorities is warranted. Progress in three key areas can support both near-term macro stability and Indonesia's long-term economic prospects. First, there is a need to support domestic and foreign investor confidence. Recent policy and regulatory developments, including the partial ban on mineral exports, have increased uncertainty, may weigh on investment across the economy, and compound the usual difficulty of predicting policy ahead of elections. Given rising fiscal pressures from slower revenue growth and higher fuel subsidy costs, the second priority is to broaden the revenue base and improve the quality of spending, notably by reducing energy subsidy expenditure. These measures would also increase available fiscal space for more equitable, pro-growth spending. Third, credible progress is needed on addressing structural impediments to stronger and more inclusive growth, namely infrastructure and worker skills gaps, and factor and product market constraints. The policy environment is naturally constrained ahead of legislative elections in April and the presidential election in July. However, in light of ongoing economic risks and Indonesia's ambitious development agenda, laying the groundwork for future reforms, minimizing policy uncertainty, and making continued reform progress in some areas, should remain a priority.
format Economic & Sector Work :: Economic Updates and Modeling
author World Bank
author_facet World Bank
author_sort World Bank
title Indonesia Economic Quarterly, March 2014 : Investment in Flux
title_short Indonesia Economic Quarterly, March 2014 : Investment in Flux
title_full Indonesia Economic Quarterly, March 2014 : Investment in Flux
title_fullStr Indonesia Economic Quarterly, March 2014 : Investment in Flux
title_full_unstemmed Indonesia Economic Quarterly, March 2014 : Investment in Flux
title_sort indonesia economic quarterly, march 2014 : investment in flux
publisher Washington, DC
publishDate 2014
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/03/19286525/indonesia-economic-quarterly-investment-flux
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/17792
_version_ 1764438523465695232
spelling okr-10986-177922021-04-23T14:03:40Z Indonesia Economic Quarterly, March 2014 : Investment in Flux World Bank ACCOUNTING ADVERSE EFFECTS AGRICULTURE ARREARS BALANCE OF PAYMENTS BALANCE SHEETS BANK ASSETS BANK LENDING BANKING SECTOR BANKING SECTOR ASSETS BANKING SYSTEM BASIS POINTS BENCHMARK BILL BOND BOND YIELDS BONDS BORROWING COSTS BUDGET DEFICIT CAPITAL ADEQUACY CAPITAL GOODS CAPITAL GOODS IMPORTS CAPITAL INFLOWS CAPITAL INVESTMENT CAPITAL OUTFLOWS COMMERCIAL BANK COMMERCIAL BANK CREDIT COMMERCIAL BANK LENDING COMMERCIAL BANKS COMMODITY PRICE COMMODITY PRICES CONSUMER CREDIT CONSUMER GOODS CONSUMER PRICE INDEX CONSUMERS CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE CORE INFLATION CREDIT GROWTH CURRENCY DEPRECIATION CURRENCY HEDGING CURRENT ACCOUNT CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT DEBT DEBT ISSUANCE DEBT REPAYMENTS DECLINE IN INVESTMENT DEFICITS DEFLATION DEPENDENCY RATIO DEPOSIT DEPOSITS DIRECT INVESTMENT DISBURSEMENT DISBURSEMENTS DOMESTIC BONDS DOMESTIC CURRENCY DOMESTIC DEMAND DOMESTIC EQUITIES DOMESTIC GOVERNMENT BONDS ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS ECONOMIC CONDITIONS ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE ECONOMIC RISKS EMERGING ECONOMIES EMERGING ECONOMY EMERGING MARKET EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES EMERGING MARKET ECONOMY EQUIPMENT EQUITY INDICES EQUITY MARKETS EXCHANGE RATE EXCHANGE RATES EXPENDITURE EXPENDITURES EXPORT GROWTH EXPORT VOLUMES EXPORTERS EXPORTS EXTERNAL BALANCE EXTERNAL BALANCES EXTERNAL DEBT EXTERNAL DEMAND EXTERNAL FINANCING EXTERNAL SHOCKS FEDERAL RESERVE FINANCIAL ASSETS FINANCIAL CRISIS FINANCIAL MARKET FINANCIAL MARKET PARTICIPANTS FINANCIAL MARKETS FINANCING REQUIREMENTS FISCAL BURDEN FISCAL DEFICIT FISCAL POLICY FISCAL REFORMS FIXED CAPITAL FIXED INVESTMENT FLEXIBLE EXCHANGE RATE FOREIGN CAPITAL FOREIGN CURRENCY FOREIGN EXCHANGE FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVE FOREIGN FINANCING FOREIGN INVESTOR FOREIGN INVESTORS GDP DEFLATOR GLOBAL ECONOMY GOVERNMENT BOND GOVERNMENT BOND YIELDS GOVERNMENT BONDS GOVERNMENT DEBT GOVERNMENT SPENDING GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION GROWTH RATE IMPORT IMPORT COMPRESSION IMPORT COSTS IMPORT DEMAND IMPORT GROWTH IMPORTS INCOME INCOME TAX INCOME TAXES INDEXATION INFLATION INFLATIONARY PRESSURES INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT INSTITUTIONAL CAPACITY INTEREST RATE INTEREST RATES INTERNATIONAL BANK INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENTS INTERNATIONAL MARKET INVESTING INVESTMENT CLIMATE INVESTMENT FLOWS INVESTMENT INFLOWS INVESTMENT POLICY INVESTOR CONFIDENCE LABOR FORCE LEADING INDICATORS LIABILITY LIQUIDITY LIQUIDITY RISKS LOAN LOCAL CURRENCY MACROECONOMIC ADJUSTMENT MACROECONOMIC ADJUSTMENTS MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS MACROECONOMIC MANAGEMENT MACROECONOMIC STABILITY MACROECONOMIC STABILIZATION MARKET CONDITIONS MARKET CONFIDENCE MARKET CONSTRAINTS MARKET LIQUIDITY MARKET PRICES MARKET TRADING MATURITY MONETARY POLICY MONEY MARKET MONEY MARKET RATES NET EXPORTS NOMINAL INTEREST RATE NON-PERFORMING LOAN OIL PRICE OIL PRICES OPPORTUNITY COSTS OUTSTANDING CREDIT OUTTURN PORTFOLIO PORTFOLIO INFLOWS PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT POTENTIAL OUTPUT POVERTY REDUCTION PRICE INCREASE PRICE INCREASES PRICE TRANSPARENCY PRICE VOLATILITY PRIVATE BORROWING PRIVATE CONSUMPTION PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH REAL CONSUMPTION REAL EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATE REAL GDP REAL IMPORTS REAL INTEREST REAL INTEREST RATES REPO RESERVE REQUIREMENT RESERVES RETURN RISK FACTOR RISK PROFILE SHORT-TERM DEBT SHORT-TERM EXTERNAL DEBT SHORTFALLS SLOWDOWN STOCKS SUPPLY-SIDE SURPLUS SUSTAINABLE GROWTH RATE SWAP TAX TAX COLLECTION TAX REVENUES TRADE BALANCE TRADE IMPACT TRADE IMPACTS TRADING TRADING PARTNER UNCERTAINTY UNEMPLOYMENT UNEMPLOYMENT RATE UPWARD PRESSURE WEALTH WITHDRAWAL WORKING CAPITAL Indonesia's economy continues to adjust to weaker terms of trade and tighter external financing conditions, with the composition of growth tilting more towards net exports, and economic growth slowing moderately. While this shift is positive for macroeconomic stability, it has to date been based primarily on tighter monetary policy and the depreciation of the Rupiah in 2013, the effects of which are continuing to play out. To further reduce Indonesia's vulnerability to external shocks, to minimize the risks of a more marked cyclical slowdown in growth, and to convert the near-term macro adjustment into strong, sustained growth over the longer term, further progress on long-standing policy priorities is warranted. Progress in three key areas can support both near-term macro stability and Indonesia's long-term economic prospects. First, there is a need to support domestic and foreign investor confidence. Recent policy and regulatory developments, including the partial ban on mineral exports, have increased uncertainty, may weigh on investment across the economy, and compound the usual difficulty of predicting policy ahead of elections. Given rising fiscal pressures from slower revenue growth and higher fuel subsidy costs, the second priority is to broaden the revenue base and improve the quality of spending, notably by reducing energy subsidy expenditure. These measures would also increase available fiscal space for more equitable, pro-growth spending. Third, credible progress is needed on addressing structural impediments to stronger and more inclusive growth, namely infrastructure and worker skills gaps, and factor and product market constraints. The policy environment is naturally constrained ahead of legislative elections in April and the presidential election in July. However, in light of ongoing economic risks and Indonesia's ambitious development agenda, laying the groundwork for future reforms, minimizing policy uncertainty, and making continued reform progress in some areas, should remain a priority. 2014-04-15T18:49:17Z 2014-04-15T18:49:17Z 2014-03 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/03/19286525/indonesia-economic-quarterly-investment-flux http://hdl.handle.net/10986/17792 English en_US Indonesia economic quarterly; CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ Washington, DC Economic & Sector Work :: Economic Updates and Modeling East Asia and Pacific Indonesia