Measuring the Impact of Debt-Financed Public Investment

While debt-financed productive public investment raises a country s debt ratios in the short run, it can also generate higher growth, revenues, and exports, leading over time to lower debt ratios. This paper develops a framework to assess whether c...

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Main Authors: Cavalcanti, Carlos B., Marrero, Gustavo A., Le, Tuan Minh
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2014
Subjects:
BID
GDP
TAX
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/02/18895457/measuring-impact-debt-financed-public-investment
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/17309
id okr-10986-17309
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic ACCESS TO FINANCING
ACCOUNTING
ADMINISTRATIVE CAPACITY
AFFILIATED ORGANIZATIONS
ARBITRAGE
AVERAGE DEBT
BALANCE SHEET
BANK LENDING
BANK LOAN
BANK POLICY
BANKS
BENCHMARK
BID
BONDS
BUDGET CONSTRAINT
BUDGET SURPLUS
BUDGETING
CAPACITY BUILDING
CAPITAL ACCUMULATION
CAPITAL ASSETS
CAPITAL BUDGETING
CAPITAL FORMATION
CAPITAL INVESTMENT
CAPITAL INVESTMENTS
CAPITAL MARKET
CAPITAL OUTLAY
CENTRALIZATION
COMPETITIVE BIDDING
CONSTANT RETURNS TO SCALE
CORRUPTION
CREDITORS
CREDITS
CREDITWORTHINESS
DEBT
DEBT BURDEN
DEBT COMPOSITION
DEBT FINANCING
DEBT ISSUES
DEBT LEVELS
DEBT RATIOS
DEBT RELIEF
DEBT SERVICE
DEBTS
DEFAULT RISK
DEFICITS
DEPRECIATION
DERIVATIVES
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING COUNTRY
DEVELOPMENT BANK
DEVELOPMENT CORPORATION
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
DISBURSEMENT
DISCOUNT RATE
DISCOUNTED VALUE
DIVERSIFICATION
DOMESTIC DEBT
DYNAMIC ANALYSIS
EARNINGS
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC EFFICIENCY
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC POLICY
ECONOMIC RESEARCH
ECONOMIC THEORY
ECONOMIES OF SCALE
ELASTICITY
ELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTION
ELECTRICITY
EQUALITY
EQUILIBRIUM
EUROBOND
EXCLUSION
EXOGENOUS VARIABLES
EXPENDITURE
EXPORTS
EXPROPRIATION
EXTERNAL COMMERCIAL BORROWING
EXTERNAL DEBT
EXTERNAL FINANCING
EXTERNALITIES
FINANCIAL ASSETS
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FINANCIAL FLOWS
FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FINANCIAL VIABILITY
FISCAL DEFICIT
FISCAL MANAGEMENT
FISCAL PERFORMANCE
FISCAL POLICY
FISCAL SURPLUS
FIXED ASSETS
FIXED CAPITAL
FIXED INVESTMENT
FUNCTIONAL FORMS
GDP
GOVERNMENT BUDGET
GOVERNMENT DEBT
GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE
GOVERNMENT INDEBTEDNESS
GOVERNMENT POLICY
GOVERNMENT SPENDING
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION
GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES
GROWTH POTENTIAL
GROWTH RATE
HEALTH SPENDING
HIGH RISK BORROWERS
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
HOUSEHOLD WELFARE
HOUSEHOLDS
HUMAN CAPITAL
INCOME TAX
INCOME TAX RATE
INCOME TAXES
INCREASING RETURNS
INEFFICIENCY
INFORMATION ASYMMETRIES
INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT
INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENTS
INITIAL DEBT
INTEREST PAYMENTS
INTEREST RATE
INTEREST RATES
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL MARKETS
INVENTORIES
INVESTING
INVESTMENT DECISIONS
INVESTMENT FINANCING
INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT
INVESTMENT PLANS
INVESTMENT POLICIES
INVESTMENT POLICY
INVESTMENT PROJECTS
INVESTMENT SPENDING
INVESTMENT ­ ASSET
ISSUANCE
JOB CREATION
LABOR MARKET
LENDING LIMITS
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
LIQUIDITY
LOAN
LOAN AGREEMENT
LOAN AGREEMENTS
LOW INTEREST RATES
MACROECONOMICS
MARGINAL PRODUCTIVITY
MARKET INTEREST RATES
MONETARY FUND
MULTIPLIERS
NATURAL RESOURCES
NORMAL GOOD
OPERATING COSTS
OUTSIDE ASSISTANCE
OUTSTANDING PUBLIC DEBT
PHYSICAL CAPITAL
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POSITIVE EXTERNALITY
PRIVATE CAPITAL
PRIVATE CAPITAL STOCK
PRIVATE INVESTMENT
PRIVATE INVESTMENTS
PRIVATE SAVINGS
PRIVATE SECTOR
PRODUCTION FUNCTION
PRODUCTIVE CAPITAL
PROVISION OF INFRASTRUCTURE
PUBLIC
PUBLIC ASSETS
PUBLIC EXPENDITURE
PUBLIC EXPENDITURES
PUBLIC FINANCE
PUBLIC FINANCES
PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE
PUBLIC INVESTMENT
PUBLIC INVESTMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURE
PUBLIC INVESTMENT PROGRAM
PUBLIC INVESTMENTS
PUBLIC POLICY
PUBLIC SECTOR
PUBLIC SECTOR WAGES
PUBLIC SPENDING
RATE OF RETURN
RATES OF RETURN
RATES OF RETURNS
REAL GDP
RECURRENT EXPENDITURES
REMITTANCES
RETURNS
ROADS
SAVINGS
SHAREHOLDERS
SOVEREIGN BOND
STATIC ANALYSIS
STOCKS
TARIFF REVENUES
TAX
TAX EXEMPT
TAX RATE
TAX RATES
TAXATION
TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY
TRADING
UTILITIES
UTILITY FUNCTION
VALUATION
VALUE ADDED
WEALTH
spellingShingle ACCESS TO FINANCING
ACCOUNTING
ADMINISTRATIVE CAPACITY
AFFILIATED ORGANIZATIONS
ARBITRAGE
AVERAGE DEBT
BALANCE SHEET
BANK LENDING
BANK LOAN
BANK POLICY
BANKS
BENCHMARK
BID
BONDS
BUDGET CONSTRAINT
BUDGET SURPLUS
BUDGETING
CAPACITY BUILDING
CAPITAL ACCUMULATION
CAPITAL ASSETS
CAPITAL BUDGETING
CAPITAL FORMATION
CAPITAL INVESTMENT
CAPITAL INVESTMENTS
CAPITAL MARKET
CAPITAL OUTLAY
CENTRALIZATION
COMPETITIVE BIDDING
CONSTANT RETURNS TO SCALE
CORRUPTION
CREDITORS
CREDITS
CREDITWORTHINESS
DEBT
DEBT BURDEN
DEBT COMPOSITION
DEBT FINANCING
DEBT ISSUES
DEBT LEVELS
DEBT RATIOS
DEBT RELIEF
DEBT SERVICE
DEBTS
DEFAULT RISK
DEFICITS
DEPRECIATION
DERIVATIVES
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING COUNTRY
DEVELOPMENT BANK
DEVELOPMENT CORPORATION
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
DISBURSEMENT
DISCOUNT RATE
DISCOUNTED VALUE
DIVERSIFICATION
DOMESTIC DEBT
DYNAMIC ANALYSIS
EARNINGS
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC EFFICIENCY
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC POLICY
ECONOMIC RESEARCH
ECONOMIC THEORY
ECONOMIES OF SCALE
ELASTICITY
ELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTION
ELECTRICITY
EQUALITY
EQUILIBRIUM
EUROBOND
EXCLUSION
EXOGENOUS VARIABLES
EXPENDITURE
EXPORTS
EXPROPRIATION
EXTERNAL COMMERCIAL BORROWING
EXTERNAL DEBT
EXTERNAL FINANCING
EXTERNALITIES
FINANCIAL ASSETS
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FINANCIAL FLOWS
FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FINANCIAL VIABILITY
FISCAL DEFICIT
FISCAL MANAGEMENT
FISCAL PERFORMANCE
FISCAL POLICY
FISCAL SURPLUS
FIXED ASSETS
FIXED CAPITAL
FIXED INVESTMENT
FUNCTIONAL FORMS
GDP
GOVERNMENT BUDGET
GOVERNMENT DEBT
GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE
GOVERNMENT INDEBTEDNESS
GOVERNMENT POLICY
GOVERNMENT SPENDING
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION
GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES
GROWTH POTENTIAL
GROWTH RATE
HEALTH SPENDING
HIGH RISK BORROWERS
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
HOUSEHOLD WELFARE
HOUSEHOLDS
HUMAN CAPITAL
INCOME TAX
INCOME TAX RATE
INCOME TAXES
INCREASING RETURNS
INEFFICIENCY
INFORMATION ASYMMETRIES
INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT
INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENTS
INITIAL DEBT
INTEREST PAYMENTS
INTEREST RATE
INTEREST RATES
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL MARKETS
INVENTORIES
INVESTING
INVESTMENT DECISIONS
INVESTMENT FINANCING
INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT
INVESTMENT PLANS
INVESTMENT POLICIES
INVESTMENT POLICY
INVESTMENT PROJECTS
INVESTMENT SPENDING
INVESTMENT ­ ASSET
ISSUANCE
JOB CREATION
LABOR MARKET
LENDING LIMITS
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
LIQUIDITY
LOAN
LOAN AGREEMENT
LOAN AGREEMENTS
LOW INTEREST RATES
MACROECONOMICS
MARGINAL PRODUCTIVITY
MARKET INTEREST RATES
MONETARY FUND
MULTIPLIERS
NATURAL RESOURCES
NORMAL GOOD
OPERATING COSTS
OUTSIDE ASSISTANCE
OUTSTANDING PUBLIC DEBT
PHYSICAL CAPITAL
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POSITIVE EXTERNALITY
PRIVATE CAPITAL
PRIVATE CAPITAL STOCK
PRIVATE INVESTMENT
PRIVATE INVESTMENTS
PRIVATE SAVINGS
PRIVATE SECTOR
PRODUCTION FUNCTION
PRODUCTIVE CAPITAL
PROVISION OF INFRASTRUCTURE
PUBLIC
PUBLIC ASSETS
PUBLIC EXPENDITURE
PUBLIC EXPENDITURES
PUBLIC FINANCE
PUBLIC FINANCES
PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE
PUBLIC INVESTMENT
PUBLIC INVESTMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURE
PUBLIC INVESTMENT PROGRAM
PUBLIC INVESTMENTS
PUBLIC POLICY
PUBLIC SECTOR
PUBLIC SECTOR WAGES
PUBLIC SPENDING
RATE OF RETURN
RATES OF RETURN
RATES OF RETURNS
REAL GDP
RECURRENT EXPENDITURES
REMITTANCES
RETURNS
ROADS
SAVINGS
SHAREHOLDERS
SOVEREIGN BOND
STATIC ANALYSIS
STOCKS
TARIFF REVENUES
TAX
TAX EXEMPT
TAX RATE
TAX RATES
TAXATION
TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY
TRADING
UTILITIES
UTILITY FUNCTION
VALUATION
VALUE ADDED
WEALTH
Cavalcanti, Carlos B.
Marrero, Gustavo A.
Le, Tuan Minh
Measuring the Impact of Debt-Financed Public Investment
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 6766
description While debt-financed productive public investment raises a country s debt ratios in the short run, it can also generate higher growth, revenues, and exports, leading over time to lower debt ratios. This paper develops a framework to assess whether countries meet the conditions for realizing the net benefits over the costs of public investment debt financing. While it is possible to achieve debt sustainability with an appropriate mix of concessional and non-concessional financing, this is a necessary but not sufficient condition. It is also important to ensure the operational viability of public investment projects by having in place adequate project management: (i) project screening and appraisal, (ii) a clear connection between capital and recurrent expenditures once the projects are launched, and (iii) safeguards for appropriate project implementation and facilities operations. To illustrate the strength of these results, the paper carries out three measurement exercises: (a) a simulation of the degree to which the ratio of optimal public investment responds to changes in key parameters related to project management in a general equilibrium model; (b) application of the public investment management (PIMa) index to benchmark a country's public investment management capacity; and (c) presentation of the results of the Investment, Savings, and Macroeconomic Vulnerabilities tool aimed at tracking country choices in public finance and the impact of public projects on private investments.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Cavalcanti, Carlos B.
Marrero, Gustavo A.
Le, Tuan Minh
author_facet Cavalcanti, Carlos B.
Marrero, Gustavo A.
Le, Tuan Minh
author_sort Cavalcanti, Carlos B.
title Measuring the Impact of Debt-Financed Public Investment
title_short Measuring the Impact of Debt-Financed Public Investment
title_full Measuring the Impact of Debt-Financed Public Investment
title_fullStr Measuring the Impact of Debt-Financed Public Investment
title_full_unstemmed Measuring the Impact of Debt-Financed Public Investment
title_sort measuring the impact of debt-financed public investment
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2014
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/02/18895457/measuring-impact-debt-financed-public-investment
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/17309
_version_ 1764436828015820800
spelling okr-10986-173092021-04-23T14:03:37Z Measuring the Impact of Debt-Financed Public Investment Cavalcanti, Carlos B. Marrero, Gustavo A. Le, Tuan Minh ACCESS TO FINANCING ACCOUNTING ADMINISTRATIVE CAPACITY AFFILIATED ORGANIZATIONS ARBITRAGE AVERAGE DEBT BALANCE SHEET BANK LENDING BANK LOAN BANK POLICY BANKS BENCHMARK BID BONDS BUDGET CONSTRAINT BUDGET SURPLUS BUDGETING CAPACITY BUILDING CAPITAL ACCUMULATION CAPITAL ASSETS CAPITAL BUDGETING CAPITAL FORMATION CAPITAL INVESTMENT CAPITAL INVESTMENTS CAPITAL MARKET CAPITAL OUTLAY CENTRALIZATION COMPETITIVE BIDDING CONSTANT RETURNS TO SCALE CORRUPTION CREDITORS CREDITS CREDITWORTHINESS DEBT DEBT BURDEN DEBT COMPOSITION DEBT FINANCING DEBT ISSUES DEBT LEVELS DEBT RATIOS DEBT RELIEF DEBT SERVICE DEBTS DEFAULT RISK DEFICITS DEPRECIATION DERIVATIVES DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPING COUNTRY DEVELOPMENT BANK DEVELOPMENT CORPORATION DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DEVELOPMENT POLICY DISBURSEMENT DISCOUNT RATE DISCOUNTED VALUE DIVERSIFICATION DOMESTIC DEBT DYNAMIC ANALYSIS EARNINGS ECONOMIC ACTIVITY ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC EFFICIENCY ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC POLICY ECONOMIC RESEARCH ECONOMIC THEORY ECONOMIES OF SCALE ELASTICITY ELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTION ELECTRICITY EQUALITY EQUILIBRIUM EUROBOND EXCLUSION EXOGENOUS VARIABLES EXPENDITURE EXPORTS EXPROPRIATION EXTERNAL COMMERCIAL BORROWING EXTERNAL DEBT EXTERNAL FINANCING EXTERNALITIES FINANCIAL ASSETS FINANCIAL CRISIS FINANCIAL FLOWS FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT FINANCIAL MARKETS FINANCIAL VIABILITY FISCAL DEFICIT FISCAL MANAGEMENT FISCAL PERFORMANCE FISCAL POLICY FISCAL SURPLUS FIXED ASSETS FIXED CAPITAL FIXED INVESTMENT FUNCTIONAL FORMS GDP GOVERNMENT BUDGET GOVERNMENT DEBT GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE GOVERNMENT INDEBTEDNESS GOVERNMENT POLICY GOVERNMENT SPENDING GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES GROWTH POTENTIAL GROWTH RATE HEALTH SPENDING HIGH RISK BORROWERS HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD WELFARE HOUSEHOLDS HUMAN CAPITAL INCOME TAX INCOME TAX RATE INCOME TAXES INCREASING RETURNS INEFFICIENCY INFORMATION ASYMMETRIES INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENTS INITIAL DEBT INTEREST PAYMENTS INTEREST RATE INTEREST RATES INTERNATIONAL BANK INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL MARKETS INVENTORIES INVESTING INVESTMENT DECISIONS INVESTMENT FINANCING INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INVESTMENT PLANS INVESTMENT POLICIES INVESTMENT POLICY INVESTMENT PROJECTS INVESTMENT SPENDING INVESTMENT ­ ASSET ISSUANCE JOB CREATION LABOR MARKET LENDING LIMITS LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES LIQUIDITY LOAN LOAN AGREEMENT LOAN AGREEMENTS LOW INTEREST RATES MACROECONOMICS MARGINAL PRODUCTIVITY MARKET INTEREST RATES MONETARY FUND MULTIPLIERS NATURAL RESOURCES NORMAL GOOD OPERATING COSTS OUTSIDE ASSISTANCE OUTSTANDING PUBLIC DEBT PHYSICAL CAPITAL POLITICAL ECONOMY POSITIVE EXTERNALITY PRIVATE CAPITAL PRIVATE CAPITAL STOCK PRIVATE INVESTMENT PRIVATE INVESTMENTS PRIVATE SAVINGS PRIVATE SECTOR PRODUCTION FUNCTION PRODUCTIVE CAPITAL PROVISION OF INFRASTRUCTURE PUBLIC PUBLIC ASSETS PUBLIC EXPENDITURE PUBLIC EXPENDITURES PUBLIC FINANCE PUBLIC FINANCES PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE PUBLIC INVESTMENT PUBLIC INVESTMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURE PUBLIC INVESTMENT PROGRAM PUBLIC INVESTMENTS PUBLIC POLICY PUBLIC SECTOR PUBLIC SECTOR WAGES PUBLIC SPENDING RATE OF RETURN RATES OF RETURN RATES OF RETURNS REAL GDP RECURRENT EXPENDITURES REMITTANCES RETURNS ROADS SAVINGS SHAREHOLDERS SOVEREIGN BOND STATIC ANALYSIS STOCKS TARIFF REVENUES TAX TAX EXEMPT TAX RATE TAX RATES TAXATION TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY TRADING UTILITIES UTILITY FUNCTION VALUATION VALUE ADDED WEALTH While debt-financed productive public investment raises a country s debt ratios in the short run, it can also generate higher growth, revenues, and exports, leading over time to lower debt ratios. This paper develops a framework to assess whether countries meet the conditions for realizing the net benefits over the costs of public investment debt financing. While it is possible to achieve debt sustainability with an appropriate mix of concessional and non-concessional financing, this is a necessary but not sufficient condition. It is also important to ensure the operational viability of public investment projects by having in place adequate project management: (i) project screening and appraisal, (ii) a clear connection between capital and recurrent expenditures once the projects are launched, and (iii) safeguards for appropriate project implementation and facilities operations. To illustrate the strength of these results, the paper carries out three measurement exercises: (a) a simulation of the degree to which the ratio of optimal public investment responds to changes in key parameters related to project management in a general equilibrium model; (b) application of the public investment management (PIMa) index to benchmark a country's public investment management capacity; and (c) presentation of the results of the Investment, Savings, and Macroeconomic Vulnerabilities tool aimed at tracking country choices in public finance and the impact of public projects on private investments. 2014-03-18T20:15:36Z 2014-03-18T20:15:36Z 2014-02 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/02/18895457/measuring-impact-debt-financed-public-investment http://hdl.handle.net/10986/17309 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 6766 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research