Climate Variability and Change : A Basin Scale Indicator Approach to Understanding the Risk to Water Resources Development and Management
The impact of climate change is likely to have considerable implications for water resource planning, as well as adding to the risks to water infrastructure systems and effecting return on investments. Attention is increasingly being paid to adapta...
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| Format: | Working Paper |
| Language: | English en_US |
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World Bank, Washington, DC
2014
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| Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2011/09/15897484/climate-variability-change-basin-scale-indicator-approach-understanding-risk-water-resources-development-management http://hdl.handle.net/10986/17250 |
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okr-10986-17250 |
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oai_dc |
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Digital Repository |
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Foreign Institution |
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Digital Repositories |
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World Bank Open Knowledge Repository |
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World Bank |
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English en_US |
| topic |
ABSOLUTE TEMPERATURE ACCESS TO DATA ADEQUATE WATER ANNUAL PRECIPITATION ANTARCTICA ASSESSMENT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ATMOSPHERE ATMOSPHERIC PHYSICS AVERAGE ANNUAL RUNOFF BASELINE CLIMATE DATA BASIN LEVEL BASINS CATCHMENT CATCHMENTS CLIMATE CLIMATE ADAPTATION CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION STRATEGY CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS CLIMATE CHANGE PREDICTIONS CLIMATE CHANGE PROJECTIONS CLIMATE CHANGE RISK CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS CLIMATE CONDITIONS CLIMATE DATA CLIMATE MODEL CLIMATE MODELING CLIMATE MODELS CLIMATE PROJECTIONS CLIMATE RESEARCH CLIMATE RESEARCH UNIT CLIMATE RISK CLIMATE SCENARIOS CLIMATE SYSTEM CLIMATE VARIABILITY CLIMATE VARIABLES CLIMATIC DATA CLIMATOLOGY CO COLORS COMMUNITY CLIMATE SYSTEM MODEL CONSEQUENCES OF CLIMATE CHANGE COVERING CRU DAILY TEMPERATURE DRAINAGE DRAINAGE WATER DROUGHT DROUGHT RISK DROUGHT SEVERITY ECOSYSTEM EFFECT OF CLIMATE CHANGE EMISSIONS SCENARIO EMISSIONS SCENARIOS ENVIRONMENTAL FLOWS EVAPORATION EVAPOTRANSPIRATION EXPOSURE TO CLIMATE CHANGE EXTREME DROUGHT EXTREME EVENTS EXTREME VALUES FLOOD PROTECTION FLOOD RISK FLOODING FLOODS FUELS FUTURE CLIMATE VARIABILITY GCM GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL GHG GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT FACILITY GRASSLAND GREEN HOUSE GASSES GREENHOUSE GREENHOUSE GAS GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS GROUNDWATER GROUNDWATER RESOURCES GROUNDWATER STORAGE HUMIDITY HYDROGEOLOGY HYDROLOGIC INDICATORS HYDROLOGIC MODELS HYDROLOGIC VARIABLES HYDROLOGICAL CHANGE HYDROLOGICAL CONDITIONS HYDROLOGICAL CYCLE HYDROLOGICAL MODEL HYDROLOGICAL REGIME HYDROLOGICAL SYSTEMS HYDROLOGY IMPACT OF CLIMATE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT OF CLIMATE VARIABILITY IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE INTERNATIONAL WATER IPCC IRRIGATION IRRIGATION SYSTEMS LAND SURFACE MEAN ANNUAL RUNOFF MEAN TEMPERATURE MEASUREMENTS METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION METEOROLOGICAL RESEARCH METEOROLOGICAL VARIABLES METEOROLOGY MOISTURE OCEANS PALMER DROUGHT SEVERITY INDEX PERCOLATION PET PRECIPITATION RAIN RAINFALL RAINFALL RUNOFF REGIONAL CLIMATE RESERVOIRS RISKS OF CLIMATE CHANGE RIVER BASIN RIVER BASIN MANAGEMENT RIVER BASINS RIVERS RUNOFF SANITATION SEASON SNOW SOLAR RADIATION STREAMFLOW SUB-BASIN SURFACE RUNOFF SURFACE WARMING SURFACE WATER TEMPERATURE TEMPERATURE DATA TEMPERATURE RANGE TEMPERATURES THREAT OF CLIMATE CHANGE VEGETATION WASTEWATER WASTEWATER TREATMENT WATER AVAILABILITY WATER DEMAND WATER FLOWS WATER INFRASTRUCTURE WATER INVESTMENTS WATER MANAGEMENT WATER PLANNING WATER QUALITY WATER RESOURCE WATER RESOURCE MANAGEMENT WATER RESOURCES WATER RESOURCES DEVELOPMENT WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT WATER RESOURCES PLANNING WATER SECTOR WATER STORAGE WATER SUPPLY WATERSHED WATERSHED MANAGEMENT WELLS WIND WIND VELOCITY |
| spellingShingle |
ABSOLUTE TEMPERATURE ACCESS TO DATA ADEQUATE WATER ANNUAL PRECIPITATION ANTARCTICA ASSESSMENT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ATMOSPHERE ATMOSPHERIC PHYSICS AVERAGE ANNUAL RUNOFF BASELINE CLIMATE DATA BASIN LEVEL BASINS CATCHMENT CATCHMENTS CLIMATE CLIMATE ADAPTATION CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION STRATEGY CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS CLIMATE CHANGE PREDICTIONS CLIMATE CHANGE PROJECTIONS CLIMATE CHANGE RISK CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS CLIMATE CONDITIONS CLIMATE DATA CLIMATE MODEL CLIMATE MODELING CLIMATE MODELS CLIMATE PROJECTIONS CLIMATE RESEARCH CLIMATE RESEARCH UNIT CLIMATE RISK CLIMATE SCENARIOS CLIMATE SYSTEM CLIMATE VARIABILITY CLIMATE VARIABLES CLIMATIC DATA CLIMATOLOGY CO COLORS COMMUNITY CLIMATE SYSTEM MODEL CONSEQUENCES OF CLIMATE CHANGE COVERING CRU DAILY TEMPERATURE DRAINAGE DRAINAGE WATER DROUGHT DROUGHT RISK DROUGHT SEVERITY ECOSYSTEM EFFECT OF CLIMATE CHANGE EMISSIONS SCENARIO EMISSIONS SCENARIOS ENVIRONMENTAL FLOWS EVAPORATION EVAPOTRANSPIRATION EXPOSURE TO CLIMATE CHANGE EXTREME DROUGHT EXTREME EVENTS EXTREME VALUES FLOOD PROTECTION FLOOD RISK FLOODING FLOODS FUELS FUTURE CLIMATE VARIABILITY GCM GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL GHG GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT FACILITY GRASSLAND GREEN HOUSE GASSES GREENHOUSE GREENHOUSE GAS GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS GROUNDWATER GROUNDWATER RESOURCES GROUNDWATER STORAGE HUMIDITY HYDROGEOLOGY HYDROLOGIC INDICATORS HYDROLOGIC MODELS HYDROLOGIC VARIABLES HYDROLOGICAL CHANGE HYDROLOGICAL CONDITIONS HYDROLOGICAL CYCLE HYDROLOGICAL MODEL HYDROLOGICAL REGIME HYDROLOGICAL SYSTEMS HYDROLOGY IMPACT OF CLIMATE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT OF CLIMATE VARIABILITY IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE INTERNATIONAL WATER IPCC IRRIGATION IRRIGATION SYSTEMS LAND SURFACE MEAN ANNUAL RUNOFF MEAN TEMPERATURE MEASUREMENTS METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION METEOROLOGICAL RESEARCH METEOROLOGICAL VARIABLES METEOROLOGY MOISTURE OCEANS PALMER DROUGHT SEVERITY INDEX PERCOLATION PET PRECIPITATION RAIN RAINFALL RAINFALL RUNOFF REGIONAL CLIMATE RESERVOIRS RISKS OF CLIMATE CHANGE RIVER BASIN RIVER BASIN MANAGEMENT RIVER BASINS RIVERS RUNOFF SANITATION SEASON SNOW SOLAR RADIATION STREAMFLOW SUB-BASIN SURFACE RUNOFF SURFACE WARMING SURFACE WATER TEMPERATURE TEMPERATURE DATA TEMPERATURE RANGE TEMPERATURES THREAT OF CLIMATE CHANGE VEGETATION WASTEWATER WASTEWATER TREATMENT WATER AVAILABILITY WATER DEMAND WATER FLOWS WATER INFRASTRUCTURE WATER INVESTMENTS WATER MANAGEMENT WATER PLANNING WATER QUALITY WATER RESOURCE WATER RESOURCE MANAGEMENT WATER RESOURCES WATER RESOURCES DEVELOPMENT WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT WATER RESOURCES PLANNING WATER SECTOR WATER STORAGE WATER SUPPLY WATERSHED WATERSHED MANAGEMENT WELLS WIND WIND VELOCITY Strzepek, Kenneth McCluskey, Alyssa Boehlert, Brent Jacobsen, Michael Fant IV, Charles Climate Variability and Change : A Basin Scale Indicator Approach to Understanding the Risk to Water Resources Development and Management |
| relation |
Water papers; |
| description |
The impact of climate change is likely
to have considerable implications for water resource
planning, as well as adding to the risks to water
infrastructure systems and effecting return on investments.
Attention is increasingly being paid to adaptation
strategies at the regional and basin level; however, the
current paucity of information regarding the potential risk
to hydrological systems at this scale presents a substantial
challenge for effective water resources planning and
investment. This study is intended to help bridge the gap
between high-level climate change predictions and the needs
of decision-makers, including World Bank Task Team Leaders,
government agencies, investors, and national economic
development planners, whose programs and investments will be
affected by basin- and regional-level impacts of climate
change on water resources and related infrastructures. This
study evaluates the effects of climate change on six
hydrological indicators across 8,413 basins in World Bank
client countries. These indicators, mean annual runoff
(MAR), basin yield, annual high flow, annual low flow,
groundwater (base-flow), and reference crop water deficit,
were chosen based on their relevance to the wide range of
water resource development projects planned for the future.
To generate a robust, high-resolution understanding of
possible risk, this analysis examines relative changes in
all variables from the historical baseline (1961 to 1999) to
the 2030s and 2050s for the full range of 56 General
Circulation Model (GCM) Special Report on Emissions Scenario
(SRES) combinations evaluated in the Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4). |
| format |
Publications & Research :: Working Paper |
| author |
Strzepek, Kenneth McCluskey, Alyssa Boehlert, Brent Jacobsen, Michael Fant IV, Charles |
| author_facet |
Strzepek, Kenneth McCluskey, Alyssa Boehlert, Brent Jacobsen, Michael Fant IV, Charles |
| author_sort |
Strzepek, Kenneth |
| title |
Climate Variability and Change : A Basin Scale Indicator Approach to Understanding the Risk to Water Resources Development and Management |
| title_short |
Climate Variability and Change : A Basin Scale Indicator Approach to Understanding the Risk to Water Resources Development and Management |
| title_full |
Climate Variability and Change : A Basin Scale Indicator Approach to Understanding the Risk to Water Resources Development and Management |
| title_fullStr |
Climate Variability and Change : A Basin Scale Indicator Approach to Understanding the Risk to Water Resources Development and Management |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Climate Variability and Change : A Basin Scale Indicator Approach to Understanding the Risk to Water Resources Development and Management |
| title_sort |
climate variability and change : a basin scale indicator approach to understanding the risk to water resources development and management |
| publisher |
World Bank, Washington, DC |
| publishDate |
2014 |
| url |
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2011/09/15897484/climate-variability-change-basin-scale-indicator-approach-understanding-risk-water-resources-development-management http://hdl.handle.net/10986/17250 |
| _version_ |
1764436737006764032 |
| spelling |
okr-10986-172502021-04-23T14:03:36Z Climate Variability and Change : A Basin Scale Indicator Approach to Understanding the Risk to Water Resources Development and Management Strzepek, Kenneth McCluskey, Alyssa Boehlert, Brent Jacobsen, Michael Fant IV, Charles ABSOLUTE TEMPERATURE ACCESS TO DATA ADEQUATE WATER ANNUAL PRECIPITATION ANTARCTICA ASSESSMENT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ATMOSPHERE ATMOSPHERIC PHYSICS AVERAGE ANNUAL RUNOFF BASELINE CLIMATE DATA BASIN LEVEL BASINS CATCHMENT CATCHMENTS CLIMATE CLIMATE ADAPTATION CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION STRATEGY CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS CLIMATE CHANGE PREDICTIONS CLIMATE CHANGE PROJECTIONS CLIMATE CHANGE RISK CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS CLIMATE CONDITIONS CLIMATE DATA CLIMATE MODEL CLIMATE MODELING CLIMATE MODELS CLIMATE PROJECTIONS CLIMATE RESEARCH CLIMATE RESEARCH UNIT CLIMATE RISK CLIMATE SCENARIOS CLIMATE SYSTEM CLIMATE VARIABILITY CLIMATE VARIABLES CLIMATIC DATA CLIMATOLOGY CO COLORS COMMUNITY CLIMATE SYSTEM MODEL CONSEQUENCES OF CLIMATE CHANGE COVERING CRU DAILY TEMPERATURE DRAINAGE DRAINAGE WATER DROUGHT DROUGHT RISK DROUGHT SEVERITY ECOSYSTEM EFFECT OF CLIMATE CHANGE EMISSIONS SCENARIO EMISSIONS SCENARIOS ENVIRONMENTAL FLOWS EVAPORATION EVAPOTRANSPIRATION EXPOSURE TO CLIMATE CHANGE EXTREME DROUGHT EXTREME EVENTS EXTREME VALUES FLOOD PROTECTION FLOOD RISK FLOODING FLOODS FUELS FUTURE CLIMATE VARIABILITY GCM GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL GHG GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT FACILITY GRASSLAND GREEN HOUSE GASSES GREENHOUSE GREENHOUSE GAS GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS GROUNDWATER GROUNDWATER RESOURCES GROUNDWATER STORAGE HUMIDITY HYDROGEOLOGY HYDROLOGIC INDICATORS HYDROLOGIC MODELS HYDROLOGIC VARIABLES HYDROLOGICAL CHANGE HYDROLOGICAL CONDITIONS HYDROLOGICAL CYCLE HYDROLOGICAL MODEL HYDROLOGICAL REGIME HYDROLOGICAL SYSTEMS HYDROLOGY IMPACT OF CLIMATE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT OF CLIMATE VARIABILITY IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE INTERNATIONAL WATER IPCC IRRIGATION IRRIGATION SYSTEMS LAND SURFACE MEAN ANNUAL RUNOFF MEAN TEMPERATURE MEASUREMENTS METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION METEOROLOGICAL RESEARCH METEOROLOGICAL VARIABLES METEOROLOGY MOISTURE OCEANS PALMER DROUGHT SEVERITY INDEX PERCOLATION PET PRECIPITATION RAIN RAINFALL RAINFALL RUNOFF REGIONAL CLIMATE RESERVOIRS RISKS OF CLIMATE CHANGE RIVER BASIN RIVER BASIN MANAGEMENT RIVER BASINS RIVERS RUNOFF SANITATION SEASON SNOW SOLAR RADIATION STREAMFLOW SUB-BASIN SURFACE RUNOFF SURFACE WARMING SURFACE WATER TEMPERATURE TEMPERATURE DATA TEMPERATURE RANGE TEMPERATURES THREAT OF CLIMATE CHANGE VEGETATION WASTEWATER WASTEWATER TREATMENT WATER AVAILABILITY WATER DEMAND WATER FLOWS WATER INFRASTRUCTURE WATER INVESTMENTS WATER MANAGEMENT WATER PLANNING WATER QUALITY WATER RESOURCE WATER RESOURCE MANAGEMENT WATER RESOURCES WATER RESOURCES DEVELOPMENT WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT WATER RESOURCES PLANNING WATER SECTOR WATER STORAGE WATER SUPPLY WATERSHED WATERSHED MANAGEMENT WELLS WIND WIND VELOCITY The impact of climate change is likely to have considerable implications for water resource planning, as well as adding to the risks to water infrastructure systems and effecting return on investments. Attention is increasingly being paid to adaptation strategies at the regional and basin level; however, the current paucity of information regarding the potential risk to hydrological systems at this scale presents a substantial challenge for effective water resources planning and investment. This study is intended to help bridge the gap between high-level climate change predictions and the needs of decision-makers, including World Bank Task Team Leaders, government agencies, investors, and national economic development planners, whose programs and investments will be affected by basin- and regional-level impacts of climate change on water resources and related infrastructures. This study evaluates the effects of climate change on six hydrological indicators across 8,413 basins in World Bank client countries. These indicators, mean annual runoff (MAR), basin yield, annual high flow, annual low flow, groundwater (base-flow), and reference crop water deficit, were chosen based on their relevance to the wide range of water resource development projects planned for the future. To generate a robust, high-resolution understanding of possible risk, this analysis examines relative changes in all variables from the historical baseline (1961 to 1999) to the 2030s and 2050s for the full range of 56 General Circulation Model (GCM) Special Report on Emissions Scenario (SRES) combinations evaluated in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4). 2014-03-11T21:20:30Z 2014-03-11T21:20:30Z 2011-09 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2011/09/15897484/climate-variability-change-basin-scale-indicator-approach-understanding-risk-water-resources-development-management http://hdl.handle.net/10986/17250 English en_US Water papers; CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Working Paper Publications & Research |