Is Extreme Poverty Going to End? An Analytical Framework to Evaluate Progress in Ending Extreme Poverty

The World Bank has recently adopted a target of reducing the proportion of population living below US$1.25 a day at 2005 international prices to 3 percent by 2030. This paper reviews different projection methods and estimates the global poverty rat...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors:	Yoshida, Nobuo, Uematsu, Hiroki, Sobrado, Carlos E.
Format:	Policy Research Working Paper
Language:	English en_US
Published:	World Bank, Washington, DC 2014
Subjects:	AGGREGATION BIAS ANNUAL GROWTH ANNUAL GROWTH RATE ANNUAL RATE AVERAGE ANNUAL AVERAGE GROWTH AVERAGE GROWTH RATE AVERAGE INEQUALITY CONSUMPTION GROWTH CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA COUNTRY INEQUALITY COUNTRY LEVEL COUNTRY SPECIFIC CROSS-COUNTRY REGRESSION DATA AVAILABILITY DECOMPOSITION ANALYSIS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES DEVELOPED WORLD DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPING COUNTRY DEVELOPING WORLD DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DEVELOPMENT GOALS DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS DEVELOPMENT POLICY DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH DISTRIBUTIONAL CHANGES ECONOMIC CRISES ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMICS EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS EMPIRICAL STUDIES ESTIMATES OF POVERTY EXTREME POVERTY GLOBAL LEVEL GLOBAL POVERTY GROWTH ELASTICITY GROWTH RATE GROWTH RATES GROWTH TARGET HIGH GROWTH HIGH GROWTH RATE HIGH POVERTY HOUSEHOLD SURVEY HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS INCOME INCOME DISTRIBUTION INCREASING GROWTH INCREASING INEQUALITY INEQUALITY INEQUALITY CHANGES INEQUALITY CONSTANT INEQUALITY EFFECT INEQUALITY WILL MEAN EXPENDITURES NATIONAL ACCOUNTS NATURAL DISASTER NATURAL DISASTERS NUTRITION POLICY DISCUSSIONS POLICY MAKERS POLICY RESEARCH POOR POOR COUNTRIES POOR INDIVIDUALS POOR PEOPLE POOR POPULATIONS POPULATION COMPOSITION POPULATION DATA POPULATION SHARE POVERTY DATA POVERTY DATABASE POVERTY ESTIMATES POVERTY HEADCOUNT POVERTY HEADCOUNT RATE POVERTY HEADCOUNT RATES POVERTY INDICATORS POVERTY LINE POVERTY LINES POVERTY MEASUREMENT POVERTY MEASURES POVERTY RATE POVERTY RATES POVERTY REDUCTION POVERTY TARGET PRIVATE CONSUMPTION REDUCED INEQUALITY REDUCING INEQUALITY REDUCING POVERTY REGIONAL AVERAGE REGIONAL DECOMPOSITIONS REGIONAL POPULATION REGIONAL POPULATION GROWTH REGIONAL POPULATION GROWTH RATES REGIONAL POVERTY REGRESSION ANALYSIS RELATIVE DISTRIBUTION RURAL RURAL AREAS RURAL POVERTY RURAL POVERTY RATES RURAL URBAN NATIONAL SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS SIGNIFICANT EFFECT SIGNIFICANT IMPACT SIGNIFICANT REDUCTION URBAN AREAS
Online Access:	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/01/18756975/extreme-poverty-going-end-analytical-framework-evaluate-progress-ending-extreme-poverty http://hdl.handle.net/10986/16811

id	okr-10986-16811
recordtype	oai_dc
spelling	okr-10986-168112021-04-23T14:03:33Z Is Extreme Poverty Going to End? An Analytical Framework to Evaluate Progress in Ending Extreme Poverty Yoshida, Nobuo Uematsu, Hiroki Sobrado, Carlos E. AGGREGATION BIAS ANNUAL GROWTH ANNUAL GROWTH RATE ANNUAL RATE AVERAGE ANNUAL AVERAGE GROWTH AVERAGE GROWTH RATE AVERAGE INEQUALITY CONSUMPTION GROWTH CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA COUNTRY INEQUALITY COUNTRY LEVEL COUNTRY SPECIFIC CROSS-COUNTRY REGRESSION DATA AVAILABILITY DECOMPOSITION ANALYSIS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES DEVELOPED WORLD DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPING COUNTRY DEVELOPING WORLD DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DEVELOPMENT GOALS DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS DEVELOPMENT POLICY DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH DISTRIBUTIONAL CHANGES ECONOMIC CRISES ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMICS EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS EMPIRICAL STUDIES ESTIMATES OF POVERTY EXTREME POVERTY GLOBAL LEVEL GLOBAL POVERTY GROWTH ELASTICITY GROWTH RATE GROWTH RATES GROWTH TARGET HIGH GROWTH HIGH GROWTH RATE HIGH POVERTY HOUSEHOLD SURVEY HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS INCOME INCOME DISTRIBUTION INCREASING GROWTH INCREASING INEQUALITY INEQUALITY INEQUALITY CHANGES INEQUALITY CONSTANT INEQUALITY EFFECT INEQUALITY WILL MEAN EXPENDITURES NATIONAL ACCOUNTS NATURAL DISASTER NATURAL DISASTERS NUTRITION POLICY DISCUSSIONS POLICY MAKERS POLICY RESEARCH POOR POOR COUNTRIES POOR INDIVIDUALS POOR PEOPLE POOR POPULATIONS POPULATION COMPOSITION POPULATION DATA POPULATION SHARE POVERTY DATA POVERTY DATABASE POVERTY ESTIMATES POVERTY HEADCOUNT POVERTY HEADCOUNT RATE POVERTY HEADCOUNT RATES POVERTY INDICATORS POVERTY LINE POVERTY LINES POVERTY MEASUREMENT POVERTY MEASURES POVERTY RATE POVERTY RATES POVERTY REDUCTION POVERTY TARGET PRIVATE CONSUMPTION REDUCED INEQUALITY REDUCING INEQUALITY REDUCING POVERTY REGIONAL AVERAGE REGIONAL DECOMPOSITIONS REGIONAL POPULATION REGIONAL POPULATION GROWTH REGIONAL POPULATION GROWTH RATES REGIONAL POVERTY REGRESSION ANALYSIS RELATIVE DISTRIBUTION RURAL RURAL AREAS RURAL POVERTY RURAL POVERTY RATES RURAL URBAN NATIONAL SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS SIGNIFICANT EFFECT SIGNIFICANT IMPACT SIGNIFICANT REDUCTION URBAN AREAS The World Bank has recently adopted a target of reducing the proportion of population living below US$1.25 a day at 2005 international prices to 3 percent by 2030. This paper reviews different projection methods and estimates the global poverty rate of 2030 modifying Ravallion (2013)'s approach in that it introduces country-specific economic and population growth rates and takes into account the effect of changes in within-country inequality. This paper then identifies key obstacles to meeting the target and proposes a simple intermediate growth target under which the global poverty rate can be reduced to 3 percent by 2030. The findings of the analysis lend support to Basu (2013)'s argument that accelerating growth is not enough and sharing prosperity within and across countries is essential to end extreme poverty in one generation. 2014-02-03T20:08:47Z 2014-02-03T20:08:47Z 2014-01 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/01/18756975/extreme-poverty-going-end-analytical-framework-evaluate-progress-ending-extreme-poverty http://hdl.handle.net/10986/16811 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 6740 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research
repository_type	Digital Repository
institution_category	Foreign Institution
institution	Digital Repositories
building	World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection	World Bank
language	English en_US
topic	AGGREGATION BIAS ANNUAL GROWTH ANNUAL GROWTH RATE ANNUAL RATE AVERAGE ANNUAL AVERAGE GROWTH AVERAGE GROWTH RATE AVERAGE INEQUALITY CONSUMPTION GROWTH CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA COUNTRY INEQUALITY COUNTRY LEVEL COUNTRY SPECIFIC CROSS-COUNTRY REGRESSION DATA AVAILABILITY DECOMPOSITION ANALYSIS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES DEVELOPED WORLD DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPING COUNTRY DEVELOPING WORLD DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DEVELOPMENT GOALS DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS DEVELOPMENT POLICY DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH DISTRIBUTIONAL CHANGES ECONOMIC CRISES ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMICS EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS EMPIRICAL STUDIES ESTIMATES OF POVERTY EXTREME POVERTY GLOBAL LEVEL GLOBAL POVERTY GROWTH ELASTICITY GROWTH RATE GROWTH RATES GROWTH TARGET HIGH GROWTH HIGH GROWTH RATE HIGH POVERTY HOUSEHOLD SURVEY HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS INCOME INCOME DISTRIBUTION INCREASING GROWTH INCREASING INEQUALITY INEQUALITY INEQUALITY CHANGES INEQUALITY CONSTANT INEQUALITY EFFECT INEQUALITY WILL MEAN EXPENDITURES NATIONAL ACCOUNTS NATURAL DISASTER NATURAL DISASTERS NUTRITION POLICY DISCUSSIONS POLICY MAKERS POLICY RESEARCH POOR POOR COUNTRIES POOR INDIVIDUALS POOR PEOPLE POOR POPULATIONS POPULATION COMPOSITION POPULATION DATA POPULATION SHARE POVERTY DATA POVERTY DATABASE POVERTY ESTIMATES POVERTY HEADCOUNT POVERTY HEADCOUNT RATE POVERTY HEADCOUNT RATES POVERTY INDICATORS POVERTY LINE POVERTY LINES POVERTY MEASUREMENT POVERTY MEASURES POVERTY RATE POVERTY RATES POVERTY REDUCTION POVERTY TARGET PRIVATE CONSUMPTION REDUCED INEQUALITY REDUCING INEQUALITY REDUCING POVERTY REGIONAL AVERAGE REGIONAL DECOMPOSITIONS REGIONAL POPULATION REGIONAL POPULATION GROWTH REGIONAL POPULATION GROWTH RATES REGIONAL POVERTY REGRESSION ANALYSIS RELATIVE DISTRIBUTION RURAL RURAL AREAS RURAL POVERTY RURAL POVERTY RATES RURAL URBAN NATIONAL SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS SIGNIFICANT EFFECT SIGNIFICANT IMPACT SIGNIFICANT REDUCTION URBAN AREAS
spellingShingle	AGGREGATION BIAS ANNUAL GROWTH ANNUAL GROWTH RATE ANNUAL RATE AVERAGE ANNUAL AVERAGE GROWTH AVERAGE GROWTH RATE AVERAGE INEQUALITY CONSUMPTION GROWTH CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA COUNTRY INEQUALITY COUNTRY LEVEL COUNTRY SPECIFIC CROSS-COUNTRY REGRESSION DATA AVAILABILITY DECOMPOSITION ANALYSIS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES DEVELOPED WORLD DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPING COUNTRY DEVELOPING WORLD DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DEVELOPMENT GOALS DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS DEVELOPMENT POLICY DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH DISTRIBUTIONAL CHANGES ECONOMIC CRISES ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMICS EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS EMPIRICAL STUDIES ESTIMATES OF POVERTY EXTREME POVERTY GLOBAL LEVEL GLOBAL POVERTY GROWTH ELASTICITY GROWTH RATE GROWTH RATES GROWTH TARGET HIGH GROWTH HIGH GROWTH RATE HIGH POVERTY HOUSEHOLD SURVEY HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS INCOME INCOME DISTRIBUTION INCREASING GROWTH INCREASING INEQUALITY INEQUALITY INEQUALITY CHANGES INEQUALITY CONSTANT INEQUALITY EFFECT INEQUALITY WILL MEAN EXPENDITURES NATIONAL ACCOUNTS NATURAL DISASTER NATURAL DISASTERS NUTRITION POLICY DISCUSSIONS POLICY MAKERS POLICY RESEARCH POOR POOR COUNTRIES POOR INDIVIDUALS POOR PEOPLE POOR POPULATIONS POPULATION COMPOSITION POPULATION DATA POPULATION SHARE POVERTY DATA POVERTY DATABASE POVERTY ESTIMATES POVERTY HEADCOUNT POVERTY HEADCOUNT RATE POVERTY HEADCOUNT RATES POVERTY INDICATORS POVERTY LINE POVERTY LINES POVERTY MEASUREMENT POVERTY MEASURES POVERTY RATE POVERTY RATES POVERTY REDUCTION POVERTY TARGET PRIVATE CONSUMPTION REDUCED INEQUALITY REDUCING INEQUALITY REDUCING POVERTY REGIONAL AVERAGE REGIONAL DECOMPOSITIONS REGIONAL POPULATION REGIONAL POPULATION GROWTH REGIONAL POPULATION GROWTH RATES REGIONAL POVERTY REGRESSION ANALYSIS RELATIVE DISTRIBUTION RURAL RURAL AREAS RURAL POVERTY RURAL POVERTY RATES RURAL URBAN NATIONAL SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS SIGNIFICANT EFFECT SIGNIFICANT IMPACT SIGNIFICANT REDUCTION URBAN AREAS Yoshida, Nobuo Uematsu, Hiroki Sobrado, Carlos E. Is Extreme Poverty Going to End? An Analytical Framework to Evaluate Progress in Ending Extreme Poverty
relation	Policy Research Working Paper;No. 6740
description	The World Bank has recently adopted a target of reducing the proportion of population living below US$1.25 a day at 2005 international prices to 3 percent by 2030. This paper reviews different projection methods and estimates the global poverty rate of 2030 modifying Ravallion (2013)'s approach in that it introduces country-specific economic and population growth rates and takes into account the effect of changes in within-country inequality. This paper then identifies key obstacles to meeting the target and proposes a simple intermediate growth target under which the global poverty rate can be reduced to 3 percent by 2030. The findings of the analysis lend support to Basu (2013)'s argument that accelerating growth is not enough and sharing prosperity within and across countries is essential to end extreme poverty in one generation.
format	Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author	Yoshida, Nobuo Uematsu, Hiroki Sobrado, Carlos E.
author_facet	Yoshida, Nobuo Uematsu, Hiroki Sobrado, Carlos E.
author_sort	Yoshida, Nobuo
title	Is Extreme Poverty Going to End? An Analytical Framework to Evaluate Progress in Ending Extreme Poverty
title_short	Is Extreme Poverty Going to End? An Analytical Framework to Evaluate Progress in Ending Extreme Poverty
title_full	Is Extreme Poverty Going to End? An Analytical Framework to Evaluate Progress in Ending Extreme Poverty
title_fullStr	Is Extreme Poverty Going to End? An Analytical Framework to Evaluate Progress in Ending Extreme Poverty
title_full_unstemmed	Is Extreme Poverty Going to End? An Analytical Framework to Evaluate Progress in Ending Extreme Poverty
title_sort	is extreme poverty going to end? an analytical framework to evaluate progress in ending extreme poverty
publisher	World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate	2014
url	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/01/18756975/extreme-poverty-going-end-analytical-framework-evaluate-progress-ending-extreme-poverty http://hdl.handle.net/10986/16811
_version_	1764434923748327424

Is Extreme Poverty Going to End? An Analytical Framework to Evaluate Progress in Ending Extreme Poverty

Similar Items