Mongolia Economic Update, November 2013

In 2013, the Mongolian economy is expected to maintain double digit growth due to the start of copper production of the Oyu Tolgoi (OT) mine and expansionary economic policies. Yet, the economy is facing a significant challenge from growing balance...

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Main Authors: Shiilegmaa, Altantsetseg, Gombosuren, Khandtsooj, Batsuuri, Davaadalai
Format: Economic Updates and Modeling
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2014
Subjects:
NPL
TAX
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2013/11/18485265/mongolia-economic-update
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/16643
id okr-10986-16643
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic ACCOUNTING
ADVANCED ECONOMIES
AGGREGATE DEMAND
ASSET PRICES
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
BALANCE SHEET
BALANCE SHEETS
BANK ACCOUNT
BANK CREDITS
BANK DEPOSIT
BANK DEPOSITS
BANK LOAN
BANK LOANS
BANKING SECTOR
BANKING SYSTEM
BENEFICIARIES
BLACK MARKET
BOND INVESTMENT
BOND ISSUANCE
BOND STOCK
BOND YIELDS
BONDS
BORROWERS
BORROWING COSTS
BUDGET
BUDGET DEFICIT
BUFFERS
CAPITAL ADEQUACY
CAPITAL FLOWS
CAPITAL FORMATION
CAPITAL INFLOW
CAPITAL INFLOWS
CAPITAL OUTFLOWS
CENTRAL BANK
CENTRAL BANK BILLS
CHECK
COMMERCIAL BANKS
COMMERCIAL LOANS
COMMERCIAL TERMS
COMMODITY MARKETS
COMMODITY PRICES
CONSOLIDATION
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
CONTRACTS
CORE INFLATION
CREDIT EXPANSIONS
CREDIT GROWTH
CREDIT RATING
CREDIT RISK
CREDIT RISKS
CREDITORS
CURRENCIES
CURRENCY COMPOSITION
CURRENCY DEPRECIATION
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS
DEBT FINANCING
DEBT ISSUANCE
DEBT LEVEL
DEBT MANAGEMENT
DEFICIT FINANCING
DEPOSIT
DEPOSIT INSURANCE
DEPOSITS
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING COUNTRY
DEVELOPMENT BANK
DISBURSEMENT
DISBURSEMENTS
DOMESTIC BOND
DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION
DOMESTIC CREDIT
DOMESTIC DEBT
DOMESTIC GOVERNMENT BONDS
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS
ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC POLICIES
ECONOMIC POLICY
ECONOMIC STABILITY
EMERGING ECONOMIES
EMERGING MARKETS
EXCESS LIQUIDITY
EXCHANGE
EXCHANGE RATE
EXCHANGE RATE MOVEMENT
EXPENDITURE
EXPENDITURES
EXPORT GROWTH
EXPORT VOLUME
EXPORTERS
EXTERNAL BORROWING
EXTERNAL DEBT
FEDERAL RESERVE
FINANCE
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FINANCIAL MARKET
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FINANCIAL RISKS
FINANCIAL STABILITY
FINANCIAL SUPPORT
FINANCIAL VULNERABILITIES
FISCAL BURDEN
FISCAL DEFICIT
FISCAL DEFICITS
FISCAL DISCIPLINE
FISCAL POLICIES
FISCAL POLICY
FIXED INVESTMENT
FOOD PRICES
FOREIGN CAPITAL
FOREIGN CURRENCY
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET
FOREIGN INVESTMENT
FOREIGN LOAN
FOREIGN LOANS
FOREIGN PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT
FUTURE
GLOBAL ECONOMY
GLOBAL TRADE
GOOD
GOODS
GOVERNMENT BOND
GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE
GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES
GOVERNMENT REVENUE
GOVERNMENT SPENDING
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
GUARANTEE
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
HUMAN DEVELOPMENT
IMBALANCE
IMBALANCES
IMPORT
IMPORT DEMAND
INCOME LEVEL
INFLATION
INFLATION RATE
INFLATIONARY PRESSURE
INFLATIONARY PRESSURES
INSURANCE CORPORATION
INTEREST
INTEREST PAYMENTS
INTEREST RATE
INTEREST RATES
INTERNATIONAL BORROWING
INTERNATIONAL RESERVE
INTERNATIONAL STANDARD
INVESTMENT
INVESTMENT CAPITAL
INVESTMENT CLIMATE
INVESTMENT PROJECTS
INVESTMENT REGIME
INVESTMENTS
INVESTORS
LABOR FORCE
LABOR MARKET
LENDING
LIABILITIES
LIABILITY
LIQUIDITY
LIVING STANDARDS
LOAN
LOANS
LOCAL CURRENCIES
LOCAL CURRENCY
LOOSE MONETARY POLICY
MACRO-ECONOMIC POLICIES
MACRO-ECONOMIC POLICY
MARKET CONDITION
MARKETS
MONETARY AUTHORITIES
MONETARY POLICIES
MONETARY POLICY
MORAL HAZARD
MORTGAGE
MORTGAGES
NON-PERFORMING LOAN
NPL
OPEN MARKET
PORTFOLIO
PORTFOLIO FLOWS
POTENTIAL INVESTORS
POVERTY
PRICE CHANGES
PRIVATE CREDIT
PRIVATE CREDIT GROWTH
PRIVATE INVESTMENT
PRIVATE LOAN
PRIVATE SECTOR CREDIT
PRIVATE SECTOR DEBT
PROPERTY
PRUDENTIAL REGULATIONS
PUBLIC DEBT
PUBLIC DEBT MANAGEMENT
PUBLIC INVESTMENT
PUBLIC INVESTMENTS
PUBLIC SPENDING
REGULATORY FORBEARANCE
REPAYMENT
RESERVE
RESERVE MONEY
RESERVES
RETURN
REVENUE
REVENUES
RISK FACTORS
RISK PROFILE
SAVINGS BANK
SHARE
SHARE OF INVESTMENT
SHORT-TERM BORROWING
SHORT-TERM CAPITAL
SHORT-TERM DEPOSITS
SHORTFALL
SLOWDOWN
SOVEREIGN BOND
SOVEREIGN BONDS
STATE BANK
STOCK
STOCK MARKET
SUPPLY
SUPPLY CAPACITY
SUPPLY SIDE
TAX
TAXES
TIME DEPOSIT
TIME DEPOSITS
TRADE DEFICIT
TRANSACTION
TRANSACTIONS
TRANSPARENCY
WITHDRAWAL
WITHDRAWALS
spellingShingle ACCOUNTING
ADVANCED ECONOMIES
AGGREGATE DEMAND
ASSET PRICES
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
BALANCE SHEET
BALANCE SHEETS
BANK ACCOUNT
BANK CREDITS
BANK DEPOSIT
BANK DEPOSITS
BANK LOAN
BANK LOANS
BANKING SECTOR
BANKING SYSTEM
BENEFICIARIES
BLACK MARKET
BOND INVESTMENT
BOND ISSUANCE
BOND STOCK
BOND YIELDS
BONDS
BORROWERS
BORROWING COSTS
BUDGET
BUDGET DEFICIT
BUFFERS
CAPITAL ADEQUACY
CAPITAL FLOWS
CAPITAL FORMATION
CAPITAL INFLOW
CAPITAL INFLOWS
CAPITAL OUTFLOWS
CENTRAL BANK
CENTRAL BANK BILLS
CHECK
COMMERCIAL BANKS
COMMERCIAL LOANS
COMMERCIAL TERMS
COMMODITY MARKETS
COMMODITY PRICES
CONSOLIDATION
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
CONTRACTS
CORE INFLATION
CREDIT EXPANSIONS
CREDIT GROWTH
CREDIT RATING
CREDIT RISK
CREDIT RISKS
CREDITORS
CURRENCIES
CURRENCY COMPOSITION
CURRENCY DEPRECIATION
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS
DEBT FINANCING
DEBT ISSUANCE
DEBT LEVEL
DEBT MANAGEMENT
DEFICIT FINANCING
DEPOSIT
DEPOSIT INSURANCE
DEPOSITS
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING COUNTRY
DEVELOPMENT BANK
DISBURSEMENT
DISBURSEMENTS
DOMESTIC BOND
DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION
DOMESTIC CREDIT
DOMESTIC DEBT
DOMESTIC GOVERNMENT BONDS
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS
ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC POLICIES
ECONOMIC POLICY
ECONOMIC STABILITY
EMERGING ECONOMIES
EMERGING MARKETS
EXCESS LIQUIDITY
EXCHANGE
EXCHANGE RATE
EXCHANGE RATE MOVEMENT
EXPENDITURE
EXPENDITURES
EXPORT GROWTH
EXPORT VOLUME
EXPORTERS
EXTERNAL BORROWING
EXTERNAL DEBT
FEDERAL RESERVE
FINANCE
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FINANCIAL MARKET
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FINANCIAL RISKS
FINANCIAL STABILITY
FINANCIAL SUPPORT
FINANCIAL VULNERABILITIES
FISCAL BURDEN
FISCAL DEFICIT
FISCAL DEFICITS
FISCAL DISCIPLINE
FISCAL POLICIES
FISCAL POLICY
FIXED INVESTMENT
FOOD PRICES
FOREIGN CAPITAL
FOREIGN CURRENCY
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET
FOREIGN INVESTMENT
FOREIGN LOAN
FOREIGN LOANS
FOREIGN PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT
FUTURE
GLOBAL ECONOMY
GLOBAL TRADE
GOOD
GOODS
GOVERNMENT BOND
GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE
GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES
GOVERNMENT REVENUE
GOVERNMENT SPENDING
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
GUARANTEE
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
HUMAN DEVELOPMENT
IMBALANCE
IMBALANCES
IMPORT
IMPORT DEMAND
INCOME LEVEL
INFLATION
INFLATION RATE
INFLATIONARY PRESSURE
INFLATIONARY PRESSURES
INSURANCE CORPORATION
INTEREST
INTEREST PAYMENTS
INTEREST RATE
INTEREST RATES
INTERNATIONAL BORROWING
INTERNATIONAL RESERVE
INTERNATIONAL STANDARD
INVESTMENT
INVESTMENT CAPITAL
INVESTMENT CLIMATE
INVESTMENT PROJECTS
INVESTMENT REGIME
INVESTMENTS
INVESTORS
LABOR FORCE
LABOR MARKET
LENDING
LIABILITIES
LIABILITY
LIQUIDITY
LIVING STANDARDS
LOAN
LOANS
LOCAL CURRENCIES
LOCAL CURRENCY
LOOSE MONETARY POLICY
MACRO-ECONOMIC POLICIES
MACRO-ECONOMIC POLICY
MARKET CONDITION
MARKETS
MONETARY AUTHORITIES
MONETARY POLICIES
MONETARY POLICY
MORAL HAZARD
MORTGAGE
MORTGAGES
NON-PERFORMING LOAN
NPL
OPEN MARKET
PORTFOLIO
PORTFOLIO FLOWS
POTENTIAL INVESTORS
POVERTY
PRICE CHANGES
PRIVATE CREDIT
PRIVATE CREDIT GROWTH
PRIVATE INVESTMENT
PRIVATE LOAN
PRIVATE SECTOR CREDIT
PRIVATE SECTOR DEBT
PROPERTY
PRUDENTIAL REGULATIONS
PUBLIC DEBT
PUBLIC DEBT MANAGEMENT
PUBLIC INVESTMENT
PUBLIC INVESTMENTS
PUBLIC SPENDING
REGULATORY FORBEARANCE
REPAYMENT
RESERVE
RESERVE MONEY
RESERVES
RETURN
REVENUE
REVENUES
RISK FACTORS
RISK PROFILE
SAVINGS BANK
SHARE
SHARE OF INVESTMENT
SHORT-TERM BORROWING
SHORT-TERM CAPITAL
SHORT-TERM DEPOSITS
SHORTFALL
SLOWDOWN
SOVEREIGN BOND
SOVEREIGN BONDS
STATE BANK
STOCK
STOCK MARKET
SUPPLY
SUPPLY CAPACITY
SUPPLY SIDE
TAX
TAXES
TIME DEPOSIT
TIME DEPOSITS
TRADE DEFICIT
TRANSACTION
TRANSACTIONS
TRANSPARENCY
WITHDRAWAL
WITHDRAWALS
Shiilegmaa, Altantsetseg
Gombosuren, Khandtsooj
Batsuuri, Davaadalai
Mongolia Economic Update, November 2013
geographic_facet East Asia and Pacific
Mongolia
description In 2013, the Mongolian economy is expected to maintain double digit growth due to the start of copper production of the Oyu Tolgoi (OT) mine and expansionary economic policies. Yet, the economy is facing a significant challenge from growing balance of payments pressures as the foreign direct investment (FDI) inflow declines and the mineral exports remain weak. A substantial balance of payments imbalance stems from a weakening minerals market but also largely reflects the consequences of pro-cyclical economic management over the last two years. Mongolia may also face a downside risk from an uncertain global economic environment and further dampening of minerals market. Macro-economic and financial vulnerabilities are growing due to continuous expansionary fiscal and monetary policies reflected in significant off-budget spending and rapid credit growth. The government took a series of positive measures in recent months to address the challenges including the adoption of the new investment law, announcement of a fiscal consolidation plan, and subsequent amendment of the 2013 budget to tighten budget spending. Yet, further efforts are needed to shift the growth-oriented economic policies toward economic stability and rebuilding macro-economic policy buffers, in light of uncertain prospects in the external environment and the balance of payments situation.
format Economic & Sector Work :: Economic Updates and Modeling
author Shiilegmaa, Altantsetseg
Gombosuren, Khandtsooj
Batsuuri, Davaadalai
author_facet Shiilegmaa, Altantsetseg
Gombosuren, Khandtsooj
Batsuuri, Davaadalai
author_sort Shiilegmaa, Altantsetseg
title Mongolia Economic Update, November 2013
title_short Mongolia Economic Update, November 2013
title_full Mongolia Economic Update, November 2013
title_fullStr Mongolia Economic Update, November 2013
title_full_unstemmed Mongolia Economic Update, November 2013
title_sort mongolia economic update, november 2013
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2014
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2013/11/18485265/mongolia-economic-update
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/16643
_version_ 1764433905651286016
spelling okr-10986-166432021-04-23T14:03:30Z Mongolia Economic Update, November 2013 Shiilegmaa, Altantsetseg Gombosuren, Khandtsooj Batsuuri, Davaadalai ACCOUNTING ADVANCED ECONOMIES AGGREGATE DEMAND ASSET PRICES BALANCE OF PAYMENTS BALANCE SHEET BALANCE SHEETS BANK ACCOUNT BANK CREDITS BANK DEPOSIT BANK DEPOSITS BANK LOAN BANK LOANS BANKING SECTOR BANKING SYSTEM BENEFICIARIES BLACK MARKET BOND INVESTMENT BOND ISSUANCE BOND STOCK BOND YIELDS BONDS BORROWERS BORROWING COSTS BUDGET BUDGET DEFICIT BUFFERS CAPITAL ADEQUACY CAPITAL FLOWS CAPITAL FORMATION CAPITAL INFLOW CAPITAL INFLOWS CAPITAL OUTFLOWS CENTRAL BANK CENTRAL BANK BILLS CHECK COMMERCIAL BANKS COMMERCIAL LOANS COMMERCIAL TERMS COMMODITY MARKETS COMMODITY PRICES CONSOLIDATION CONSUMER PRICE INDEX CONTRACTS CORE INFLATION CREDIT EXPANSIONS CREDIT GROWTH CREDIT RATING CREDIT RISK CREDIT RISKS CREDITORS CURRENCIES CURRENCY COMPOSITION CURRENCY DEPRECIATION CURRENT ACCOUNT CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS DEBT FINANCING DEBT ISSUANCE DEBT LEVEL DEBT MANAGEMENT DEFICIT FINANCING DEPOSIT DEPOSIT INSURANCE DEPOSITS DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPING COUNTRY DEVELOPMENT BANK DISBURSEMENT DISBURSEMENTS DOMESTIC BOND DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION DOMESTIC CREDIT DOMESTIC DEBT DOMESTIC GOVERNMENT BONDS ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC POLICIES ECONOMIC POLICY ECONOMIC STABILITY EMERGING ECONOMIES EMERGING MARKETS EXCESS LIQUIDITY EXCHANGE EXCHANGE RATE EXCHANGE RATE MOVEMENT EXPENDITURE EXPENDITURES EXPORT GROWTH EXPORT VOLUME EXPORTERS EXTERNAL BORROWING EXTERNAL DEBT FEDERAL RESERVE FINANCE FINANCIAL CRISIS FINANCIAL MARKET FINANCIAL MARKETS FINANCIAL RISKS FINANCIAL STABILITY FINANCIAL SUPPORT FINANCIAL VULNERABILITIES FISCAL BURDEN FISCAL DEFICIT FISCAL DEFICITS FISCAL DISCIPLINE FISCAL POLICIES FISCAL POLICY FIXED INVESTMENT FOOD PRICES FOREIGN CAPITAL FOREIGN CURRENCY FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT FOREIGN EXCHANGE FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET FOREIGN INVESTMENT FOREIGN LOAN FOREIGN LOANS FOREIGN PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT FUTURE GLOBAL ECONOMY GLOBAL TRADE GOOD GOODS GOVERNMENT BOND GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES GOVERNMENT REVENUE GOVERNMENT SPENDING GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT GUARANTEE HOUSEHOLD INCOME HUMAN DEVELOPMENT IMBALANCE IMBALANCES IMPORT IMPORT DEMAND INCOME LEVEL INFLATION INFLATION RATE INFLATIONARY PRESSURE INFLATIONARY PRESSURES INSURANCE CORPORATION INTEREST INTEREST PAYMENTS INTEREST RATE INTEREST RATES INTERNATIONAL BORROWING INTERNATIONAL RESERVE INTERNATIONAL STANDARD INVESTMENT INVESTMENT CAPITAL INVESTMENT CLIMATE INVESTMENT PROJECTS INVESTMENT REGIME INVESTMENTS INVESTORS LABOR FORCE LABOR MARKET LENDING LIABILITIES LIABILITY LIQUIDITY LIVING STANDARDS LOAN LOANS LOCAL CURRENCIES LOCAL CURRENCY LOOSE MONETARY POLICY MACRO-ECONOMIC POLICIES MACRO-ECONOMIC POLICY MARKET CONDITION MARKETS MONETARY AUTHORITIES MONETARY POLICIES MONETARY POLICY MORAL HAZARD MORTGAGE MORTGAGES NON-PERFORMING LOAN NPL OPEN MARKET PORTFOLIO PORTFOLIO FLOWS POTENTIAL INVESTORS POVERTY PRICE CHANGES PRIVATE CREDIT PRIVATE CREDIT GROWTH PRIVATE INVESTMENT PRIVATE LOAN PRIVATE SECTOR CREDIT PRIVATE SECTOR DEBT PROPERTY PRUDENTIAL REGULATIONS PUBLIC DEBT PUBLIC DEBT MANAGEMENT PUBLIC INVESTMENT PUBLIC INVESTMENTS PUBLIC SPENDING REGULATORY FORBEARANCE REPAYMENT RESERVE RESERVE MONEY RESERVES RETURN REVENUE REVENUES RISK FACTORS RISK PROFILE SAVINGS BANK SHARE SHARE OF INVESTMENT SHORT-TERM BORROWING SHORT-TERM CAPITAL SHORT-TERM DEPOSITS SHORTFALL SLOWDOWN SOVEREIGN BOND SOVEREIGN BONDS STATE BANK STOCK STOCK MARKET SUPPLY SUPPLY CAPACITY SUPPLY SIDE TAX TAXES TIME DEPOSIT TIME DEPOSITS TRADE DEFICIT TRANSACTION TRANSACTIONS TRANSPARENCY WITHDRAWAL WITHDRAWALS In 2013, the Mongolian economy is expected to maintain double digit growth due to the start of copper production of the Oyu Tolgoi (OT) mine and expansionary economic policies. Yet, the economy is facing a significant challenge from growing balance of payments pressures as the foreign direct investment (FDI) inflow declines and the mineral exports remain weak. A substantial balance of payments imbalance stems from a weakening minerals market but also largely reflects the consequences of pro-cyclical economic management over the last two years. Mongolia may also face a downside risk from an uncertain global economic environment and further dampening of minerals market. Macro-economic and financial vulnerabilities are growing due to continuous expansionary fiscal and monetary policies reflected in significant off-budget spending and rapid credit growth. The government took a series of positive measures in recent months to address the challenges including the adoption of the new investment law, announcement of a fiscal consolidation plan, and subsequent amendment of the 2013 budget to tighten budget spending. Yet, further efforts are needed to shift the growth-oriented economic policies toward economic stability and rebuilding macro-economic policy buffers, in light of uncertain prospects in the external environment and the balance of payments situation. 2014-01-28T16:34:37Z 2014-01-28T16:34:37Z 2013-11 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2013/11/18485265/mongolia-economic-update http://hdl.handle.net/10986/16643 English en_US CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Economic & Sector Work :: Economic Updates and Modeling Economic & Sector Work East Asia and Pacific Mongolia