India Development Update, April 2013
The economy is likely to expand by 5.0 percent in FY2013. Although the slowing momentum of economic growth may have bottomed out in the third quarter of FY2013, even a substantial pickup in the last quarter of the fiscal year is unlikely to lift th...
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| Format: | Economic Updates and Modeling |
| Language: | English en_US |
| Published: |
Washington, DC
2014
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2013/04/17647819/india-development-update http://hdl.handle.net/10986/16542 |
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okr-10986-16542 |
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oai_dc |
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Digital Repository |
| institution_category |
Foreign Institution |
| institution |
Digital Repositories |
| building |
World Bank Open Knowledge Repository |
| collection |
World Bank |
| language |
English en_US |
| topic |
ACCOUNTING ADJUSTMENT PATH ADVERSE EFFECTS AGRICULTURE ASSET QUALITY AUCTIONS BALANCE OF PAYMENTS BANK CREDIT BANKING SECTOR BENCHMARK BENEFICIARIES BENEFICIARY CAPITAL ACCUMULATION CAPITAL FLOWS CAPITAL FORMATION CAPITAL GOODS CAPITAL INFLOWS CASH RESERVE CASH RESERVE RATIO CASH TRANSFER CENTRAL BANK CENTRAL BANKS CENTRAL GOVERNMENT DEBT COMMERCIAL BANKS COMMODITY PRICE COMMODITY PRICES COMMUNITY HEALTH CONSOLIDATION CONSUMER CONFIDENCE CONSUMER DURABLES CONSUMER PRICE INDEX CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE CORPORATE BOND CORPORATE BOND MARKETS CREDIT EXPANSION CREDIT GROWTH CREDIT RATING CURRENCY CURRENT ACCOUNT CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT DEBT DEBT CRISIS DEBT RATIO DEBT RATIOS DECELERATION IN GROWTH DEPOSIT DEPOSITS DEPRECIATION DERIVATIVES DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPING COUNTRY DIRECT INVESTMENT DOMESTIC CREDIT ECONOMIC ACTIVITY ECONOMIC CONDITIONS ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC OUTLOOK ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE ECONOMIC POLICY ECONOMIC RESEARCH ELASTICITY EMERGING ECONOMIES EMERGING MARKETS EQUIPMENT EXCHANGE RATE EXCISE TAXES EXPENDITURE EXPENDITURES EXPORT GROWTH EXPORT PERFORMANCE EXPORT VOLUME EXPORT VOLUMES EXPORTS EXTERNAL DEBT EXTERNAL SHOCKS FAMILIES FINANCIAL CRISIS FINANCIAL FLOW FINANCIAL MARKET FINANCIAL SECTOR FINANCIAL SUPPORT FISCAL BURDEN FISCAL CAPACITY FISCAL DEFICIT FISCAL DEFICITS FISCAL DISCIPLINE FISCAL POLICY FIXED CAPITAL FIXED INVESTMENT FOOD PRICES FOREIGN CURRENCY FOREIGN EXCHANGE FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES FOREIGN INVESTMENT FOREIGN RESERVES GDP GDP DEFLATOR GDP PER CAPITA GLOBAL ECONOMY GLOBAL TRADE GOLD GOVERNMENT BANK GOVERNMENT BONDS GOVERNMENT DEBT GOVERNMENT DEFICIT GOVERNMENT FINANCES GOVERNMENT INVESTMENTS GOVERNMENT SPENDING GOVERNMENT SUBSIDIES GROSS CAPITAL FORMATION GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION GROSS NATIONAL SAVINGS GROWTH PERFORMANCE GROWTH RATE GROWTH RATES HEALTH CARE HEALTH FOR ALL HEALTH INTERVENTIONS HEALTH OUTCOMES HEALTH POLICY HEALTH SERVICES HOLDING HOSPITALIZATION HUMAN CAPITAL IMPORT IMPORT DEMAND IMPORTS INCOME INCOME ELASTICITIES INCOME TAX INFLATION INFLATIONARY PRESSURES INSTITUTIONAL INVESTORS INSURANCE INSURANCE INDUSTRY INTEREST RATES INTERNATIONAL STANDARDS INTERVENTION INVESTMENT RATES LABOR MARKET LABOR MARKETS LIQUIDITY LIQUIDITY RATIO LOCAL GOVERNMENTS LONG-TERM INTEREST LONG-TERM INTEREST RATES M2 MARKET CONDITIONS MARKET PRICES MARKETING MATURITY MIDDLE INCOME COUNTRIES MIGRANTS MONETARY AUTHORITY MONETARY FUND MONETARY POLICY MONEY SUPPLY MORTALITY NATIONAL SAVINGS NEGATIVE SHOCKS NET EXPORTS NOMINAL EXCHANGE RATE NONPERFORMING LOANS OIL PRICES OPEN MARKET OPEN MARKET OPERATIONS OUTTURN PARTIAL DEREGULATION PATIENT PATIENT CHOICE PATIENTS PENSION POLICY RESPONSE PORTFOLIO PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO INVESTMENTS POSITIVE EFFECTS PRIVATE CAPITAL PRIVATE CAPITAL INFLOWS PRIVATE CONSUMPTION PRIVATE INVESTMENT PRIVATE INVESTMENTS PUBLIC BANKS PUBLIC DEBT PUBLIC HEALTH PUBLIC INVESTMENT PUBLIC SPENDING PUSH FACTORS QUALITY OF LIFE REAL EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATE REAL GDP REAL INCOME REAL INTEREST REAL INTEREST RATES REMITTANCE REMITTANCES REPO REPO RATE RESERVE RESERVE BANK RESERVE FUNDS RETURN RISK AVERSION RISK PREMIUMS SAVINGS RATES SECURITIES SLOWDOWN SOVEREIGN DEBT STATUTORY LIQUIDITY SUPPLY CONSTRAINTS SURPLUS TAX TAX COLLECTIONS TAX INCENTIVES TAX POLICY TAX REVENUES TAXATION TOTAL COSTS TOTAL DEBT TOTAL IMPORTS TOTAL REVENUE TRADE BALANCE TRADE CREDITS TRADE DEFICIT TRADE GROWTH TREASURY TREASURY BILLS UNCERTAINTY VALUATION WAGES WALKING WEALTH WEALTH EFFECT WHOLESALE PRICE INDEX WORKERS |
| spellingShingle |
ACCOUNTING ADJUSTMENT PATH ADVERSE EFFECTS AGRICULTURE ASSET QUALITY AUCTIONS BALANCE OF PAYMENTS BANK CREDIT BANKING SECTOR BENCHMARK BENEFICIARIES BENEFICIARY CAPITAL ACCUMULATION CAPITAL FLOWS CAPITAL FORMATION CAPITAL GOODS CAPITAL INFLOWS CASH RESERVE CASH RESERVE RATIO CASH TRANSFER CENTRAL BANK CENTRAL BANKS CENTRAL GOVERNMENT DEBT COMMERCIAL BANKS COMMODITY PRICE COMMODITY PRICES COMMUNITY HEALTH CONSOLIDATION CONSUMER CONFIDENCE CONSUMER DURABLES CONSUMER PRICE INDEX CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE CORPORATE BOND CORPORATE BOND MARKETS CREDIT EXPANSION CREDIT GROWTH CREDIT RATING CURRENCY CURRENT ACCOUNT CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT DEBT DEBT CRISIS DEBT RATIO DEBT RATIOS DECELERATION IN GROWTH DEPOSIT DEPOSITS DEPRECIATION DERIVATIVES DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPING COUNTRY DIRECT INVESTMENT DOMESTIC CREDIT ECONOMIC ACTIVITY ECONOMIC CONDITIONS ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC OUTLOOK ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE ECONOMIC POLICY ECONOMIC RESEARCH ELASTICITY EMERGING ECONOMIES EMERGING MARKETS EQUIPMENT EXCHANGE RATE EXCISE TAXES EXPENDITURE EXPENDITURES EXPORT GROWTH EXPORT PERFORMANCE EXPORT VOLUME EXPORT VOLUMES EXPORTS EXTERNAL DEBT EXTERNAL SHOCKS FAMILIES FINANCIAL CRISIS FINANCIAL FLOW FINANCIAL MARKET FINANCIAL SECTOR FINANCIAL SUPPORT FISCAL BURDEN FISCAL CAPACITY FISCAL DEFICIT FISCAL DEFICITS FISCAL DISCIPLINE FISCAL POLICY FIXED CAPITAL FIXED INVESTMENT FOOD PRICES FOREIGN CURRENCY FOREIGN EXCHANGE FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES FOREIGN INVESTMENT FOREIGN RESERVES GDP GDP DEFLATOR GDP PER CAPITA GLOBAL ECONOMY GLOBAL TRADE GOLD GOVERNMENT BANK GOVERNMENT BONDS GOVERNMENT DEBT GOVERNMENT DEFICIT GOVERNMENT FINANCES GOVERNMENT INVESTMENTS GOVERNMENT SPENDING GOVERNMENT SUBSIDIES GROSS CAPITAL FORMATION GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION GROSS NATIONAL SAVINGS GROWTH PERFORMANCE GROWTH RATE GROWTH RATES HEALTH CARE HEALTH FOR ALL HEALTH INTERVENTIONS HEALTH OUTCOMES HEALTH POLICY HEALTH SERVICES HOLDING HOSPITALIZATION HUMAN CAPITAL IMPORT IMPORT DEMAND IMPORTS INCOME INCOME ELASTICITIES INCOME TAX INFLATION INFLATIONARY PRESSURES INSTITUTIONAL INVESTORS INSURANCE INSURANCE INDUSTRY INTEREST RATES INTERNATIONAL STANDARDS INTERVENTION INVESTMENT RATES LABOR MARKET LABOR MARKETS LIQUIDITY LIQUIDITY RATIO LOCAL GOVERNMENTS LONG-TERM INTEREST LONG-TERM INTEREST RATES M2 MARKET CONDITIONS MARKET PRICES MARKETING MATURITY MIDDLE INCOME COUNTRIES MIGRANTS MONETARY AUTHORITY MONETARY FUND MONETARY POLICY MONEY SUPPLY MORTALITY NATIONAL SAVINGS NEGATIVE SHOCKS NET EXPORTS NOMINAL EXCHANGE RATE NONPERFORMING LOANS OIL PRICES OPEN MARKET OPEN MARKET OPERATIONS OUTTURN PARTIAL DEREGULATION PATIENT PATIENT CHOICE PATIENTS PENSION POLICY RESPONSE PORTFOLIO PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO INVESTMENTS POSITIVE EFFECTS PRIVATE CAPITAL PRIVATE CAPITAL INFLOWS PRIVATE CONSUMPTION PRIVATE INVESTMENT PRIVATE INVESTMENTS PUBLIC BANKS PUBLIC DEBT PUBLIC HEALTH PUBLIC INVESTMENT PUBLIC SPENDING PUSH FACTORS QUALITY OF LIFE REAL EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATE REAL GDP REAL INCOME REAL INTEREST REAL INTEREST RATES REMITTANCE REMITTANCES REPO REPO RATE RESERVE RESERVE BANK RESERVE FUNDS RETURN RISK AVERSION RISK PREMIUMS SAVINGS RATES SECURITIES SLOWDOWN SOVEREIGN DEBT STATUTORY LIQUIDITY SUPPLY CONSTRAINTS SURPLUS TAX TAX COLLECTIONS TAX INCENTIVES TAX POLICY TAX REVENUES TAXATION TOTAL COSTS TOTAL DEBT TOTAL IMPORTS TOTAL REVENUE TRADE BALANCE TRADE CREDITS TRADE DEFICIT TRADE GROWTH TREASURY TREASURY BILLS UNCERTAINTY VALUATION WAGES WALKING WEALTH WEALTH EFFECT WHOLESALE PRICE INDEX WORKERS World Bank India Development Update, April 2013 |
| geographic_facet |
South Asia India |
| description |
The economy is likely to expand by 5.0
percent in FY2013. Although the slowing momentum of economic
growth may have bottomed out in the third quarter of FY2013,
even a substantial pickup in the last quarter of the fiscal
year is unlikely to lift the growth rate of real Gross
Domestic Product (GDP) at factor cost much beyond 5.0
percent given the weakness observed over the previous three
quarters. Inflation and fiscal deficit have declined, but
the current account deficit has widened. The Reserve Bank of
India (RBI) has had to strike a tough balance between
providing some monetary stimulus and restraining further
price growth. As inflation, measured by the wholesale price
index, has begun to decelerate in recent months, the
authorities may gain additional policy room. Continued
progress on the reform agenda is key to mitigating downside
risks. The authorities' ability to respond to negative
external shocks is more limited today than during the
2008-09 global crisis. Additional efforts may be needed to
create the fiscal space for India's progress towards
universal health coverage. The depreciation of the rupee
appears to have lost steam, and the currency strengthened in
the second half of the year. With a weaker Balance of
Payment (BoP) position, the rupee continued to lose value
during FY2013 and hit an all-time low in June, remaining
around that level until August. Food inflation remained high
while fuel inflation accelerated after deregulation of
diesel prices. Expenditure compression in the social sectors
and reduction in capital spending allowed for reaching the
fiscal targets. |
| format |
Economic & Sector Work :: Economic Updates and Modeling |
| author |
World Bank |
| author_facet |
World Bank |
| author_sort |
World Bank |
| title |
India Development Update, April 2013 |
| title_short |
India Development Update, April 2013 |
| title_full |
India Development Update, April 2013 |
| title_fullStr |
India Development Update, April 2013 |
| title_full_unstemmed |
India Development Update, April 2013 |
| title_sort |
india development update, april 2013 |
| publisher |
Washington, DC |
| publishDate |
2014 |
| url |
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2013/04/17647819/india-development-update http://hdl.handle.net/10986/16542 |
| _version_ |
1764433966227521536 |
| spelling |
okr-10986-165422021-04-23T14:03:31Z India Development Update, April 2013 World Bank ACCOUNTING ADJUSTMENT PATH ADVERSE EFFECTS AGRICULTURE ASSET QUALITY AUCTIONS BALANCE OF PAYMENTS BANK CREDIT BANKING SECTOR BENCHMARK BENEFICIARIES BENEFICIARY CAPITAL ACCUMULATION CAPITAL FLOWS CAPITAL FORMATION CAPITAL GOODS CAPITAL INFLOWS CASH RESERVE CASH RESERVE RATIO CASH TRANSFER CENTRAL BANK CENTRAL BANKS CENTRAL GOVERNMENT DEBT COMMERCIAL BANKS COMMODITY PRICE COMMODITY PRICES COMMUNITY HEALTH CONSOLIDATION CONSUMER CONFIDENCE CONSUMER DURABLES CONSUMER PRICE INDEX CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE CORPORATE BOND CORPORATE BOND MARKETS CREDIT EXPANSION CREDIT GROWTH CREDIT RATING CURRENCY CURRENT ACCOUNT CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT DEBT DEBT CRISIS DEBT RATIO DEBT RATIOS DECELERATION IN GROWTH DEPOSIT DEPOSITS DEPRECIATION DERIVATIVES DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPING COUNTRY DIRECT INVESTMENT DOMESTIC CREDIT ECONOMIC ACTIVITY ECONOMIC CONDITIONS ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC OUTLOOK ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE ECONOMIC POLICY ECONOMIC RESEARCH ELASTICITY EMERGING ECONOMIES EMERGING MARKETS EQUIPMENT EXCHANGE RATE EXCISE TAXES EXPENDITURE EXPENDITURES EXPORT GROWTH EXPORT PERFORMANCE EXPORT VOLUME EXPORT VOLUMES EXPORTS EXTERNAL DEBT EXTERNAL SHOCKS FAMILIES FINANCIAL CRISIS FINANCIAL FLOW FINANCIAL MARKET FINANCIAL SECTOR FINANCIAL SUPPORT FISCAL BURDEN FISCAL CAPACITY FISCAL DEFICIT FISCAL DEFICITS FISCAL DISCIPLINE FISCAL POLICY FIXED CAPITAL FIXED INVESTMENT FOOD PRICES FOREIGN CURRENCY FOREIGN EXCHANGE FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES FOREIGN INVESTMENT FOREIGN RESERVES GDP GDP DEFLATOR GDP PER CAPITA GLOBAL ECONOMY GLOBAL TRADE GOLD GOVERNMENT BANK GOVERNMENT BONDS GOVERNMENT DEBT GOVERNMENT DEFICIT GOVERNMENT FINANCES GOVERNMENT INVESTMENTS GOVERNMENT SPENDING GOVERNMENT SUBSIDIES GROSS CAPITAL FORMATION GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION GROSS NATIONAL SAVINGS GROWTH PERFORMANCE GROWTH RATE GROWTH RATES HEALTH CARE HEALTH FOR ALL HEALTH INTERVENTIONS HEALTH OUTCOMES HEALTH POLICY HEALTH SERVICES HOLDING HOSPITALIZATION HUMAN CAPITAL IMPORT IMPORT DEMAND IMPORTS INCOME INCOME ELASTICITIES INCOME TAX INFLATION INFLATIONARY PRESSURES INSTITUTIONAL INVESTORS INSURANCE INSURANCE INDUSTRY INTEREST RATES INTERNATIONAL STANDARDS INTERVENTION INVESTMENT RATES LABOR MARKET LABOR MARKETS LIQUIDITY LIQUIDITY RATIO LOCAL GOVERNMENTS LONG-TERM INTEREST LONG-TERM INTEREST RATES M2 MARKET CONDITIONS MARKET PRICES MARKETING MATURITY MIDDLE INCOME COUNTRIES MIGRANTS MONETARY AUTHORITY MONETARY FUND MONETARY POLICY MONEY SUPPLY MORTALITY NATIONAL SAVINGS NEGATIVE SHOCKS NET EXPORTS NOMINAL EXCHANGE RATE NONPERFORMING LOANS OIL PRICES OPEN MARKET OPEN MARKET OPERATIONS OUTTURN PARTIAL DEREGULATION PATIENT PATIENT CHOICE PATIENTS PENSION POLICY RESPONSE PORTFOLIO PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO INVESTMENTS POSITIVE EFFECTS PRIVATE CAPITAL PRIVATE CAPITAL INFLOWS PRIVATE CONSUMPTION PRIVATE INVESTMENT PRIVATE INVESTMENTS PUBLIC BANKS PUBLIC DEBT PUBLIC HEALTH PUBLIC INVESTMENT PUBLIC SPENDING PUSH FACTORS QUALITY OF LIFE REAL EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATE REAL GDP REAL INCOME REAL INTEREST REAL INTEREST RATES REMITTANCE REMITTANCES REPO REPO RATE RESERVE RESERVE BANK RESERVE FUNDS RETURN RISK AVERSION RISK PREMIUMS SAVINGS RATES SECURITIES SLOWDOWN SOVEREIGN DEBT STATUTORY LIQUIDITY SUPPLY CONSTRAINTS SURPLUS TAX TAX COLLECTIONS TAX INCENTIVES TAX POLICY TAX REVENUES TAXATION TOTAL COSTS TOTAL DEBT TOTAL IMPORTS TOTAL REVENUE TRADE BALANCE TRADE CREDITS TRADE DEFICIT TRADE GROWTH TREASURY TREASURY BILLS UNCERTAINTY VALUATION WAGES WALKING WEALTH WEALTH EFFECT WHOLESALE PRICE INDEX WORKERS The economy is likely to expand by 5.0 percent in FY2013. Although the slowing momentum of economic growth may have bottomed out in the third quarter of FY2013, even a substantial pickup in the last quarter of the fiscal year is unlikely to lift the growth rate of real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) at factor cost much beyond 5.0 percent given the weakness observed over the previous three quarters. Inflation and fiscal deficit have declined, but the current account deficit has widened. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has had to strike a tough balance between providing some monetary stimulus and restraining further price growth. As inflation, measured by the wholesale price index, has begun to decelerate in recent months, the authorities may gain additional policy room. Continued progress on the reform agenda is key to mitigating downside risks. The authorities' ability to respond to negative external shocks is more limited today than during the 2008-09 global crisis. Additional efforts may be needed to create the fiscal space for India's progress towards universal health coverage. The depreciation of the rupee appears to have lost steam, and the currency strengthened in the second half of the year. With a weaker Balance of Payment (BoP) position, the rupee continued to lose value during FY2013 and hit an all-time low in June, remaining around that level until August. Food inflation remained high while fuel inflation accelerated after deregulation of diesel prices. Expenditure compression in the social sectors and reduction in capital spending allowed for reaching the fiscal targets. 2014-01-09T21:25:23Z 2014-01-09T21:25:23Z 2013-04 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2013/04/17647819/india-development-update http://hdl.handle.net/10986/16542 English en_US CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank Washington, DC Economic & Sector Work :: Economic Updates and Modeling Economic & Sector Work South Asia India |