Conflict, Food Price Shocks, and Food Insecurity : The Experience of Afghan Households

Using nationally-representative household survey data and confidential geo-coded data on violence, we examine the relationship between conflict and food security in Afghanistan. Spatial mappings of the raw data reveal large variations in levels of food insecurity and conflict across the country; sur...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors:	D'Souza, Anna, Jolliffe, Dean
Format:	Journal Article
Language:	en_US
Published:	Elsevier 2014
Subjects:	food security conflict nutrition poverty spatial distribution
Online Access:	http://hdl.handle.net/10986/16459

id	okr-10986-16459
recordtype	oai_dc
spelling	okr-10986-164592021-04-23T14:03:31Z Conflict, Food Price Shocks, and Food Insecurity : The Experience of Afghan Households D'Souza, Anna Jolliffe, Dean food security conflict nutrition poverty spatial distribution Using nationally-representative household survey data and confidential geo-coded data on violence, we examine the relationship between conflict and food security in Afghanistan. Spatial mappings of the raw data reveal large variations in levels of food insecurity and conflict across the country; surprisingly, high conflict provinces are not the most food insecure. Using a simple bivariate regression model of conflict (violent incidents and persons killed or injured) on food security (calorie intake and the real value of food consumed), we find mixed associations. But once we move to a multivariate framework, accounting for household characteristics and key commodity prices, we find robust evidence that in Afghanistan levels of conflict and food security are negatively correlated. We also find that households in provinces with higher levels of conflict experience muted declines in food security due to staple food price increases relative to households in provinces with lower levels of conflict, perhaps because the former are more disconnected from markets. Gaining a better understanding of linkages between conflict and food security and knowing their spatial distributions can serve to inform policymakers interested in targeting scarce resources to vulnerable populations, for example, through the placement of strategic grain reserves or targeted food assistance programs. 2014-01-02T20:18:58Z 2014-01-02T20:18:58Z 2013-10 Journal Article Food Policy 0306-9192 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/16459 en_US CC BY-NC-ND 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo World Bank Elsevier Publications & Research :: Journal Article Afghanistan
repository_type	Digital Repository
institution_category	Foreign Institution
institution	Digital Repositories
building	World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection	World Bank
language	en_US
topic	food security conflict nutrition poverty spatial distribution
spellingShingle	food security conflict nutrition poverty spatial distribution D'Souza, Anna Jolliffe, Dean Conflict, Food Price Shocks, and Food Insecurity : The Experience of Afghan Households
geographic_facet	Afghanistan
description	Using nationally-representative household survey data and confidential geo-coded data on violence, we examine the relationship between conflict and food security in Afghanistan. Spatial mappings of the raw data reveal large variations in levels of food insecurity and conflict across the country; surprisingly, high conflict provinces are not the most food insecure. Using a simple bivariate regression model of conflict (violent incidents and persons killed or injured) on food security (calorie intake and the real value of food consumed), we find mixed associations. But once we move to a multivariate framework, accounting for household characteristics and key commodity prices, we find robust evidence that in Afghanistan levels of conflict and food security are negatively correlated. We also find that households in provinces with higher levels of conflict experience muted declines in food security due to staple food price increases relative to households in provinces with lower levels of conflict, perhaps because the former are more disconnected from markets. Gaining a better understanding of linkages between conflict and food security and knowing their spatial distributions can serve to inform policymakers interested in targeting scarce resources to vulnerable populations, for example, through the placement of strategic grain reserves or targeted food assistance programs.
format	Journal Article
author	D'Souza, Anna Jolliffe, Dean
author_facet	D'Souza, Anna Jolliffe, Dean
author_sort	D'Souza, Anna
title	Conflict, Food Price Shocks, and Food Insecurity : The Experience of Afghan Households
title_short	Conflict, Food Price Shocks, and Food Insecurity : The Experience of Afghan Households
title_full	Conflict, Food Price Shocks, and Food Insecurity : The Experience of Afghan Households
title_fullStr	Conflict, Food Price Shocks, and Food Insecurity : The Experience of Afghan Households
title_full_unstemmed	Conflict, Food Price Shocks, and Food Insecurity : The Experience of Afghan Households
title_sort	conflict, food price shocks, and food insecurity : the experience of afghan households
publisher	Elsevier
publishDate	2014
url	http://hdl.handle.net/10986/16459
_version_	1764434124902236160

Conflict, Food Price Shocks, and Food Insecurity : The Experience of Afghan Households

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