Beyond Univariate Measurement of Spatial Autocorrelation : Disaggregated Spillover Effects for Indonesia

Most studies that incorporate spatial effects use a very limited number of spatial variables in the growth model, e.g. growth spillovers or infrastructure impacts of neighbouring regions. This article innovates on previous work in spatial econometrics by differentiating among spatial contributions t...

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Main Authors: Day, Jennifer, Lewis, Blane
Format: Journal Article
Language:en_US
Published: Taylor and Francis 2013
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10986/16186
id okr-10986-16186
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-161862021-04-23T14:03:27Z Beyond Univariate Measurement of Spatial Autocorrelation : Disaggregated Spillover Effects for Indonesia Day, Jennifer Lewis, Blane spatial statistics spillovers economic growth Durbin representation Most studies that incorporate spatial effects use a very limited number of spatial variables in the growth model, e.g. growth spillovers or infrastructure impacts of neighbouring regions. This article innovates on previous work in spatial econometrics by differentiating among spatial contributions to economic development; e.g. infrastructure, capital, human capital, land and labour. We explore whether including more spatial effects can improve the viability of a growth model, and also test the hypothesis that the differential spatial effects of various important predictor variables are discernible for Indonesia. We develop two econometric estimations based on the Durbin representation of the Spatial Error Model. We take advantage of a panel data set spanning Indonesia's post-decentralization years, 2003–2008. The first model uses a modified fixed effects formulation, and the second uses a maximum likelihood estimator. The two sets of models are reported together to serve as a check to the robustness of the results. Multiple estimation methods were attempted, including (to control for potential endogeneity) two-stage least squares (2SLS) and generalized method of moments (GMM). The findings suggest that various types of spillover effects affect a place by different processes, and accounting for this variety of processes in growth models improves the efficacy of those models. Our findings suggest that, for Indonesian districts, the influence of neighbours extends beyond GRDP per capita levels and growth, and also includes demographics, human capital and infrastructure components. We also demonstrate empirically that accounting for spatial effects in analysis of GRDP per capita can improve growth-model estimations. 2013-10-17T18:26:29Z 2013-10-17T18:26:29Z 2013-08-02 Journal Article Annals of GIS 1947-5683 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/16186 en_US CC BY-NC-ND 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo/ World Bank Taylor and Francis Publications & Research :: Journal Article Publications & Research East Asia and Pacific Indonesia
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language en_US
topic spatial statistics
spillovers
economic growth
Durbin representation
spellingShingle spatial statistics
spillovers
economic growth
Durbin representation
Day, Jennifer
Lewis, Blane
Beyond Univariate Measurement of Spatial Autocorrelation : Disaggregated Spillover Effects for Indonesia
geographic_facet East Asia and Pacific
Indonesia
description Most studies that incorporate spatial effects use a very limited number of spatial variables in the growth model, e.g. growth spillovers or infrastructure impacts of neighbouring regions. This article innovates on previous work in spatial econometrics by differentiating among spatial contributions to economic development; e.g. infrastructure, capital, human capital, land and labour. We explore whether including more spatial effects can improve the viability of a growth model, and also test the hypothesis that the differential spatial effects of various important predictor variables are discernible for Indonesia. We develop two econometric estimations based on the Durbin representation of the Spatial Error Model. We take advantage of a panel data set spanning Indonesia's post-decentralization years, 2003–2008. The first model uses a modified fixed effects formulation, and the second uses a maximum likelihood estimator. The two sets of models are reported together to serve as a check to the robustness of the results. Multiple estimation methods were attempted, including (to control for potential endogeneity) two-stage least squares (2SLS) and generalized method of moments (GMM). The findings suggest that various types of spillover effects affect a place by different processes, and accounting for this variety of processes in growth models improves the efficacy of those models. Our findings suggest that, for Indonesian districts, the influence of neighbours extends beyond GRDP per capita levels and growth, and also includes demographics, human capital and infrastructure components. We also demonstrate empirically that accounting for spatial effects in analysis of GRDP per capita can improve growth-model estimations.
format Journal Article
author Day, Jennifer
Lewis, Blane
author_facet Day, Jennifer
Lewis, Blane
author_sort Day, Jennifer
title Beyond Univariate Measurement of Spatial Autocorrelation : Disaggregated Spillover Effects for Indonesia
title_short Beyond Univariate Measurement of Spatial Autocorrelation : Disaggregated Spillover Effects for Indonesia
title_full Beyond Univariate Measurement of Spatial Autocorrelation : Disaggregated Spillover Effects for Indonesia
title_fullStr Beyond Univariate Measurement of Spatial Autocorrelation : Disaggregated Spillover Effects for Indonesia
title_full_unstemmed Beyond Univariate Measurement of Spatial Autocorrelation : Disaggregated Spillover Effects for Indonesia
title_sort beyond univariate measurement of spatial autocorrelation : disaggregated spillover effects for indonesia
publisher Taylor and Francis
publishDate 2013
url http://hdl.handle.net/10986/16186
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