A Retrospective Analysis of the House Prices Macro-Relationship in the United States

This study provides empirical evidence on the strengthening of the impact of house prices on the US macroeconomy. The stability of the house prices macro-link is tested in a small-dimensional vector autoregressive model over the last fifty years. T...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Ahamada, Ibrahim, Diaz Sanchez, Jose Luis
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2013
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2013/07/18052787/retrospective-analysis-house-prices-macro-relationship-united-states
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/15908
id okr-10986-15908
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-159082021-04-23T14:03:26Z A Retrospective Analysis of the House Prices Macro-Relationship in the United States Ahamada, Ibrahim Diaz Sanchez, Jose Luis ACCOUNTING ASSET PRICE BORROWING BORROWING CONSTRAINTS CENTRAL BANK CONSUMER PRICE CONSUMER PRICE INDEX CONSUMERS CREDIT CONSTRAINTS DEREGULATION DEREGULATIONS DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DEVELOPMENT POLICY DISPOSABLE INCOME ECONOMETRICS ECONOMIC ACTIVITY ECONOMIC CRISIS ECONOMIC GROWTH ENDOGENOUS VARIABLES EXPENDITURE EXPENDITURES FEDERAL NATIONAL MORTGAGE ASSOCIATION FEDERAL RESERVE FINANCIAL INNOVATION FINANCIAL SECTOR FUTURE RESEARCH GDP GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT GROWTH RATE HOME EQUITY HOME PRICE HOUSEHOLD EXPENDITURES HOUSES HOUSING HOUSING FINANCE HOUSING MARKET HOUSING MARKETS INFLATION INFLATION RATE INTEREST RATES MACROECONOMICS MARGINAL PROPENSITY TO CONSUME MARKET LIBERALIZATION MONETARY POLICY MORTGAGE MORTGAGE CORPORATION MORTGAGE LOANS MORTGAGE MARKET MORTGAGE MARKETS MORTGAGE ORIGINATORS POLITICAL ECONOMY PRICE SERIES PRICE STABILITY PRICES INDEX PRIVATIZATION REAL ESTATE REAL GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT SAVINGS SECONDARY MARKET SECONDARY MARKETS STOCK MARKET STRUCTURAL CHANGE TRANSACTION COSTS WEALTH vector autoregressive This study provides empirical evidence on the strengthening of the impact of house prices on the US macroeconomy. The stability of the house prices macro-link is tested in a small-dimensional vector autoregressive model over the last fifty years. The estimated break-points are used to split the sample into different segments and a multivariate time series analysis is performed within subsamples. The paper finds a robust structural break in the mid-1980s. In addition, time series analysis across segments provides evidence that the effect of house prices, not only on private consumption, but also on economic activity, has intensified since the mid-1980s. 2013-09-27T18:26:19Z 2013-09-27T18:26:19Z 2013-07 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2013/07/18052787/retrospective-analysis-house-prices-macro-relationship-united-states http://hdl.handle.net/10986/15908 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 6549 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research UNITED STATES
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic ACCOUNTING
ASSET PRICE
BORROWING
BORROWING CONSTRAINTS
CENTRAL BANK
CONSUMER PRICE
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
CONSUMERS
CREDIT CONSTRAINTS
DEREGULATION
DEREGULATIONS
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
DISPOSABLE INCOME
ECONOMETRICS
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
ECONOMIC CRISIS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ENDOGENOUS VARIABLES
EXPENDITURE
EXPENDITURES
FEDERAL NATIONAL MORTGAGE ASSOCIATION
FEDERAL RESERVE
FINANCIAL INNOVATION
FINANCIAL SECTOR
FUTURE RESEARCH
GDP
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
GROWTH RATE
HOME EQUITY
HOME PRICE
HOUSEHOLD EXPENDITURES
HOUSES
HOUSING
HOUSING FINANCE
HOUSING MARKET
HOUSING MARKETS
INFLATION
INFLATION RATE
INTEREST RATES
MACROECONOMICS
MARGINAL PROPENSITY TO CONSUME
MARKET LIBERALIZATION
MONETARY POLICY
MORTGAGE
MORTGAGE CORPORATION
MORTGAGE LOANS
MORTGAGE MARKET
MORTGAGE MARKETS
MORTGAGE ORIGINATORS
POLITICAL ECONOMY
PRICE SERIES
PRICE STABILITY
PRICES INDEX
PRIVATIZATION
REAL ESTATE
REAL GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
SAVINGS
SECONDARY MARKET
SECONDARY MARKETS
STOCK MARKET
STRUCTURAL CHANGE
TRANSACTION COSTS
WEALTH
vector autoregressive
spellingShingle ACCOUNTING
ASSET PRICE
BORROWING
BORROWING CONSTRAINTS
CENTRAL BANK
CONSUMER PRICE
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
CONSUMERS
CREDIT CONSTRAINTS
DEREGULATION
DEREGULATIONS
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
DISPOSABLE INCOME
ECONOMETRICS
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
ECONOMIC CRISIS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ENDOGENOUS VARIABLES
EXPENDITURE
EXPENDITURES
FEDERAL NATIONAL MORTGAGE ASSOCIATION
FEDERAL RESERVE
FINANCIAL INNOVATION
FINANCIAL SECTOR
FUTURE RESEARCH
GDP
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
GROWTH RATE
HOME EQUITY
HOME PRICE
HOUSEHOLD EXPENDITURES
HOUSES
HOUSING
HOUSING FINANCE
HOUSING MARKET
HOUSING MARKETS
INFLATION
INFLATION RATE
INTEREST RATES
MACROECONOMICS
MARGINAL PROPENSITY TO CONSUME
MARKET LIBERALIZATION
MONETARY POLICY
MORTGAGE
MORTGAGE CORPORATION
MORTGAGE LOANS
MORTGAGE MARKET
MORTGAGE MARKETS
MORTGAGE ORIGINATORS
POLITICAL ECONOMY
PRICE SERIES
PRICE STABILITY
PRICES INDEX
PRIVATIZATION
REAL ESTATE
REAL GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
SAVINGS
SECONDARY MARKET
SECONDARY MARKETS
STOCK MARKET
STRUCTURAL CHANGE
TRANSACTION COSTS
WEALTH
vector autoregressive
Ahamada, Ibrahim
Diaz Sanchez, Jose Luis
A Retrospective Analysis of the House Prices Macro-Relationship in the United States
geographic_facet UNITED STATES
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 6549
description This study provides empirical evidence on the strengthening of the impact of house prices on the US macroeconomy. The stability of the house prices macro-link is tested in a small-dimensional vector autoregressive model over the last fifty years. The estimated break-points are used to split the sample into different segments and a multivariate time series analysis is performed within subsamples. The paper finds a robust structural break in the mid-1980s. In addition, time series analysis across segments provides evidence that the effect of house prices, not only on private consumption, but also on economic activity, has intensified since the mid-1980s.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Ahamada, Ibrahim
Diaz Sanchez, Jose Luis
author_facet Ahamada, Ibrahim
Diaz Sanchez, Jose Luis
author_sort Ahamada, Ibrahim
title A Retrospective Analysis of the House Prices Macro-Relationship in the United States
title_short A Retrospective Analysis of the House Prices Macro-Relationship in the United States
title_full A Retrospective Analysis of the House Prices Macro-Relationship in the United States
title_fullStr A Retrospective Analysis of the House Prices Macro-Relationship in the United States
title_full_unstemmed A Retrospective Analysis of the House Prices Macro-Relationship in the United States
title_sort retrospective analysis of the house prices macro-relationship in the united states
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2013
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2013/07/18052787/retrospective-analysis-house-prices-macro-relationship-united-states
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/15908
_version_ 1764431928249810944