Mexico - Fiscal Sustainability (Vol. 2 of 2) : Background Papers

The study reviews the stabilization efforts, and successes that preceded, and have underpinned Mexico's sweeping market-oriented structural reforms since the late 1980s, anchored in strong fiscal adjustment. It seeks to support the Government&...

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Main Author: World Bank
Language:English
en_US
Published: Washington, DC 2013
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2001/06/1552060/mexico-fiscal-sustainability-vol-2-2-background-papers
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/15500
id okr-10986-15500
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-155002021-04-23T14:03:14Z Mexico - Fiscal Sustainability (Vol. 2 of 2) : Background Papers World Bank FISCAL SUSTAINABILITY BUSINESS CYCLES FISCAL POLICY ECONOMIC GROWTH BUDGET ESTIMATES EXTERNAL SHOCKS INFRASTRUCTURE CONTINGENT LIABILITY FISCAL COSTS FISCAL DEFICITS PUBLIC DEBT DEBT MANAGEMENT POLICY FRAMEWORK PENSION SYSTEMS FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT BALANCE SHEET BANKING SECTOR BANKING SYSTEM BENCHMARK BENCHMARKS BONDS BORROWING BUDGET CONSTRAINT BUDGET SURPLUS BUSINESS CYCLES CENTRAL GOVERNMENT DEBT MANAGEMENT DEFICIT ADJUSTMENTS DEFICIT REDUCTION DEPOSIT INSURANCE DISCOUNT RATE DISCRETIONARY POLICY ECONOMIC EXPANSION ECONOMIC HISTORY ELASTICITY ELECTRICITY EXCHANGE RATE EXPENDITURE EXTERNAL SHOCKS FEDERAL GOVERNMENT FINANCING SOURCES FISCAL FISCAL COSTS FISCAL DEFICIT FISCAL DEFICITS FISCAL MEASURES FISCAL POLICIES FISCAL POLICY FISCAL REFORM FISCAL SURPLUS FISCAL SUSTAINABILITY FISCAL YEAR FOREIGN DEBT GDP GDP DEFLATOR GOVERNMENT ACCOUNTING GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION GOVERNMENT DEBT GOVERNMENT GUARANTEES GOVERNMENT REVENUE GOVERNMENT REVENUES GOVERNMENT SPENDING GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT GROWTH RATES INDUSTRIAL ECONOMIES INFLATION INSURANCE INTEREST RATE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND INTERNATIONAL TRADE LOAN GUARANTEES MARKET VALUE MONEY SUPPLY NATIONAL ACCOUNTS NATIONAL INCOME NONTAX REVENUE PENSION LIABILITIES PENSION REFORM POTENTIAL OUTPUT PRIVATE BANKS PRIVATE SECTOR PRIVATIZATION PROVISION OF INFRASTRUCTURE PUBLIC DEBT PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE PUBLIC INVESTMENT PUBLIC SECTOR REAL GDP REAL INTEREST RATES REAL TERMS RECESSION RETIREMENT SOCIAL SECURITY STATE GOVERNMENT TAX TAX REVENUE TAX REVENUES TAX SYSTEM TIME SERIES TOTAL REVENUE TRANSPORT UNEMPLOYMENT VALUE ADDED WAGES The study reviews the stabilization efforts, and successes that preceded, and have underpinned Mexico's sweeping market-oriented structural reforms since the late 1980s, anchored in strong fiscal adjustment. It seeks to support the Government's efforts, and provides a body of technical analysis, by: correcting fiscal trends for various business-cycle effects; building a simulation model to assess the sensitivity of the fiscal budget to exogenous shocks under structural scenarios; estimating the direct, and indirect potential impact on the fiscal accounts of closing public infrastructure gaps, and funding contingent liabilities; and, consolidating the financial accounts of the main public sector institutions to assess sustainability of their aggregate debt path. Following a brief review on fiscal issues, the report focuses on selected sources of fiscal instability. Chapter I questions the role of fiscal policy in determining output; the responsiveness of the fiscal policy to the business cycle; and, the "persistence" of fiscal policy vs. financing needs, implying the fiscal policy lacks a design that makes it a stabilizing feature of the economy. Chapters II and III investigate the impacts of major exogenous shocks, and provide estimates of the potential payoffs from increased investment in public infrastructure, calculating the optimal infrastructure stocks implied by the elasticity estimates. Chapter IV addresses the measurement of contingent liabilities, within the traditional budget accounting framework, while Chapter V provides estimates of the debt stock at the state level, suggesting disturbing trends in the size, and concentration of the debt are developing, and, sobering evidence on the health of the sub-national pension systems suggest a large percentage of these are either in actuarial deficit, or will be by 2001. 2013-08-29T21:37:27Z 2013-08-29T21:37:27Z 2001-06-13 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2001/06/1552060/mexico-fiscal-sustainability-vol-2-2-background-papers http://hdl.handle.net/10986/15500 English en_US CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank Washington, DC Latin America & Caribbean Mexico
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic FISCAL SUSTAINABILITY
BUSINESS CYCLES
FISCAL POLICY
ECONOMIC GROWTH
BUDGET ESTIMATES
EXTERNAL SHOCKS
INFRASTRUCTURE
CONTINGENT LIABILITY
FISCAL COSTS
FISCAL DEFICITS
PUBLIC DEBT
DEBT MANAGEMENT
POLICY FRAMEWORK
PENSION SYSTEMS
FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT BALANCE SHEET
BANKING SECTOR
BANKING SYSTEM
BENCHMARK
BENCHMARKS
BONDS
BORROWING
BUDGET CONSTRAINT
BUDGET SURPLUS
BUSINESS CYCLES
CENTRAL GOVERNMENT
DEBT MANAGEMENT
DEFICIT ADJUSTMENTS
DEFICIT REDUCTION
DEPOSIT INSURANCE
DISCOUNT RATE
DISCRETIONARY POLICY
ECONOMIC EXPANSION
ECONOMIC HISTORY
ELASTICITY
ELECTRICITY
EXCHANGE RATE
EXPENDITURE
EXTERNAL SHOCKS
FEDERAL GOVERNMENT
FINANCING SOURCES
FISCAL
FISCAL COSTS
FISCAL DEFICIT
FISCAL DEFICITS
FISCAL MEASURES
FISCAL POLICIES
FISCAL POLICY
FISCAL REFORM
FISCAL SURPLUS
FISCAL SUSTAINABILITY
FISCAL YEAR
FOREIGN DEBT
GDP
GDP DEFLATOR
GOVERNMENT ACCOUNTING
GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION
GOVERNMENT DEBT
GOVERNMENT GUARANTEES
GOVERNMENT REVENUE
GOVERNMENT REVENUES
GOVERNMENT SPENDING
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
GROWTH RATES
INDUSTRIAL ECONOMIES
INFLATION
INSURANCE
INTEREST RATE
INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
LOAN GUARANTEES
MARKET VALUE
MONEY SUPPLY
NATIONAL ACCOUNTS
NATIONAL INCOME
NONTAX REVENUE
PENSION LIABILITIES
PENSION REFORM
POTENTIAL OUTPUT
PRIVATE BANKS
PRIVATE SECTOR
PRIVATIZATION
PROVISION OF INFRASTRUCTURE
PUBLIC DEBT
PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE
PUBLIC INVESTMENT
PUBLIC SECTOR
REAL GDP
REAL INTEREST RATES
REAL TERMS
RECESSION
RETIREMENT
SOCIAL SECURITY
STATE GOVERNMENT
TAX
TAX REVENUE
TAX REVENUES
TAX SYSTEM
TIME SERIES
TOTAL REVENUE
TRANSPORT
UNEMPLOYMENT
VALUE ADDED
WAGES
spellingShingle FISCAL SUSTAINABILITY
BUSINESS CYCLES
FISCAL POLICY
ECONOMIC GROWTH
BUDGET ESTIMATES
EXTERNAL SHOCKS
INFRASTRUCTURE
CONTINGENT LIABILITY
FISCAL COSTS
FISCAL DEFICITS
PUBLIC DEBT
DEBT MANAGEMENT
POLICY FRAMEWORK
PENSION SYSTEMS
FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT BALANCE SHEET
BANKING SECTOR
BANKING SYSTEM
BENCHMARK
BENCHMARKS
BONDS
BORROWING
BUDGET CONSTRAINT
BUDGET SURPLUS
BUSINESS CYCLES
CENTRAL GOVERNMENT
DEBT MANAGEMENT
DEFICIT ADJUSTMENTS
DEFICIT REDUCTION
DEPOSIT INSURANCE
DISCOUNT RATE
DISCRETIONARY POLICY
ECONOMIC EXPANSION
ECONOMIC HISTORY
ELASTICITY
ELECTRICITY
EXCHANGE RATE
EXPENDITURE
EXTERNAL SHOCKS
FEDERAL GOVERNMENT
FINANCING SOURCES
FISCAL
FISCAL COSTS
FISCAL DEFICIT
FISCAL DEFICITS
FISCAL MEASURES
FISCAL POLICIES
FISCAL POLICY
FISCAL REFORM
FISCAL SURPLUS
FISCAL SUSTAINABILITY
FISCAL YEAR
FOREIGN DEBT
GDP
GDP DEFLATOR
GOVERNMENT ACCOUNTING
GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION
GOVERNMENT DEBT
GOVERNMENT GUARANTEES
GOVERNMENT REVENUE
GOVERNMENT REVENUES
GOVERNMENT SPENDING
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
GROWTH RATES
INDUSTRIAL ECONOMIES
INFLATION
INSURANCE
INTEREST RATE
INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
LOAN GUARANTEES
MARKET VALUE
MONEY SUPPLY
NATIONAL ACCOUNTS
NATIONAL INCOME
NONTAX REVENUE
PENSION LIABILITIES
PENSION REFORM
POTENTIAL OUTPUT
PRIVATE BANKS
PRIVATE SECTOR
PRIVATIZATION
PROVISION OF INFRASTRUCTURE
PUBLIC DEBT
PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE
PUBLIC INVESTMENT
PUBLIC SECTOR
REAL GDP
REAL INTEREST RATES
REAL TERMS
RECESSION
RETIREMENT
SOCIAL SECURITY
STATE GOVERNMENT
TAX
TAX REVENUE
TAX REVENUES
TAX SYSTEM
TIME SERIES
TOTAL REVENUE
TRANSPORT
UNEMPLOYMENT
VALUE ADDED
WAGES
World Bank
Mexico - Fiscal Sustainability (Vol. 2 of 2) : Background Papers
geographic_facet Latin America & Caribbean
Mexico
description The study reviews the stabilization efforts, and successes that preceded, and have underpinned Mexico's sweeping market-oriented structural reforms since the late 1980s, anchored in strong fiscal adjustment. It seeks to support the Government's efforts, and provides a body of technical analysis, by: correcting fiscal trends for various business-cycle effects; building a simulation model to assess the sensitivity of the fiscal budget to exogenous shocks under structural scenarios; estimating the direct, and indirect potential impact on the fiscal accounts of closing public infrastructure gaps, and funding contingent liabilities; and, consolidating the financial accounts of the main public sector institutions to assess sustainability of their aggregate debt path. Following a brief review on fiscal issues, the report focuses on selected sources of fiscal instability. Chapter I questions the role of fiscal policy in determining output; the responsiveness of the fiscal policy to the business cycle; and, the "persistence" of fiscal policy vs. financing needs, implying the fiscal policy lacks a design that makes it a stabilizing feature of the economy. Chapters II and III investigate the impacts of major exogenous shocks, and provide estimates of the potential payoffs from increased investment in public infrastructure, calculating the optimal infrastructure stocks implied by the elasticity estimates. Chapter IV addresses the measurement of contingent liabilities, within the traditional budget accounting framework, while Chapter V provides estimates of the debt stock at the state level, suggesting disturbing trends in the size, and concentration of the debt are developing, and, sobering evidence on the health of the sub-national pension systems suggest a large percentage of these are either in actuarial deficit, or will be by 2001.
author World Bank
author_facet World Bank
author_sort World Bank
title Mexico - Fiscal Sustainability (Vol. 2 of 2) : Background Papers
title_short Mexico - Fiscal Sustainability (Vol. 2 of 2) : Background Papers
title_full Mexico - Fiscal Sustainability (Vol. 2 of 2) : Background Papers
title_fullStr Mexico - Fiscal Sustainability (Vol. 2 of 2) : Background Papers
title_full_unstemmed Mexico - Fiscal Sustainability (Vol. 2 of 2) : Background Papers
title_sort mexico - fiscal sustainability (vol. 2 of 2) : background papers
publisher Washington, DC
publishDate 2013
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2001/06/1552060/mexico-fiscal-sustainability-vol-2-2-background-papers
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/15500
_version_ 1764426828591661056