Turning the Tide in Turbulent Times : Making the Most of Kenya's Demographic Change and Rapid Urbanization

Kenya will need to navigate through another economic storm in 2011. This will reduce growth to a projected 4.8 percent, which is still substantially higher than the average of the last decade. The decade started on a bullish note for Kenya. In 2010...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: World Bank
Format: Policy Note
Language:English
en_US
Published: Washington, DC 2013
Subjects:
GDP
TAX
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2011/06/16343811/kenya-turning-tide-turbulent-times-making-most-kenyas-demographic-change-rapid-urbanization
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/13002
id okr-10986-13002
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic ACCOUNTABILITY STRUCTURES
ADVERSE SHOCKS
AFFORDABLE HOUSING
AGRICULTURE
AIRPORT
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
BANK BRANCHES
BANK RATE
BASIS POINTS
BEST MARKET
BILL
BRANCH NETWORKS
BUDGET DEFICIT
BUFFERS
BUSINESS CONFIDENCE
BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
CAPACITY CONSTRAINTS
CAPITAL FLIGHT
CAPITAL INVESTMENTS
CARS
CASH RESERVE
CASH TRANSFERS
CENTRAL BANK
COMMERCIAL BANKS
COMMODITY
COMMON MARKET
COMMUTERS
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
CONSUMERS
CREDIT GROWTH
CURRENCY
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT
DEBT
DEMOGRAPHIC
DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE
DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES
DEPOSIT
DEPOSIT RATES
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING ECONOMIES
DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE
DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
DIVIDEND
DIVIDENDS
DRIVING
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS
ECONOMIC EXPANSION
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
ECONOMIC REFORM
ECONOMIC SHOCKS
ECONOMIES OF SCALE
EMERGING MARKETS
ENABLING ENVIRONMENT
EQUIPMENT
EXCESS LIQUIDITY
EXCHANGE RATE
EXCHANGE RATE MOVEMENTS
EXCHANGE RATES
EXPANSION OF EXPORTS
EXPENDITURES
EXPORT BASE
EXPORT EARNINGS
EXPORT GROWTH
EXPORT MARKETS
EXPORT PERFORMANCE
EXPORTER
EXPORTERS
EXPORTS
EXTERNAL SHOCKS
EXTREME POVERTY
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FINANCIAL SECTOR
FINANCIAL SERVICE
FINANCIAL SERVICE PROVIDERS
FISCAL DEFICIT
FISCAL DEFICITS
FISCAL POLICY
FOOD PRICES
FORECASTS
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
FOREIGN INVESTORS
FREIGHT
FREIGHT SERVICES
FUEL
FUEL PRICE
FUEL PRICES
GDP
GDP PER CAPITA
GLOBAL ECONOMIES
GLOBAL ECONOMY
GLOBAL EXPORT
GLOBAL EXPORTS
GLOBAL MARKETS
GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH RATES
HIGH TRANSPORT
HIGH-SPEED TRAIN
HOLDING
IMBALANCE
IMPORT
IMPORT COSTS
IMPORTS
INCOME
INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENTS
INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS
INSURANCE
INTEREST RATES
INVESTMENT CLIMATE
INVESTMENT DECISIONS
INVESTMENT FLOWS
INVESTOR CONFIDENCE
LABOR FORCE
LABOR MARKET
LAND TRANSPORT
LEVERAGE
LEVIES
LIFE EXPECTANCY
LIQUIDITY
LOCAL ECONOMY
MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS
MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
MARKET ACCESS
MIDDLE INCOME COUNTRY
MONETARY FUND
MONETARY POLICIES
MONETARY POLICY
NEW MARKET
NEW MARKETS
NEW PRODUCTS
NON-PERFORMING LOANS
OIL PRICE
OIL PRICES
OUTPUT
OUTSOURCING
PER CAPITA INCOME
POLICE
POLICY RESPONSE
PRICE INCREASE
PRICE INCREASES
PRIVATE INVESTMENT
PRIVATE SECTOR GROWTH
PRIVATE SECTOR INVESTMENT
PROFIT MARGINS
PUBLIC DEBT
PUBLIC INVESTMENT
PUBLIC POLICY
RAIL
RAILWAY
RAILWAY LINE
RAILWAY SYSTEM
REAL ESTATE
REAL GROWTH RATE
REFORM PROGRAM
REGIONAL MARKETS
REPO
REPO RATE
ROAD
ROAD LINKS
ROADS
ROUTES
SAVINGS
SAVINGS RATE
SCANDAL
SHORT TERM INTEREST RATES
SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT
STOCK EXCHANGE
STOCK MARKET
STOCK MARKET DECLINES
STOCKS
STREETS
STRUCTURAL CHANGE
SUPPLY SHOCK
TARIFF BARRIERS
TAX
TOTAL CREDIT
TOTAL EXPORT
TOTAL IMPORTS
TRADE DEFICIT
TRADE SHOCKS
TRADING
TRADING PARTNER
TRADING PARTNERS
TRADING VOLUMES
TRAFFIC
TRANSIT
TRANSIT CORRIDOR
TRANSPORT
TRANSPORT COSTS
TRANSPORT EQUIPMENT
UNCERTAINTY
UPWARD PRESSURE
URBANIZATION
VALUE ADDED
VEHICLE
VEHICLES
WAGES
WAREHOUSE
WORLD MARKETS
spellingShingle ACCOUNTABILITY STRUCTURES
ADVERSE SHOCKS
AFFORDABLE HOUSING
AGRICULTURE
AIRPORT
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
BANK BRANCHES
BANK RATE
BASIS POINTS
BEST MARKET
BILL
BRANCH NETWORKS
BUDGET DEFICIT
BUFFERS
BUSINESS CONFIDENCE
BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
CAPACITY CONSTRAINTS
CAPITAL FLIGHT
CAPITAL INVESTMENTS
CARS
CASH RESERVE
CASH TRANSFERS
CENTRAL BANK
COMMERCIAL BANKS
COMMODITY
COMMON MARKET
COMMUTERS
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
CONSUMERS
CREDIT GROWTH
CURRENCY
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT
DEBT
DEMOGRAPHIC
DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE
DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES
DEPOSIT
DEPOSIT RATES
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING ECONOMIES
DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE
DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
DIVIDEND
DIVIDENDS
DRIVING
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS
ECONOMIC EXPANSION
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
ECONOMIC REFORM
ECONOMIC SHOCKS
ECONOMIES OF SCALE
EMERGING MARKETS
ENABLING ENVIRONMENT
EQUIPMENT
EXCESS LIQUIDITY
EXCHANGE RATE
EXCHANGE RATE MOVEMENTS
EXCHANGE RATES
EXPANSION OF EXPORTS
EXPENDITURES
EXPORT BASE
EXPORT EARNINGS
EXPORT GROWTH
EXPORT MARKETS
EXPORT PERFORMANCE
EXPORTER
EXPORTERS
EXPORTS
EXTERNAL SHOCKS
EXTREME POVERTY
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FINANCIAL SECTOR
FINANCIAL SERVICE
FINANCIAL SERVICE PROVIDERS
FISCAL DEFICIT
FISCAL DEFICITS
FISCAL POLICY
FOOD PRICES
FORECASTS
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
FOREIGN INVESTORS
FREIGHT
FREIGHT SERVICES
FUEL
FUEL PRICE
FUEL PRICES
GDP
GDP PER CAPITA
GLOBAL ECONOMIES
GLOBAL ECONOMY
GLOBAL EXPORT
GLOBAL EXPORTS
GLOBAL MARKETS
GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH RATES
HIGH TRANSPORT
HIGH-SPEED TRAIN
HOLDING
IMBALANCE
IMPORT
IMPORT COSTS
IMPORTS
INCOME
INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENTS
INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS
INSURANCE
INTEREST RATES
INVESTMENT CLIMATE
INVESTMENT DECISIONS
INVESTMENT FLOWS
INVESTOR CONFIDENCE
LABOR FORCE
LABOR MARKET
LAND TRANSPORT
LEVERAGE
LEVIES
LIFE EXPECTANCY
LIQUIDITY
LOCAL ECONOMY
MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS
MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
MARKET ACCESS
MIDDLE INCOME COUNTRY
MONETARY FUND
MONETARY POLICIES
MONETARY POLICY
NEW MARKET
NEW MARKETS
NEW PRODUCTS
NON-PERFORMING LOANS
OIL PRICE
OIL PRICES
OUTPUT
OUTSOURCING
PER CAPITA INCOME
POLICE
POLICY RESPONSE
PRICE INCREASE
PRICE INCREASES
PRIVATE INVESTMENT
PRIVATE SECTOR GROWTH
PRIVATE SECTOR INVESTMENT
PROFIT MARGINS
PUBLIC DEBT
PUBLIC INVESTMENT
PUBLIC POLICY
RAIL
RAILWAY
RAILWAY LINE
RAILWAY SYSTEM
REAL ESTATE
REAL GROWTH RATE
REFORM PROGRAM
REGIONAL MARKETS
REPO
REPO RATE
ROAD
ROAD LINKS
ROADS
ROUTES
SAVINGS
SAVINGS RATE
SCANDAL
SHORT TERM INTEREST RATES
SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT
STOCK EXCHANGE
STOCK MARKET
STOCK MARKET DECLINES
STOCKS
STREETS
STRUCTURAL CHANGE
SUPPLY SHOCK
TARIFF BARRIERS
TAX
TOTAL CREDIT
TOTAL EXPORT
TOTAL IMPORTS
TRADE DEFICIT
TRADE SHOCKS
TRADING
TRADING PARTNER
TRADING PARTNERS
TRADING VOLUMES
TRAFFIC
TRANSIT
TRANSIT CORRIDOR
TRANSPORT
TRANSPORT COSTS
TRANSPORT EQUIPMENT
UNCERTAINTY
UPWARD PRESSURE
URBANIZATION
VALUE ADDED
VEHICLE
VEHICLES
WAGES
WAREHOUSE
WORLD MARKETS
World Bank
Turning the Tide in Turbulent Times : Making the Most of Kenya's Demographic Change and Rapid Urbanization
geographic_facet Africa
Kenya
relation Kenya Economic Update;No. 4
description Kenya will need to navigate through another economic storm in 2011. This will reduce growth to a projected 4.8 percent, which is still substantially higher than the average of the last decade. The decade started on a bullish note for Kenya. In 2010, growth was higher than expected at 5.6 percent. If growth accelerated to 6 percent, Kenya could reach Middle Income Country status by 2019. Kenya is at the threshold of a major demographic transition and is urbanizing rapidly. Each year, Kenya will continue to grow by more than one million people, who will live longer, be better educated, and increasingly live in cities. This social and economic transformation needs to be managed well to catalyze its development impact. This report recommends that in order for Kenya to continue to prosper in 2011 it will need to maintain macroeconomic stability, and contain inflation and further increases in debt. This entails tighter monetary policies and a reduction of the fiscal deficit. If there is a need for additional expenditures in response to external shocks, reallocations seem to be the most appropriate response. Kenya can leverage its auspicious location and its role as a hub for the larger East African region by upgrading its infrastructure, creating a good business environment, and continuing with region integration. This would also position Kenya globally and generate additional exports in services and manufacturing. The report concludes that the best way to start making Kenya more competitive is to strengthen its coastal hub and to modernize the port of Mombasa.
format Economic & Sector Work :: Policy Note
author World Bank
author_facet World Bank
author_sort World Bank
title Turning the Tide in Turbulent Times : Making the Most of Kenya's Demographic Change and Rapid Urbanization
title_short Turning the Tide in Turbulent Times : Making the Most of Kenya's Demographic Change and Rapid Urbanization
title_full Turning the Tide in Turbulent Times : Making the Most of Kenya's Demographic Change and Rapid Urbanization
title_fullStr Turning the Tide in Turbulent Times : Making the Most of Kenya's Demographic Change and Rapid Urbanization
title_full_unstemmed Turning the Tide in Turbulent Times : Making the Most of Kenya's Demographic Change and Rapid Urbanization
title_sort turning the tide in turbulent times : making the most of kenya's demographic change and rapid urbanization
publisher Washington, DC
publishDate 2013
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2011/06/16343811/kenya-turning-tide-turbulent-times-making-most-kenyas-demographic-change-rapid-urbanization
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/13002
_version_ 1764420612924637184
spelling okr-10986-130022021-04-23T14:03:02Z Turning the Tide in Turbulent Times : Making the Most of Kenya's Demographic Change and Rapid Urbanization World Bank ACCOUNTABILITY STRUCTURES ADVERSE SHOCKS AFFORDABLE HOUSING AGRICULTURE AIRPORT BALANCE OF PAYMENTS BANK BRANCHES BANK RATE BASIS POINTS BEST MARKET BILL BRANCH NETWORKS BUDGET DEFICIT BUFFERS BUSINESS CONFIDENCE BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT CAPACITY CONSTRAINTS CAPITAL FLIGHT CAPITAL INVESTMENTS CARS CASH RESERVE CASH TRANSFERS CENTRAL BANK COMMERCIAL BANKS COMMODITY COMMON MARKET COMMUTERS CONSUMER PRICE INDEX CONSUMERS CREDIT GROWTH CURRENCY CURRENT ACCOUNT CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT DEBT DEMOGRAPHIC DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES DEPOSIT DEPOSIT RATES DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPING ECONOMIES DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY DIVIDEND DIVIDENDS DRIVING ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS ECONOMIC EXPANSION ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE ECONOMIC REFORM ECONOMIC SHOCKS ECONOMIES OF SCALE EMERGING MARKETS ENABLING ENVIRONMENT EQUIPMENT EXCESS LIQUIDITY EXCHANGE RATE EXCHANGE RATE MOVEMENTS EXCHANGE RATES EXPANSION OF EXPORTS EXPENDITURES EXPORT BASE EXPORT EARNINGS EXPORT GROWTH EXPORT MARKETS EXPORT PERFORMANCE EXPORTER EXPORTERS EXPORTS EXTERNAL SHOCKS EXTREME POVERTY FINANCIAL CRISIS FINANCIAL SECTOR FINANCIAL SERVICE FINANCIAL SERVICE PROVIDERS FISCAL DEFICIT FISCAL DEFICITS FISCAL POLICY FOOD PRICES FORECASTS FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT FOREIGN EXCHANGE FOREIGN INVESTORS FREIGHT FREIGHT SERVICES FUEL FUEL PRICE FUEL PRICES GDP GDP PER CAPITA GLOBAL ECONOMIES GLOBAL ECONOMY GLOBAL EXPORT GLOBAL EXPORTS GLOBAL MARKETS GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE GROWTH RATE GROWTH RATES HIGH TRANSPORT HIGH-SPEED TRAIN HOLDING IMBALANCE IMPORT IMPORT COSTS IMPORTS INCOME INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENTS INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS INSURANCE INTEREST RATES INVESTMENT CLIMATE INVESTMENT DECISIONS INVESTMENT FLOWS INVESTOR CONFIDENCE LABOR FORCE LABOR MARKET LAND TRANSPORT LEVERAGE LEVIES LIFE EXPECTANCY LIQUIDITY LOCAL ECONOMY MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS MACROECONOMIC STABILITY MARKET ACCESS MIDDLE INCOME COUNTRY MONETARY FUND MONETARY POLICIES MONETARY POLICY NEW MARKET NEW MARKETS NEW PRODUCTS NON-PERFORMING LOANS OIL PRICE OIL PRICES OUTPUT OUTSOURCING PER CAPITA INCOME POLICE POLICY RESPONSE PRICE INCREASE PRICE INCREASES PRIVATE INVESTMENT PRIVATE SECTOR GROWTH PRIVATE SECTOR INVESTMENT PROFIT MARGINS PUBLIC DEBT PUBLIC INVESTMENT PUBLIC POLICY RAIL RAILWAY RAILWAY LINE RAILWAY SYSTEM REAL ESTATE REAL GROWTH RATE REFORM PROGRAM REGIONAL MARKETS REPO REPO RATE ROAD ROAD LINKS ROADS ROUTES SAVINGS SAVINGS RATE SCANDAL SHORT TERM INTEREST RATES SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT STOCK EXCHANGE STOCK MARKET STOCK MARKET DECLINES STOCKS STREETS STRUCTURAL CHANGE SUPPLY SHOCK TARIFF BARRIERS TAX TOTAL CREDIT TOTAL EXPORT TOTAL IMPORTS TRADE DEFICIT TRADE SHOCKS TRADING TRADING PARTNER TRADING PARTNERS TRADING VOLUMES TRAFFIC TRANSIT TRANSIT CORRIDOR TRANSPORT TRANSPORT COSTS TRANSPORT EQUIPMENT UNCERTAINTY UPWARD PRESSURE URBANIZATION VALUE ADDED VEHICLE VEHICLES WAGES WAREHOUSE WORLD MARKETS Kenya will need to navigate through another economic storm in 2011. This will reduce growth to a projected 4.8 percent, which is still substantially higher than the average of the last decade. The decade started on a bullish note for Kenya. In 2010, growth was higher than expected at 5.6 percent. If growth accelerated to 6 percent, Kenya could reach Middle Income Country status by 2019. Kenya is at the threshold of a major demographic transition and is urbanizing rapidly. Each year, Kenya will continue to grow by more than one million people, who will live longer, be better educated, and increasingly live in cities. This social and economic transformation needs to be managed well to catalyze its development impact. This report recommends that in order for Kenya to continue to prosper in 2011 it will need to maintain macroeconomic stability, and contain inflation and further increases in debt. This entails tighter monetary policies and a reduction of the fiscal deficit. If there is a need for additional expenditures in response to external shocks, reallocations seem to be the most appropriate response. Kenya can leverage its auspicious location and its role as a hub for the larger East African region by upgrading its infrastructure, creating a good business environment, and continuing with region integration. This would also position Kenya globally and generate additional exports in services and manufacturing. The report concludes that the best way to start making Kenya more competitive is to strengthen its coastal hub and to modernize the port of Mombasa. 2013-03-27T20:31:30Z 2013-03-27T20:31:30Z 2011-06 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2011/06/16343811/kenya-turning-tide-turbulent-times-making-most-kenyas-demographic-change-rapid-urbanization http://hdl.handle.net/10986/13002 English en_US Kenya Economic Update;No. 4 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank Washington, DC Economic & Sector Work :: Policy Note Economic & Sector Work Africa Kenya