Oil Price Risks and Pump Price Adjustments

Between 1999 and 2008, world oil prices more than quadrupled in real terms. For oil importers, vulnerability to oil price increases, defined as the share of gross domestic product spent on net oil imports, rose considerably. Considering medians, lo...

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Main Author: Kojima, Masami
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2013
Subjects:
GAS
OIL
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2012/10/16831268/oil-price-risks-pump-price-adjustments
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/12062
id okr-10986-12062
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-120622021-04-23T14:02:59Z Oil Price Risks and Pump Price Adjustments Kojima, Masami APPROACH AUTOMOTIVE DIESEL AVERAGE PRICE AVERAGE PRICES BALANCE BARREL BIOGAS BLACK MARKET COMMERCIAL ENERGY COMMERCIAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION CONSUMPTION OF OIL CRUDE OIL CRUDE OIL PRICES DEMAND MANAGEMENT DIESEL DOMESTIC MARKET DOMESTIC OIL DOMESTIC OIL PRODUCTION EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENT ELECTRICITY ENERGY CONSERVATION ENERGY CONSUMPTION ENERGY EFFICIENCY ENERGY INFORMATION ADMINISTRATION ENERGY PRICES ENERGY USE FUEL FUEL CONSUMPTION FUEL OIL FUEL PRICE FUEL PRICES FUEL PRICING FUEL QUALITY FUEL USE FUELS GAS GASOLINE GASOLINE PRICE GASOLINE PRICES GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT HIGH ENERGY INTENSITY HIGH-SULFUR HIGHER OIL PRICES IMPORT TERMINALS INCOME INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY INTERNATIONAL MARKET INVENTORIES INVENTORY KEROSENE LIQUEFIED PETROLEUM GAS MARKET PRICES MARKETING MONTHLY AVERAGE PRICES NET OIL OIL OIL COMPANIES OIL CONSUMPTION OIL EXPORTER OIL EXPORTERS OIL EXPORTING OIL EXPORTING COUNTRIES OIL EXPORTS OIL IMPORT OIL IMPORTER OIL IMPORTERS OIL IMPORTS OIL MARKETS OIL PRICE OIL PRICES OIL PRICING OIL PRICING POLICY OIL PRODUCERS OIL PRODUCT PRICES OIL PRODUCTS OIL SECTOR OIL USE PER CAPITA INCOME PETROLEUM PETROLEUM FUELS PETROLEUM GAS PETROLEUM SECTOR PIPELINE PIPELINE TRANSPORT POWER POWER GENERATION PRICE ADJUSTMENTS PRICE CHANGES PRICE COMPETITION PRICE CONTROL PRICE EFFECT PRICE FREEZE PRICE INCREASES PRICE LEVELS PRICE OF OIL PRICE SUBSIDIES PRICE VOLATILITY PRICING POLICIES PURCHASING REFINED PRODUCTS REFINERIES REFINERY REGULAR GASOLINE RETAIL RETAIL PRICE RETAIL PRICES SALE SOURCE OF ENERGY SPOT PRICES STORAGE FACILITIES SUBSTITUTE SULFUR SULFUR CONTENT SUPPLY CHAIN SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT SUSTAINABLE ENERGY TRANSPORT COSTS WORLD MARKET WORLD OIL WORLD OIL PRICES Between 1999 and 2008, world oil prices more than quadrupled in real terms. For oil importers, vulnerability to oil price increases, defined as the share of gross domestic product spent on net oil imports, rose considerably. Considering medians, low-income countries had the highest vulnerability in 2008 and the highest increase in vulnerability between 1999 and 2008. When changes in vulnerability were decomposed into several contributing factors, more than two-thirds of 170 countries studied were found to have offset the increase in the value of oil consumption by reducing the oil intensity of gross domestic product. Oil intensity fell in more than half the countries in every income group and in every region of the world, driven by falling energy intensity and, to a lesser extent, the oil share of energy. This study also examines the degree of pass-through to consumers of increases in world prices of gasoline, diesel, kerosene, and liquefied petroleum gas between January 2009 and January 2012, when oil prices in nominal U.S. dollars more than doubled. Retail fuel prices varied by two orders of magnitude in 2012, and oil-exporting countries were far less likely to pass on price increases. Gasoline had the highest pass-through, followed by diesel, liquefied petroleum gas, and kerosene. The median pass-through increased with income for gasoline, diesel, and kerosene, but was highest in low-income countries for liquefied petroleum gas. Despite divergent pricing policies, the pass-through coefficients of different fuels were strongly positively correlated, suggesting that the degrees to which domestic prices tracked world prices were comparable for the four fuels in many countries. 2013-01-03T17:47:23Z 2013-01-03T17:47:23Z 2012-10 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2012/10/16831268/oil-price-risks-pump-price-adjustments http://hdl.handle.net/10986/12062 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper; No. 6227 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic APPROACH
AUTOMOTIVE DIESEL
AVERAGE PRICE
AVERAGE PRICES
BALANCE
BARREL
BIOGAS
BLACK MARKET
COMMERCIAL ENERGY
COMMERCIAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION
CONSUMPTION OF OIL
CRUDE OIL
CRUDE OIL PRICES
DEMAND MANAGEMENT
DIESEL
DOMESTIC MARKET
DOMESTIC OIL
DOMESTIC OIL PRODUCTION
EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENT
ELECTRICITY
ENERGY CONSERVATION
ENERGY CONSUMPTION
ENERGY EFFICIENCY
ENERGY INFORMATION ADMINISTRATION
ENERGY PRICES
ENERGY USE
FUEL
FUEL CONSUMPTION
FUEL OIL
FUEL PRICE
FUEL PRICES
FUEL PRICING
FUEL QUALITY
FUEL USE
FUELS
GAS
GASOLINE
GASOLINE PRICE
GASOLINE PRICES
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
HIGH ENERGY INTENSITY
HIGH-SULFUR
HIGHER OIL PRICES
IMPORT TERMINALS
INCOME
INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY
INTERNATIONAL MARKET
INVENTORIES
INVENTORY
KEROSENE
LIQUEFIED PETROLEUM GAS
MARKET PRICES
MARKETING
MONTHLY AVERAGE PRICES
NET OIL
OIL
OIL COMPANIES
OIL CONSUMPTION
OIL EXPORTER
OIL EXPORTERS
OIL EXPORTING
OIL EXPORTING COUNTRIES
OIL EXPORTS
OIL IMPORT
OIL IMPORTER
OIL IMPORTERS
OIL IMPORTS
OIL MARKETS
OIL PRICE
OIL PRICES
OIL PRICING
OIL PRICING POLICY
OIL PRODUCERS
OIL PRODUCT PRICES
OIL PRODUCTS
OIL SECTOR
OIL USE
PER CAPITA INCOME
PETROLEUM
PETROLEUM FUELS
PETROLEUM GAS
PETROLEUM SECTOR
PIPELINE
PIPELINE TRANSPORT
POWER
POWER GENERATION
PRICE ADJUSTMENTS
PRICE CHANGES
PRICE COMPETITION
PRICE CONTROL
PRICE EFFECT
PRICE FREEZE
PRICE INCREASES
PRICE LEVELS
PRICE OF OIL
PRICE SUBSIDIES
PRICE VOLATILITY
PRICING POLICIES
PURCHASING
REFINED PRODUCTS
REFINERIES
REFINERY
REGULAR GASOLINE
RETAIL
RETAIL PRICE
RETAIL PRICES
SALE
SOURCE OF ENERGY
SPOT PRICES
STORAGE FACILITIES
SUBSTITUTE
SULFUR
SULFUR CONTENT
SUPPLY CHAIN
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
SUSTAINABLE ENERGY
TRANSPORT COSTS
WORLD MARKET
WORLD OIL
WORLD OIL PRICES
spellingShingle APPROACH
AUTOMOTIVE DIESEL
AVERAGE PRICE
AVERAGE PRICES
BALANCE
BARREL
BIOGAS
BLACK MARKET
COMMERCIAL ENERGY
COMMERCIAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION
CONSUMPTION OF OIL
CRUDE OIL
CRUDE OIL PRICES
DEMAND MANAGEMENT
DIESEL
DOMESTIC MARKET
DOMESTIC OIL
DOMESTIC OIL PRODUCTION
EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENT
ELECTRICITY
ENERGY CONSERVATION
ENERGY CONSUMPTION
ENERGY EFFICIENCY
ENERGY INFORMATION ADMINISTRATION
ENERGY PRICES
ENERGY USE
FUEL
FUEL CONSUMPTION
FUEL OIL
FUEL PRICE
FUEL PRICES
FUEL PRICING
FUEL QUALITY
FUEL USE
FUELS
GAS
GASOLINE
GASOLINE PRICE
GASOLINE PRICES
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
HIGH ENERGY INTENSITY
HIGH-SULFUR
HIGHER OIL PRICES
IMPORT TERMINALS
INCOME
INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY
INTERNATIONAL MARKET
INVENTORIES
INVENTORY
KEROSENE
LIQUEFIED PETROLEUM GAS
MARKET PRICES
MARKETING
MONTHLY AVERAGE PRICES
NET OIL
OIL
OIL COMPANIES
OIL CONSUMPTION
OIL EXPORTER
OIL EXPORTERS
OIL EXPORTING
OIL EXPORTING COUNTRIES
OIL EXPORTS
OIL IMPORT
OIL IMPORTER
OIL IMPORTERS
OIL IMPORTS
OIL MARKETS
OIL PRICE
OIL PRICES
OIL PRICING
OIL PRICING POLICY
OIL PRODUCERS
OIL PRODUCT PRICES
OIL PRODUCTS
OIL SECTOR
OIL USE
PER CAPITA INCOME
PETROLEUM
PETROLEUM FUELS
PETROLEUM GAS
PETROLEUM SECTOR
PIPELINE
PIPELINE TRANSPORT
POWER
POWER GENERATION
PRICE ADJUSTMENTS
PRICE CHANGES
PRICE COMPETITION
PRICE CONTROL
PRICE EFFECT
PRICE FREEZE
PRICE INCREASES
PRICE LEVELS
PRICE OF OIL
PRICE SUBSIDIES
PRICE VOLATILITY
PRICING POLICIES
PURCHASING
REFINED PRODUCTS
REFINERIES
REFINERY
REGULAR GASOLINE
RETAIL
RETAIL PRICE
RETAIL PRICES
SALE
SOURCE OF ENERGY
SPOT PRICES
STORAGE FACILITIES
SUBSTITUTE
SULFUR
SULFUR CONTENT
SUPPLY CHAIN
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
SUSTAINABLE ENERGY
TRANSPORT COSTS
WORLD MARKET
WORLD OIL
WORLD OIL PRICES
Kojima, Masami
Oil Price Risks and Pump Price Adjustments
relation Policy Research Working Paper; No. 6227
description Between 1999 and 2008, world oil prices more than quadrupled in real terms. For oil importers, vulnerability to oil price increases, defined as the share of gross domestic product spent on net oil imports, rose considerably. Considering medians, low-income countries had the highest vulnerability in 2008 and the highest increase in vulnerability between 1999 and 2008. When changes in vulnerability were decomposed into several contributing factors, more than two-thirds of 170 countries studied were found to have offset the increase in the value of oil consumption by reducing the oil intensity of gross domestic product. Oil intensity fell in more than half the countries in every income group and in every region of the world, driven by falling energy intensity and, to a lesser extent, the oil share of energy. This study also examines the degree of pass-through to consumers of increases in world prices of gasoline, diesel, kerosene, and liquefied petroleum gas between January 2009 and January 2012, when oil prices in nominal U.S. dollars more than doubled. Retail fuel prices varied by two orders of magnitude in 2012, and oil-exporting countries were far less likely to pass on price increases. Gasoline had the highest pass-through, followed by diesel, liquefied petroleum gas, and kerosene. The median pass-through increased with income for gasoline, diesel, and kerosene, but was highest in low-income countries for liquefied petroleum gas. Despite divergent pricing policies, the pass-through coefficients of different fuels were strongly positively correlated, suggesting that the degrees to which domestic prices tracked world prices were comparable for the four fuels in many countries.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Kojima, Masami
author_facet Kojima, Masami
author_sort Kojima, Masami
title Oil Price Risks and Pump Price Adjustments
title_short Oil Price Risks and Pump Price Adjustments
title_full Oil Price Risks and Pump Price Adjustments
title_fullStr Oil Price Risks and Pump Price Adjustments
title_full_unstemmed Oil Price Risks and Pump Price Adjustments
title_sort oil price risks and pump price adjustments
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2013
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2012/10/16831268/oil-price-risks-pump-price-adjustments
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/12062
_version_ 1764418890603954176