Poverty in Mozambique : New Evidence from Recent Household Surveys

This paper has three primary objectives: (i) to investigate potential problems regarding Mozambique's most recent nationally representative household survey on poverty dynamics; (ii) to assess the robustness and reliability of official poverty...

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Main Authors: Alfani, Federica, Azzarri, Carlo, d'Errico, Marco, Molini, Vasco
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2013
Subjects:
GA
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2012/10/16793468/poverty-mozambique-new-evidence-recent-household-poverty-mozambique-new-evidence-recent-household
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/12050
id okr-10986-12050
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic ACCESS TO SERVICES
AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY
AGRICULTURE
BANANAS
BREAD
CALORIC INTAKE
CALORIC REQUIREMENT
CALORIE INTAKE
CASSAVA
CENTRAL REGION
CENTRAL REGIONS
CEREALS
CHANGES IN POVERTY
CHESTNUTS
CONSUMER BASKETS
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
CONSUMPTION BASKET
CONSUMPTION BEHAVIOR
CONSUMPTION DISTRIBUTION
CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE
CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES
CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES PER CAPITA
CONSUMPTION LEVEL
CONSUMPTION PATTERNS
CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA
CONSUMPTION POVERTY
CORN
DAIRY
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DEVELOPMENT ISSUES
DIETARY DIVERSITY
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ESTIMATES OF POVERTY
EXPENDITURE DATA
FARMERS
FOOD BASKET
FOOD BASKETS
FOOD BUNDLE
FOOD BUNDLES
FOOD COMPONENTS
FOOD CONSUMPTION
FOOD CONSUMPTION DATA
FOOD CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES
FOOD EXPENDITURES
FOOD ITEMS
FOOD POLICY
FOOD POLICY RESEARCH
FOOD POVERTY
FOOD POVERTY LINE
FOOD SHARE
FOODS
GA
GROUNDNUTS
HOUSEHOLD BUDGET
HOUSEHOLD CHARACTERISTICS
HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION
HOUSEHOLD EXPENDITURES
HOUSEHOLD HEAD
HOUSEHOLD HEAD AGE
HOUSEHOLD LEVEL
HOUSEHOLD SIZE
HOUSEHOLD SURVEY
HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS
HOUSING
INCOME
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
INCOME GROWTH
INCOME LEVELS
INCOME RISES
INEQUALITY
INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE
LIVING STANDARDS
LIVING STANDARDS MEASUREMENT
MAIZE
MALNUTRITION
MEAT
NATIONAL POVERTY
NATIONAL POVERTY LINE
NATIONAL POVERTY RATE
NON-FOOD COMPONENT
NON-FOOD COMPONENTS
NON-FOOD CONSUMPTION
NON-FOOD ITEMS
NON-POOR HOUSEHOLDS
NONFOOD ITEMS
OFFICIAL POVERTY
OFFICIAL POVERTY RATE
PEANUTS
PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION
POLICY ANALYSIS
POLICY RESEARCH
POOR
POOR HOUSEHOLDS
POTATOES
POVERTY ACROSS PROVINCES
POVERTY ASSESSMENT
POVERTY ASSESSMENTS
POVERTY DYNAMICS
POVERTY ESTIMATES
POVERTY HEADCOUNT RATES
POVERTY INCIDENCE
POVERTY INDICATORS
POVERTY LEVELS
POVERTY LINE
POVERTY LINES
POVERTY MEASUREMENT
POVERTY PROFILE
POVERTY RANKINGS
POVERTY RATE
POVERTY RATES
POVERTY REDUCTION
POVERTY STATUS
PRICE CHANGES
PRICE VECTOR
PROTEIN
RANK CORRELATION
REDUCTION IN POVERTY
REGIONAL DIFFERENTIALS
REGIONAL DISTRIBUTION
REGIONAL ECONOMIC GROWTH
REGIONAL LEVEL
REGIONAL PATTERN
REGIONAL POVERTY
REGIONAL POVERTY LINES
REGIONAL PRICE
REGIONAL PRICE DIFFERENCES
REGIONAL PRODUCTIVITY
REGIONAL VARIATION
RELATIVE PRICES
RURAL
RURAL AREA
RURAL AREAS
RURAL COUNTERPARTS
RURAL POPULATION
RURAL POVERTY
RURAL POVERTY RATES
SANITATION
SCALAR ADJUSTMENT
SHEEP
SINGLE POVERTY
SINGLE POVERTY LINE
SPATIAL CORRELATION
SPATIAL DISPARITY
SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION
SPATIAL VARIATION
STOCHASTIC DOMINANCE
TOMATOES
UNEMPLOYMENT
URBAN AREA
URBAN AREAS
URBAN HOUSEHOLDS
UTILITY LEVEL
WELFARE DISTRIBUTION
WELFARE IMPROVEMENTS
WELFARE INDICATORS
WELFARE LEVELS
spellingShingle ACCESS TO SERVICES
AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY
AGRICULTURE
BANANAS
BREAD
CALORIC INTAKE
CALORIC REQUIREMENT
CALORIE INTAKE
CASSAVA
CENTRAL REGION
CENTRAL REGIONS
CEREALS
CHANGES IN POVERTY
CHESTNUTS
CONSUMER BASKETS
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
CONSUMPTION BASKET
CONSUMPTION BEHAVIOR
CONSUMPTION DISTRIBUTION
CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE
CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES
CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES PER CAPITA
CONSUMPTION LEVEL
CONSUMPTION PATTERNS
CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA
CONSUMPTION POVERTY
CORN
DAIRY
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DEVELOPMENT ISSUES
DIETARY DIVERSITY
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ESTIMATES OF POVERTY
EXPENDITURE DATA
FARMERS
FOOD BASKET
FOOD BASKETS
FOOD BUNDLE
FOOD BUNDLES
FOOD COMPONENTS
FOOD CONSUMPTION
FOOD CONSUMPTION DATA
FOOD CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES
FOOD EXPENDITURES
FOOD ITEMS
FOOD POLICY
FOOD POLICY RESEARCH
FOOD POVERTY
FOOD POVERTY LINE
FOOD SHARE
FOODS
GA
GROUNDNUTS
HOUSEHOLD BUDGET
HOUSEHOLD CHARACTERISTICS
HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION
HOUSEHOLD EXPENDITURES
HOUSEHOLD HEAD
HOUSEHOLD HEAD AGE
HOUSEHOLD LEVEL
HOUSEHOLD SIZE
HOUSEHOLD SURVEY
HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS
HOUSING
INCOME
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
INCOME GROWTH
INCOME LEVELS
INCOME RISES
INEQUALITY
INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE
LIVING STANDARDS
LIVING STANDARDS MEASUREMENT
MAIZE
MALNUTRITION
MEAT
NATIONAL POVERTY
NATIONAL POVERTY LINE
NATIONAL POVERTY RATE
NON-FOOD COMPONENT
NON-FOOD COMPONENTS
NON-FOOD CONSUMPTION
NON-FOOD ITEMS
NON-POOR HOUSEHOLDS
NONFOOD ITEMS
OFFICIAL POVERTY
OFFICIAL POVERTY RATE
PEANUTS
PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION
POLICY ANALYSIS
POLICY RESEARCH
POOR
POOR HOUSEHOLDS
POTATOES
POVERTY ACROSS PROVINCES
POVERTY ASSESSMENT
POVERTY ASSESSMENTS
POVERTY DYNAMICS
POVERTY ESTIMATES
POVERTY HEADCOUNT RATES
POVERTY INCIDENCE
POVERTY INDICATORS
POVERTY LEVELS
POVERTY LINE
POVERTY LINES
POVERTY MEASUREMENT
POVERTY PROFILE
POVERTY RANKINGS
POVERTY RATE
POVERTY RATES
POVERTY REDUCTION
POVERTY STATUS
PRICE CHANGES
PRICE VECTOR
PROTEIN
RANK CORRELATION
REDUCTION IN POVERTY
REGIONAL DIFFERENTIALS
REGIONAL DISTRIBUTION
REGIONAL ECONOMIC GROWTH
REGIONAL LEVEL
REGIONAL PATTERN
REGIONAL POVERTY
REGIONAL POVERTY LINES
REGIONAL PRICE
REGIONAL PRICE DIFFERENCES
REGIONAL PRODUCTIVITY
REGIONAL VARIATION
RELATIVE PRICES
RURAL
RURAL AREA
RURAL AREAS
RURAL COUNTERPARTS
RURAL POPULATION
RURAL POVERTY
RURAL POVERTY RATES
SANITATION
SCALAR ADJUSTMENT
SHEEP
SINGLE POVERTY
SINGLE POVERTY LINE
SPATIAL CORRELATION
SPATIAL DISPARITY
SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION
SPATIAL VARIATION
STOCHASTIC DOMINANCE
TOMATOES
UNEMPLOYMENT
URBAN AREA
URBAN AREAS
URBAN HOUSEHOLDS
UTILITY LEVEL
WELFARE DISTRIBUTION
WELFARE IMPROVEMENTS
WELFARE INDICATORS
WELFARE LEVELS
Alfani, Federica
Azzarri, Carlo
d'Errico, Marco
Molini, Vasco
Poverty in Mozambique : New Evidence from Recent Household Surveys
geographic_facet Africa
Mozambique
relation Policy Research Working Paper; No. 6217
description This paper has three primary objectives: (i) to investigate potential problems regarding Mozambique's most recent nationally representative household survey on poverty dynamics; (ii) to assess the robustness and reliability of official poverty statistics; and (iii) to provide alternative estimates of poverty and welfare indicators in light of the methodological and analytical issues raised in areas (i) and (ii). It is determined that at least two significant weaknesses affect the official poverty-rate estimates: measurement errors in consumption data and flaws in the methodology used to calculate poverty lines (the cost-of-basic-needs approach based on provincial food bundles with entropy correction). A number of observations appear to be affected by substantial measurement errors, which severely distort the official poverty statistics. The paper provides methods to correct the consumption distribution by recalculating poverty lines based on a single national food basket -- as opposed to the current estimates, which are based on province-specific food baskets. The revised poverty statistics differ considerably from the official estimates of poverty across provinces and are far more consistent with other poverty indicators. In addition, poverty appears to be highly concentrated in certain areas, with dramatically higher rates found in Central and Northern Mozambique, as well as in rural areas overall, compared with relatively low rates in Southern Mozambique and in the country's urban centers. These findings substantially contradict the government's official poverty figures, which appear to systematically overestimate poverty rates in Mozambique's Southern provinces and urban areas while simultaneously underestimating the prevalence of poverty in the country's Central and Northern regions and in rural areas nationwide.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Alfani, Federica
Azzarri, Carlo
d'Errico, Marco
Molini, Vasco
author_facet Alfani, Federica
Azzarri, Carlo
d'Errico, Marco
Molini, Vasco
author_sort Alfani, Federica
title Poverty in Mozambique : New Evidence from Recent Household Surveys
title_short Poverty in Mozambique : New Evidence from Recent Household Surveys
title_full Poverty in Mozambique : New Evidence from Recent Household Surveys
title_fullStr Poverty in Mozambique : New Evidence from Recent Household Surveys
title_full_unstemmed Poverty in Mozambique : New Evidence from Recent Household Surveys
title_sort poverty in mozambique : new evidence from recent household surveys
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2013
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2012/10/16793468/poverty-mozambique-new-evidence-recent-household-poverty-mozambique-new-evidence-recent-household
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/12050
_version_ 1764418864983048192
spelling okr-10986-120502021-04-23T14:02:59Z Poverty in Mozambique : New Evidence from Recent Household Surveys Alfani, Federica Azzarri, Carlo d'Errico, Marco Molini, Vasco ACCESS TO SERVICES AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY AGRICULTURE BANANAS BREAD CALORIC INTAKE CALORIC REQUIREMENT CALORIE INTAKE CASSAVA CENTRAL REGION CENTRAL REGIONS CEREALS CHANGES IN POVERTY CHESTNUTS CONSUMER BASKETS CONSUMER PRICE INDEX CONSUMPTION BASKET CONSUMPTION BEHAVIOR CONSUMPTION DISTRIBUTION CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION LEVEL CONSUMPTION PATTERNS CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION POVERTY CORN DAIRY DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DEVELOPMENT ISSUES DIETARY DIVERSITY ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC GROWTH ESTIMATES OF POVERTY EXPENDITURE DATA FARMERS FOOD BASKET FOOD BASKETS FOOD BUNDLE FOOD BUNDLES FOOD COMPONENTS FOOD CONSUMPTION FOOD CONSUMPTION DATA FOOD CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES FOOD EXPENDITURES FOOD ITEMS FOOD POLICY FOOD POLICY RESEARCH FOOD POVERTY FOOD POVERTY LINE FOOD SHARE FOODS GA GROUNDNUTS HOUSEHOLD BUDGET HOUSEHOLD CHARACTERISTICS HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION HOUSEHOLD EXPENDITURES HOUSEHOLD HEAD HOUSEHOLD HEAD AGE HOUSEHOLD LEVEL HOUSEHOLD SIZE HOUSEHOLD SURVEY HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS HOUSING INCOME INCOME DISTRIBUTION INCOME GROWTH INCOME LEVELS INCOME RISES INEQUALITY INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE LIVING STANDARDS LIVING STANDARDS MEASUREMENT MAIZE MALNUTRITION MEAT NATIONAL POVERTY NATIONAL POVERTY LINE NATIONAL POVERTY RATE NON-FOOD COMPONENT NON-FOOD COMPONENTS NON-FOOD CONSUMPTION NON-FOOD ITEMS NON-POOR HOUSEHOLDS NONFOOD ITEMS OFFICIAL POVERTY OFFICIAL POVERTY RATE PEANUTS PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION POLICY ANALYSIS POLICY RESEARCH POOR POOR HOUSEHOLDS POTATOES POVERTY ACROSS PROVINCES POVERTY ASSESSMENT POVERTY ASSESSMENTS POVERTY DYNAMICS POVERTY ESTIMATES POVERTY HEADCOUNT RATES POVERTY INCIDENCE POVERTY INDICATORS POVERTY LEVELS POVERTY LINE POVERTY LINES POVERTY MEASUREMENT POVERTY PROFILE POVERTY RANKINGS POVERTY RATE POVERTY RATES POVERTY REDUCTION POVERTY STATUS PRICE CHANGES PRICE VECTOR PROTEIN RANK CORRELATION REDUCTION IN POVERTY REGIONAL DIFFERENTIALS REGIONAL DISTRIBUTION REGIONAL ECONOMIC GROWTH REGIONAL LEVEL REGIONAL PATTERN REGIONAL POVERTY REGIONAL POVERTY LINES REGIONAL PRICE REGIONAL PRICE DIFFERENCES REGIONAL PRODUCTIVITY REGIONAL VARIATION RELATIVE PRICES RURAL RURAL AREA RURAL AREAS RURAL COUNTERPARTS RURAL POPULATION RURAL POVERTY RURAL POVERTY RATES SANITATION SCALAR ADJUSTMENT SHEEP SINGLE POVERTY SINGLE POVERTY LINE SPATIAL CORRELATION SPATIAL DISPARITY SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION SPATIAL VARIATION STOCHASTIC DOMINANCE TOMATOES UNEMPLOYMENT URBAN AREA URBAN AREAS URBAN HOUSEHOLDS UTILITY LEVEL WELFARE DISTRIBUTION WELFARE IMPROVEMENTS WELFARE INDICATORS WELFARE LEVELS This paper has three primary objectives: (i) to investigate potential problems regarding Mozambique's most recent nationally representative household survey on poverty dynamics; (ii) to assess the robustness and reliability of official poverty statistics; and (iii) to provide alternative estimates of poverty and welfare indicators in light of the methodological and analytical issues raised in areas (i) and (ii). It is determined that at least two significant weaknesses affect the official poverty-rate estimates: measurement errors in consumption data and flaws in the methodology used to calculate poverty lines (the cost-of-basic-needs approach based on provincial food bundles with entropy correction). A number of observations appear to be affected by substantial measurement errors, which severely distort the official poverty statistics. The paper provides methods to correct the consumption distribution by recalculating poverty lines based on a single national food basket -- as opposed to the current estimates, which are based on province-specific food baskets. The revised poverty statistics differ considerably from the official estimates of poverty across provinces and are far more consistent with other poverty indicators. In addition, poverty appears to be highly concentrated in certain areas, with dramatically higher rates found in Central and Northern Mozambique, as well as in rural areas overall, compared with relatively low rates in Southern Mozambique and in the country's urban centers. These findings substantially contradict the government's official poverty figures, which appear to systematically overestimate poverty rates in Mozambique's Southern provinces and urban areas while simultaneously underestimating the prevalence of poverty in the country's Central and Northern regions and in rural areas nationwide. 2013-01-02T21:13:43Z 2013-01-02T21:13:43Z 2012-10 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2012/10/16793468/poverty-mozambique-new-evidence-recent-household-poverty-mozambique-new-evidence-recent-household http://hdl.handle.net/10986/12050 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper; No. 6217 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research Africa Mozambique