Drivers of Convergence in Eleven Eastern European Countries

This paper investigates the drivers of growth and prosperity in a group of eleven European countries -- Bulgaria, Croatia, the Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Romania, Slovenia, and Slovakia (the EU11). Since the EU11 b...

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Main Authors: Cuaresma, Jesus Crespo, Oberhofer, Harald, Smits, Karlis, Vincelette, Gallina A
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2013
Subjects:
GDP
TAX
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2012/08/16658348/drivers-convergence-eleven-eastern-european-countries
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/12034
id okr-10986-12034
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic ACCOUNTABILITY
AFFILIATES
AVERAGE PRODUCTIVITY
BANKING SYSTEM
BANKS
BENCHMARK
BOND MARKETS
BRAIN DRAIN
BUSINESS CLIMATE
BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
BUSINESS ENVIRONMENTS
BUSINESS REGULATION
CAPITAL ACCUMULATION
CAPITAL FLOW
CAPITAL FLOWS
CAPITAL INVESTMENT
CAPITAL INVESTMENTS
CIVIL SERVICE
COMMON MARKET
COMPETITIVENESS
CONSOLIDATION
CONSUMER DURABLES
CONSUMPTION LEVELS
CORPORATE GOVERNANCE
CROSS-BORDER TRANSACTIONS
DEBT
DEBT CRISIS
DEMOGRAPHIC
DEMOGRAPHICS
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING MARKET
DEVELOPMENT FINANCE
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
DIVIDENDS
DRIVERS
ECONOMETRICS
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC IMPACT
ECONOMIC INTEGRATION
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
ECONOMIC RESEARCH
ECONOMIC SURVEYS
ECONOMICS
EMERGING ECONOMIES
EMERGING MARKETS
EMPLOYMENT
EMPLOYMENT GROWTH
ENTREPRENEURSHIP
ENVIRONMENTAL
ENVIRONMENTAL POLICIES
EQUITY MARKETS
EXPORT GROWTH
EXPORTS
EXTRAORDINARY INCOME
FACTORS OF PRODUCTION
FERTILITY RATE
FERTILITY RATES
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FINANCIAL FLOWS
FINANCIAL INTEGRATION
FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
FINANCIAL SECTOR
FINANCIAL SERVICES
FISCAL CONSOLIDATION
FISCAL DEFICIT
FOREIGN ASSETS
FOREIGN CAPITAL
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
FOREIGN MARKETS
FOREIGN OWNERSHIP
FUTURE STUDIES
GDP
GDP PER CAPITA
GLOBAL MARKETS
GOVERNANCE INDICATORS
GOVERNMENT BOND
GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES
GROWTH PROJECTIONS
GROWTH RATE
HOUSING
HUMAN CAPITAL
INCOME
INCOME LEVELS
INCOMES
INEFFICIENCY
INNOVATION
INTEREST RATE
INTERMEDIATE GOODS
INTERNATIONAL INVESTORS
INTERNATIONAL MARKET
INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
INVESTMENT CLIMATE
JOB CREATION
LABOR COSTS
LABOR FORCE
LABOR FORCE GROWTH
LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION
LABOR MARKET
LABOR MARKET POLICIES
LABOR MOBILITY
LABOR ORGANIZATION
LABOR PRODUCTIVITY
LABOUR
LABOUR FORCE
LAWS
LEGAL SYSTEM
LIFE EXPECTANCY
LIQUIDITY
LIVING STANDARDS
LOCAL GOVERNMENTS
MARKET ECONOMIES
MERGERS
MIGRATION
OPEN ECONOMIES
OUTPUT
OUTSOURCING
PENSION
PENSION REFORM
PENSION SYSTEMS
PENSIONS
PER CAPITA INCOME
POLICY MAKERS
PORTFOLIO
PRIVATIZATION
PRODUCTIVITY
PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH
PROPERTY RIGHTS
PUBLIC DEBT
PUBLIC FINANCE
PUBLIC FINANCES
PUBLIC SERVICES
PURCHASING POWER
RAPID GROWTH
REAL GDP
RED TAPE
REGIONAL INTEGRATION
REPLACEMENT RATE
RETIREMENT
RETIREMENT AGE
SAVINGS
SAVINGS RATES
SHAREHOLDERS
SINGLE MARKET
SKILLED WORKERS
SKILLS SHORTAGES
SOCIAL BENEFITS
SOCIAL INCLUSION
SOCIAL PROTECTION
SOVEREIGN DEBT
SUBSIDIARIES
SYSTEMS ANALYSIS
TAX
TAX ADMINISTRATION
TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER
TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY
TRADE BARRIERS
TRADE FLOWS
TRANSPARENCY
TRANSPORT
VALUE ADDED
WAGES
WORLD MARKETS
spellingShingle ACCOUNTABILITY
AFFILIATES
AVERAGE PRODUCTIVITY
BANKING SYSTEM
BANKS
BENCHMARK
BOND MARKETS
BRAIN DRAIN
BUSINESS CLIMATE
BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
BUSINESS ENVIRONMENTS
BUSINESS REGULATION
CAPITAL ACCUMULATION
CAPITAL FLOW
CAPITAL FLOWS
CAPITAL INVESTMENT
CAPITAL INVESTMENTS
CIVIL SERVICE
COMMON MARKET
COMPETITIVENESS
CONSOLIDATION
CONSUMER DURABLES
CONSUMPTION LEVELS
CORPORATE GOVERNANCE
CROSS-BORDER TRANSACTIONS
DEBT
DEBT CRISIS
DEMOGRAPHIC
DEMOGRAPHICS
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING MARKET
DEVELOPMENT FINANCE
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
DIVIDENDS
DRIVERS
ECONOMETRICS
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC IMPACT
ECONOMIC INTEGRATION
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
ECONOMIC RESEARCH
ECONOMIC SURVEYS
ECONOMICS
EMERGING ECONOMIES
EMERGING MARKETS
EMPLOYMENT
EMPLOYMENT GROWTH
ENTREPRENEURSHIP
ENVIRONMENTAL
ENVIRONMENTAL POLICIES
EQUITY MARKETS
EXPORT GROWTH
EXPORTS
EXTRAORDINARY INCOME
FACTORS OF PRODUCTION
FERTILITY RATE
FERTILITY RATES
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FINANCIAL FLOWS
FINANCIAL INTEGRATION
FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
FINANCIAL SECTOR
FINANCIAL SERVICES
FISCAL CONSOLIDATION
FISCAL DEFICIT
FOREIGN ASSETS
FOREIGN CAPITAL
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
FOREIGN MARKETS
FOREIGN OWNERSHIP
FUTURE STUDIES
GDP
GDP PER CAPITA
GLOBAL MARKETS
GOVERNANCE INDICATORS
GOVERNMENT BOND
GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES
GROWTH PROJECTIONS
GROWTH RATE
HOUSING
HUMAN CAPITAL
INCOME
INCOME LEVELS
INCOMES
INEFFICIENCY
INNOVATION
INTEREST RATE
INTERMEDIATE GOODS
INTERNATIONAL INVESTORS
INTERNATIONAL MARKET
INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
INVESTMENT CLIMATE
JOB CREATION
LABOR COSTS
LABOR FORCE
LABOR FORCE GROWTH
LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION
LABOR MARKET
LABOR MARKET POLICIES
LABOR MOBILITY
LABOR ORGANIZATION
LABOR PRODUCTIVITY
LABOUR
LABOUR FORCE
LAWS
LEGAL SYSTEM
LIFE EXPECTANCY
LIQUIDITY
LIVING STANDARDS
LOCAL GOVERNMENTS
MARKET ECONOMIES
MERGERS
MIGRATION
OPEN ECONOMIES
OUTPUT
OUTSOURCING
PENSION
PENSION REFORM
PENSION SYSTEMS
PENSIONS
PER CAPITA INCOME
POLICY MAKERS
PORTFOLIO
PRIVATIZATION
PRODUCTIVITY
PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH
PROPERTY RIGHTS
PUBLIC DEBT
PUBLIC FINANCE
PUBLIC FINANCES
PUBLIC SERVICES
PURCHASING POWER
RAPID GROWTH
REAL GDP
RED TAPE
REGIONAL INTEGRATION
REPLACEMENT RATE
RETIREMENT
RETIREMENT AGE
SAVINGS
SAVINGS RATES
SHAREHOLDERS
SINGLE MARKET
SKILLED WORKERS
SKILLS SHORTAGES
SOCIAL BENEFITS
SOCIAL INCLUSION
SOCIAL PROTECTION
SOVEREIGN DEBT
SUBSIDIARIES
SYSTEMS ANALYSIS
TAX
TAX ADMINISTRATION
TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER
TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY
TRADE BARRIERS
TRADE FLOWS
TRANSPARENCY
TRANSPORT
VALUE ADDED
WAGES
WORLD MARKETS
Cuaresma, Jesus Crespo
Oberhofer, Harald
Smits, Karlis
Vincelette, Gallina A
Drivers of Convergence in Eleven Eastern European Countries
geographic_facet Europe and Central Asia
relation Policy Research Working Paper; No. 6185
description This paper investigates the drivers of growth and prosperity in a group of eleven European countries -- Bulgaria, Croatia, the Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Romania, Slovenia, and Slovakia (the EU11). Since the EU11 began the transformation process, this group of emerging countries has made impressive strides as developing market economies and is anchoring development in European Union institutions. There are reasons to believe that the convergence of EU11 income per capita to Western European levels will continue, but will proceed more slowly. The paper concludes that trade and financial integration have sped along at a spectacular pace in the EU11 in the recent past, although trade in modern services and the integration of government bond and equity markets are somewhat behind. As in the rest of Europe, demographic developments will pose huge challenges for the sustainability of public finance in the EU11 economies. In the next several decades, the EU11 labor force is expected to contract more than labor forces in the rest of the European Union, making it even more urgent that countries in the region reform pension systems, change migration policy, and find incentives to attract talent to the region. Closing the gap with the rest of the European Union in educational attainment levels and improving education quality might significantly soften the constraints imposed by the demographic threats and produce sizable returns in terms of additional income convergence.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Cuaresma, Jesus Crespo
Oberhofer, Harald
Smits, Karlis
Vincelette, Gallina A
author_facet Cuaresma, Jesus Crespo
Oberhofer, Harald
Smits, Karlis
Vincelette, Gallina A
author_sort Cuaresma, Jesus Crespo
title Drivers of Convergence in Eleven Eastern European Countries
title_short Drivers of Convergence in Eleven Eastern European Countries
title_full Drivers of Convergence in Eleven Eastern European Countries
title_fullStr Drivers of Convergence in Eleven Eastern European Countries
title_full_unstemmed Drivers of Convergence in Eleven Eastern European Countries
title_sort drivers of convergence in eleven eastern european countries
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2013
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2012/08/16658348/drivers-convergence-eleven-eastern-european-countries
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/12034
_version_ 1764418766794391552
spelling okr-10986-120342021-04-23T14:02:59Z Drivers of Convergence in Eleven Eastern European Countries Cuaresma, Jesus Crespo Oberhofer, Harald Smits, Karlis Vincelette, Gallina A ACCOUNTABILITY AFFILIATES AVERAGE PRODUCTIVITY BANKING SYSTEM BANKS BENCHMARK BOND MARKETS BRAIN DRAIN BUSINESS CLIMATE BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT BUSINESS ENVIRONMENTS BUSINESS REGULATION CAPITAL ACCUMULATION CAPITAL FLOW CAPITAL FLOWS CAPITAL INVESTMENT CAPITAL INVESTMENTS CIVIL SERVICE COMMON MARKET COMPETITIVENESS CONSOLIDATION CONSUMER DURABLES CONSUMPTION LEVELS CORPORATE GOVERNANCE CROSS-BORDER TRANSACTIONS DEBT DEBT CRISIS DEMOGRAPHIC DEMOGRAPHICS DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPING MARKET DEVELOPMENT FINANCE DEVELOPMENT POLICY DIVIDENDS DRIVERS ECONOMETRICS ECONOMIC ANALYSIS ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC IMPACT ECONOMIC INTEGRATION ECONOMIC OUTLOOK ECONOMIC RESEARCH ECONOMIC SURVEYS ECONOMICS EMERGING ECONOMIES EMERGING MARKETS EMPLOYMENT EMPLOYMENT GROWTH ENTREPRENEURSHIP ENVIRONMENTAL ENVIRONMENTAL POLICIES EQUITY MARKETS EXPORT GROWTH EXPORTS EXTRAORDINARY INCOME FACTORS OF PRODUCTION FERTILITY RATE FERTILITY RATES FINANCIAL CRISIS FINANCIAL FLOWS FINANCIAL INTEGRATION FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT FINANCIAL SECTOR FINANCIAL SERVICES FISCAL CONSOLIDATION FISCAL DEFICIT FOREIGN ASSETS FOREIGN CAPITAL FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT FOREIGN EXCHANGE FOREIGN MARKETS FOREIGN OWNERSHIP FUTURE STUDIES GDP GDP PER CAPITA GLOBAL MARKETS GOVERNANCE INDICATORS GOVERNMENT BOND GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES GROWTH PROJECTIONS GROWTH RATE HOUSING HUMAN CAPITAL INCOME INCOME LEVELS INCOMES INEFFICIENCY INNOVATION INTEREST RATE INTERMEDIATE GOODS INTERNATIONAL INVESTORS INTERNATIONAL MARKET INTERNATIONAL MARKETS INVESTMENT CLIMATE JOB CREATION LABOR COSTS LABOR FORCE LABOR FORCE GROWTH LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION LABOR MARKET LABOR MARKET POLICIES LABOR MOBILITY LABOR ORGANIZATION LABOR PRODUCTIVITY LABOUR LABOUR FORCE LAWS LEGAL SYSTEM LIFE EXPECTANCY LIQUIDITY LIVING STANDARDS LOCAL GOVERNMENTS MARKET ECONOMIES MERGERS MIGRATION OPEN ECONOMIES OUTPUT OUTSOURCING PENSION PENSION REFORM PENSION SYSTEMS PENSIONS PER CAPITA INCOME POLICY MAKERS PORTFOLIO PRIVATIZATION PRODUCTIVITY PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH PROPERTY RIGHTS PUBLIC DEBT PUBLIC FINANCE PUBLIC FINANCES PUBLIC SERVICES PURCHASING POWER RAPID GROWTH REAL GDP RED TAPE REGIONAL INTEGRATION REPLACEMENT RATE RETIREMENT RETIREMENT AGE SAVINGS SAVINGS RATES SHAREHOLDERS SINGLE MARKET SKILLED WORKERS SKILLS SHORTAGES SOCIAL BENEFITS SOCIAL INCLUSION SOCIAL PROTECTION SOVEREIGN DEBT SUBSIDIARIES SYSTEMS ANALYSIS TAX TAX ADMINISTRATION TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY TRADE BARRIERS TRADE FLOWS TRANSPARENCY TRANSPORT VALUE ADDED WAGES WORLD MARKETS This paper investigates the drivers of growth and prosperity in a group of eleven European countries -- Bulgaria, Croatia, the Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Romania, Slovenia, and Slovakia (the EU11). Since the EU11 began the transformation process, this group of emerging countries has made impressive strides as developing market economies and is anchoring development in European Union institutions. There are reasons to believe that the convergence of EU11 income per capita to Western European levels will continue, but will proceed more slowly. The paper concludes that trade and financial integration have sped along at a spectacular pace in the EU11 in the recent past, although trade in modern services and the integration of government bond and equity markets are somewhat behind. As in the rest of Europe, demographic developments will pose huge challenges for the sustainability of public finance in the EU11 economies. In the next several decades, the EU11 labor force is expected to contract more than labor forces in the rest of the European Union, making it even more urgent that countries in the region reform pension systems, change migration policy, and find incentives to attract talent to the region. Closing the gap with the rest of the European Union in educational attainment levels and improving education quality might significantly soften the constraints imposed by the demographic threats and produce sizable returns in terms of additional income convergence. 2013-01-02T20:06:39Z 2013-01-02T20:06:39Z 2012-08 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2012/08/16658348/drivers-convergence-eleven-eastern-european-countries http://hdl.handle.net/10986/12034 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper; No. 6185 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research Europe and Central Asia