Middle-Income Growth Traps

This paper studies the existence of middle-income growth traps in a two-period overlapping generations model of economic growth with two types of labor and endogenous occupational choices. It also distinguishes between "basic" and "a...

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Main Authors: Agénor, Pierre-Richard, Canuto, Otaviano
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2012
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2012/09/16769897/middle-income-growth-traps
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/12004
id okr-10986-12004
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-120042021-04-23T14:02:59Z Middle-Income Growth Traps Agénor, Pierre-Richard Canuto, Otaviano ACCOUNTING ADVERSE CONSEQUENCES AGGREGATE DEMAND AGGREGATE DEMAND CURVE AGRICULTURE ALLOCATION ARBITRAGE BANK POLICY BARRIERS TO ENTRY BEQUESTS BONDS BRAIN DRAINS BUDGET CONSTRAINT BUDGET CONSTRAINTS BUSINESS CYCLE CAPITAL ACCUMULATION CAPITAL STOCK CAPITAL STOCKS COMPETITIVENESS CONCAVE CURVE CONSTANT RETURNS DEBTS DECREASING RETURNS DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPING COUNTRY DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DEVELOPMENT POLICY DISCOUNT RATE ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC RESEARCH EMPLOYMENT ENDOGENOUS INNOVATION EQUILIBRIUM EXCLUSIVE RIGHTS EXPENDITURE EXPORTS FINANCES FINANCIAL CRISIS FORMAL ANALYSIS GDP GDP PER CAPITA GOVERNMENT BUDGET GOVERNMENT FUNDING GOVERNMENT REVENUES GOVERNMENT SPENDING GROWTH ACCOUNTING GROWTH MODEL GROWTH MODELS GROWTH PROCESS GROWTH RATE HOLDING HUMAN CAPITAL IMPERFECT COMPETITION IMPERFECT SUBSTITUTES INCOME INCOME GROWTH INCOME LEVELS INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT INNOVATION INTERMEDIATE GOODS INTERMEDIATE INPUT INTERNATIONAL BANK INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS INTERNATIONAL MARKETS KNOWLEDGE DIFFUSION LABOR COSTS LABOR FORCE LABOR MARKET LABOR MARKET RIGIDITIES LABOR SUPPLY This paper studies the existence of middle-income growth traps in a two-period overlapping generations model of economic growth with two types of labor and endogenous occupational choices. It also distinguishes between "basic" and "advanced" infrastructure, with the latter promoting design activities, and accounts for a knowledge network externality associated with product diversification. Multiple steady-state equilibria may emerge, one of them taking the form of a low-growth trap characterized by low productivity growth and a misallocation of talent -- defined as a relatively low share of high-ability workers in design activities. Improved access to advanced infrastructure may help escape from that trap. The implications of other public policies, including the protection of property rights and labor market reforms, are also discussed. 2012-12-21T19:50:29Z 2012-12-21T19:50:29Z 2012-09 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2012/09/16769897/middle-income-growth-traps http://hdl.handle.net/10986/12004 English en_US Policy Research working paper;no. 6210 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic ACCOUNTING
ADVERSE CONSEQUENCES
AGGREGATE DEMAND
AGGREGATE DEMAND CURVE
AGRICULTURE
ALLOCATION
ARBITRAGE
BANK POLICY
BARRIERS TO ENTRY
BEQUESTS
BONDS
BRAIN DRAINS
BUDGET CONSTRAINT
BUDGET CONSTRAINTS
BUSINESS CYCLE
CAPITAL ACCUMULATION
CAPITAL STOCK
CAPITAL STOCKS
COMPETITIVENESS
CONCAVE CURVE
CONSTANT RETURNS
DEBTS
DECREASING RETURNS
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING COUNTRY
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
DISCOUNT RATE
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC RESEARCH
EMPLOYMENT
ENDOGENOUS INNOVATION
EQUILIBRIUM
EXCLUSIVE RIGHTS
EXPENDITURE
EXPORTS
FINANCES
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FORMAL ANALYSIS
GDP
GDP PER CAPITA
GOVERNMENT BUDGET
GOVERNMENT FUNDING
GOVERNMENT REVENUES
GOVERNMENT SPENDING
GROWTH ACCOUNTING
GROWTH MODEL
GROWTH MODELS
GROWTH PROCESS
GROWTH RATE
HOLDING
HUMAN CAPITAL
IMPERFECT COMPETITION
IMPERFECT SUBSTITUTES
INCOME
INCOME GROWTH
INCOME LEVELS
INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT
INNOVATION
INTERMEDIATE GOODS
INTERMEDIATE INPUT
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
KNOWLEDGE DIFFUSION
LABOR COSTS
LABOR FORCE
LABOR MARKET
LABOR MARKET RIGIDITIES
LABOR SUPPLY
spellingShingle ACCOUNTING
ADVERSE CONSEQUENCES
AGGREGATE DEMAND
AGGREGATE DEMAND CURVE
AGRICULTURE
ALLOCATION
ARBITRAGE
BANK POLICY
BARRIERS TO ENTRY
BEQUESTS
BONDS
BRAIN DRAINS
BUDGET CONSTRAINT
BUDGET CONSTRAINTS
BUSINESS CYCLE
CAPITAL ACCUMULATION
CAPITAL STOCK
CAPITAL STOCKS
COMPETITIVENESS
CONCAVE CURVE
CONSTANT RETURNS
DEBTS
DECREASING RETURNS
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING COUNTRY
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
DISCOUNT RATE
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC RESEARCH
EMPLOYMENT
ENDOGENOUS INNOVATION
EQUILIBRIUM
EXCLUSIVE RIGHTS
EXPENDITURE
EXPORTS
FINANCES
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FORMAL ANALYSIS
GDP
GDP PER CAPITA
GOVERNMENT BUDGET
GOVERNMENT FUNDING
GOVERNMENT REVENUES
GOVERNMENT SPENDING
GROWTH ACCOUNTING
GROWTH MODEL
GROWTH MODELS
GROWTH PROCESS
GROWTH RATE
HOLDING
HUMAN CAPITAL
IMPERFECT COMPETITION
IMPERFECT SUBSTITUTES
INCOME
INCOME GROWTH
INCOME LEVELS
INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT
INNOVATION
INTERMEDIATE GOODS
INTERMEDIATE INPUT
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
KNOWLEDGE DIFFUSION
LABOR COSTS
LABOR FORCE
LABOR MARKET
LABOR MARKET RIGIDITIES
LABOR SUPPLY
Agénor, Pierre-Richard
Canuto, Otaviano
Middle-Income Growth Traps
relation Policy Research working paper;no. 6210
description This paper studies the existence of middle-income growth traps in a two-period overlapping generations model of economic growth with two types of labor and endogenous occupational choices. It also distinguishes between "basic" and "advanced" infrastructure, with the latter promoting design activities, and accounts for a knowledge network externality associated with product diversification. Multiple steady-state equilibria may emerge, one of them taking the form of a low-growth trap characterized by low productivity growth and a misallocation of talent -- defined as a relatively low share of high-ability workers in design activities. Improved access to advanced infrastructure may help escape from that trap. The implications of other public policies, including the protection of property rights and labor market reforms, are also discussed.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Agénor, Pierre-Richard
Canuto, Otaviano
author_facet Agénor, Pierre-Richard
Canuto, Otaviano
author_sort Agénor, Pierre-Richard
title Middle-Income Growth Traps
title_short Middle-Income Growth Traps
title_full Middle-Income Growth Traps
title_fullStr Middle-Income Growth Traps
title_full_unstemmed Middle-Income Growth Traps
title_sort middle-income growth traps
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2012
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2012/09/16769897/middle-income-growth-traps
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/12004
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