Rwanda : The Impact of Conflict on Growth and Poverty
The human, social and economic costs of Rwanda's Genocide have been staggering. Although the country has made remarkable progress over the last ten years, especially in terms of recovering some of the ground lost on education and health, GDP p...
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| Format: | Brief |
| Language: | English |
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World Bank, Washington, DC
2012
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| Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2004/06/4390810/rwanda-impact-conflict-growth-poverty http://hdl.handle.net/10986/11268 |
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okr-10986-112682021-04-23T14:02:54Z Rwanda : The Impact of Conflict on Growth and Poverty Lopez, Humberto Wodon, Quentin Bannon, Ian CONFLICT ECONOMIC SHOCKS ECONOMIC CONDITIONS GENOCIDE OUTLIERS INTERVENTIONS IMPACT EVALUATION GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT CAPITA GROWTH COMMUNITY PARTICIPATION CONFLICT COUNTERFACTUAL DATA COLLECTION DEVELOPMENT GOALS DISASTERS ECONOMIC GROWTH ENROLLMENT RATIO EQUIVALENT CONSUMPTION EXTREME POVERTY FOOD BASKET FOOD COMPONENT FOOD CONSUMPTION FOOD EXPENDITURES FOOD NEEDS FOOD POVERTY LINE HEALTH INDICATORS HEALTH TARGETS HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION HOUSEHOLD LEVEL HOUSEHOLD SURVEY HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS HOUSING HUMAN CAPITAL INCOME INEQUALITY INJURIES INTERVENTION LONG TERM MALNUTRITION MEAN CONSUMPTION MEASURING POVERTY MIGRATION MORTALITY NATIONAL POVERTY POOR POVERTY GAP POVERTY LINE POVERTY LINES POVERTY MEASUREMENT POVERTY MEASURES POVERTY REDUCTION POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGY PRIMARY SCHOOL RAPE REGRESSION APPROACH RURAL AREAS SAVINGS SCHOOL DROPOUTS SOCIAL CAPITAL SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT SOCIAL INDICATORS SOCIAL NETWORKS URBAN AREAS VICTIMS VIOLENCE WAR The human, social and economic costs of Rwanda's Genocide have been staggering. Although the country has made remarkable progress over the last ten years, especially in terms of recovering some of the ground lost on education and health, GDP per capita remains much lower than what it would have been without the Genocide. Per capita GDP today would probably be between 25 and 30 percent higher if the conflict had not taken place. About one fourth of the population in poverty today can be said to be poor as a result of the Genocide.This note provides a measure of the economic cost of the Rwanda Genocide using a technique for the identification and correction of outliers in time series. Specifically, the detection of an outlier in the GDP per capita time series that can be traced to the conflict allows the estimation of the GDP losses associated with the Genocide. Outlier identification and correction, or intervention analysis, is a commonly used procedure when working with time series. In the absence of precise information on the likely effects of a shock, analysts have recently developed and resorted to more refined procedures for outlier identification and correction. 2012-08-13T14:36:44Z 2012-08-13T14:36:44Z 2004-06 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2004/06/4390810/rwanda-impact-conflict-growth-poverty http://hdl.handle.net/10986/11268 English Social Development Notes; No. 18 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Brief Publications & Research Africa Rwanda |
| repository_type |
Digital Repository |
| institution_category |
Foreign Institution |
| institution |
Digital Repositories |
| building |
World Bank Open Knowledge Repository |
| collection |
World Bank |
| language |
English |
| topic |
CONFLICT ECONOMIC SHOCKS ECONOMIC CONDITIONS GENOCIDE OUTLIERS INTERVENTIONS IMPACT EVALUATION GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT CAPITA GROWTH COMMUNITY PARTICIPATION CONFLICT COUNTERFACTUAL DATA COLLECTION DEVELOPMENT GOALS DISASTERS ECONOMIC GROWTH ENROLLMENT RATIO EQUIVALENT CONSUMPTION EXTREME POVERTY FOOD BASKET FOOD COMPONENT FOOD CONSUMPTION FOOD EXPENDITURES FOOD NEEDS FOOD POVERTY LINE HEALTH INDICATORS HEALTH TARGETS HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION HOUSEHOLD LEVEL HOUSEHOLD SURVEY HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS HOUSING HUMAN CAPITAL INCOME INEQUALITY INJURIES INTERVENTION LONG TERM MALNUTRITION MEAN CONSUMPTION MEASURING POVERTY MIGRATION MORTALITY NATIONAL POVERTY POOR POVERTY GAP POVERTY LINE POVERTY LINES POVERTY MEASUREMENT POVERTY MEASURES POVERTY REDUCTION POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGY PRIMARY SCHOOL RAPE REGRESSION APPROACH RURAL AREAS SAVINGS SCHOOL DROPOUTS SOCIAL CAPITAL SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT SOCIAL INDICATORS SOCIAL NETWORKS URBAN AREAS VICTIMS VIOLENCE WAR |
| spellingShingle |
CONFLICT ECONOMIC SHOCKS ECONOMIC CONDITIONS GENOCIDE OUTLIERS INTERVENTIONS IMPACT EVALUATION GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT CAPITA GROWTH COMMUNITY PARTICIPATION CONFLICT COUNTERFACTUAL DATA COLLECTION DEVELOPMENT GOALS DISASTERS ECONOMIC GROWTH ENROLLMENT RATIO EQUIVALENT CONSUMPTION EXTREME POVERTY FOOD BASKET FOOD COMPONENT FOOD CONSUMPTION FOOD EXPENDITURES FOOD NEEDS FOOD POVERTY LINE HEALTH INDICATORS HEALTH TARGETS HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION HOUSEHOLD LEVEL HOUSEHOLD SURVEY HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS HOUSING HUMAN CAPITAL INCOME INEQUALITY INJURIES INTERVENTION LONG TERM MALNUTRITION MEAN CONSUMPTION MEASURING POVERTY MIGRATION MORTALITY NATIONAL POVERTY POOR POVERTY GAP POVERTY LINE POVERTY LINES POVERTY MEASUREMENT POVERTY MEASURES POVERTY REDUCTION POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGY PRIMARY SCHOOL RAPE REGRESSION APPROACH RURAL AREAS SAVINGS SCHOOL DROPOUTS SOCIAL CAPITAL SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT SOCIAL INDICATORS SOCIAL NETWORKS URBAN AREAS VICTIMS VIOLENCE WAR Lopez, Humberto Wodon, Quentin Bannon, Ian Rwanda : The Impact of Conflict on Growth and Poverty |
| geographic_facet |
Africa Rwanda |
| relation |
Social Development Notes; No. 18 |
| description |
The human, social and economic costs of
Rwanda's Genocide have been staggering. Although the
country has made remarkable progress over the last ten
years, especially in terms of recovering some of the ground
lost on education and health, GDP per capita remains much
lower than what it would have been without the Genocide. Per
capita GDP today would probably be between 25 and 30 percent
higher if the conflict had not taken place. About one fourth
of the population in poverty today can be said to be poor as
a result of the Genocide.This note provides a measure of the
economic cost of the Rwanda Genocide using a technique for
the identification and correction of outliers in time
series. Specifically, the detection of an outlier in the GDP
per capita time series that can be traced to the conflict
allows the estimation of the GDP losses associated with the
Genocide. Outlier identification and correction, or
intervention analysis, is a commonly used procedure when
working with time series. In the absence of precise
information on the likely effects of a shock, analysts have
recently developed and resorted to more refined procedures
for outlier identification and correction. |
| format |
Publications & Research :: Brief |
| author |
Lopez, Humberto Wodon, Quentin Bannon, Ian |
| author_facet |
Lopez, Humberto Wodon, Quentin Bannon, Ian |
| author_sort |
Lopez, Humberto |
| title |
Rwanda : The Impact of Conflict on Growth and Poverty |
| title_short |
Rwanda : The Impact of Conflict on Growth and Poverty |
| title_full |
Rwanda : The Impact of Conflict on Growth and Poverty |
| title_fullStr |
Rwanda : The Impact of Conflict on Growth and Poverty |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Rwanda : The Impact of Conflict on Growth and Poverty |
| title_sort |
rwanda : the impact of conflict on growth and poverty |
| publisher |
World Bank, Washington, DC |
| publishDate |
2012 |
| url |
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2004/06/4390810/rwanda-impact-conflict-growth-poverty http://hdl.handle.net/10986/11268 |
| _version_ |
1764416124760358912 |