Crude Oil Prices : Predicting Price Differentials Based on Quality

Many developing countries are becoming oil exporters, producing crude oils that often differ markedly in quality from those principally traded. Governments must predict the prices of such crudes, to forecast revenue and evaluate the fairness of the...

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Main Authors: Bacon, Robert, Tordo, Silvana
Format: Viewpoint
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2012
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2004/10/5496306/crude-oil-prices-predicting-price-differentials-based-quality
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/11250
id okr-10986-11250
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-112502021-06-14T10:54:42Z Crude Oil Prices : Predicting Price Differentials Based on Quality Bacon, Robert Tordo, Silvana CRUDE OIL OIL PRICING OIL EXPORTING COUNTRIES QUALITY DIFFERENTIATION INTERNATIONAL TRADE OIL REVENUES FAIRNESS PRICE DISTORTIONS ACIDITY PRICE CONTROLS ACCOUNT ACID ACIDITY ACIDS API AVERAGE PRICES CHEMICALS CRUDE OIL CRUDE OIL DEVELOPING COUNTRIES INTERNATIONAL FINANCE LEGISLATION MATCHING OIL OIL PRICES OIL PRICES OILS PETROLEUM PHYSICAL CHARACTERISTICS PRICE FORECASTS PRODUCERS REFINING REGRESSION ANALYSIS ROYALTIES SELLING SPOT PRICES SPREAD STATISTICAL ANALYSIS STREAMS SULFUR WEB SITES Many developing countries are becoming oil exporters, producing crude oils that often differ markedly in quality from those principally traded. Governments must predict the prices of such crudes, to forecast revenue and evaluate the fairness of the price they receive from companies selling on their behalf. Oil companies, and industry consultants, have models for analyzing price differentials with well-known "marker" crudes, but these models have not been widely known, or adapted to account for increasingly important quality characteristics, such as acidity. This note explains a methodology for price analysis, and a new extension for incorporating acidity, which can have a big effect on the price differential. 2012-08-13T14:34:03Z 2012-08-13T14:34:03Z 2004-10 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2004/10/5496306/crude-oil-prices-predicting-price-differentials-based-quality Viewpoint. Private Sector. - - Note no. 275 (October 2004) http://hdl.handle.net/10986/11250 English Viewpoint CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Viewpoint Publications & Research
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic CRUDE OIL
OIL PRICING
OIL EXPORTING COUNTRIES
QUALITY DIFFERENTIATION
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
OIL REVENUES
FAIRNESS
PRICE DISTORTIONS
ACIDITY
PRICE CONTROLS
ACCOUNT
ACID
ACIDITY
ACIDS
API
AVERAGE PRICES
CHEMICALS
CRUDE OIL
CRUDE OIL
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
INTERNATIONAL FINANCE
LEGISLATION
MATCHING
OIL
OIL PRICES
OIL PRICES
OILS
PETROLEUM
PHYSICAL CHARACTERISTICS
PRICE FORECASTS
PRODUCERS
REFINING
REGRESSION ANALYSIS
ROYALTIES
SELLING
SPOT PRICES
SPREAD
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS
STREAMS
SULFUR
WEB SITES
spellingShingle CRUDE OIL
OIL PRICING
OIL EXPORTING COUNTRIES
QUALITY DIFFERENTIATION
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
OIL REVENUES
FAIRNESS
PRICE DISTORTIONS
ACIDITY
PRICE CONTROLS
ACCOUNT
ACID
ACIDITY
ACIDS
API
AVERAGE PRICES
CHEMICALS
CRUDE OIL
CRUDE OIL
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
INTERNATIONAL FINANCE
LEGISLATION
MATCHING
OIL
OIL PRICES
OIL PRICES
OILS
PETROLEUM
PHYSICAL CHARACTERISTICS
PRICE FORECASTS
PRODUCERS
REFINING
REGRESSION ANALYSIS
ROYALTIES
SELLING
SPOT PRICES
SPREAD
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS
STREAMS
SULFUR
WEB SITES
Bacon, Robert
Tordo, Silvana
Crude Oil Prices : Predicting Price Differentials Based on Quality
relation Viewpoint
description Many developing countries are becoming oil exporters, producing crude oils that often differ markedly in quality from those principally traded. Governments must predict the prices of such crudes, to forecast revenue and evaluate the fairness of the price they receive from companies selling on their behalf. Oil companies, and industry consultants, have models for analyzing price differentials with well-known "marker" crudes, but these models have not been widely known, or adapted to account for increasingly important quality characteristics, such as acidity. This note explains a methodology for price analysis, and a new extension for incorporating acidity, which can have a big effect on the price differential.
format Publications & Research :: Viewpoint
author Bacon, Robert
Tordo, Silvana
author_facet Bacon, Robert
Tordo, Silvana
author_sort Bacon, Robert
title Crude Oil Prices : Predicting Price Differentials Based on Quality
title_short Crude Oil Prices : Predicting Price Differentials Based on Quality
title_full Crude Oil Prices : Predicting Price Differentials Based on Quality
title_fullStr Crude Oil Prices : Predicting Price Differentials Based on Quality
title_full_unstemmed Crude Oil Prices : Predicting Price Differentials Based on Quality
title_sort crude oil prices : predicting price differentials based on quality
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2012
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2004/10/5496306/crude-oil-prices-predicting-price-differentials-based-quality
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/11250
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