How will Labor Markets Adjust to the Crisis? A Dynamic View
Tracking flows of workers among different sectors of employment during economic downturns can shed light on the mechanism of labor market adjustment and inform the design of safety net programs. Though patterns may differ across recessions, the aut...
Main Author: | |
---|---|
Format: | Brief |
Language: | English |
Published: |
World Bank, Washington, DC
2012
|
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2009/03/11954044/labor-markets-adjust-crisis-dynamic-view http://hdl.handle.net/10986/10995 |
Summary: | Tracking flows of workers among
different sectors of employment during economic downturns
can shed light on the mechanism of labor market adjustment
and inform the design of safety net programs. Though
patterns may differ across recessions, the author find that
the generally countercyclical rise in unemployment and
informality is driven primarily by a reduction in hiring in
the formal sector, rather than increased labor shedding.
Further, changes in the rate of separations from informality
are the largest determinant of changes in unemployment. Both
suggest that safety nets should focus less on formal job
loss per se and more generally on movements in family
incomes, perhaps revealed through self targeting mechanisms. |
---|