Macroeconomic Risk Management in Nigeria : Dealing with External Shocks

The Nigerian economy is highly dependent on a number of external variables beyond the control of policymakers and domestic agents. Most important among those variables is the price of oil, which is highly uncertain and determined in fluctuating int...

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Main Authors: Montenegro, Santiago, Claessens, Constantjin, Gooptu, Sudarshan, Imran, Mudassar, Powell, Andrew
Format: Brief
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2012
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/1995/01/1615054/macroeconomic-risk-management-nigeria-dealing-external-shocks
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/10003
id okr-10986-10003
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-100032021-04-23T14:02:48Z Macroeconomic Risk Management in Nigeria : Dealing with External Shocks Montenegro, Santiago Claessens, Constantjin Gooptu, Sudarshan Imran, Mudassar Powell, Andrew BORROWING BUDGET DEFICITS CAPITAL MARKETS CREDITWORTHINESS CYCLICAL VARIATIONS DEBT DEBT SERVICE EXCHANGE RATE EXCHANGE RATES EXPENDITURES EXPORTS EXTRACTION FINANCIAL MARKETS FOREIGN EXCHANGE FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT HIGH OIL PRICES INCOME INFLATION INSURANCE INTEREST RATES INTERNATIONAL RESERVES MANDATES MATURITIES OIL OIL OIL COMPANIES OIL INDUSTRY OIL PRICE OIL PRICES OIL PRODUCTION OIL RESERVES OIL SECTOR OIL SHOCKS PRICE CHANGES PRIVATE SECTOR PUBLIC EXPENDITURE PUBLIC OWNERSHIP PUBLIC REVENUES RISK MANAGEMENT SAVINGS STRUCTURAL ADJUSTMENT TAXATION TREASURY WAGES RISK MANAGEMENT PETROLEUM EXPORTS HEDGING EXTERNAL SHOCKS PETROLEUM PRICES PRICE STABILIZATION PUBLIC EXPENDITURES PRIVATE INVESTMENTS REVENUE VOLATILITY STABILIZATION FUNDS STABILIZATION PROGRAMS The Nigerian economy is highly dependent on a number of external variables beyond the control of policymakers and domestic agents. Most important among those variables is the price of oil, which is highly uncertain and determined in fluctuating international markets. With oil accounting for more than 90 percent of Nigeria's exports, 25 percent of its GDP, and 80 percent of its public revenue, a fairly small price change can have a significant impact. Largely because of changing oil prices, total exports value increased tremendously between 1972 and 1980, and then dueto a drop in world oil prices Nigerian exports value dropped back to near 1972 levels in 1986. Clearly this reliance on oil production for income generation has serious implications for its economic policy management. At present, Nigeria faces serious economic problems. To return to a path of sustainable growth and of poverty reduction, the country must address a number of critical issues, including promoting fiscal transparency and fiscal discipline, and returning to market-determined exchange and interest rates. But managing the exposure to oil revenues and external debt will also be important in establishing the foundations for the sustainability of such policies, once they are adopted. 2012-08-13T10:06:37Z 2012-08-13T10:06:37Z 1995-01 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/1995/01/1615054/macroeconomic-risk-management-nigeria-dealing-external-shocks http://hdl.handle.net/10986/10003 English Africa Region Findings & Good Practice Infobriefs; No. 30 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Brief Publications & Research Africa Nigeria
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic BORROWING
BUDGET DEFICITS
CAPITAL MARKETS
CREDITWORTHINESS
CYCLICAL VARIATIONS
DEBT
DEBT SERVICE
EXCHANGE RATE
EXCHANGE RATES
EXPENDITURES
EXPORTS
EXTRACTION
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
HIGH OIL PRICES
INCOME
INFLATION
INSURANCE
INTEREST RATES
INTERNATIONAL RESERVES
MANDATES
MATURITIES
OIL
OIL
OIL COMPANIES
OIL INDUSTRY
OIL PRICE
OIL PRICES
OIL PRODUCTION
OIL RESERVES
OIL SECTOR
OIL SHOCKS
PRICE CHANGES
PRIVATE SECTOR
PUBLIC EXPENDITURE
PUBLIC OWNERSHIP
PUBLIC REVENUES
RISK MANAGEMENT
SAVINGS
STRUCTURAL ADJUSTMENT
TAXATION
TREASURY
WAGES RISK MANAGEMENT
PETROLEUM EXPORTS
HEDGING
EXTERNAL SHOCKS
PETROLEUM PRICES
PRICE STABILIZATION
PUBLIC EXPENDITURES
PRIVATE INVESTMENTS
REVENUE VOLATILITY
STABILIZATION FUNDS
STABILIZATION PROGRAMS
spellingShingle BORROWING
BUDGET DEFICITS
CAPITAL MARKETS
CREDITWORTHINESS
CYCLICAL VARIATIONS
DEBT
DEBT SERVICE
EXCHANGE RATE
EXCHANGE RATES
EXPENDITURES
EXPORTS
EXTRACTION
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
HIGH OIL PRICES
INCOME
INFLATION
INSURANCE
INTEREST RATES
INTERNATIONAL RESERVES
MANDATES
MATURITIES
OIL
OIL
OIL COMPANIES
OIL INDUSTRY
OIL PRICE
OIL PRICES
OIL PRODUCTION
OIL RESERVES
OIL SECTOR
OIL SHOCKS
PRICE CHANGES
PRIVATE SECTOR
PUBLIC EXPENDITURE
PUBLIC OWNERSHIP
PUBLIC REVENUES
RISK MANAGEMENT
SAVINGS
STRUCTURAL ADJUSTMENT
TAXATION
TREASURY
WAGES RISK MANAGEMENT
PETROLEUM EXPORTS
HEDGING
EXTERNAL SHOCKS
PETROLEUM PRICES
PRICE STABILIZATION
PUBLIC EXPENDITURES
PRIVATE INVESTMENTS
REVENUE VOLATILITY
STABILIZATION FUNDS
STABILIZATION PROGRAMS
Montenegro, Santiago
Claessens, Constantjin
Gooptu, Sudarshan
Imran, Mudassar
Powell, Andrew
Macroeconomic Risk Management in Nigeria : Dealing with External Shocks
geographic_facet Africa
Nigeria
relation Africa Region Findings & Good Practice Infobriefs; No. 30
description The Nigerian economy is highly dependent on a number of external variables beyond the control of policymakers and domestic agents. Most important among those variables is the price of oil, which is highly uncertain and determined in fluctuating international markets. With oil accounting for more than 90 percent of Nigeria's exports, 25 percent of its GDP, and 80 percent of its public revenue, a fairly small price change can have a significant impact. Largely because of changing oil prices, total exports value increased tremendously between 1972 and 1980, and then dueto a drop in world oil prices Nigerian exports value dropped back to near 1972 levels in 1986. Clearly this reliance on oil production for income generation has serious implications for its economic policy management. At present, Nigeria faces serious economic problems. To return to a path of sustainable growth and of poverty reduction, the country must address a number of critical issues, including promoting fiscal transparency and fiscal discipline, and returning to market-determined exchange and interest rates. But managing the exposure to oil revenues and external debt will also be important in establishing the foundations for the sustainability of such policies, once they are adopted.
format Publications & Research :: Brief
author Montenegro, Santiago
Claessens, Constantjin
Gooptu, Sudarshan
Imran, Mudassar
Powell, Andrew
author_facet Montenegro, Santiago
Claessens, Constantjin
Gooptu, Sudarshan
Imran, Mudassar
Powell, Andrew
author_sort Montenegro, Santiago
title Macroeconomic Risk Management in Nigeria : Dealing with External Shocks
title_short Macroeconomic Risk Management in Nigeria : Dealing with External Shocks
title_full Macroeconomic Risk Management in Nigeria : Dealing with External Shocks
title_fullStr Macroeconomic Risk Management in Nigeria : Dealing with External Shocks
title_full_unstemmed Macroeconomic Risk Management in Nigeria : Dealing with External Shocks
title_sort macroeconomic risk management in nigeria : dealing with external shocks
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2012
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/1995/01/1615054/macroeconomic-risk-management-nigeria-dealing-external-shocks
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/10003
_version_ 1764411448962842624