Modeling volatility using GARCH (1, 1) Model: The case of Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI)

In a dynamic environment, economies go through business cycle which may be considered to be a consequence of the stochastic nature of the financial markets. Past few years, there has been observed a considerable uncertainty in the financial markets in both developed and emerging nations worldwide...

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Main Author: Islam, Mohd Aminul
Format: Conference or Workshop Item
Language:English
Published: 2013
Subjects:
Online Access:http://irep.iium.edu.my/33420/
http://irep.iium.edu.my/33420/1/IRIE_2013.pdf
id iium-33420
recordtype eprints
spelling iium-334202013-12-20T07:05:40Z http://irep.iium.edu.my/33420/ Modeling volatility using GARCH (1, 1) Model: The case of Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI) Islam, Mohd Aminul HG4501 Stocks, investment, speculation In a dynamic environment, economies go through business cycle which may be considered to be a consequence of the stochastic nature of the financial markets. Past few years, there has been observed a considerable uncertainty in the financial markets in both developed and emerging nations worldwide. Most of the investors as well as the financial analysts are concerned about the volatility of the asset prices and its resulting effects of uncertainty of the returns on their investment assets. The primary causes of such asset price fluctuation are the variability in speculative market prices, unexpected events, and the instability of business performance (Floros, 2008). The stochastic nature of the financial market requires quantitative models to explain and analyze the behavior of stock market returns and hence capable of dealing with such uncertainty in price movements. In recent, there has been some remarkable progress in developing sophisticated models to explain and capture various properties of market variable volatilities and hence to manage risks associated with them. Some of the models that deal with estimating volatilities are: Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (ARCH) first developed by Engle (1982), Generalized ARCH or GARCH which was an extended version of ARCH proposed by Bollerslev (1986) and Nelson(1991), EGARCH, TGARCH, AGARCH, CGARCH and PGARCH. These are the further extensions of ARCH model. For our case, we applied GARCH (1, 1), the most common and popular tool of the GARCH models. 2013 Conference or Workshop Item NonPeerReviewed application/pdf en http://irep.iium.edu.my/33420/1/IRIE_2013.pdf Islam, Mohd Aminul (2013) Modeling volatility using GARCH (1, 1) Model: The case of Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI). In: IIUM Research, Invention and Innovation Exhibition 2013, 19 - 20 February 2013, Cultural Activity Centre (CAC) and KAED Gallery, IIUM.
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Local University
institution International Islamic University Malaysia
building IIUM Repository
collection Online Access
language English
topic HG4501 Stocks, investment, speculation
spellingShingle HG4501 Stocks, investment, speculation
Islam, Mohd Aminul
Modeling volatility using GARCH (1, 1) Model: The case of Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI)
description In a dynamic environment, economies go through business cycle which may be considered to be a consequence of the stochastic nature of the financial markets. Past few years, there has been observed a considerable uncertainty in the financial markets in both developed and emerging nations worldwide. Most of the investors as well as the financial analysts are concerned about the volatility of the asset prices and its resulting effects of uncertainty of the returns on their investment assets. The primary causes of such asset price fluctuation are the variability in speculative market prices, unexpected events, and the instability of business performance (Floros, 2008). The stochastic nature of the financial market requires quantitative models to explain and analyze the behavior of stock market returns and hence capable of dealing with such uncertainty in price movements. In recent, there has been some remarkable progress in developing sophisticated models to explain and capture various properties of market variable volatilities and hence to manage risks associated with them. Some of the models that deal with estimating volatilities are: Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (ARCH) first developed by Engle (1982), Generalized ARCH or GARCH which was an extended version of ARCH proposed by Bollerslev (1986) and Nelson(1991), EGARCH, TGARCH, AGARCH, CGARCH and PGARCH. These are the further extensions of ARCH model. For our case, we applied GARCH (1, 1), the most common and popular tool of the GARCH models.
format Conference or Workshop Item
author Islam, Mohd Aminul
author_facet Islam, Mohd Aminul
author_sort Islam, Mohd Aminul
title Modeling volatility using GARCH (1, 1) Model: The case of Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI)
title_short Modeling volatility using GARCH (1, 1) Model: The case of Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI)
title_full Modeling volatility using GARCH (1, 1) Model: The case of Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI)
title_fullStr Modeling volatility using GARCH (1, 1) Model: The case of Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI)
title_full_unstemmed Modeling volatility using GARCH (1, 1) Model: The case of Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI)
title_sort modeling volatility using garch (1, 1) model: the case of kuala lumpur composite index (klci)
publishDate 2013
url http://irep.iium.edu.my/33420/
http://irep.iium.edu.my/33420/1/IRIE_2013.pdf
first_indexed 2023-09-18T20:48:18Z
last_indexed 2023-09-18T20:48:18Z
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